The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

5 minutes ago, Molek said:

What OW does that translate to?

 

If it played out like TS4 then about $240m. I don’t expect that, but it’s looking good for $200m.

[Taruseth]

43 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

TLK - 7.4m

 

OUAT - 269k(😏)

 

H&S - 300k

Was B&tB final one 9.5m or was that earlier?

 

[Deep Wang]

13 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 I don’t expect that, but it’s looking good for $200m.

I don’t know, there’s something in the numbers that MTC doesn’t like and my source was told to close earlier.  

 

Maybe they are gun shy because of how the summer has gone, but they aren’t going after it all day long like they would normally. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, Deep Wang said:

I don’t know, there’s something in the numbers that MTC doesn’t like and my source was told to close earlier.  

 

Maybe they are gun shy because of how the summer has gone, but they aren’t going after it all day long like they would normally. 

 

That’s unusual. So far nothing in our patterns indicates anything strange, but I guess we will see.

[FlashMaster659]

On 7/13/2019 at 10:50 AM, FlashMaster659 said:

 

The Lion King - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Friday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

9:00 AM - 52/203

12:00 PM - 38/203

3:00 PM - 59/203

6:00 PM - 157/203

9:00 PM - 168/203

12:00 AM - 28/203

 

RealD 3D

 

10:00 AM - 2/167

1:15 PM - 2/167

4:30 PM - 12/167

7:45 PM - 23/167

11:00 PM - 0/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

10:15 AM - 16/78

1:30 PM - 19/78

4:45 PM - 31/78

8:00 PM - 54/78

11:15 PM - 22/78

 

2D

 

8:00 AM - ?/217*

8:30 AM - ?/114*

9:30 AM - 10/167

11:00 AM - 28/217

11:45 AM - 29/114

12:30 PM - 3/167

2:00 PM - 0/217

3:15 PM - 9/114

3:45 PM - 0/167

5:15 PM - 22/217

6:15 PM - 59/114

7:00 PM - 112/167

8:30 PM - 99/217

9:30 PM - 22/114

10:15 PM - 18/167

11:30 PM - 2/217

 

Total

 

1092(+59)/5150 (21.2%)

 

Toy Story 4 had sold 712 seats 4 days before opening day

0.2923x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame 6 days before opening day

 

*Glitched sell-outs once again. Although telling from the pattern that the total-seats-in-the-theater numbers form, it's easy to assume the max capacity of those shows.

 

The Lion King - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Friday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

9:00 AM - 66/203

12:00 PM - 48/203

3:00 PM - 84/203

6:00 PM - 160/203

9:00 PM - 171/203

12:00 AM - 30/203

 

RealD 3D

 

10:00 AM - 2/167

1:15 PM - 4/167

4:30 PM - 18/167

7:45 PM - 32/167

11:00 PM - 2/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

10:15 AM - 35/78

1:30 PM - 28/78

4:45 PM - 45/78

8:00 PM - 55/78

11:15 PM - 25/78

 

2D

 

8:00 AM - ?/217*

8:30 AM - ?/114*

9:30 AM - 16/167

11:00 AM - 61/217

11:45 AM - 38/114

12:30 PM - 10/167

2:00 PM - 0/217

3:15 PM - 9/114

3:45 PM - 0/167

5:15 PM - 33/217

6:15 PM - 74/114

7:00 PM - 116/167

8:30 PM - 127/217

9:30 PM - 34/114

10:15 PM - 23/167

11:30 PM - 8/217

 

Total

 

1354(+262)/5150 (26.3%)

 

1.9017x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 four days before opening day

 

*Glitched sell-outs once again. Although telling from the pattern that the total-seats-in-the-theater numbers form, it's easy to assume the max capacity of those shows.

[Cap]

2 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

I don’t know, there’s something in the numbers that MTC doesn’t like and my source was told to close earlier.  

 

Maybe they are gun shy because of how the summer has gone, but they aren’t going after it all day long like they would normally. 

