Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

[YM!]

16 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

Incredibles 2 is being overpredicted by everyone because it's the sequel they wanted. It's not necessarily the sequel families wanted.

 

 

Dory was also claimed overpredicted here. Most predicting in the $375M-$400M range like TI2. WIR2 would have been the most recent toon doing $175M-$220M, and Peter Rabbit doing $100M-$200M, and with no Illumination film, and the success of recent superhero movies I could see a breakout. Realistically the lowest point TI2 could hit would be $350M, highest $500M. 

Edited March 11, 2017 by YourMother

[AniNate]

5 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Dory was also claimed overpredicted here. Most predicting in the $375M-$400M range like TI2. WIR2 would have been the most recent toon doing $175M-$220M, and Peter Rabbit doing $100M-$200M, and with no Illumination film, I could see a breakout. Realistically the lowest point TI2 could hit would be $350M, highest $500M

 

Finding Dory's gross pretty much matched Finding Nemo's adjusted first run; Incredibles adjusts to about $360 million. I can see low 400s for I2 (ie around Toy Story 3) under ideal circumstances but I don't think it's going to challenge the popularity of Nemo/Dory.

 

 

Edited March 11, 2017 by tribefan695

[YM!]

9 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

 

Finding Dory's gross pretty much matched Finding Nemo's adjusted total. Incredibles adjusts to about $360 million. I can see low 400s for I2 (ie around Toy Story 3) under ideal circumstances but I don't think it's going to challenge the popularity of Nemo/Dory.

Realistically, I think it could breakout but low $400Ms or $350M-$385M wouldn't surprise me. I think animated films in 2018 will rebound from this year which looks like the only animated film over $250M domestic is DM3 (and maybe Coco). TI2 will do anywhere from $350M-$525M,  Grinch will do Sing numbers minimum and if special maybe $400M+, Gigantic looks to be weak though but make cash at around $150M-$200M, WIR2 like most animated sequels at the states will either have a performance like TS2/DM2 ($200M-$250M) or a TLBM/HTTYD2/KFP2 ($160M-$180M) in the states. Smallfoot hopefully should squeak by $100M. Animated Spider Man should do over $200M thanks to holiday legs. HT3 and Peter Rabbit should gross in the $110M-$180M range. Scooby Doo could be a dark horse and do $200M+, but I'm thinking either HT1 or HT2 numbers.

Edited March 11, 2017 by YourMother

[commonsense88]

2018 is ridiculous, there are about 25 blockbusters coming out,2016 only had 13 movies gross above 200 mil domestic, lot of movies are going to loose money.

[YM!]

1.) Amusement Park $350M OW/$1B (obviously a joke)

1.) Infinity War $200M/$505M

2.) Incredibles 2 $145M/$500M

3.) Jurassic World 2: The squeakquel $190M/$475M

4.) Han Solo $130M/$400M

5.) Dead2ool $150M/$400M

6.) Black Panther $120M/$360M

7.) Aquaman $100M/$330M

8.) Grinch $80M/$310M

9.) Ready Player One/Mulan $90M/$275M

10.) New Mutants $105M/$260M

11.) Fantastic Beasts 2/Mortal Engines/Animated Spider-Man $85M ($35M OW/$55M 5-Day)/$250M

12.) Dumbo (might be 8/3/17) $65M/$220M

13.) Ant Man and The Wasp $75M/$210M

14.) Mission Impossible 6/Alita: Battle Angel/Wreck It Ralph 2 $65M/$200M

15.) Hotel Transylvania 3 $55M/$180M

16.) S.C.O.O.B/Gigantic ($40M OW/$60M 5 Day) $55M/$175M

16.) Venom $75M/$175M

17.) Rampage/Wrinkle In Time $55M/$160M

18.) Bumblebee $65M/$150M

19.) Fifty Shades Freed $45M/$130M

20) The Invisible Man/Robin Hood/The Pact/Watson and Holmes/Predator $45M/$120M

21.) Peter Rabbit $35M/$110M

22.) Jungle Book Origins/Goosebumps 2/Amusement Park $30M/$105M

23.) Smallfoot $28M/$100M

24.) Maze Runner: The Death Cure/Pacific Rim 2 $35M/$85M

 

 

Updated once again.

