Indonesia Box Office 2023 - thanks for updating

[LPLC]

On 11/9/2021 at 1:38 AM, newbie BO buff said:

Capacity restriction has been relaxed to 70% in some areas, but the major problem remains showtimes.

The most exhibitors could manage is about 6.000, compared with 10.000+ pre-pandemic.

Combined with 50-70% capacity restrictions, you can clearly see why Indonesia won't be seeing $10M+ blockbusters for a while.

Q2 2022 looks to be the earliest that we can expect, taking into account COVID third wave anticipation as well.

 

If you do simple extrapolation, you can clearly see how big Conjuring 3, F9, and Shang-Chi would have been in normal times. Shang-Chi, for example, would have easily hit $12.5M.

even NWH won't be able to reach $10M here?

[newbie BO buff]

On 11/11/2021 at 5:34 AM, LPLC said:

even NWH won't be able to reach $10M here?

 

Unless number of daily shows drastically change, no.

Capacity restrictions won't be further relaxed for a while, the country is anticipating COVID third wave late Dec through Jan.

[catlover]

On 11/12/2021 at 4:34 PM, newbie BO buff said:

 

Unless number of daily shows drastically change, no.

Capacity restrictions won't be further relaxed for a while, the country is anticipating COVID third wave late Dec through Jan.

 

Not to mention the capacity will be reduced again between Dec 25 and Jan 1 to anticipate crowds and high mobility during Xmas and New Year. Although I'm still not sure, has that been decided?

 

Honestly, when you see the number of cases, Indonesia currently has pretty strict regulations regarding Covid, especially towards movie theaters. I mean I think Jakarta and some other cities are ready for 100% capacity. Still understandable though, since our vax rate is not high enough yet nationally. Also we are all traumatized by the July surge this year, it was a nightmare and we don't want that to happen again.

[newbie BO buff]

4 minutes ago, catlover said:

 

Not to mention the capacity will be reduced again between Dec 25 and Jan 1 to anticipate crowds and high mobility during Xmas and New Year. Although I'm still not sure, has that been decided?

 

Honestly, when you see the number of cases, Indonesia currently has pretty strict regulations regarding Covid, especially towards movie theaters. I mean I think Jakarta and some other cities are ready for 100% capacity. Still understandable though, since our vax rate is not high enough yet nationally. Also we are all traumatized by the July surge this year, it was a nightmare and we don't want that to happen again.

 

It is official: 50% capacity from 24 Dec through 2 Jan.

At least.

[catlover]

On 11/30/2021 at 11:16 AM, newbie BO buff said:

 

It is official: 50% capacity from 24 Dec through 2 Jan.

At least.

 

I just read the news. So they cancelled the PPKM level 3 on Xmas - New Year. That means max capacity will still be at 75%. The case numbers are still in downward trend, so it's deemed unnecessary. That's why I asked before because our gov likes to change their mind lol.

Edited December 7, 2021 by catlover

[newbie BO buff]

More than 5200 showtimes allocated for NWH today.

OW tracking updated to anywhere between $4..8M to $5.6M

 

Which means there will be a $10M+ blockbuster in 2021 after all.

[Danhjpn]

36 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said:

More than 5200 showtimes allocated for NWH today.

OW tracking updated to anywhere between $4..8M to $5.6M

 

Which means there will be a $10M+ blockbuster in 2021 after all.

 

3x legs for 15+ full run possible? 

[charlie Jatinder]

5200*100*$3 = $1.5M 👀

 

$7M weekend 🙃

[newbie BO buff]

53 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

 

3x legs for 15+ full run possible? 

 

Depends on showtime allocation next week, which is super crowded

[newbie BO buff]

OK so I kept shaking my head when trying to pin down a reasonable OD estimate because occupancy rates from sampled sites are all ridiculously high!

 

 

 

 

 

 

Well, I'll just be bold and put $1.33M OD.

[Legion Again]

6*2.5 let’s do it

[newbie BO buff]

Second day looking similar. Absurdly high 80%+ occupancy rate in sampled cinemas.

[newbie BO buff]

On 12/15/2021 at 11:24 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

5200*100*$3 = $1.5M 👀

 

$7M weekend 🙃

 

Yes this is very much in play.

[Legion Again]

Gotta have competition flop and legs 20 from spillover  

[catlover]

21 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said:

Second day looking similar. Absurdly high 80%+ occupancy rate in sampled cinemas.

 

On Thursday? Wow. What is work/school, right? Lol What is the general pattern for movies opening on Wed? Is Thurs usually the lowest? Because if it is, and it is this high, imagine Sat and Sun.

[newbie BO buff]

Day 3.

Easing off slightly (Friday noon shows coincide with Muslim Friday prayer time).

But STILL seeing sold out shows.

 

ONE MILLION ADMISSION passed before the end of the second day.

 

Expect massive upsurge SAT-SUN.

[newbie BO buff]

It might crack $7M before the end of Saturday.

[LPLC]

4 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said:

It might crack $7M before the end of Saturday.

WTF. $9M weekend ? $20M total ?

[Legion Again]

42 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said:

It might crack $7M before the end of Saturday.

In the immortal words of @charlie Jatinder

Quote

WTF. WTF. WTF.

 

[newbie BO buff]

6 hours ago, LPLC said:

WTF. $9M weekend ? $20M total ?

 

 

If Sony does not under-report, yes sir.