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STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI | 712.4 M overseas ● 1332.5 M worldwide

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T-2

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8 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Will be interesting to see whether TLJ ends up O/U Jurassic World ($1,671,713,208).

 

Lower overseas, that's for sure. Americans love Star Wars too much.

Edited by IronJimbo
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The fall from TFA to RO was pretty much in the same line of 50-60% in all markets. If that is any indication, looking at the early SK numbers, we could see a 40-45% drop from TFA for TLJ. That would mean a final OS total between 600-680m. Let's say some territories will fare better so maybe 750m max. Only a guess, but I wouldn't be surprised if it came in under 700m OS.

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43 minutes ago, James said:

The fall from TFA to RO was pretty much in the same line of 50-60% in all markets. If that is any indication, looking at the early SK numbers, we could see a 40-45% drop from TFA for TLJ. That would mean a final OS total between 600-680m. Let's say some territories will fare better so maybe 750m max. Only a guess, but I wouldn't be surprised if it came in under 700m OS.

Under 800M!? Impossible 

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11 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Under 800M!? Impossible 

Never say never. Episode II fell a 32% OS relative to Phantom Menace. That drop would mean $780m for TLJ. IMO, the drop OS will be deeper than DOM.

Edited by peludo
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Can't see it doing less than $700M OS.

 

Dom $850M

OS $800M+

$1,65B+

 

With the biggest countries being UK ($120M/-27% (I still do not know which number is correct, BOM $163M)), Germany ($85M/-24%), China ($80M/-36%), Japan ($65M/-34%), France ($60M/-32%) and Australia ($55M/-18%). I think some of these could be conservative. I trust in the power of the force! :)

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1 hour ago, James said:

The fall from TFA to RO was pretty much in the same line of 50-60% in all markets. If that is any indication, looking at the early SK numbers, we could see a 40-45% drop from TFA for TLJ. That would mean a final OS total between 600-680m. Let's say some territories will fare better so maybe 750m max. Only a guess, but I wouldn't be surprised if it came in under 700m OS.

An OS of $600 million and Dom of $600 million will result in a worldwide total of $1.2 billion. I could see it as the worst case scenario. But I don't see it getting that low. That figure is even lower than BatB and Furious 8. Realistic scenario is $750 million OS + $650 Domestic for a total of $1.4 billion. Even that figure is quite a drastic downgrade from TFA (32% drop). 

Edited by UserHN
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6 minutes ago, UserHN said:

An OS of $600 million and Dom of $600 million will result in a worldwide total of $1.2 billion. I could see it as the worst case scenario. But I don't see it getting that low. That figure is even lower than BatB and Furious 8. Realistic scenario is $750 million OS + $650 Domestic for a total of $1.4 billion. Even that figure is quite a drastic downgrade from TFA (32% drop). 

It would also be lower than DM3's 768m OS

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