STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI | 712.4 M overseas ● 1332.5 M worldwide

[Olive]

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio*  Filter A24 ADC Annapurna Aviron BG BH Tilt BST BV CLF Electric ENTMP Fathom Focus Fox FoxS LG/S LGF Neon ORF Par. PFR PNT Purd. RAtt. SGem Sony SPC STX TriS Uni. WB WB (NL) Wein. ALL	Worldwide	Domestic / %		Overseas / %
2	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$1,235.8	$225.8	18.3%	$1,010.0	81.7%
5	Wolf Warrior 2	HC	$870.3	$2.7	0.3%	$867.6	99.7%
3	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$1,032.3	$264.5	25.6%	$767.8	74.4%
1	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$1,263.5	$504.0	39.9%	$759.5	60.1%
9	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$794.9	$172.6	21.7%	$622.3	78.3%

 

Will it enter top 3 OS this year?

[peludo]

With yesterday's ER, TFA would have done $1.161b, about $30m more than the original gross (not applying inflation). The biggest markets would be (over $15m):

 

UK: $164.5m (-$19.3m)

China: $123.6m (-$0.5m)

Germany: $120.9m (+$9.5m)

Japan: $104.7m (+$6.9m)

France: $95.3m (+$6.7m)

Australia: $71.0m (+$3.7m)

Spain: $39.4m (+$3.1m)

Brazil: $32.5m (+$4.7m)

Russia: $31.1m (+$5.1m)

Italy: $30.4m (+$2.1m)

South Korea: $26.3m (+$2.2m)

Mexico: $24.1m (+$3.1m)

Sweden: $21.5m (+$0.1m)

Poland: $18.4m (+$1.8m)

Netherlands: $16.9m (+$1.2m)

Edited December 13, 2017 by peludo

[Fullbuster]

1 hour ago, Olive Skywalker said:

The drops in China and SK are gonna be huge, will decrease 50M+ from those two markets

 

What? Even in China?

[Giesi]

5 minutes ago, peludo said:

With yesterday's ER, TFA would have done $1.161b, about $30m more than the original gross (not applying inflation). The biggest markets would be (over $15m):

 

UK: $146.5m (-$17.1m)

China: $123.6m (-$0.5m)

Germany: $120.9m (+$9.5m)

Japan: $104.7m (+$6.9m)

France: $95.3m (+$6.7m)

Australia: $71.0m (+$3.7m)

Spain: $39.4m (+$3.1m)

Brazil: $32.5m (+$4.7m)

Russia: $31.1m (+$5.1m)

Italy: $30.4m (+$2.1m)

South Korea: $26.3m (+$2.2m)

Mexico: $24.1m (+$3.1m)

Sweden: $21.5m (+$0.1m)

Poland: $18.4m (+$1.8m)

Netherlands: $16.9m (+$1.2m)

I‘m sure TFA finished with over $180M in the UK, they just took the ER from summer 2016 when the movie reopened in a few cinemas for the whole boxoffice run, which is ridiculous.

[Fullbuster]

8 minutes ago, peludo said:

With yesterday's ER, TFA would have done $1.161b, about $30m more than the original gross (not applying inflation). The biggest markets would be (over $15m):

 

UK: $146.5m (-$17.1m)

China: $123.6m (-$0.5m)

Germany: $120.9m (+$9.5m)

Japan: $104.7m (+$6.9m)

France: $95.3m (+$6.7m)

Australia: $71.0m (+$3.7m)

Spain: $39.4m (+$3.1m)

Brazil: $32.5m (+$4.7m)

Russia: $31.1m (+$5.1m)

Italy: $30.4m (+$2.1m)

South Korea: $26.3m (+$2.2m)

Mexico: $24.1m (+$3.1m)

Sweden: $21.5m (+$0.1m)

Poland: $18.4m (+$1.8m)

Netherlands: $16.9m (+$1.2m)

 

Great post, thanks

[peludo]

16 minutes ago, Giesi said:

I‘m sure TFA finished with over $180M in the UK, they just took the ER from summer 2016 when the movie reopened in a few cinemas for the whole boxoffice run, which is ridiculous.

You are right. According BFI, TFA grossed 123.2m Pounds that means $183.8m taking the release date ER (0.6702).

 

Applying today ER, those 123.2m Pounds means $164.5m

Edited December 13, 2017 by peludo

[IronJimbo]

Yeah they love Star Wars in the UK.

[Olive]

31 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

What? Even in China?

Yeah, it may be under Rogue One here.

[Fullbuster]

8 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Yeah, it may be under Rogue One here.

 

Wow. If Disney wants Star Wars to be big there they'll need to seriously work on it.

[UserHN]

18 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Yeah they love Star Wars in the UK.

Do you think there will be a huge decline in TLJ's UK box office relative to TFA?

[IronJimbo]

4 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Do you think there will be a huge decline in TLJ's UK box office relative to TFA?

The UK will perform similarly to how USA&Canada will perform. If it drops 20% domestic, it will probably drop 20% in the UK.

 

 

My estimate for TLJ's domestic total is ~$700m.

[Heretic]

A 20% fall in pounds would equate to about $130m in the UK, so a fall of around $50m due to the weaker pound. Pretty big drop, blame Brexit 

 

 

Edited December 13, 2017 by Heretic

[Fullbuster]

lol, is there even one OS market where it could grow over TFA? ^^

[UserHN]

15 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

lol, is there even one OS market where it could grow over TFA? ^^

I think there isn't one. TFA is a once in a lifetime event. The excitement building up to that movie was phenomenal. Although there will be decrease in totals, I think TLJ will still become the top grossing film of 2017, both domestic and worldwide. My prediction is from $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion.  

[Agafin]

I think it clears $800m OS at least. Not sure how further than that it goes though.

[Olive]

700-750m DOM

700-750m OS

1.4-1.5B WW

[John Marston]

21 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

lol, is there even one OS market where it could grow over TFA? ^^

 

 

Probably not. Exchange rates + Force Awakens hype makes it too hard 

[FantasticBeasts]

3 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

Probably not. Exchange rates + Force Awakens hype makes it too hard 

Exchange rates are better today than 2015.

[Fullbuster]

11 minutes ago, UserHN said:

I think there isn't one. TFA is a once in a lifetime event. The excitement building up to that movie was phenomenal. Although there will be decrease in totals, I think TLJ will still become the top grossing film of 2017, both domestic and worldwide. My prediction is from $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion.  

 

I can see Indonesia, India or Vietnam doing it, they're really fast-growing so why not? Brazil could surprise as well, as always.

 

4 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Exchange rates are better today than 2015.

 

Yep. Far better in Brazil that's for sure ^^

[John Marston]

2 hours ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Yeah, it may be under Rogue One here.

 

 

Why?