Wrath Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Boom. Caught back up (didn't catch the weeks I missed entirely, just the ones where I asked for predicts), post will be up shortly. I'm sad about missing some good weeks, but better late than never. At least I'm back in time for a really... umm, brief weekend of releases. Well, always a good idea to start out slow. Otherwise, might pull something. Please provide your 11/2 - 11/4 Opening Weekend predicts for, Incarnate Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 $1.3M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 1.6m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 3M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 2.5M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 2.8M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Back up and running. 7 total predicts, which is about what you'd expect for a weekend almost completely void of new releases. 28.42% Ratio (which is the ratio between our median predict and the standard deviation of our predicts, its sort of a measure of how confident we are in our prediction. The lower it is, the narrower the range of our predicts, and the bigger it is, the wider that range) is pretty low for something this small, usually its more like 35-40%. Miss Peregrine was 26.71% and the ratio typically shrinks as the expected BO rises (Suicide Squad, for example was 12.44%). Incarnate Mean: 2.4M Median: 2.5M StnDev: 0.71M (revised StnDev: 0.71M) Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 28.42% High: 3.2M Low: 1.3M BO.com 2.5M Deadline 4M MovieWeb 1.6M ShowBuzzDaily Variety 4.5M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Incarnate Prediction: 2.5M +/-0.71M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 2.66M (off by 0.2M, so 0.23 stndev) Nice job! Darn good predict! And we tied with BO.com for the best predict among the sites, too. Clearly the long layoff was put to good analytical use. Closest predict was me at 2.8M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
