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Best Picture predictions-2017!

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2 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

the splits started the argo year and every year since then the movie that won best cinematography also won best director. so maybe now the correlation is less "the best director made the best movie" and more "the best director made the prettiest movie"

Likely means Deakins isn’t getting his Oscar this year.

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The Director/Cinematography correlation is coming to an end this year. I don't see how GDT loses Director and don't see how Dunkirk loses Cinematography.

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44 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Director/Cinematography correlation is coming to an end this year. I don't see how GDT loses Director and don't see how Dunkirk loses Cinematography.

You forgot about Deakins.

Edited by KeepItU25071906
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45 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Ain't happening. I'd probably put SOW above it there too.

Yeah, I also think Laustsen have a great chance give the prize. Like Deakens.

 

Hoytema is behind both. 

 

 

p.s. May be first year when I don't have favorites in this category. This three great artist + Rachel Morrison with her perfect work in "Mudbound" (some off-top:

 

Why is Black Panther looks so stunning? Cause Morrison and Hannah Beachler

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Best Picture normally will goes to those movie with great art value, and great crafting skill of philosopher of visual art, with little story...

This is why la la land, manchester by the sea , moonlight get so much hyped among critics and members,for them, great story/plot isn't the most essential part but the way of crafting the visual art.

 

 

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18 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Director/Cinematography correlation is coming to an end this year. I don't see how GDT loses Director and don't see how Dunkirk loses Cinematography.

 

I think Shape takes Cinematography.

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If Deakins loses this it will be to TSOW 

A movie will not win a best director award unless the movie won BP and was an undeniable winner ( The Artist , King's Speech ) or the movie is a technical wonder in every aspect ( Gravity , Life of Pi ) or if you are a god so you achieve both ( Birdman )

This year seems like it will go to the technical player , now if TSOW wins it will also most likely rack up a bunch of other awards too like score , production design etc but most importantly Cinematography because it is one of the most important technical aspects of any movie not to mention a visual wonder like TSOW 

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15 hours ago, BardCrank said:

If Deakins loses this it will be to TSOW 

A movie will not win a best director award unless the movie won BP and was an undeniable winner ( The Artist , King's Speech ) or the movie is a technical wonder in every aspect ( Gravity , Life of Pi ) or if you are a god so you achieve both ( Birdman ) 

Hooper, Hazanavicius and Inarritu the undeniable winners of this decade:whosad:

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After seeing The Post, I'm genuinely surprised by how much of a non-factor it's been this whole awards season for the most part.

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On 2/1/2018 at 10:33 AM, stripe said:

What will be the gross for the BP contenders before nominatios are announced? And after Oscars?

Last year we had 3 movies over 100M, all of these reached the mark after noms.

The average gross for the BP contenders last year was 77M (53M prior to noms)

 

I would say this year could be better BO wise. DOM gross before noms

Dunkirk - 188M

Get Out - 175M

The Post - 48M

The Big Sick - 43M

Darkest Hour - 42M

Lady Bird - 40M

Three Billboards - 34M

Shape of Water - 32M

I, Tonya - 16M

Call Me By Your Name - 9M

 

62M average gross more or less the day noms are announced. Let's see how much more fuel these movies have in the tank after noms.

 

Final grosses

Dunkirk - 188M

Get Out - 175M

The Post - 100M

Lady Bird - 60M

I, Tonya - 60M

Shape of Water - 55M

Darkest Hour - 55M

Three Billboards - 50M

Big Sick - 43M

Call Me By Your Name - 17M

 

Average: 80M

 

Slightly updated, adding I, Tonya and The Big Sick to complete a 10 wide list. 

 

Edited by stripe

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