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George Parr

Tuesday Numbers: Split 2.1M, HF 1.6M, ...

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Here's the full chart:

 

    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Split Universal $2,129,755 +32% 3,199 $666   $81,127,805 12
2 (2) Hidden Figures 20th Century Fox $1,634,816 +43% 3,351 $488   $106,800,960 38
3 (5) A Dog’s Purpose Universal $1,360,520 +50% 3,059 $445   $20,488,165 5
4 (4) La La Land Lionsgate $1,328,978 +41% 3,136 $424   $108,961,783 54
5 (3) Resident Evil: The Final Ch… Sony Pictures $1,273,209 +32% 3,104 $410   $15,841,601 5
6 (6) xXx: Return of Xander Cage Paramount Pictures $849,950 +45% 3,651 $233   $35,275,747 12
7 (9) Gold Weinstein Co. $451,728 +55% 2,166 $209   $4,214,263 5
8 (7) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Walt Disney $449,338 +22% 2,049 $219   $521,017,843 47
9 (8) Sing Universal $401,245 +28% 2,702 $148   $258,313,150 42
10 (10) The Founder Weinstein Co. $314,614 +50% 1,115 $282   $7,958,216 32
11 (11) Lion Weinstein Co. $295,199 +47% 575 $513   $20,214,983 68
12 (13) Monster Trucks Paramount Pictures $268,181 +44% 2,496 $107   $28,666,150 19
13 (12) Patriots Day Lionsgate $253,846 +35% 3,120 $81   $28,747,841 42
14 (14) Moonlight A24 $199,278 +18% 1,104 $181   $18,082,485 103
15 (-) Sleepless Open Road $183,330 +26% 1,055 $174   $18,142,408 19
- (-) Fences Paramount Pictures $179,240 +25% 880 $204   $51,144,798 47
- (15) Moana Walt Disney $173,128 +16% 1,894 $91   $240,493,277 70
- (-) Arrival Paramount Pictures $150,762 +28% 1,221 $123   $97,597,092 82
- (-) Passengers Sony Pictures $110,386 +52% 625 $177   $96,386,632 42
- (-) 20th Century Women A24 $100,911 +26% 650 $155   $4,118,222 38
- (-) Jackie Fox Searchlight $91,716 +35% 508 $181   $12,345,007 61
- (-) Padre No Tan Padre Pantelion Films $81,277 +47% 312 $261   $1,115,413 5
- (-) The Bye Bye Man STX Entertainment $75,500 +32% 1,127 $67   $21,957,246 19
- (-) Silence Paramount Pictures $59,034 +3% 316 $187   $6,524,927 40
- (-) The Resurrection of Gavin S… High Top Releasing $54,284 +48% 879 $62   $2,133,207 12
- (-) Hacksaw Ridge Lionsgate $49,676 +30% 502 $99   $66,037,723 89
- (-) Why Him? 20th Century Fox $39,382 +29% 365 $108   $58,815,894 40
- (-) Fantastic Beasts and Where … Warner Bros. $25,132 +10% 231 $109   $232,190,312 75
- (-) Assassin’s Creed 20th Century Fox $18,916 +17% 210 $90   $54,173,662 42
- (-) Collateral Beauty Warner Bros. $16,383 +33% 203 $81   $30,889,343 47
- (-) Trolls 20th Century Fox $14,861 +5% 231 $64   $152,776,018 89
- (-) Live by Night Warner Bros. $12,014 +40% 163 $74   $10,297,496 38
- (-) Doctor Strange Walt Disney $10,088 +41% 104 $97   $231,657,005 89
- (-) Miss Peregrine’s Home for… 20th Century Fox $1,164 +2% 50 $23   $87,231,035 124
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Holdovers dominate an alright January. January fell short of $1 billion but it's still enough to make it one of the top 5 top grossing Januarys. 

Rogue One led the month with a decent $112.7 million which is well below the $265 million, but still not bad for a spinoff/prequel and should make around $530 million by the end of its run.

In second place, Sing made $105.4 million for the month and it broke My Big Fat Greek Wedding's record for a film to never hit #1! 

Hidden Figures was at third  with $104.8 million for the month. 

In fourth place, the only big hit of the month  Split which has made so far a solid $81.1 million in 16 days, and should make $125 million domestic! 

Rounding out the top five, was musical La La Land with $77.9 million for the month  and should expand to more theaters just in time for Awards season to get into full swing.

Another hit has been so far A Dog's Purpose with a decent $20.4 million five days and should make north of $50 million.

There were some mixed bags as well for the month, Holdover Passengers made $41 million for the month and is near $100 million domestic but is still being considered a disappointment state side but is a big hit overseas so it's tough to say it's a bomb for Sony. Speaking of Sony, two action horror oriented sequels both made lackluster results state side(Resident Evil:The Final Chapter, and Underworld: Blood Wars) which are the lowest grossing of their predecessors stateside but is making some profit overseas.

Another mixed bag is The Bye Bye Man, a horror film that got off to a decent start a few weekends ago and is now just over $20 million. While that's not bad for its small budget, but when you consider other horror films around the beginning of January it's so-so, and the film will make less than $25 million.

As for the bombs, there were quite a few. The first one was XxX:Return Of Xander Cage with a lackluster $35.3 million which has outgrossed State Of The Union, and is making profit overseas it's not enough for another sequel once you consider the $85 million price tag and the P&A costs as well. The long delayed family film Monster Trucks made overall $28.4 million and is falling short of $60 million worldwide thus far, the film should make above $30 milllion domestic but will be considered another disaster for Paramount. 

Holdover Patriot's Day couldn't make any noise either this month with a poor $28.1 million for the month, and should just pass $30 million total but as we've noted that films about tragedies are very tough to market, and same with terrorism related films as well. 

