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2017 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Pitchslapped!)

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The Good Dinosaur made over $123M, and that was Pixar's weakest film by far. In what universe can Coco fail to make over 100? Just the latinos in the US will be more than enough to make that one a hit, let alone general audiences. Some of the others may not be 100% to make it, but they are very close to it. They have to be total disasters, both critically and with the audiences to not make it. 100m is no longer some kind of barrier. It's actually quite a small amount for major movies nowadays. 

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I still think Ninjago could do $100M+ domestic, TLM did $257M and TLBM is doing $175M-$185M domestic, and past September movies like Cloudy 1 and 2 and the HT series found success in those spots, however it also depends on the performances of CU, Cars3, DM3, and TEM.

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1 Logan Fox $163,724,809 4,071 $88,411,916 4,071 3/3 -
2 The LEGO Batman Movie WB $161,877,968 4,088 $53,003,468 4,088 2/10 -
3 Split Uni. $136,270,035 3,373 $40,010,975 3,038 1/20 -
4 Get Out Uni. $117,828,970 3,143 $33,377,060 2,781 2/24 -
5 Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $113,454,515 3,714 $46,607,250 3,710 2/10

-

 

 

Updated :)

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2 hours ago, PPZVGOS said:

The Good Dinosaur made over $123M, and that was Pixar's weakest film by far. In what universe can Coco fail to make over 100? Just the latinos in the US will be more than enough to make that one a hit, let alone general audiences. Some of the others may not be 100% to make it, but they are very close to it. They have to be total disasters, both critically and with the audiences to not make it. 100m is no longer some kind of barrier. It's actually quite a small amount for major movies nowadays. 

It's just a label. I made that prediction before the trailer and I'm probably gonna change it now. And even then I was like 99% sure it would do it. TGD also has a more widely appealing concept than Coco. But whatever, I still think it's gonna make it.

 

I've explained enough that I understand all of these are LIKELY to make it. But I also think you're misjudging the ease of $100m. A year ago, everyone was confident that Passengers and The Magnificent Seven would smash and those both failed to hit $100m. Even if just barely, they still missed. And even something like Independence Day barely made it and I saw that in year-end top 5 predictions. It's very ease to fail to connect with audiences. And like you said earlier, people these days only want to put money into films they're sure are gonna be worth it.

 

But still, just my predictions

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Cinema is just better than ever right now. Even though obviously every film isn't going to be a masterpiece or a hit, I seriously feel like I could go to the theatre every week. It's not surprising we're seeing these results early in 2017. Seems like there's something decent for everyone almost every weekend.

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33 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Cinema is just better than ever right now. Even though obviously every film isn't going to be a masterpiece or a hit, I seriously feel like I could go to the theatre every week. It's not surprising we're seeing these results early in 2017. Seems like there's something decent for everyone almost every weekend.

 

I tend to agree. We very often complain about movies being generic/formulaic etc, but in matter of fact, this has always been the case, since the dawn of cinema. Thanks to technology, and the feedback that studios and filmmakers receive via the internet, the film industry is more responsive than ever to popular demands. There may be serious short-comings still (most movies carefully and dutifully tread a pre-described ideological line) but there's a massive quantity of movies out there made to serve most tastes. 

 

Just look at this year. We'll get our new Star Wars, all the superhero movies, the family pictures, the stupid actioners a la F8, a new Blade Runner, a new Alien, lots of horror, the monster movies etc etc...

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1 Logan  Fox      $184,342,562     4,071       $88,411,916 4,071          3/3 -
2 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $174,750,616 4,210 $174,750,616 4,210 3/17 -
3 The LEGO Batman Movie WB $167,325,587 4,088 $53,003,468 4,088 2/10 -
4 Split Uni. $136,864,765 3,373 $40,010,975 3,038 1/20 -
5 Get Out Uni. $133,305,365 3,143 $33,377,060 2,781 2/24 -
6 Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $114,030,075 3,714 $46,607,250 3,710 2/10 -
7 Kong: Skull Island WB $109,107,436 3,846 $61,025,472 3,846 3/10 -

 

 

Updated (waitaminute who is running this thread again?) 

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January-April could have a fairly well-rounded top 10 when all is said and done.