 

 

 

[TalismanRing]

Movie Days Before MTC Total OW/E         AQM 4 $2m $67.87m Avengers: EG 1 $50.8m $357m Avengers: IW 3 $17.4m $257.7m B&TB 7 $4.1m $174.75m B&TB 1 $10m $174.75m BvS 1 $8.9m $166m Captain Marvel 3 $9.3m $153.43m Captain Marvel 9 $5.4m $153.43m Civil War 1 $9.8m $179m         GOTG2 1 $8.1m $146.5m Incredibles 2 3 $4m $182m IT 1 $3.8m $123.4m         Justice League 1 $5.6m $93.84m SM: FFH 1 $8.3m $92.5m ($185m - 6 day) SM:HC 1 $4.8m $117m SW: TLJ 1 $32m $220m SW:TFA 1? $36m $248m The Lion King 16 $2.6m   Thor R 1 $5.6m $122.74m

[Cap]

@TalismanRing you are a goddess. Thank you. 

[keysersoze123]

Phenomenal work @TalismanRing

30 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

I don’t know, there’s something in the numbers that MTC doesn’t like and my source was told to close earlier.  

 

Maybe they are gun shy because of how the summer has gone, but they aren’t going after it all day long like they would normally.  

What does that mean? MTC is expecting lower OW? Is the numbers heavily skewed towards Previews or OD?

[FlashMaster659]

On 7/14/2019 at 8:24 AM, FlashMaster659 said:

 

The Lion King – AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 159/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 176/203

9:00 PM - 167/203

12:00 AM - 91/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 35/78

6:30 PM - 15/63

7:00 PM - 24/78

8:45 PM - 22/60

9:15 PM - 7/78

9:45 PM - 6/63

10:15 PM - 9/78

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 8/55

7:30 PM - 4/167

8:00 PM - 8/114

9:00 PM - 2/79

10:30 PM - 3/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 38/63

8:00 PM - 40/61

8:30 PM - 43/63

10:45 PM - 35/63

11:15 PM - 28/61

11:45 PM - 11/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 23/44

6:15 PM - 32/55

6:30 PM - 84/217

6:45 PM - 14/44

7:00 PM - 46/79

7:15 PM - 25/44

7:45 PM - 22/44

8:00 PM - 22/45

8:15 PM - 59/167

8:30 PM (1) - 17/45

8:30 PM (2) - 32/114

8:45 PM - 15/44

9:00 PM - 13/49

9:15 PM - 10/44

9:30 PM (1) - 8/55

9:30 PM (2) - 2/55

9:45 PM - 7/217

10:00 PM - 10/48

10:15 PM - 8/79

10:30 PM - 6/44

11:15 PM - 0/45

11:30 PM - 16/167

11:45 PM - 0/114

 

Total

 

1402(+58)/4089 (34.3%)

 

The Lion King – AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 154/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 179/203

9:00 PM - 167/203

12:00 AM - 94/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 37/78

6:30 PM - 19/63

7:00 PM - 34/78

8:45 PM - 22/60

9:15 PM - 7/78

9:45 PM - 6/63

10:15 PM - 12/78

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 13/55

7:30 PM - 9/167

8:00 PM - 8/114

9:00 PM - 4/79

10:30 PM - 3/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 38/63

8:00 PM - 40/61

8:30 PM - 44/63

10:45 PM - 36/63

11:15 PM - 30/61

11:45 PM - 15/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 24/44

6:15 PM - 32/55

6:30 PM - 119/217

6:45 PM - 21/44

7:00 PM - 48/79

7:15 PM - 24/44

7:45 PM - 24/44

8:00 PM - 22/45

8:15 PM - 63/167

8:30 PM (1) - 19/45

8:30 PM (2) - 44/114

8:45 PM - 17/44

9:00 PM - 17/49

9:15 PM - 10/44

9:30 PM (1) - 8/55

9:30 PM (2) - 7/55

9:45 PM - 6/217

10:00 PM - 13/48

10:15 PM - 8/79

10:30 PM - 12/44

11:15 PM - 0/45

11:30 PM - 18/167

11:45 PM - 0/114

 

