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YourMother the Edgelord

Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

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12 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Solo over IW? Really? I give it like a 10% chance. Can see it beating DP2 if it's well received. Can't see it beating the other 3. 

Well a SW spin off made more than any marvel movie except the first avengers. I think that team up movies will continue to have big opening weekends but shit legs with a low totals, if you can call 400m low. 

But all this is just speculation that could turn out to be way off seeing as we don’t even have trailers for these movies. 

Edited by famekillss
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But lest we forget that Rogue One had the Christmas/holiday release to help its legs. And before anyone comes with the fallacy that "movies can have just as good legs in the Summer", that is, well, a fallacy like I called it. SOME movies can have just as good legs in the Summer, but not all of them. And I really don't think Rogue One is one of those movies. I can bet you all the money in the world that Passengers wouldn't have made 100M DOM, Assassin's Creed wouldn't have made 50M DOM, Why Him? wouldn't have done 60M+ DOM (more than any non-Girls Trip or Hitman's Bodyguard comedy from 2017), and RO would've stalled at around 450-470M DOM and not 530M if they didn't have a Christmas release.

 

Solo doesn't have that boost, AND it's arguably less anticipated than Rogue One was (yes, Solo does have far more recognizable characters, but right now I don't feel any buzz to it; while at least movie fandom was definitely mostly curious about RO). Yes, Solo will surely do over 300M DOM and maybe 800M+ WW, but I'm not sure if it'll even cross 400M at this point, given the fierce competition it has to face (assuming it doesn't move from Memorial Day) and the lack of pure excitement compared to the previous Star Wars Anthology film.

 

On the other hand, Infinity War, shit legs post-OW or not, is a lock to cross 400M DOM. I know everyone's like "oh Civil War dropped from Ultron", but while it was an Avengers movie in soul, it didn't carry that name officially.... I mean, say what you will, but the official title was still Captain America, and some less informed members of the GA just won't be as excited for a Captain America movie - albeit one that has the Avengers in it - than an official Avengers movie. Nobody can convince me that the Captain America title had nothing to do it. Of course it would always be a frontloaded movie - slow 1st hour, requires watching like 7 other movies or something like that and takes itself more seriously than the average MCU film - but I doubt natural frontloadedness is the lone cause for CW's big drop from Ultron. I think actually being called Avengers this time around and (what I can only presume) being marketed as the end of an era will give it greater appeal. Also, the Guardians of the Galaxy's presence will be helpful, and no, audience overlap is hardly an issue when ~50% of GOTG's demographic is female and pretty much every other MCU movie skewed strongly male (including both Avengers flicks and Civil War).

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On 5/17/2017 at 5:25 AM, ZeeSoh said:

1.) Han Solo - 505M

2.) Jurassic World 2 - 495M

3.) Infinity War - 475M

4.) Incredibles 2 - 450M

5.) Deadpool 2 - 385M

6.) Black Panther - 310M

7.) Mulan - 275M 

8.) Aquaman - 270M

9.) Fantastic Beasts 2 - 235M

10.) Ant Man and The Wasp - 215M

 

 

1.) Jurassic World 2 - 495M

2.) Infinity War - 485M

3.) Incredibles 2 - 450M

4.) Han Solo - 435M

5.) Deadpool 2 - 385M

6.) Black Panther - 310M

7.) Aquaman - 300M

8.) A Wrinkle in Time - 275M

9.) Mary Poppins Returns - 250M

10.) Fantastic Beasts 2 - 235M

 

Upgraded Infinity War by about 10 million. Upgraded Aquabro to 300m. I like him best so far from the trailers and I think he will impress in JL. Plus with holiday legs it should get him there

 

Downgraded Solo. Can't see him be at Rogue One level unless the trailer knocks it out of the park and the hype builds

 

Mulan and Ant Man is out and a wrinkle in time and Mary Poppins is in. No changes otherwise. Not sure what Grinch will do yet so havent included it

Edited by ZeeSoh

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For some reason I'm getting a sneaky suspicion that A Wrinkle in Time could end up being Tomorrowland 2.0.