 

Spoiler
  1. Beauty & the Beast: $550 million 
  2. The Fate of the Furious: $270 million 
  3. Logan: $220 million 
  4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $185 million 
  5. Get Out: $175 million 
  6. Kong - Skull Island: $170 million 
  7. Split: $140 million 
  8. Fifty Shades Darker: $115 million 
  9. Power Rangers: $105 million 
  10. John Wick Chapter Two: $90 million 

 

 

 

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57 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

January-April could have a fairly well-rounded top 10 when all is said and done.

 

  Hide contents
  1. Beauty & the Beast: $550 million 
  2. The Fate of the Furious: $270 million 
  3. Logan: $220 million 
  4. The LEGO Batman Movie: $185 million 
  5. Get Out: $175 million 
  6. Kong - Skull Island: $170 million 
  7. Split: $140 million 
  8. Fifty Shades Darker: $115 million 
  9. Power Rangers: $105 million 
  10. John Wick Chapter Two: $90 million 

 

 

 

 

Fairly confident that The Boss Baby will probably outgross John Wick 2, as sad as that may be, so the whole top 10 could be 100M+ grossers :) (...and maybe Ghost In The Shell could break out too...)

 

To be fair, while I enjoyed the absolute madness of the runs of Deadpool/Zootopia/Jungle Book (and the madness of BVS's drops), having a lot more 100M+/200M+ mid range hits early on, leaving the trail for the upcoming big ones to demolish while still having the small ones do good business, shows a lot greater BO balance. And again, you still get a nutcase run w/BATB, while other films such as Split or Get Out do behemoth business in their own small scale, sleeper hit way. A lot more fun that way.

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14 minutes ago, Durden said:

Why so many people believed in Lego Batman making +300m ?

 

I'll tell why I believed in it: cause Minions did it (and Summer help or not, Minions sucked as a movie, and it still had bad legs for an animated movie, anyway... I KNOW about the marketing campaign being the #1 factor, but Lego Batman's also seemed pretty extensive to me); The Lego Movie did 250M despite being an original'ish movie, and this one had the goodwill of the original and the motherfucking BATMAN front and center; cause animation was on steroids in 2016 and there hadn't been a major family film since Sing up until that point (cause Monster Trucks and A Dog's Purpose were sooooo good and beloved... I'll give ADP doing pretty decent numbers, though); and cause the WOM on both Lego Movie and this one was good enough for that.

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1    Beauty and the Beast (2017)     BV     $319,032,604   4,210    $174,750,616      4,210      3/17 -
2 Logan Fox $201,644,986 4,071 $88,411,916 4,071 3/3 -
3 The LEGO Batman Movie WB $170,972,203 4,088 $53,003,468 4,088 2/10 -
4 Get Out Uni. $147,669,880 3,143 $33,377,060 2,781 2/24 -
5 Split Uni. $137,255,265 3,373 $40,010,975 3,038 1/20 -
6 Kong: Skull Island WB $133,767,891 3,846 $61,025,472 3,846 3/10 -
7 Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $114,376,885 3,714 $46,607,250 3,710 2/10 -

 

7 down, 26 to go!

 

Edited by zackzack
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We can be sure Power Rangers will also join the club. 8 movies.

It's possible that Boss Baby or Ghost in the Shell cross the mark.

Add Fast 8.

 

10 movies over 100M in the first 4 months. Current record holder 2013 began the year with just 4 movies over 100M.

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1 hour ago, stripe said:

We can be sure Power Rangers will also join the club. 8 movies.

It's possible that Boss Baby or Ghost in the Shell cross the mark.

Add Fast 8.

 

10 movies over 100M in the first 4 months. Current record holder 2013 began the year with just 4 movies over 100M.

 

But waitaminute, 2016 has 5 100M grossers before summer : Kungfu Panda 3, Deadpool, Zootopia, Jungle Book, BvS

And 2015 has 7 before summer. Won't that be the record holder?

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32 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

But waitaminute, 2016 has 5 100M grossers before summer : Kungfu Panda 3, Deadpool, Zootopia, Jungle Book, BvS

And 2015 has 7 before summer. Won't that be the record holder?

 

Record holder for most in the total year

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51 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

But waitaminute, 2016 has 5 100M grossers before summer : Kungfu Panda 3, Deadpool, Zootopia, Jungle Book, BvS

And 2015 has 7 before summer. Won't that be the record holder?

 

Most in a full year. 2013 has more than either of those. Even if Passengers is fudged to 100M, 2016 will still have less.

 

2017 has the biggest chance of breaking the record in a long time, though.

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