AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide

[Thrylos 7]

52 minutes ago, Quigley said:

The goal is to make > $745M by Sunday, which is the second-Sunday record achieved by Fate of the Furious last year.

It won’t, that is too high of a goal. It will start softening up, its inevitable, most movies of this kind soften up faster overseas than in the u.s and this doesn’t even have China. Of course opening in Russia will help a bit but stil 745+ million overseas , after its second weekend without China, seems too high.

[Dandeak2000]

WE1 $382.8M/$640.5M

MON $55.2M/$438M/$720.4M

TUE $64.5M/$502.5M/$808.4M

WED $32.3M/$534.7M/$322.8M DOM ($17M)/$857.5M

THUR $35.5M/$570.2M/$338.8M DOM ($16M)/$909M

WE2 $188.3M/$758.5M/$457M DOM ($118.2M)/$1,215.5M

 

MON $22.1M/$780.6M/$469.5M DOM ($12.5M)/$1,250.1M

TUE $26.5M/$807.1M/$484.5M DOM ($15M)/$1,291.6M

WED $19.9M/$827M/$495M DOM ($10.5M)/$1,322M

THUR $19M/$846M/$505.5M DOM ($10.5M)/$1,351.5M

WE3 $283.6M ($180M China)/$1,129.6M/$568.8M DOM ($63.3M)/$1,698.4M

 

I'm not an expert at OS box office so I don't know how realistic these predictions are, what is everyone else thinking? If this reflects real numbers $2B is a lock...

 

After that?

 

MON $35M/$1,164.6M/$575.8M DOM ($7M)/$1,740.4M

TUE $40M/$1,204.6M/$584.8M DOM ($9M)/$1,789.4M

WED $35M/$1,239.6M/$591.8M DOM ($7M)/$1,831.4M

THUR $30M/$1,269.6M/$597.8M DOM ($6M)/$1,867.4M

WE4 (Pessimistic) $111.5M/$1,381.1M/$625.7M DOM ($27.9M)/$2,006.8M

WE4 (Realistic) $125M/$1,394.6M/$627.6M DOM ($29.8M)/$2,022.2M

WE4 (Optimistic) $140M/$1,409.6M/$629.5M11 ($31.7M)/$2,039.1M

Edited May 3, 2018 by Mike Hunt
Edited some old info and made some new predix

[gfb]

 

 

Disney reports that 'Avengers' made $20.6 million internationally on Wednesday. Int'l cume = $281.1 million.

— Boxoffice (@BoxOffice) 3 Mayıs 2012

 

A1 has the same dates in same days so it is the best comp imo. Some numbers based off that:

Avengers                                         AIW

33.1m$ Monday                            55.2m$ Monday / %166 of A1

42.3m$ Tuesday (+%27.7)            64.5m$ Tuesday (+%16.8) / %152 of A1

20.6m$ Wednesday (-%51.3)            ?       Wednesday

 

As @Quigley noted, A1's increase was %17.2 when erasing new releases' OD grosses. However, A1 had Egypt and Serbia opening on Wednesday as well as all those new releases' 2nd day doing probably much better than they would in their 6/7/8th days so I won't take that into account for Wednesday. Because of this, if AIW follows Tuesday's path, and if Wednesday number ends up being %152 of A1, it will be: 31.3m$. 

If AIW follows A1's Mon > Wed drop, AIW's Wed will be 34.3m$. 

So my range would be 30-35m$ with anything above as excellent and anything below as disappointing Wed numbers. I would lean closer to 31.3m$ because of A1 having ODs in Egypt and Serbia as well as 2nd day effects in Labour Day releases. If Egypt & Serbia caused a softer drop than I imagined, then below 31.3m is possible. 30m-31.3m still would be okay to good because of this. And above 31.3m$ would mean just beating those advantages for A1 and a solid Wed number for AIW. 34.3m$ would mean completely disregarding those advantages of A1 for a softer drop and a great number. Anything above 35m would simply be excellent imo. I'd go with 31m$ though.