Edited April 15, 2017 by YourMother

[chrisman0606]

@YourMother I would not do one for Deadpool 2 as although I will be released in 2018, not official release date has been set.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, chrisman0606 said:

@YourMother I would not do one for Deadpool 2 as although I will be released in 2018, not official release date has been set.

Fox has 3 placeholders for Fox/Marvel superhero films next year:

March 2018, June 2018, and November 2018.

Besides these are predictions, Avatar 2 got pushed back (again) and people revised their predictions.

[That One Girl]

I've been constantly updating my list with release date shit and all that but here's my list bumped to the front of the page

 

1. Avengers: Infinity War - 225/511
2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 195/487
3. Solo: A Star Wars Story - 168/444
4. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 105/413
5. Black Panther - 144/389
6. The Incredibles 2 - 105/371
7. Mortal Engines - 80/329
8. Deadpool 2 - 128/328
9. A Wrinkle in Time - 85/277
10. Aquaman - 59/235
11. Ready Player One - 80/232
12. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 82/216
13. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - 68/190
14. First Man - 34/187
15. Mary Poppins Returns - 30/180
16. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 42/179
17. Ocean's 8 - 56/167
18. Mission: Impossible 6 - 54/167
19. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 45/156
20. Alita: Battle Angel - 55/151
21. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - 50/150
22. Rampage - 60/144
23. Halloween - 46/144
24. Venom - 60/139
25. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 44/139
26. Bohemian Rhapsody - 25/138
27. Predator - 45/124
28. The New Mutants - 40/108
29. Holmes & Watson - 32/107
30. Dark Phoenix - 44/106
31. A Quiet Place - 38/101
32. Creed 2 - 30/100
33. Paddington 2 - 22/100
34. Mowgli - 35/97
35. Christopher Robin - 30/96
36. The Nun - 33/86
37. Fifty Shades Freed - 35/83
38. Tomb Raider - 34/81
39. Tag - 25/78
40. Peter Rabbit - 24/78
41. A Star is Born - 23/76
42. Red Sparrow - 29/74
43. The 15:17 to Paris - 23/74
44. Purge 4 - 31/71
45. Bad Times at the El Royale - 24/71
46. Overlord - 23/70
47. Skyscraper - 25/69
48. The Meg - 30/68
49. Night School - 25/68
50. Sicario 2: Soldado - 20/68
51. The Darkest Minds - 26/66
52. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 24/65
53. Truth or Dare - 23/65
54. Barbie - 19/65
55. Game Night - 23/64
56. Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - 21/64
57. The Spy Who Dumped Me - 20/64
58. Smallfoot - 20/64
59. Scarface - 19/64
60. Bumblebee - 19/64
61. Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 24/62
62. Love, Simon - 18/61
63. Action Point - 23/58
64. Slenderman - 28/56
65. 2018 Cloverfield - 20/56
66. Widows - 16/56
67. Annihilation - 20/50
68. Insidious: The Last Key - 21/48
69. The House with a Clock in its Walls - 15/48
70. Robert Zemeckis Project - 13/48
71. Blockers - 18/47
72. The Commuter - 18/46
73. Fighting With My Family - 16/46
74. Nasty Women - 14/45
75. Hellfest - 21/44
76. Acrimony - 18/44
77. Early Man - 14/43
78. Goosebumps 2 - 13/43
79. Pacific Rim Uprising - 17/42
80. Life of the Party - 16/42
81. Sherlock Gnomes - 13/42
82. I Feel Pretty - 16/40
83. The Girl in the Spider's Web - 15/39
84. Uncle Drew - 14/39
85. Equalizer 2 - 15/38
86. Robin Hood - 17/37
87. The Happytime Murders - 13/37
88. 12 Strong - 12/37
89. Sherlock Gnomes - 12/35
90. The Kid Who Would be King - 13/33
91. Alpha - 12/33
92. White Boy Rick - 12/33
93. Proud Mary - 13/32
94. Paul, Apostle of Christ - 8/32
95. Valley Girl - 9/29
96. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies - 10/28
97. Unsane - 9/28
98. Death Wish - 11/27
99. The Hurricane Heist - 11/27
100. The Upside - 10/27
101. Strangers: Prey at Night - 12/26
102. Gringo - 9/25
103. Crazy Rich Asians - 9/23
104. Winchester: The House That Ghosts Built - 9/23
105. Den of Thieves - 9/23
106. Overboard - 8/21
107. God's Not Dead: A Light in Darkness - 7/20
108. Traffik - 8/19
109. Chappaquiddick - 7/19
110. The War with Grandpa - 6/18
111. Every Day - 6/16
112. Captive State - 6/15
113. Cadaver - 7/14
114. Kin - 6/14
115. Tully - 5/14
116. Samson - 4/14
117. The Little Stranger - 4/11
118. Duck Duck Goose - 4/10
119. Super Troopers 2 - 4/9
120. Three Seconds - 3/7
121. Forever My Girl - 2/4.5
122. Midnight Sun - 2/4

