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BOT User Tracking 11/9-11/11 Miss Sloane (wide), Office Christmas Party

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And with this week,








one week closer to being real. At least its better than last week. That was kind of silly.


Please provide your 11/7 - 11/9 Opening Weekend predicts for, 


Miss Sloane (wide)

Office Christmas Party


Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward.

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Alright, two weeks in a row and still on track. Just in time for next week when everyone will care again ;).


For the time being, things are still quiet. 10 predicts for OCP and 6 for Miss Sloane.


Miss Sloan (wide)

Mean: 2.2M

Median: 2.044M

StnDev: 0.94M (revised StnDev: 0.94M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 45.97%

High: 4M

Low: 1.5M


BO.com 2M

Deadline 3.7M

MovieWeb 3.8M


Variety 5M


Office Christmas Party

Mean: 15.8M

Median: 15M

StnDev: 2.74M (revised StnDev: 2.74M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 18.26%

High: 21M

Low: 12M


BO.com 17M

Deadline 14M

MovieWeb 13.8M


Variety 14M

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Miss Sloane

Prediction: 2.044M +/-0.94M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 1.845M (off by 0.2M, so 0.21 stndev)

Nice job! Darn good predict! Nice to be able to say that two weeks in a row. And we were the second best predict after BO.com (who predicted a flat 2M. No one else was close). Best predict was by me at 1.8M.



Office Christmas Party

Prediction: 15M +/-2.74M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 16.89M (off by 1.89M, so 0.69 stndev)

Not great, but not bad either and is much better than the 1.0 threshold for being a "good" predict (lower is better). Best predict was me again at 16.5M.

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