AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide

[Stewart]

8 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

Wait what??

Yep, should do at least $150m+ with a very likely upto $180m. Total will likely be $250m at most though, very short legs because of upfront demand like FF8 ($200m OW and $395m total with good wom)

[Fullbuster]

2 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Yep, should do at least $150m+ with a very likely upto $180m. Total will likely be $250m at most though, very short legs because of upfront demand like FF8 ($200m OW and $395m total with good wom)

 

I'd be totally ok with that, for a comicbook movie that's pretty huge!

[fabiopazzo2]

12 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

Wait what??

I think is impossible for Avengers. Is not Fast and furious but we will see 

[Fullbuster]

2 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

I think is impossible for Avengers. Is not Fast and furious but we will see 

 

You're right, it is 1000% better than Fast&Furious will ever be

[Mr Impossible]

Whoops sorry guys I thought the China release was this weekend. 

[Sam]

Predictions on second weekend drop in the OS markets? 

 

Labor Day May 1st falling on Tuesday will help weekdays numbers but gonna make the 2nd weekend drop look worse.

[PanaMovie]

21 minutes ago, Sam said:

Predictions on second weekend drop in the OS markets? 

 

Labor Day May 1st falling on Tuesday will help weekdays numbers but gonna make the 2nd weekend drop look worse.

I'm thinking

 

OW DOM - 220M 

OW OS    - 265M

 

OW WW  - 485M so #3 WW opening weekend

 

and over 55% drop the second weekend with labor day on tuesday 

[fmpro]

3 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

 

Wait what??

 

Could happen with 9,0+ on maoyan

[Fullbuster]

51 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Could happen with 9,0+ on maoyan

 

I was surprised because China isn't really friendly to comicbook movies as a whole...they're just doing fine enough but nothing big.

[MattW]

Rank	Title	Studio	Worldwide Opening	Domestic Opening / %		Overseas Opening / %		Year
1	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$541.9	$98.8	18.2%	$443.2	81.8%	2017
2	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$529.0	$248.0	46.9%	$281.0	53.1%	2015
3	Jurassic World	Uni.	$525.5	$208.8	39.7%	$316.7	60.3%	2015
4	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$483.2	$169.2	35.0%	$314.0	65.0%	2011
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$450.8	$220.0	48.8%	$230.8	51.2%	2017

[KP1025]

A bit of a shame Disney couldn't secure the same opening date for China. IW would have taken the WW opening record by a huge margin.

[Sam]

43 minutes ago, MattW said:

Rank	Title	Studio	Worldwide Opening	Domestic Opening / %		Overseas Opening / %		Year
1	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$541.9	$98.8	18.2%	$443.2	81.8%	2017
2	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$529.0	$248.0	46.9%	$281.0	53.1%	2015
3	Jurassic World	Uni.	$525.5	$208.8	39.7%	$316.7	60.3%	2015
4	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$483.2	$169.2	35.0%	$314.0	65.0%	2011
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$450.8	$220.0	48.8%	$230.8	51.2%	2017

Very strong chance at #4 WW opening.

 

But without China, I’m hard pressed to say it can get to #3 or higher.

[fmpro]

7 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

 

I was surprised because China isn't really friendly to comicbook movies as a whole...they're just doing fine enough but nothing big.

Its The Avengers. Its also huge there.. But it needs good/great WOM to get over 2*OW in total

[cookieleeann]

Not gonna lie I would be a little disappointed if this doesn't break 1b OS. If this movie can't do it then I don't see any future mcu movie doing it...atleast anytime soon.

[UserHN]

11 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

Not gonna lie I would be a little disappointed if this doesn't break 1b OS. If this movie can't do it then I don't see any future mcu movie doing it...atleast anytime soon.

How about Avengers 4 next year?

[cookieleeann]

1 minute ago, UserHN said:

How about Avengers 4 next year?

I'm not so sure about that. Hopefully I'm wrong though

[Fullbuster]

1 hour ago, UserHN said:

How about Avengers 4 next year?

 

1 hour ago, cookieleeann said:

I'm not so sure about that. Hopefully I'm wrong though

 

If exchange rates improve in Latin America by next year (which seems likely from what I see) then it's a possibility if you combine it with bigger Asian markets.

Edited April 22, 2018 by Fullbuster

[pepsa]

Don't think 1B will be a problem. I will go over that, the question is how much? 25m, 50m, 100m? 

[Fullbuster]

8 hours ago, KP1025 said:

A bit of a shame Disney couldn't secure the same opening date for China. IW would have taken the WW opening record by a huge margin.

 

That's why it's important for Disney to expand in China in many fields, that's a way to gain influence and avoid being dampened by bureaucracy.

 

 

[peludo]

16 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

 

I'd be totally ok with that, for a comicbook movie that's pretty huge!

Not too far from Ultron's figures. In China, openings are becoming bigger and legs lower. Ultron opened to $155m and finished with $240m. The difference is that Ultron had a 6-day OW (Tuesday-Sunday) and IW is having a 3-day OW. But at the end, the result would be the same. Unless IW explodes, SH genre has been pretty stable in China along last 4 years: 200-250 for Avengers films (I include Civil War here) and 100-125 for the rest of films.