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newbie BO buff

Indonesia Box Office 2021 - second reopening 16 September

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Just now, newbie BO buff said:

 

Doing great in the usual geek-friendly locations, OK for the rest.

Big issue for Shang-Chi:

  • Most sites still only have 3 showtimes per day
  • No Time to Die coming in just a week after

any ow predictions ?

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21 hours ago, john2000 said:

Any update ?

 

Screen expansion towards the weekend didn't go as I expected, so I toned down my projection to $2M.

However, it is reported that the movie opened at $1.2M. I think that's too low, and could be just the FSS number (it opened Wed).

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South East Asia countries reporting is very iffy usually. Somehow studios can't estimate them well. If you think it can do $2M, it might as well have. Though with 2400 shows daily (2800 on FRI I believe), $1.25M was what I thought initially, so not surprised per se.

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16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

South East Asia countries reporting is very iffy usually. Somehow studios can't estimate them well. If you think it can do $2M, it might as well have. Though with 2400 shows daily (2800 on FRI I believe), $1.25M was what I thought initially, so not surprised per se.

 

Number of shows:

WED - 2300

THU - 2800

FRI - 2900

SAT - 3000

SUN - 3200

 

 

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30 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So 14.2k total shows, I didnt look up bookings, but may be 550k admits. So yeah around $1.7M could be done.

 

I'll just wait for actuals and accept for what it is.

Wednesday usually.

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Hollywood Tentpoles in Indonesia - second reopening period

 

Released:

16/09 Black Widow

22/09 Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

24/09 Space Jam: A New Legacy

30/09 No Time to Die

06/10 Malignant

06/10 Jungle Cruise

13/10 Dune

15/10 Don't Breathe 2

20/10 Free Guy

20/10 Halloween Kills

27/10 Candyman

29/10 Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard

03/11 Escape Room: Tournament of Champions

03/11 Last Night in Soho

 

Planned:

10/11 Eternals

12/11 The Last Duel (high possibility of further delay)

17/11 Venom: Let There be Carnage

24/11 Encanto

01/12 Ghostbusters: Afterlife

01/12 The Boss Baby: Family Business

08/12 PAW Patrol: The Movie

08/12 West Side Story

15/12 Spider-Man: No Way Home

22/12 The King's Man

22/12 Sing 2

22/12 The Matrix Resurrections

29/12 Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City

29/12 Clifford the Big Red Dog

29/12 Ron's Gone Wrong

 

(all schedules subject to change)

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Capacity restriction has been relaxed to 70% in some areas, but the major problem remains showtimes.

The most exhibitors could manage is about 6.000, compared with 10.000+ pre-pandemic.

Combined with 50-70% capacity restrictions, you can clearly see why Indonesia won't be seeing $10M+ blockbusters for a while.

Q2 2022 looks to be the earliest that we can expect, taking into account COVID third wave anticipation as well.

 

If you do simple extrapolation, you can clearly see how big Conjuring 3, F9, and Shang-Chi would have been in normal times. Shang-Chi, for example, would have easily hit $12.5M.

Edited by newbie BO buff
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