Cop thriller Sleepless also bombed this month with $18.1 million which is much better than Open Road's other films such as Triple 9, and Sabotage. But not enough to be profitable at the end of the day, and even with star power it wouldn't have been a hit either way.

Other Oscar Hopeful, Live By Night bombed heavily with $10.2 million for the month, while the film will be a big bomb for Warner Bros(once you consider its $65 million budget even without the P&A costs added) it won't destroy Ben Affleck's career .

The Weinsteins even had problems this month(well duh no surprise), two films bombed(The Founder and Gold) which both together just make it $11 million combined which is horrible but that's what happens when you dump oscar hopefuls.

So far 2017 is down nearly 8% from last year, and down 5% so far from 2015. But is overall ahead of 2014 by 7%, 2013 by nearly 16%, and 2012 by 15%. Overall 2017 could match 2016's record with the bigger films coming out in March and from then on, things should be smooth sailing for 2017(but we"ll see how February performs).

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1 hour ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Holdovers dominate an alright January. January fell short of $1 billion but it's still enough to make it one of the top 5 top grossing Januarys. 

Rogue One led the month with a decent $112.7 million which is well below the $265 million, but still not bad for a spinoff/prequel and should make around $530 million by the end of its run.

In second place, Sing made $105.4 million for the month and it broke My Big Fat Greek Wedding's record for a film to never hit #1! 

Hidden Figures was at third  with $104.8 million for the month. 

In fourth place, the only big hit of the month  Split which has made so far a solid $81.1 million in 16 days, and should make $125 million domestic! 

Rounding out the top five, was musical La La Land with $77.9 million for the month  and should expand to more theaters just in time for Awards season to get into full swing.

Another hit has been so far A Dog's Purpose with a decent $20.4 million five days and should make north of $50 million.

There were some mixed bags as well for the month, Holdover Passengers made $41 million for the month and is near $100 million domestic but is still being considered a disappointment state side but is a big hit overseas so it's tough to say it's a bomb for Sony. Speaking of Sony, two action horror oriented sequels both made lackluster results state side(Resident Evil:The Final Chapter, and Underworld: Blood Wars) which are the lowest grossing of their predecessors stateside but is making some profit overseas.

Another mixed bag is The Bye Bye Man, a horror film that got off to a decent start a few weekends ago and is now just over $20 million. While that's not bad for its small budget, but when you consider other horror films around the beginning of January it's so-so, and the film will make less than $25 million.

As for the bombs, there were quite a few. The first one was XxX:Return Of Xander Cage with a lackluster $35.3 million which has outgrossed State Of The Union, and is making profit overseas it's not enough for another sequel once you consider the $85 million price tag and the P&A costs as well. The long delayed family film Monster Trucks made overall $28.4 million and is falling short of $60 million worldwide thus far, the film should make above $30 milllion domestic but will be considered another disaster for Paramount. 

Holdover Patriot's Day couldn't make any noise either this month with a poor $28.1 million for the month, and should just pass $30 million total but as we've noted that films about tragedies are very tough to market, and same with terrorism related films as well. 

Cop thriller Sleepless also bombed this month with $18.1 million which is much better than Open Road's other films such as Triple 9, and Sabotage. But not enough to be profitable at the end of the day, and even with star power it wouldn't have been a hit either way.

Other Oscar Hopeful, Live By Night bombed heavily with $10.2 million for the month, while the film will be a big bomb for Warner Bros(once you consider its $65 million budget even without the P&A costs added) it won't destroy Ben Affleck's career .

The Weinsteins even had problems this month(well duh no surprise), two films bombed(The Founder and Gold) which both together just make it $11 million combined which is horrible but that's what happens when you dump oscar hopefuls.

So far 2017 is down nearly 8% from last year, and down 5% so far from 2015. But is overall ahead of 2014 by 7%, 2013 by nearly 16%, and 2012 by 15%. Overall 2017 could match 2016's record with the bigger films coming out in March and from then on, things should be smooth sailing for 2017(but we"ll see how February performs).


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Should be noted that the number of movies tracked January 2006 was 187. The number of movies tracked Jan 2017 is 185. (January 1st was the same weekday these years)

Number of movies tracked 2016, 2011, 2005 were: 165, 160, 168 (January 1st these years was a friday)

Who cares?

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24 minutes ago, Mulder said:

I remember when everyone didn't think that Wrath of Han's 100+ prediction would happen for Split. But he was 100% on the money about it

Y'all need to start listening to me on The Mummy over 300M now :redcapes: 

 

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Rogue One is still going to make more than $530M, though, nothing has changed that. It is on course for beating TDK and ending around $538M I think. I would be shocked at $530M given that it's only $9M away from that right now coming off a $5M+ weekend. From a $3.9M weekend, TFA went on to make $15M more, so I'm not sure how you think Rogue One would manage just $10M more after a bigger weekend, especially given the two movies have had nearly identical weekend holds all of January. 

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Good numbers, but nothing shocking or exciting. The old holdoversawards contenders  keep chugging along while the newer releases (except for Split) are sinking fast without having much of an impact.

 

Looking at the local theater for this upcoming weekend RE6 is losing its big AVX screen and being moved to the smaller auditoriums, along with Gold and xXx. Rings is getting a mid sized screen (4th biggest of 9) and The Space Between us is getting one of the smaller one. Split holds on to its AVX screen (400+ seats) while LLL goes from two screens to one, but gets promoted to the other big AVX screen. It's actually more seats since the two screens it had totaled about 350 seats between them.

There's a good chance I'll see LLL one more time on Friday or Saturday evening to see it on a bigger screen in more comfy (and reserved) seats with a big crowd, none of the openers interest me in the slightest.

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