[RthDeadWov]

7 hours ago, Joel M said:

This is def false, the re-release probaby alone made more than than

 

Titanic sold 1.85 to 2+ million tickets in Greece with 98 ticket prices around 5$. 9-10m dollars is the real number for original run alone, if not higher.

 

6 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

ya, you're right, 1997's $12,939,602 + $485,205 =$13,424,887

 

Greece was named as Greece and Cyprus in 1997/98 on BOM, that's why my excel can't "detect" that

 

Greece  Titanic 3D about $us665k (without Cyprus)

 

9 hours ago, catlover said:

Wait a minute. It's already $13.4m in Indonesia?? There is no way it made close to $4m on Monday. I'm saying it not because I don't believe in this movie, but because it IS impossible. So its OW must have been largely underestimated. But judging from the numbers from other South East Asian countries, $11-11.5m OW actually makes much more sense than $9.6m.

 

Wed-Thu $us3.5m

Fri-Sun us7.8m 11.3m

Mon 1.9  13.2 (or 13.4 :))

Tue 2.7 

Admits over 5m

[kayumanggi]

6 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

Oh my God. 16 M! It's now the biggest film in history after 7(?) days. 

Edited May 3, 2018 by kayumanggi

[kayumanggi]

502.5 M overseas ● 808.4 M worldwide

[Belle]

So.. at the rate its going how likely can it make 1B without China like Force Awakens? 

[HouseOfTheSun]

2 minutes ago, Belle said:

So.. at the rate its going how likely can it make 1B without China like Force Awakens? 

It honestly looks pretty good at this point. I’d say 85%

[The Mad Titan]

8 minutes ago, Belle said:

So.. at the rate its going how likely can it make 1B without China like Force Awakens? 

98% 

[a2k]

There's a chance than AIW OS > BP WW

 

[KP1025]

1 minute ago, a2k said:

There's a chance than AIW OS > BP WW

 

The absolute ceiling is probably over Titanic OS, which would make its OS>The Avengers WW.

[bladels]

5 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

The absolute ceiling is probably over Titanic OS, which would make its OS>The Avengers WW.

That's ceiling is a little low

If it explode in China, it could make $1.8B OS

BTW, IW cooled down a lot in Vietnam. I'm finally able to get tickets for good seats without booking in advance. Heading for my 2nd viewing

Edited May 3, 2018 by bladels

[Darth Lehnsherr]

$2 Billion is looking good! Just need 2nd Weekend of NA to be decent and $600M should be locked. A $400M+ total from China would be good too.

 

[aabattery]

 

[Juby]

Infinity War did absolutely great opening in Poland.

 

271 279 admission during the weekend and 387 612 since Wednesday (5 days)! Till now, the biggest opening for superhero movies were:

 

1. Age of Ultron - 213 938 (697 489 all tickets sold)

2. Deadpool - 206 096 (759 083 all tickets sold)

3. Iron Man 3 - 201 733 (611 850 all tickets sold)

4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - 191 309 (574 920 all tickets sold)

5. Suicide Squad - 171 512 (773 920 all tickets sold)

 

Avengers will easily beat Suicide Squad's record and maybe will broke 1 mln in tickets sold!

 

[John Rambo]

AIW grossed 2.5-3m on wednesday in India. 

[juni78ukr]

2nd best opening weekend in Ukraine

35.99 mln UAH or $1.37 mln 

37.87 mln UAH or $1.44 mln including previews

Edited May 3, 2018 by juni78ukr

[kswiston]

11 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

$2 Billion is looking good! Just need 2nd Weekend of NA to be decent and $600M should be locked. A $400M+ total from China would be good too.

 

 

$600M is already locked in North America 

[Thrylos 7]

12 hours ago, a2k said:

There's a chance than AIW OS > BP WW

 

Seems like a lock to me, if the messages that china is sending come to fruition.

Edited May 3, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[peludo]

1 hour ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Seems like a lock to me, if the massages than china is sending come to fruition.

IMO, it is already locked. $1.4b OS seems already a realistic target with a 350-400 range from China. If China explodes even more (something that we should not rule out), then Titanic, both OS and WW, would be the target...

Edited May 3, 2018 by peludo