Tues #s (Asgard pg 136) R1 22.4 Sing 17.7 Pass 6 Moan 4.6 Ass 3.6 WH 3.4 Fen 3.1 LLL 2.6

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I don't even think it will get a wide release at all now.

It will since it's already getting an ad push. It won't be more than 2,000 theaters, though.

[a2k]

17 minutes ago, RascarCapat said:

I don't get why people are talking about 500M "maybe" being a "possibility" for R1.

 

Tele's model seems to be pretty acurate (at least until friday) and is blowing way past 500M.

 

just as a reminder :

 

12/19    -53.00%    $17,709,211    $172,790,892
12/20    7.00%    $18,948,856    $191,739,747
12/21    -24.00%    $14,401,130    $206,140,878
12/22    8.00%    $15,553,221    $221,694,098
12/23    45.00%    $22,552,170    $244,246,268
12/24    -44.00%    $12,629,215    $256,875,484
12/25    100.00%    $25,258,430    $282,133,914
12/26    15.00%    $29,047,195    $311,181,109
12/27    -25.00%    $21,785,396    $332,966,505
12/28    -19.00%    $17,646,171    $350,612,676
12/29    -2.00%    $17,293,248    $367,905,923
12/30    20.00%    $20,751,897    $388,657,820
12/31    -22.00%    $16,186,480    $404,844,300
1/1    10.00%    $17,805,128    $422,649,428
1/2    -55.00%    $8,012,307    $430,661,735

 

Yeah. I have 100m 4-day for 323 dom by Monday, 26th Dec.

Then 125 in next 7 days (Tue to Mon, 2nd Jan)...close to your 119 in the model.

And 125 after that in rest of the run (adding the same amount as Tue to Mon, in the rest of the run has been a pattern in 2011).

So 223 + 100 4-day + 125 Tue-Mon + 125 3rd-Jan-onward = 573.

Either way, tough to see below 540. O/U 575 seems like it.

Edited December 24, 2016 by a2knet

[Avatree]

46 minutes ago, filmlover said:

With anyone else this movie would've been dumped in September instead of given a prime holiday release spot.

...Where it would have fared an awful lot better.

[Lordmandeep]

Rather Hilarious 

 

 

It just seems RO will sleepwalk its way to becoming the 4th biggest ticket seller of the decade domestically (SW7, JW, TA) 

Edited December 24, 2016 by Lordmandeep

[CelestialFairyIX]

10 hours ago, yjs said:

Maybe I was panicking too early on with the Moana numbers. I thought it started to trail behind TS2 and even Tangled but guess it was more about the different configuration like @DamienRoc said.

Don't worry I was panicking right there with you.  Now that Moana is looking at anything north of TS2's total, the real 'panic' now lies in its poor overseas performance.

[filmlover]

The number for Silence is good but not incredible (the only showing it sold out yesterday at the Arclight was the one that had the Q&A with Andrew Garfield afterwards), but I guess it's hard to ask for it do better when it's been mostly ignored by the guilds (mostly because they didn't see it in time) and the movie had nothing released other than a couple of stills until a few weeks ago. It'll be lucky if it even makes 1/4th as much as The Wolf of Wall Street made in total either way.

[efialtes76]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The number for Silence is good but not incredible (the only showing it sold out yesterday at the Arclight was the one that had the Q&A with Andrew Garfield afterwards), but I guess it's hard to ask for it do better when it's been mostly ignored by the guilds (mostly because they didn't see it in time) and the movie had nothing released other than a couple of stills until a few weeks ago. It'll be lucky if it even makes 1/4th as much as The Wolf of Wall Street made in total either way.

It's weak imo.

A Scorsese's movie with great reviews should do much better.

Edited December 24, 2016 by efialtes76

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

It's weak imo.

A Scorsese's movie with great reviews should do much better.

It'll likely do better from Christmas Day on (since it's such a long film) but those who thought it could be this year's The Revenant should really lower their expectations by a ton now.

[robertman2]

20 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Rather Hilarious 

 

 

It just seems RO will sleepwalk its way to becoming the 4th biggest ticket seller of the decade domestically (SW7, JW, TA) 

#notanevent

[yjs]

15 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

Don't worry I was panicking right there with you.  Now that Moana is looking at anything north of TS2's total, the real 'panic' now lies in its poor overseas performance.

at this point I'd be happy if it manages to go over $600M WW but I'm not even sure anymore. got a hunch that it might not do well in Korea either.  

[EmpireCity]

Why Him definitely came in above the $3.8m estimate, closer to $3.9m or nearly $4m so that is encouraging the late shows are playing better.  

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, Christmas Baumer said:

Sorry but this post is way off base. Passengers is not going to be a domestic flop. If the budget was 120 million dollars as reported it's definitely going to come close to making that. When you make back your budget domestically it's not a flop. It's definitely not a hit but it's not going to be one of the biggest flops of the year. That is just silly.

 

I don't see Passengers getting to $80m, nevermind $120m. 

 

Budget was $110m. 

[Alli]

47 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

It also wouldn't have had $110m budget and months of costly worldwide promotion

Exactly. the stars of the movie wouldn't have been paid 20M.

[efialtes76]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It'll likely do better from Christmas Day on (since it's such a long film) but those who thought it could be this year's The Revenant should really lower their expectations by a ton now.

The Revenant was mainstream and Silence is underground imo.

[EmpireCity]

Just now, efialtes76 said:

The Revenant was mainstream and Silence is underground imo.

 

Correct.  Silence has very little commercial appeal and will be lucky to make $40m total.  Like I said before, it makes The Revenant look like a fun and rollicking action adventure movie.  

 

If there was a hope of something being The Revenant, that would have been Patriot's Day or Live By Night, but neither of those is likely to happen.  

[terrestrial]

Scott Mendelson ‏@ScottMendelson  49s49 seconds ago

Friday #BoxOffice: #RogueOne Drops 67%, Snags Forceful $22M For $244M Cume via @Forbes by @ScottMendelson #StarWars

 

Quote

So we're probably going to see a $71 million second weekend (-55%), a $109m Fri-Mon cume, and a still-obscene $332m 11-day total for the Walt Disney blockbuster.

 

Quote

f it plays like I Am Legend from here on out, it still gets over the $500m mark. Depending on how far it goes, it could well sell more tickets than the last two Star Wars prequels (Attack of the Clones and Revenge of the Sith).

 

Edited December 24, 2016 by terrestrial

[La Binoche]

I doubt Passengers cost $110M. The reality is probably closer to $150M. And JLaw gets 30% of the profit ? Sony must be so pissed that they threw all that money at her. 

[Alli]

So on top of the 20M she gets part of the profit too?

[EmpireCity]

4 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

I doubt Passengers cost $110M. The reality is probably closer to $150M. And JLaw gets 30% of the profit ? Sony must be so pissed that they threw all that money at her. 

 

What profit?

[Ezen Baklattan]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Deadline projections for the limited releases:

 

Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters  /$53k Fri. / 3-day cume: $164k /3-day PTA: $23,5k/$4-day:$242k /Total: $338k/Wk 1

Silence  (PAR), 4 theaters  /$40k Fri. / 3-day cume: $114k /3-day PTA: $28,5K/4-day:$167K/ Wk 1

A Monster Calls  (FOC), 4 theaters  /$7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $22K /3-day PTA: $5,5K/4-day:$33k/Wk 1

A Monster Calls....and no one answers.