Mar 3-5 Weekend - Official Estimates - Logan 85.3m, Get Out 26.1m, Shack 16.1m, LEGO Bat 16.5, BIF 4.9m

[Ozymandias]

@Fifty Shades Rth working tonight? 

 

[MCKillswitch123]

21 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Lets not forget is married to Vanessa Martins.

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Yeah. Let's totally not forget that.

 

[Ozymandias]

So what would be considered amazeballs for Logan today?

[m3racer123]

All actuals are now up. AMAZING drop for Get Out!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=09&p=.htm

[DMan7]

Looks like BOM is down for the count.

[Fancyarcher]

9 hours ago, baumer said:

GO is a freak.  Damn!

 

Could it do 200?

 

 

Doubtful, but it's still gonna have amazing legs regardless, especially considering its genre. 

[Valonqar]

10 minutes ago, m3racer123 said:

All actuals are now up. AMAZING drop for Get Out!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=09&p=.htm

 

What's up with the second week of big underestimates? GO underestimated again, this time by over 2M (was over 3M last week), Logan underestimated by over 3M. Way to go up, though! 

 

Logan beat Doctor Strange and while it didn't open bigger than DOFP, hopefully legs will take its total over. It opened bigger than Wolverine, now officially.

 

GO is Avataring. 

[PPZVGOS]

2 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

 

Doubtful, but it's still gonna have amazing legs regardless, especially considering its genre. 

 

Doubtful, but very much possible. Another hold such as this one and it will be on its way to $200M

[vc2002]

Actuals

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Logan	Fox	$88,411,916	-	4,071	-	$21,717	$88,411,916	-	1
2	1	Get Out	Uni.	$28,236,285	-15.4%	2,938	+157	$9,611	$78,079,925	$4.5	2
3	N	The Shack	LG/S	$16,172,119	-	2,888	-	$5,600	$16,172,119	-	1
4	2	The LEGO Batman Movie	WB	$11,702,364	-39.1%	3,656	-401	$3,201	$148,684,165	$80	4
5	3	John Wick: Chapter Two	LG/S	$4,804,238	-48.7%	2,475	-479	$1,941	$82,945,210	-	4
6	N	Before I Fall	ORF	$4,690,214	-	2,346	-	$1,999	$4,690,214	-	1
7	7	Hidden Figures	Fox	$3,826,330	-34.1%	1,582	-440	$2,419	$158,766,769	$25	11
8	4	The Great Wall	Uni.	$3,627,020	-60.3%	2,314	-1,014	$1,567	$41,388,325	$150	3
9	5	Fifty Shades Darker	Uni.	$3,558,020	-54.3%	2,205	-1,011	$1,614	$109,985,335	$55	4
10	8	La La Land	LG/S	$2,986,489	-36.3%	1,411	-322	$2,117	$145,695,851	$30	13
11	6	Fist Fight	WB (NL)	$2,860,196	-56.5%	2,303	-882	$1,242	$28,286,371	-	3
12	11	Rock Dog	LG/S	$2,300,973	-37.9%	2,077	-	$1,108	$6,735,271	-	2
13	18	Moonlight (2016)	A24	$2,300,940	+227.2%	1,564	+979	$1,471	$25,153,321	-	20
14	10	Lion	Wein.	$2,125,815	-44.5%	1,260	-542	$1,687	$46,516,365	-	15
15	9	Split	Uni.	$2,091,660	-49.0%	1,126	-775	$1,858	$134,044,560	$9	7
16	12	A Dog's Purpose	Uni.	$1,760,665	-50.7%	1,494	-595	$1,178	$60,218,235	$22	6
17	N	Table 19	FoxS	$1,580,648	-	868	-	$1,821	$1,580,648	-	1
18	15	Moana	BV	$633,216	-23.5%	321	-57	$1,973	$246,885,618	-	15
19	20	A United Kingdom	FoxS	$632,123	+24.6%	271	+123	$2,333	$1,814,372	-	4
20	16	I am Not Your Negro	Magn.	$475,801	-42.4%	235	-78	$2,025	$5,553,769	-	5

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, PPZVGOS said:

 

Doubtful, but very much possible. Another hold such as this one and it will be on its way to $200M

 

 

Next weekend only has Kong: Skull Island, so another good drop could be in order. I think it'll drop at least 30% though. Will see!

[Valonqar]

Either way, Split's a toast.

[PPZVGOS]

10 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

 

Next weekend only has Kong: Skull Island, so another good drop could be in order. I think it'll drop at least 30% though. Will see!

 

Usually third weekend drops are smaller than 2nd weekend drops and Kong will be weaker than Logan. Logan is also a movie with more demographic overlap with GO (I would imagine at least) So, an even better hold cannot be ruled out. But BO is always a strange beast, we will have to wait and see. 

 

Edit: But this was not the case with for example The 6th Sense, whose drops accelerated after it fell by only 3.4% during its 2nd weekend. 3rd weekend posted a 7% decline while the 4th came in with a 16% drop. 

Edited March 7, 2017 by PPZVGOS

[ban1o]

Apparently that's the 5th lowest drop for a release 2500+ theatres that's not aided by holiday for Get Out 

[Fancyarcher]

2 hours ago, grey ghost said:

 

Damn, I forgot Jubilee was in the movie. 

 

 

Well she did only have like three minutes of screentime.

 

I'll give Apocalypse this. It tried to develop more X-Men and even attempted to give Cyclops a larger role, it's just a shame that the film around is quite underwhelming. 

[Fancyarcher]

3 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said:

 

Usually third weekend drops are smaller than 2nd weekend drops and Kong will be weaker than Logan. Logan is also a movie with more demographic overlap with GO (I would imagine at least) So, an even better hold cannot be ruled out. But BO is always a strange beast, we will have to wait and see. 

 

 

I think the second-weekend drop will average out, so it'll be bigger, but again will see. Not much competition really. 

[Valonqar]

13 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said:

 

Usually third weekend drops are smaller than 2nd weekend drops and Kong will be weaker than Logan. Logan is also a movie with more demographic overlap with GO (I would imagine at least) So, an even better hold cannot be ruled out. But BO is always a strange beast, we will have to wait and see. 

 

Edit: But this was not the case with for example The 6th Sense, whose drops accelerated after it fell by only 3.4% during its 2nd weekend. 3rd weekend posted a 7% decline while the 4th came in with a 16% drop. 

 

Holy shit, 6th Sense held that well too? terrific movie, so rewatchable, very emotional. 

[PPZVGOS]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

Holy shit, 6th Sense held that well too? terrific movie, so rewatchable, very emotional. 

 

I started following BO numbers during the mid-90s. By the late 90s (thank you www) I was following it weekend in and weekend out, so whenever I come across a leggy movie, I recall As Good As it Gets, Good Will Hunting, There's Something About Mary and The Sixth Sense. Titanic is on a level all of its own, of course. 

[filmlover]

Has anyone mentioned this BOM gaffe? lol. It actually dropped down to 88 theaters this weekend.

 

51

14

A Cure for Wellness

Fox

$31,347

-97.8%

2,704

-

$12

$8,062,518

$40

3

[Ezen Baklattan]

THAT CURE FOR WELLNESS DROP.

 

@CJohn how does it feel that Meet Dave got crossed twice this year so far?

 

[baumer]

If GO were to follow the dailies from last week, it would do about 15 for the week and then perhaps another 20 on the weekend.  That would put it at about 113 million.  200 probably won't happen, but 150 is done and then it should be able to leg it out to 170.  Incredible.