Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

Should we also expect a total breakdown like Excel had during the opening of Suicide Squad or the mild breakdown of Blankments if it happened?

Honestly I would go out quietly in total defeat. Should you expect it though? Of course not Avatar 2 will make $$$.

[YM!]

13 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Honestly I would go out quietly in total defeat. Should you expect it though? Of course not Avatar 2 will make $$$.

Of course A2 will make cash.

[MattW]

A lot of agreement with Panda's list, couple differences though:

Domestic
440-480 - Infinity War I
400-440 - Jurassic World 2
390-420 - The Incredibles 2
380-410 - Han Solo

340-370 - Black Panther
250-270 - Deadpool 2
230-250 - Aquaman
230-250 - The Grinch

220-240 - Mary Poppins Returns
215-235 - Wreck-It Ralph 2
210-230 - Ant-Man and the Wasp

210-230 - Fantastic Beasts 2

190-200 - Mission Impossible 6

170-180 - Ocean's 8

Worldwide
1410 (420+990) - Jurassic World 2
1320 (460+860) - Infinity War I
920 (405+515) - The Incredibles 2
850 (395+455) - Han Solo

800 (355+445) - Black Panther
750 (220+530) - Fantastic Beasts 2
660 (195+465) - Mission Impossible 6

650 (260+390) - Deadpool 2

600 (240+360) - Aquaman
550 (220+330) - Wreck-It Ralph 2
540 (220+320) - Ant-Man and the Wasp

525 (125+400) - Pacific Rim 2

500 (230+270) - Mary Poppins Returns

 

 

(fixed pets, thanks @YourMother)

Edited February 15, 2018 by MattW

[YM!]

1 minute ago, MattW said:

A lot of agreement with Panda's list, couple differences though:

Domestic

500-550 - Avatar 2

460-500 - Han Solo

440-480 - Infinity War I

400-440 - Jurassic World 2

370-400 - The Incredibles 2

280-300 - Secret Life of Pets 2

270-290 - Deadpool 2

240-260 - Mulan

210-230 - Wreck-It Ralph 2

200-220 - Ant-Man and the Wasp

 

Worldwide

2250 (525+1725) - Avatar 2

1340 (460+880) - Infinity War I

1320 (420+900) - Jurassic World 2

1060 (480+580) - Han Solo

885 (385+500) - The Incredibles 2

790 (290+500) - Secret Life of Pets 2

720 (195+525) - Fantastic Beasts 2

700 (150+550) - Transformers 6

680 (280+400) - Deadpool 2

675 (250+425) - Mulan

Pets 2 got moved to 2019.

[Jonwo]

1 hour ago, YourMother said:

2018 will be the rebound year for animation at the box office. Incredibles 2 will do $500M, Grinch should do over $300M (maybe $400M with great reviews not the usual for Illumination), Animated Spider-Man should do around $200M-$300M, Wreck It Ralph 2 should do around $200M-$230M, same with Gigantic (don't get the $40M/$130M predictions), Scoob will do around the $150M but with Lego Movie reviews $200M wouldn't surprise me. Peter Rabbit, Amusement Park, Larrikins, Anubis, and Smallfoot will do around the $75M-$120M range.

 

I think one thing SCOOB has going for it is that WB is going to promoting it a lot because the year after is Scooby Doo's 50th anniversary so a new movie will be the start of what will likely be a bonanza year for the franchise. If I was WB, I might be tempted to move to 2019.

 

 

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

I think one thing SCOOB has going for it is that WB is going to promoting it a lot because the year after is Scooby Doo's 50th anniversary so a new movie will be the start of what will likely be a bonanza year for the franchise. If I was WB, I might be tempted to move to 2019.

 

 

It'd be a very smart move on their part.

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

It'd be a very smart move on their part.

 

I imagine it's staying in 2018 but a successful Scooby Doo film would be a great start and will lead to other Hanna Barbera films

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

I imagine it's staying in 2018 but a successful Scooby Doo film would be a great start and will lead to other Hanna Barbera films

It'd be nice if this was a Lego Movie style hit. I do think the one film everyone is underpredicting is The Incredibles 2.

[Jonwo]

16 minutes ago, YourMother said:

It'd be nice if this was a Lego Movie style hit. I do think the one film everyone is underpredicting is The Incredibles 2.

 

I doubt it'll Lego Movie numbers since it's being released in September or October. HT1 or 2 numbers would be more than satisfactory

Edited February 13, 2017 by Jonwo

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

I doubt it'll Lego Movie numbers since it's being released in September or October. HT1 or 2 numbers would be more than satisfactory

Agreed but $200M wouldn't surprise me. Also what are your thoughts about Incredibles 2?

