SURV(IV)OR: Episode 2 - Laying the C.H.I.P.S. Down

[RandomCat]

The fuck is Katamarayudu?

 

also, Awesome!

[RandomCat]

You know...to this day I have no idea how the Derby is scored.

[chasmmi]

35 minutes ago, RandomJC said:

You know...to this day I have no idea how the Derby is scored.

 

 

http://www.worldofkj.com/calculator.php

 

Essentially, go to here and type in your predictions vs the estimates/actuals/whatever number is most accurate at the time.

 

The scoring works as a percentage:

 

So work out your score and divide it by the actuals.

 

If your score is below 1 (as in you predicted lower than actuals) then just multiply your percentage by 100 to get your score for that question.

 

If you score is above 1 (you predicted too high), then do the following:

 

2 - (your prediction / actuals) and then multiply that number by 100 for your score. 

 

 

What this means is that predicting low is better than predicting high. Because nomatter how bad your prediction was, if you were low, you score some points. However if your prediction is more than double the actuals (most likely to happen when predicting low numbers like table last weekend), you will score zero. 

[RandomCat]

2 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

 

 

http://www.worldofkj.com/calculator.php

 

Essentially, go to here and type in your predictions vs the estimates/actuals/whatever number is most accurate at the time.

 

The scoring works as a percentage:

 

So work out your score and divide it by the actuals.

 

If your score is below 1 (as in you predicted lower than actuals) then just multiply your percentage by 100 to get your score for that question.

 

If you score is above 1 (you predicted too high), then do the following:

 

2 - (your prediction / actuals) and then multiply that number by 100 for your score. 

 

 

What this means is that predicting low is better than predicting high. Because nomatter how bad your prediction was, if you were low, you score some points. However if your prediction is more than double the actuals (most likely to happen when predicting low numbers like table last weekend), you will score zero. 

 

Thanks!

[chasmmi]

I'm worried about my weekend predictions. According to BO.com's projections I am scoring over 93% on 7 of the questions. That's far too close at this early stage when their numbers are usually arsejuice.

[chasmmi]

We can make our score as an average of the three films of our choice right? And then just discard the other 7? 

 

Please?

[Eevin]

Damn, I actually did really well this week. 85%+. If only I hadn't tanked so hard on Trainspotting.

[Goffe]

Rogue One and Chips fucked me up BAD this week. 84% with the estimates.

[DAJK]

My prediction for rogue one was spot on with estimate, to the dollar

[Arlborn]

Kinda nailed CHIPS, Rangers and Kong but T2 really destroyed me. Meh

[Ezen Baklattan]

Did a preliminary test score using weekend estimates. Hot damn, tommorow is going to be SAVAGE.

[aabattery]

5 minutes ago, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

Did a preliminary test score using weekend estimates. Hot damn, tommorow is going to be SAVAGE.

 

[Eevin]

Calm down guys, maybe he means the nice type of savage like Genghis Khan

[4815162342]

50 minutes ago, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

Did a preliminary test score using weekend estimates. Hot damn, tommorow is going to be SAVAGE.

 

[4815162342]

11 hours ago, Goffe said:

Rogue One and Chips fucked me up BAD this week. 84% with the estimates.

 

Based on my math, I got 83.712% with estimates, so right on line with you.

[chasmmi]

My spidey sense is telling me that our flash fight 1.5% bonus may even mean something this week

[Goffe]

Funny thing is, I had Chips at exactly 7.1m before I compared it to Masterminds and decided that 2m of that movie's ow was due to Galifianakis/Wiig/Wilson combo, and since Chips had none of that "star power" I pred under 5m.

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Additionally, expect a LOT of character development in this episode. Mostly intra-team relations, but a few more rounds will begin to expand the story!!!

[Eevin]

5 hours ago, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

Additionally, expect a LOT of character development in this episode. Mostly intra-team relations, but a few more rounds will begin to expand the story!!!

Bracing for my inevitable romantic subplot with @Arlborn where I ultimately choose fame and fortune over our alliance 

[SLAM!]

8 hours ago, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

Additionally, expect a LOT of character development in this episode. Mostly intra-team relations, but a few more rounds will begin to expand the story!!!

 

That's awesome! Character development is one of my favorite parts of stories when I write.

 

This is gonna be fun.

 

(Robots are the best!)

 

 

Edited March 27, 2017 by slambros