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On 28/6/2017 at 11:06 AM, bruchav said:

1.  Jurassic World 2 - 198/550

2.  Han Solo - 165/470

3.  Incredibles 2 - 115/440

4.  Avengers: Infinity War - 195/435

5.  Deadpool 2 - 142/360

6.  Black Panther - 120/300

7.  Aquaman - 90/280

8.  Mulan - 85/270

9.  Ready Player One - 70/230

10. Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them 2- 80/210

 

1. Jurassic World 2 - 198/520

2. Avengers: Infinity War - 195/445  

3. Han Solo - 140/410  

4. Incredibles 2 - 110/400

5. Deadpool 2 - 142/360

6. Black Panther - 120/310

7. Aquaman - 95/310

8. Mary Poppins Returns  - 75/240

9. Ready Player One - 75/230

10.Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them 2- 80/210

Edited by bruchav

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3 minutes ago, bruchav said:

8. Mary Poppins Returns  - 75/240

That opening number isn't happening when it's opening on a Tuesday.

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11 minutes ago, filmlover said:

That opening number isn't happening when it's opening on a Tuesday.

He could be referring to the 5 day.

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Spoiler
  1. Avengers - Infinity War: $210 million/$485 million
  2. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $185 million/$470 million 
  3. The Incredibles 2: $120 million/$430 million 
  4. Solo - A Star Wars Story: $170 million/$410 million 
  5. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $90 million/$395 million 
  6. Black Panther: $125 million/$345 million 
  7. Deadpool 2: $120 million/$305 million 
  8. Aquaman: $70 million/$285 million 
  9. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2: $90 million/$245 million 
  10. Mary Poppins Returns: $40 million/$225 million 
  11. Ready Player One: $75 million/$220 million 
  12. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $65 million/$195 million 
  13. Ocean's Eight: $45 million/$190 million 
  14. Ralph Breaks the Internet - Wreck-it Ralph 2: $45 million/$175 million 
  15. Scarface: $65 million/$160 million 

 

 

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Deadpool significantly decreases from the first.

 

BP does 350m+

 

Aquaman does 365M

 

Han Solo and Incredibles miss the 400M mark

 

IW is extremely frontloaded and caps off at 450M. 

 

JW ends at TDKR numbers.

 

Fantastic Beasts breaks 300M

 

The end :) 

 

 

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1. A Star Wars Story: Han Solo 480m

2. Jurassic World 2 475m

3. Avengers: Infifty Wars 460m

4. Incredibles 2 380m

5. Black Panther 340m

6. Deadpool 2 320m

7. Marry Poppins 300m

8. Fantastic Beast 240m

9.   Aqua man 230m

10.  Ant Man and the Wasp 220m

Edited by Dexter of Suburbia

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01. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 505M
02. Avengers: Infinity War - 478M
03. Solo: A Star Wars Story - 425M
04. The Incredibles 2 - 415M
05. Black Panther - 345M
06. Deadpool 2 - 310M
07. The Grinch - 250M
08. Aquaman - 245M
09. Marry Poppins - 240M
10. Mission: Impossible 6 - 225M

 

I find the holiday releases in 2018 extremely hard to predict. A lot of them scream like solid hits in the 180-260M range, but i dont think anything there has a chance to go 350M+ at the moment.

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I have a feeeling solo will do 400 or so million but not as much as rogue one.

 

 

They can throw in darth vader if they want 500 million.

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  1. Jurassic World 2: $185m / $520m
  2. Infinity War: $205m / $500m
  3. The Incredibles 2: $140m / $450m
  4. Solo: A Star Wars Story: $175m / $420m
  5. The Grinch: $95m / $350m
  6. Deadpool 2: $125m / $325m
  7. Black Panther: $107m / $305m
  8. Aquaman: $93m / $300m
  9. Mary Poppins Returns: $55m / $275m
  10. Ready Player One: $68m / $250m

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I'm amazed that there are people who think that Han Solo will make more money than Jurassic World 2.:hahaha:.

 

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50 minutes ago, bruchav said:

I'm amazed that there are people who think that Han Solo will make more money than Jurassic World 2.:hahaha:.

 

Yeah....

 

I don’t think Han Solo will beat Jurassic World 2 either.....but they’ll both be huge on their own.

 

I could see each blockbuster coexist fine.

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2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if Incredibles 2 is 2018’s top film.

Me neither. Incredibles 2 has lots of things going for it. It’s actually the most anticipated Pixar-sequel in years.

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6 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if Incredibles 2 is 2018’s top film.

I would. 

Basically Finding Dory is the ceiling for it. Finding Nemo was like x100 bigger than The Incredibles.

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