[Jonwo]

2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Agreed but $200M wouldn't surprise me. Also what are your thoughts about Incredibles 2?

 

Dory numbers minimum, if it's really good then $500-520m

[Kalo]

1. Avatar 2 $530,000,000
2. Avengers: Infinity War $525,000,000
3. Han Solo $485,000,000
4. The Incredibles 2 $450,000,000
5. Jurassic World 2 $425,000,000
6. Deadpool 2 $290,000,000
7. Black Panther $280,000,000
8. Marry Poppins Returns $270,000,000
9. Mulan $250,000,000
10. Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas $250,000,000
11. Ready Player One $230,000,000
12. Gigantic $225,000,000
13. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find them 2 $225,000,000
14. Wreck-it Ralph 2 $220,000,000
15. Ant-Man and the Wasp $195,000,000
16. Mission: Impossible 6 $180,000,000
17. A Wrinkle in Time $175,000,000
18. Tomb Raider $170,000,000
19. Aquaman $160,000,000
20. The Jungle Book: Origins $160,000,000

Edited February 13, 2017 by Kalo

[YM!]

5 minutes ago, Kalo said:

1. Avatar 2 $530,000,000
2. Avengers: Infinity War $525,000,000
3. Han Solo $485,000,000
4. The Incredibles 2 $450,000,000
5. Jurassic World 2 $425,000,000
6. Deadpool 2 $290,000,000
7. The Secret Life of Pets 2 $285,000,000
8. Black Panther $280,000,000
9. Marry Poppins Returns $270,000,000
10. Mulan $250,000,000
11. Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas $250,000,000
12. Ready Player One $230,000,000
13. Gigantic $225,000,000
14. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find them 2 $220,000,000
15. Ant-Man and the Wasp $195,000,000
16. Mission: Impossible 6 $180,000,000
17. A Wrinkle in Time $175,000,000
18. Tomb Raider $170,000,000
19. Aquaman $160,000,000
20. The Jungle Book: Origins $160,000,000

You might want to remove Pets 2 it got moved to July 2019.

[Kalo]

9 minutes ago, YourMother said:

You might want to remove Pets 2 it got moved to July 2019.

 

Thank-goodness, it was looking way to crowded like that. 

[Eevin]

3 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

 

doing my list and I have Han Solo making less than Rogue one and deadpool 2 making more than the original.

Could you read my Alita posts and tell me if you've changed your mind! I think 120dom is far too low if you see the effort/money going into the film.

IMO Deadpool 2 won't be able to capture the zeitgeist of the original. It will do quite well, but I think some of the novelty factor (R-rated superhero movie with swears!) will have faded.

I see from your posts that there's a tremendous amount of talent behind Alita, I just think summer 2018 is too crowded for it to really break out. When marketing starts I could very well change my mind. I think it will do great business worldwide though ($500m+).

[MrFanaticGuy34]

WW-Wise:

 

1. Avatar 2 (If it doesn't move) = $2.2B

2. Jurassic World 2 = $1.5-1.6B

3. The Incredibles 2 = $1.375B

4. Avengers: Infinity War P1 = $1.350B

5. Han Solo = $1.1B

6. Gigantic = $940M

7. Mission Impossible 6 = $930M

8. Fantastic Beasts 2 = $920M

9. Deadpool 2 = $870M (If China helps)

10. Mulan = $850M

 

[stripe]

Hard to guess at this moment

There will be an awesome top5

Avatar2 - 590M

JW2 - 510M

Han Solo - 490M

Infinity War - 470M

Incredibles 2 - 410M

 

And the rest...

Deadpool 2 275M

Alita 250M

Gigantic 240M

Black Panther 230M

Ant-Man2 220M

 

[fabiopazzo2]

Avatar 2: $ 650 M OW: 155M+

Infinity War : $ 450/550 OW: 195M

JW 2: $ 440 M OW: 150M

Incredibles 2: $ 410 OW: 112M

Han Solo: $380 OW: 120$

Deadpool 2: $ 360 OW: 145

Edited February 13, 2017 by fabiopazzo2

[fabiopazzo2]

I think you overstimated Han solo film

[TomCruiseTop]

1. James Cameron's Avatar 2 - $3.2B WW 
2. Infinity War - 1.5B WW
3. JW2 - $1.2B WW
4. Han Solo - 950M WW
5. Incredibles2 - $850M WW
6. Lion King - 800M WW
7. Deadpool 2 - $770M WW
8. Alita: Battle Angel - $750M WW
9. Mulan - 750M WW
10. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 725M WW

There's my predictions.