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YourMother

Animation Non-Domination (aka Lego Batman broke my heart) Every animated film excluding DM3 under $225M domestic

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After having my hope and dreams shattered this weekend, I thought of something 2017 may be a very soft year for animated films at the box office at 2016 as a possible family film fatigue (BATB and DM3 doesn't count), the only one I could see doing $300M is Despicable Me 3 and it'll barely get there.

My predictions:

Lego Batman (you failed me) will end with a respectable $170M-$185M total.

Boss Baby will barely do over $100M or breakout slightly and do $135M

Smurfs looks soft and will do about $65M-$80M

Captain Underpants might get hurt because of Wonder Woman and competition and end with $70M-$100M

Cars 3 won't do much over $200M

The Emoji Movie and Ninjago will both do in the $100M-$130M range

The Star will have a small OW but big legs due to Christmas appeal ($100M-$160M)

Coco will definitely do under Moana

Ferdinand will either do Alvin 4 numbers or Ice Age 4 numbers

 

So are you in or out?

IN (Lego Batman betrayed me)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OUT: (Couldn't think of a clever/funny/cringy name for this one)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Why couldn't Lego Batman breakout! Why?!, notice me Senpai @Blankments)

Edited by YourMother
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3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Out, think DM3 should do it.

 

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Out, Illuminati will prevent this from happening.

Wait does DM3 open before or after the 4th of July Holiday?

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Just now, That One Guy said:

 

Before, June 30.

Yeah might have to change it slightly.

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DM 3 got good reception when I saw it's trailer... That was awhile ago though

 

I still think that franchise has lots of appeal though. OUT based off DM 3

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The more and more I think about it DM3 is the only one that could breakout. Now I'm going to do every animated film excluding DM3 under $250M.

Edited by YourMother
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52 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Eh, in. Only question is that third Gru movie.

To be honest I'm kind off surprised you joined but glad.

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Just now, YourMother said:

To be honest I'm kind off surprised you joined but glad.

I guess I'm the new version of the club as well. Only ones left with potential are the two Pixar movies.

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1 minute ago, cannastop said:

I guess I'm the new version of the club as well. Only ones left with potential are the two Pixar movies.

Cars 3 has a bumpy road but doing barely over $200M and I could see Coco doing over $200M but similar to Moana I see Disney put in little marketing effort and JL could hurt it.

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I don't see Cars 3 doing 350 mil even under the most ideal circumstance. Coco could become a zeitgeisty event for Latino auds and pull an Inside Out but I'm not going to bet on it.

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1 minute ago, YourMother said:

Cars 3 has a bumpy road but doing barely over $200M and I could see Coco doing over $200M but similar to Moana I see Disney put in little marketing effort and JL could hurt it.

I think the Ferdinand the Bull movie could blindside some people. But I see that reaching $200m dom at most.

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Just now, tribefan695 said:

I don't see Cars 3 doing 350 mil even under the most ideal circumstance. Coco could become a zeitgeisty event for Latino auds and pull an Inside Out but I'm not going to bet on it.

You mean $250M I changed the club and excluded DM3. Coco comes down on whether or not Disney markets it.

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1 minute ago, cannastop said:

I think the Ferdinand the Bull movie could blindside some people. But I see that reaching $200m dom at most.

Possibly if it had rave reviews and if (the very unlikely circumstance) Jumanji flops, it could.

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In that case I'm out because I don't want to bet against Coco.

 

Being Disney's best hope for a prestige animated release this year I don't think they're going to let it fall by the wayside. 

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Just now, tribefan695 said:

In that case I'm out because I don't want to bet against Coco.

 

Being Disney's best hope for a prestige animated release this year I don't think they're going to let it fall by the wayside. 

Do you think they let Moana fall by the wayside?

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