Edited December 21, 2017 by That One Guy

[m3racer123]

1 hour ago, YourMother said:

1.) Amusement Park $350M OW/$1B (obviously a joke)

1.) Infinity War $200M/$505M

2.) Incredibles 2 $145M/$500M

3.) Jurassic World 2: The squeakquel $190M/$475M

4.) Han Solo $130M/$400M

5.) Dead2ool $150M/$400M

6.) Black Panther $120M/$360M

7.) Aquaman $100M/$330M

8.) Grinch $60M/$300M

9.) Ready Player One/Mulan $90M/$275M

10.) New Mutants $105M/$260M

11.) Fantastic Beasts 2/Mortal Engines/Animated Spider-Man $85M ($35M OW/$55M 5-Day)/$250M

12.) Dumbo (might be 8/3/17) $65M/$220M

13.) Ant Man and The Wasp $75M/$210M

14.) Mission Impossible 6/Alita: Battle Angel/Wreck It Ralph 2 $65M/$200M

15.) Hotel Transylvania 3 $55M/$180M

16.) S.C.O.O.B/Gigantic $55M/$175M

16.) Venom $75M/$175M

17.) Rampage/Wrinkle In Time $55M/$160M

18.) Bumblebee $65M/$150M

19.) Fifty Shades Freed $45M/$140M

20) The Invisible Man/Robin Hood/The Pact/Watson and Holmes/Predator $45M/$120M

21.) Peter Rabbit $35M/$110M

22.) Jungle Book Origins/Goosebumps 2/Amusement Park $30M/$105M

23.) Smallfoot $28M/$100M

24.) Fifty Shades Freed $45M/$90M

25.) Maze Runner: The Death Cure/Pacific Rim 2 $35M/$85M

 

 

Updated once again.

 

Good list, mostly agree but some of your superhero multipliers are too high. Aquaman won't make 3.3x its OW and Dead2ool/Black Panther are ambitious. Also you have 50 Shades Freed twice - I'm assuming the one at #19 should be a different movie!

[YM!]

1 minute ago, m3racer123 said:

 

Good list, mostly agree but some of your superhero multipliers are too high. Aquaman won't make 3.3x its OW and Dead2ool/Black Panther are ambitious. Also you have 50 Shades Freed twice - I'm assuming the one at #19 should be a different movie!

I'll fix the 50SF, Black Panther and Dead2ool I admit are ambitious but crazier things have happened, and Aquaman now opens in the holiday season.

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, That One Guy said:

9. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

More like half of that.

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

More like half of that.

Christmas legs. Thinking a $40M/$200M run seems fair especially considering Miles Morales is the Spider-Man, in fact I see Gigantic likely doing under $200M.

[m3racer123]

3 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I'll fix the 50SF, Black Panther and Dead2ool I admit are ambitious but crazier things have happened, and Aquaman now opens in the holiday season.

 

Ah that release date change slipped past my radar, interesting. Would this be the first big superhero movie to open that close to Christmas? (assuming it doesn't move again)

[YM!]