Total

 

1527(+125)/4089 (34.3%)

 

1.7177x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 three days before previews

[FlashMaster659]

1 hour ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Nearly double TS4 at the same point in time

Oh wait I had that wrong

 

MORE than double TS4

[FlashMaster659]

32 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Movie Days Before MTC Total OW/E         AQM 4 $2m $67.87m Avengers: EG 1 $50.8m $357m Avengers: IW 3 $17.4m $257.7m B&TB 7 $4.1m $174.75m B&TB 1 $10m $174.75m BvS 1 $8.9m $166m Captain Marvel 3 $9.3m $153.43m Captain Marvel 9 $5.4m $153.43m Civil War 1 $9.8m $179m         GOTG2 1 $8.1m $146.5m Incredibles 2 3 $4m $182m IT 1 $3.8m $123.4m         Justice League 1 $5.6m $93.84m SM: FFH 1 $8.3m $92.5m ($185m - 6 day) SM:HC 1 $4.8m $117m SW: TLJ 1 $32m $220m SW:TFA 1? $36m $248m The Lion King 16 $2.6m   Thor R 1 $5.6m $122.74m

Is this days before previews or OD?

[Sunny Max]

6 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

The Lion King – AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 154/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 179/203

9:00 PM - 167/203

12:00 AM - 94/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 37/78

6:30 PM - 19/63

7:00 PM - 34/78

8:45 PM - 22/60

9:15 PM - 7/78

9:45 PM - 6/63

10:15 PM - 12/78

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 13/55

7:30 PM - 9/167

8:00 PM - 8/114

9:00 PM - 4/79

10:30 PM - 3/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 38/63

8:00 PM - 40/61

8:30 PM - 44/63

10:45 PM - 36/63

11:15 PM - 30/61

11:45 PM - 15/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 24/44

6:15 PM - 32/55

6:30 PM - 119/217

6:45 PM - 21/44

7:00 PM - 48/79

7:15 PM - 24/44

7:45 PM - 24/44

8:00 PM - 22/45

8:15 PM - 63/167

8:30 PM (1) - 19/45

8:30 PM (2) - 44/114

8:45 PM - 17/44

9:00 PM - 17/49

9:15 PM - 10/44

9:30 PM (1) - 8/55

9:30 PM (2) - 7/55

9:45 PM - 6/217

10:00 PM - 13/48

10:15 PM - 8/79

10:30 PM - 12/44

11:15 PM - 0/45

11:30 PM - 18/167

11:45 PM - 0/114

 

Total

 

1527(+125)/4089 (34.3%)

 

1.7177x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 three days before previews

Excellent ... 

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Is this days before previews or OD?

OD since those 4 days away were Mondays.

[Alli]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

 

 

OUAT - 269k(😏)

 

H&S - 300k

H&S is gonna disappoint so badly

[ThomasNicole]

54 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

That’s unusual. So far nothing in our patterns indicates anything strange, but I guess we will see.

Maybe the numbers are big and they are preventing themselves of another TS4 situation

[FlashMaster659]

On 7/12/2019 at 7:46 PM, FlashMaster659 said:

The Lion King - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX 2D

 

6:00 PM - 42/532

12:00 AM - 0/532

 

IMAX 3D

 

9:00 PM - 16/532

 

RPX 2D

 

6:40 PM - 8/744

 

RPX 3D

 

9:40 PM - 0/744

 

RealD 3D

 

6:30 PM - 0/150

9:20 PM - 0/150

12:15 AM - 0/150

 

2D

 

6:20 PM - 4/411

6:45 PM - 1/211

7:00 PM - 9/404

7:20 PM - 0/331

7:40 PM (1) - 0/338

7:40 PM (2) - 0/133

8:00 PM - 0/196

8:15 PM - 0/154

8:30 PM - 0/123

8:45 PM - 0/157

9:15 PM - 0/138

9:30 PM - 0/411

9:45 PM - 0/211

10:00 PM - 0/404

10:20 PM - 0/331

10:40 PM - 0/338

10:45 PM - 0/133

11:00 PM - 0/196

11:10 PM - 0/154

11:20 PM - 0/155

11:30 PM - 0/123

11:45 PM - 0/157

12:10 AM - 0/138

 

