TalismanRing Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 4 minutes ago, Momo said: Interesting.. I thought Kong would have overtaken PR on Monday. After PR droped below Kong on Sunday. P.S. Also the first time PR drop was less then 70-60 percent on a Monday. lol Easter Monday - many schools are out and PR skews young. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momo Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: Easter Monday - many schools are out and PR skews young. Ah,ok that explains it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 1 minute ago, Blaze Heatnix said: Logan is rated R and had a 97 million budget. Will wait to see how much they will get from Louisiana, that number sound reasonable but it does show how it help to shoot in place like Louisiana, Logan had a 126.5 million gross production, that would be a nice 23.3% rebate from the gross, it was also very heavy on the product placement (a bit much on the corn flakes shot, a bit much too on the cars but nicely done) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 OK, this when I start to get a wee bit excited about Gifted maybe showing some WOM powered legs and maybe becoming FS's biggest film since Brooklyn (not hard) . It had a great Friday jump, a very good Easter internal multiplier and a nice Easter Monday drop. It's PTA on Monday is just $12 less than Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 That's a bigger drop than I expected for F8. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, baumer said: That's a bigger drop than I expected for F8. Me too. I had it pegged for a little over $9M. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheesypoofs Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 I didn't see this coming, but this might even fall under F6. It didn't have the holiday for it's first Monday like F6 had. This might have a 225m-ish finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Just now, cheesypoofs said: I didn't see this coming, but this might even fall under F6. It didn't have the holiday for it's first Monday like F6 had. This might have a 225m-ish finish It won't have summer days either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoilingHotCoffee Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 For F8, I predict... Domestic: $215 million International: $916 million _______________________ Worldwide: $1.131 million 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Yeah, this is going to have some shit legs. I don't see how it drops under 60% this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheesypoofs Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: It won't have summer days either Crazy, I didn't see this big of a drop, domestically. They're going to have to set part of F9 in China lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheesypoofs Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Yeah, this is going to have some shit legs. I don't see how it drops under 60% this weekend. Luckily it doesn't have any competition the next 2 weekends. I can see it dropping 55% this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) 9 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said: For F8, I predict... Domestic: $215 million International: $916 million _______________________ Worldwide: $1.131 million And I thought Transformers 4 and Pirates 4 were lopsided billion dollar movies. That would be crazy. I really want to know how this is tracking overseas minus China, though. The overseas opening was such that I'm wondering why the overseas gross wouldn't hit $1B. Even without China the opening was pretty much on par with F7. It didn't experience the severe drop it did here in NA. Let's say China reaches $400M, which would be a small increase over F7 based on the small increase of the opening weekend. F7 did $773M overseas minus China. All it would have to get is $600M this time around to reach $1B overseas. Edited April 18, 2017 by JB33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Just now, cheesypoofs said: Luckily it doesn't have any competition the next 2 weekends. I can see it dropping 55% this weekend F7 dropped 59.5%. The chances of it dropping below 60% are slim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheesypoofs Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: F7 dropped 59.5%. The chances of it dropping below 60% are slim. That is true, but F7 also opened to 50m more. I at least hope that helps soften the blow for F8 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Easter Monday drop comparisons: G.I Joe 2: 53% Furious 7: 57.7% Batman V Superman: 55.5% F8: 60.4% Same drops/increases as Furious 7 from now on would give F8 a $36m second weekend, a 64% drop. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastwood47 Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Great hold for BATB! I think it might have a chance to reach Finding Dory on the domestic charts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 1 hour ago, JB33 said: And I thought Transformers 4 and Pirates 4 were lopsided billion dollar movies. That would be crazy. I really want to know how this is tracking overseas minus China, though. The overseas opening was such that I'm wondering why the overseas gross wouldn't hit $1B. Even without China the opening was pretty much on par with F7. It didn't experience the severe drop it did here in NA. Let's say China reaches $400M, which would be a small increase over F7 based on the small increase of the opening weekend. F7 did $773M overseas minus China. All it would have to get is $600M this time around to reach $1B overseas. Oversea Batman V Superman opening last year was of 256.5 million, 47.2% of is 542.9 million total. Fast 8 made a giant amount 432.3 million but it is rare that a movie open absolutely everywhere like it did, Batman V Superman being an other rare example of that. If it has the same legs has BvS it would miss the billion by a good amount, 432.3 / 0.472 = 915.9 million But BvS did fall hard in some market like China making it possible for Fast 8 to do it, but it is really not a lock imo, it could be really frontloaded in some market including is biggest one China. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 12 minutes ago, Barnack said: Oversea Batman V Superman opening last year was of 256.5 million, 47.2% of is 542.9 million total. Fast 8 made a giant amount 432.3 million but it is rare that a movie open absolutely everywhere like it did, Batman V Superman being an other rare example of that. If it has the same legs has BvS it would miss the billion by a good amount, 432.3 / 0.472 = 915.9 million But BvS did fall hard in some market like China making it possible for Fast 8 to do it, but it is really not a lock imo, it could be really frontloaded in some market including is biggest one China. This is a good point. In a number of developing markets, the trend has shifted to bigger openings but decreased legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, JB33 said: And I thought Transformers 4 and Pirates 4 were lopsided billion dollar movies. That would be crazy. I really want to know how this is tracking overseas minus China, though. The overseas opening was such that I'm wondering why the overseas gross wouldn't hit $1B. Even without China the opening was pretty much on par with F7. It didn't experience the severe drop it did here in NA. Let's say China reaches $400M, which would be a small increase over F7 based on the small increase of the opening weekend. F7 did $773M overseas minus China. All it would have to get is $600M this time around to reach $1B overseas. It's OS-China 5-day OW breakdown was approx, 85 (Wed-Thu) + 155 (FSS) = 240 Using 2.5x multi (85+155*2.5) gives 470 OS-China and 3x gives 550 OS-China. Which would give an OS range of 870-950. I don't think 3x multi, even off the 3-day OW is likely. Feel that OS will be closer to 900. Edit: GOTG2's early OS start could have a negative impact on F8's 900 OS prospects. Edited April 19, 2017 by a2knet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