Just now, m3racer123 said:

 

Ah that release date change slipped past my radar, interesting. Would this be the first big superhero movie to open that close to Christmas? (assuming it doesn't move again)

It would be. Heard a lot of good things from Cinemacon. 

[m3racer123]

3 minutes ago, YourMother said:

It would be. Heard a lot of good things from Cinemacon. 

 

I've just researched it, will be the first major superhero movie to open in December since Superman in 1978!

[YM!]

Just now, m3racer123 said:

 

I've just researched it, will be the first major superhero movie to open in December since Superman in 1978!

Wow. This could be a breakout.

[m3racer123]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

Wow. This could be a breakout.

Except my definition of 'major' didn't include Flash Gordon and Blade: Trinity

[Arlborn]

3 hours ago, That One Guy said:

I've been constantly updating my list with release date shit and all that but here's my list bumped to the front of the page:

 

1. Han Solo - 190/570

2. Jurassic World 2 - 200/500

3. Avengers: Infinity War - 180/450

4. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 110/440

5. Incredibles 2 - 121/425

6. Deadpool 2 - 145/365

7. Black Panther - 130/315

8. Ready Player One - 100/300

9. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

10. Scooby-Doo - 100/290

11. Mortal Engines - 70/290

12. Mulan - 85/237

13. Alita: Battle Angel - 90/234

14. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 80/210

15. Ocean's 8 - 66/200

16. Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 50/200

17. Venom - 80/184

18. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 65/182

19. First Man - 30/180

20. Mission: Impossible 6 - 50/165

21. Aquaman - 45/158

22. Rampage - 60/156

23. Mary Poppins Returns - 20/155

24. Cruella - 45/150

25. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 45/144

26. Gigantic - 35/140

27. Predator - 50/130

28. Halloween - 40/130

29. Peter Rabbit - 35/122

30. The Pact - 40/120

31. X-Men: Supernova - 45/115

32. Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

33. The New Mutants - 45/108

34. Action Point - 40/100

35. Holmes and Watson - 33/100

36. Bumblebee - 40/96

37. Tomb Raider - 40/90

38. Smallfoot - 25/90

39. Scarface - 20/80

40. Purge 4 - 33/76

41. Fifty Shades Freed - 35/75

42. Invisible Man - 30/72

43. The Nun - 30/70

44. White Boy Rick - 25/75

45. Amusement Park - 20/70

46. Bad Boys for Life - 30/65

47. The Darkest Minds - 25/65

48. Proud Mary - 21/64

49. Skyscraper - 25/63

50. Meg - 25/61

51. Slenderman - 30/60

52. Pacific Rim 2 - 28/60

53. Game Night - 20/60

54. Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

55. Barbie - 19/57

56. Anubis - 17/56

57. Maze Runner: Death Cure - 20/55

58. A Wrinkle in Time - 17/51

59. A Star is Born - 16/50

60. Sherlock Gnomes - 15/46

61. Life of the Party - 18/45

62. Horse Soldiers - 18/43

63. Equalizer 2 - 17/42

64. The Girl in the Spider's Web - 15/39

65. The Commuter - 15/38

66. Robin Hood - 15/30

67. Simon vs. The Homo Sapiens Agenda (which is probably the Greg Berlanti flick) - 10/28

68. Den of Thieves - 12/25

69. A Quiet Place - 10/24

70. Extinction - 10/23

71. God's Not Dead 3 - 7/20

72. Entebbe - 5/12

73. Cadaver - 5/10

Horrible list and you should feel ashamed of it.

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Horrible list and you should feel ashamed of it.

 

 

 

(further detail please)

Edited April 12, 2017 by That One Guy

[Eric Duncan]

3 hours ago, That One Guy said:

I've been constantly updating my list with release date shit and all that but here's my list bumped to the front of the page:

 

4. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 110/440

9. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

10. Scooby-Doo - 100/290

11. Mortal Engines - 70/290

15. Ocean's 8 - 66/200

21. Aquaman - 45/158

26. Gigantic - 35/140

58. A Wrinkle in Time - 17/51