Total

 

80/8881 (0.9%)

 

The Lion King - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX 2D

 

6:00 PM - 63/532

12:00 AM - 1/532

 

IMAX 3D

 

9:00 PM - 18/532

 

RPX 2D

 

6:40 PM - 1/744

 

RPX 3D

 

9:40 PM - 0/744

 

RealD 3D

 

6:30 PM - 0/150

9:20 PM - 0/150

12:15 AM - 0/150

 

2D

 

6:20 PM - 14/411

6:45 PM - 1/211

7:00 PM - 11/404

7:20 PM - 2/331

7:40 PM (1) - 0/338

7:40 PM (2) - 0/133

8:00 PM - 0/196

8:15 PM - 0/154

8:30 PM - 0/123

8:45 PM - 5/157

9:15 PM - 0/138

9:30 PM - 0/411

9:45 PM - 0/211

10:00 PM - 0/404

10:20 PM - 0/331

10:40 PM - 0/338

10:45 PM - 0/133

11:00 PM - 0/196

11:10 PM - 0/154

11:20 PM - 0/155

11:30 PM - 0/123

11:45 PM - 0/157

12:10 AM - 0/138

 

Total

 

116(+36)/8881 (1.3%)

[Porthos]

5 hours ago, Taruseth said:

Isn't that overall kinda good like it's above every other movie (I know that Eg and IW had totally different pattern)

It's very good as all the comps quoted there (various large CBMs and Solo), except for DP2, keep rising.  The rate of growth has slowed a tiny bit, but still growing.

 

It'll be interesting to see how TLK competes against these heavy hitters as they hit their own ramp ups and what those comps, flawed that they are, suggest at final bell.

[Tinalera]

Toronto ontario canada 
The Lion King
July 18

Scotiabank Theatre

IMAX
630 239/416
930 194/416

Queensway 

VIP
630 130/136
700 119136
930 68/136
1000 117/136

AVX
630 165/377
700 80/377
930. 62/377
1000 100/377

Recliner
615 124/279
95 72/279

Yonge and dundas

VIP
650 74/77
950. 68/77

ULTRAAVX
750 183/377
1020 25/377

720 67/82
920 46/78

Recliner
610 49/228
650 121/228
700 0/246
815 58/227
900 9/227
1000 33/227
1015 2/275
1050 3/227

4dx
600 67/77
900 46/77

Continued growth maybe a couple of sellouts in smaller screens looking good overall

[FlashMaster659]

On 7/13/2019 at 4:59 PM, FlashMaster659 said:

The Lion King - AMC Victoria Gardens 12 (Thursday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 102/157

9:00 PM - 103/157

 

RealD 3D

 

6:00 PM - 7/231

9:00 PM - 0/231

 

2D

 

6:25 PM - 36/300

6:50 PM - 2/199

7:15 PM - 4/199

7:40 PM - 6/145

8:05 PM - 9/232

8:30 PM - 19/145

9:25 PM - 3/300

9:50 PM - 2/199

10:15 PM - 4/199

10:40 PM - 3/145

11:30 PM - 6/145

 

Total

 

306/2984 (10.3%)

 

The Lion King - AMC Victoria Gardens 12 (Thursday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 104/157

9:00 PM - 104/157

 

RealD 3D

 

6:00 PM - 7/231

9:00 PM - 0/231

 

2D

 

6:25 PM - 51/300

6:50 PM - 2/199

7:15 PM - 11/199

7:40 PM - 6/145

8:05 PM - 12/232

8:30 PM - 22/145

9:25 PM - 8/300

9:50 PM - 2/199

10:15 PM - 4/199

10:40 PM - 3/145

11:30 PM - 8/145

 

Total

 

344(+38)/2984 (11.5%)