baumer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: I didn't think legs were ever expected to be as strong. What kind of legs to you anticipate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 #CRUMBLING 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 8 minutes ago, Elessar said: Judging by 2011 numbers i'd say 14 - 14.5m maybe. 2011 doesn't fit here anymore though. Cheap Tuesday is so much bigger now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 Just now, Christmas Baumer said: 2011 doesn't fit here anymore though. Cheap Tuesday is so much bigger now. It is still the best fit since it's the last time holidays fell on the same days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 IMO it staying flat yesterdays could result in a softer Wednesday drop. But even if it does fall 20%+ today doesn't mean that WOM is bad or anything. Next week should see huge grosses regardless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 I can also say that a few theaters around me didn't run cheap Tuesday yesterday. They stopped for this week and next week because of the holiday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 1 minute ago, Elessar said: It is still the best fit since it's the last time holidays fell on the same days. No, it's not. I understand what you are saying but not nearly as many markets in the US and Canada had cheap Tuesday's back then. It's like saying let's compare home runs from a certain player using 2011 as a model. In 2011, that player played for the NY Yankees and hit 45 home runs. He then gets traded to the Blue Jays and then back to the Yankees in 2016. But in 2015, the Yankees increased the size of their ballpark by 100 feet in the outfield, 65 feet in both right and left. Do you really think that player is going to hit the same amount of homeruns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 8 minutes ago, cannastop said: Not sure if it's that high of a percentage. Last year at this time it was under 40% according to other members here and Forbes. I think the exact percentages were 73% this year v. 37% last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 (edited) 14 15.5 ($219 million 7-day) 24 15.5 31 24.5 ($70.5 million 3-day/$95 million 4-day - $314 million 11-day) 23 19.5 21.5 ($378 million 14-day) 26 17 21 13.5 ($64 million 3-day/$77.5 million 4-day - $455 million 18-day) Edited December 21, 2016 by mahnamahna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TommyA10 Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 TFA practically stayed flat on Wednesday (after dropping on Tuesday from its humongous Monday), so why is everybody expecting a massive drop for RO? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 It's going to be funny when this Flys past civil war around jan 2nd or as we debate if this was a big it or not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 This number is far from bad obviously. Maybe not spectacular but pretty much OK. It's just that lots of people had high expectations. 19million was given so easily here yesterday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 1 minute ago, TommyA10 said: TFA practically stayed flat on Wednesday (after dropping on Tuesday from its humongous Monday), so why is everybody expecting a massive drop for RO? That Wednesday was the 23rd, closer to Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said: It's going to be funny when this Flys past civil war around jan 2nd or as we debate if this was a big it or not. Nah, we've already decided that Rogue One is #NOTA... big movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 1 minute ago, Christmas Baumer said: No, it's not. Of course it is. For the next two weeks there is absolutely no better year to compare it to. Cheap tuesdays have less on an effect at that time, also, i believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fast and the Furiosa Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 I would say the daily trends for the weekend will closely match 2011. Trying to predict weekdays is a total crapshoot though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 4 minutes ago, TommyA10 said: TFA practically stayed flat on Wednesday (after dropping on Tuesday from its humongous Monday), so why is everybody expecting a massive drop for RO? Wednesday last year was the 23rd so lots of schools closed on that day, hence the increase from Tuesday. This year, not as many schools will close on Wednesday, cuz it's the 21st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said: What kind of legs to you anticipate? 3.25+ or so to get it somewhere between $505M and $535M. Didn't Force Awakens have something like 3.8 multiplier to get it to $935M+ DOM? I never really expected that. I do expect to it recover from these minor blips in the coming day before after Christmas and the New Year as the number kids out of school increases. Edited December 21, 2016 by JohnnyGossamer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 7 minutes ago, TommyA10 said: TFA practically stayed flat on Wednesday (after dropping on Tuesday from its humongous Monday), so why is everybody expecting a massive drop for RO? Different day in terms of how close it is to Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 I think we need to wait and see how other movies behaved last tuesday. If Tuesday bumps are muted accross the board, then the previews from the 3 wide openers probably had an impact. 7 minutes ago, TommyA10 said: TFA practically stayed flat on Wednesday (after dropping on Tuesday from its humongous Monday), so why is everybody expecting a massive drop for RO? Cause TFA had insane spillover all week round. No way this increases on Wednesday, that was an anomamy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
