Eric Atreides Posted September 26, 2017 Share Posted September 26, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 26, 2017 Share Posted September 26, 2017 Carell always seemed like a clear lead to me from Last Flag Flying's trailer. Either way, I currently think Cranston is more likely than Fishburne, of the two. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 11 hours ago, CoolEric258 said: Is the website shown in the screenshot a site that I can actually look up for information about what the distributor is putting an FYC for? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Atreides Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Judging by the first reactions, Cranston in Last Flag Flying doesn't seem to happen. Even people who liked the movie think he's too hammy. Fishburne also hasn't gotten much notices or attention, so he's probably out of the race as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Just now, CoolEric258 said: Judging by the first reactions, Cranston in Last Flag Flying doesn't seem to happen. Even people who liked the movie think he's too hammy. Fishburne also hasn't gotten much notices or attention, so he's probably out of the race as well. I agree, Last Flag Flying isn't getting bad reviews but the reactions are clearly lacking in passion. Don't think it's gonna make the cut for anything in the end. Time for updated predictions: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 3. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name 4. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water 5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 6. Kevin Spacey, All the Money in the World 7. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name 8. Idris Elba, Molly's Game 9. Sebastian Stan, I, Tonya 10. Ben Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 (edited) 26 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 3. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name 4. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water 5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 6. Kevin Spacey, All the Money in the World 7. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name 8. Idris Elba, Molly's Game 9. Sebastian Stan, I, Tonya 10. Ben Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour This looks pretty accurate (though I'm skeptical of All the Money in the World given Ridley's track record since the turn of the century and don't think Sebastian Stan is coming anywhere near an Oscar nomination lol) though I have Call Me by Your Name as the movie that's getting double nominations in this category (the first time that's happened since...when?) instead of The Shape of Water. The former feels like another Brokeback Mountain/Carol situation to me where both members of the central queer romance end up getting nominated (along with Stuhlbarg, who will be in potentially three Best Picture nominees). I was kind of split on whether to give Jenkins or Shannon (or both) a slot but went with Jenkins, it's been almost a decade since his first nomination while Shannon just picked up his second nomination last year. Edited September 28, 2017 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Maybe The Death of Stalin can sneak a nom here if it catches on beyond just critics. @spaghetti! give us some insight here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Maybe this is a good thing, but there isn't a particular standout in the cast - it's VERY much an ensemble piece. If I had to choose, Buscemi seems like the best bet. Would prefer Isaacs, but pretty much everyone is awesome in this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, 4815162342 said: Maybe The Death of Stalin can sneak a nom here if it catches on beyond just critics. @spaghetti! give us some insight here Unlikely, it doesn't even have a US release date (and its studio is IFC Films so it won't get much of a release). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, filmlover said: Unlikely, it doesn't even have a US release date (and its studio is IFC Films so it won't get much of a release). I'm just still salty over the Capaldi snub for In the Loop. I mean, look at 2009's lineup for Supporting Actor. Get Tucci and Damon the hell outta there, and while Plummer was good, I don't think he was that good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 1 minute ago, 4815162342 said: I'm just still salty over the Capaldi snub for In the Loop. I mean, look at 2009's lineup for Supporting Actor. Get Tucci and Damon the hell outta there, and while Plummer was good, I don't think he was that good. That was a super dead year for this category, for sure. I can't even remember who was in sixth place. Probably nobody. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 14 hours ago, 4815162342 said: I'm just still salty over the Capaldi snub for In the Loop. I mean, look at 2009's lineup for Supporting Actor. Get Tucci and Damon the hell outta there, and while Plummer was good, I don't think he was that good. I respectfully disagree about Tucci. The Lovely Bones was a riveting film, and Tucci's performance was one that really drew me in. Though I was pretty young when I saw it, I'll admit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 The Lovely Bones is one of the worst adaptations of a great book ever. Saoirse's performance was the only thing about it that worked. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 A lot of Acting predicts are looking really white. I'm willing to bet the academy will still be on alert of starting another "Oscars so white" controversy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 1 hour ago, The Pumpkin Spice Panda said: A lot of Acting predicts are looking really white. I'm willing to bet the academy will still be on alert of starting another "Oscars so white" controversy. Octavia Spencer will prevent that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Octavia Spencer will prevent that. Yeah 1/20's probably not gonna help anything. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 Yeah, Jada Pinkett Smith is gonna throw a fit again even if just one black person gets nominated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 1, 2017 Share Posted October 1, 2017 4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Octavia Spencer will prevent that. If 3 Acting cats are all white and you have one minority nominated in supporting actress, there'll still be a diversity problem (there still is technically. In every cat, the average should be 2 minorities, 3 whites. Most cats are still white and white male dominated) There are some strong minority options. Especially if Mudbound gets traction. The only acting cat that doesn't have at least one great minority option is actress. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 1, 2017 Share Posted October 1, 2017 I keep forgetting about Mudbound for some reason. Oh yeah, because it's Netflix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
