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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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20 hours ago, filmlover said:

A $50M+ opening will translate to a $200M+ (closer to $250M) total so...

I think Illumination and Universal will be happy with $50-60m OW especially as it'll do well over the holidays. The only concern is OS where Dr Seuss isn't as popular. 

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4 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

I think Illumination and Universal will be happy with $50-60m OW especially as it'll do well over the holidays. The only concern is OS where Dr Seuss isn't as popular. 

I'm surprised that Illumination didn't make the Whos look like Minions for that O/S cash.

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12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000 NEW $55,000,000 NEW   Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000 NEW $80,000,000 NEW   Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Second Act $10,000,000 NEW $40,000,000 NEW   STX
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000 NEW $90,000,000 NEW  

Sony / Columbia

 

 

I believe in 18-21 for "The Mule" and 35 for Spiderverse.

Edited by KeepItU25071906
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Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
         
A Wrinke In Time   4,864   15,601
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665  
Blockers  504 1,106 2,931  
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109  
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881  
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423  
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000
Overboard 84 409 1,044  
Breaking In 727 1204 2,899  
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010  
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
Show Dogs 6 128 369  
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Action Point  17 48 197  
Upgrade  9 119 522  
Adrift 63 308 1,268  
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181  
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Tag 314 660 1,448  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403  
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201  
Antman & The Wasp  6,613 5,990 11,108  
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308    
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875
Unfriended   71 240 975
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777
Eighth Grade 494 508 720 936
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737
BlackkKlansman  432 682 1,934 5,017
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911
Kin 21 141 263 741
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915
Searching 303 588 1,194 2,862
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881
Peppermint  286 863 2,508 4,441
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659
House With Clocks 897 1469 3607 8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715
Life Itself 79 162 394 953
Assassination Nation   36 94 382
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566  
Small Foot 734 1,261 2,448  
Hellfest 195 304 661  
Little Women   65 134  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350
Halloween 9,563 12,980 21,600 36,126
The Hate U Give (2k expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055
*4pm-12am        
         
         
         
October 26th        
Hunter Killer 9 10 7 11
Indivisible   3 8 6
         
November 2nd        
Bohemian Rhapsody 453 438 477 319
The Nutcracker & the Four Realms 81 102 99 57
         
Nov 9th        
Grinch 123   117 74
         
Nov 16th        
Fantastic Beasts 2 359 3,395 2,128 911
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7 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

 

 

12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000 NEW $55,000,000 NEW   Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000 NEW $80,000,000 NEW   Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Second Act $10,000,000 NEW $40,000,000 NEW   STX
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000 NEW $90,000,000 NEW  

Sony / Columbia

 

 

I believe in 18-21 for "The Mule" and 35 for Spiderverse.

 

Mortal Engines looks right, might even be overestimated. Spiderverse might open a bit better. As with all holiday releases, the big deal is with legs as opposed to a big opening. These movies are at a disadvantage since this year the big holiday legs will be for the openings on the 19th and 21st. These movies should do 3-4x legs, the 19th and 21st openers will do 5-6x.

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Too busy/tired to do the report for last night, so here is yesterday's and today's FB2 numbers.  To save screen real estate, I'll put everything except the top line info for yesterday behind a spoiler bar.

 

==========

(Thr Report)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

94

12488

13377

6.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:      83 

Spoiler

 

.1626x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after three days of pre-sales.

.1378x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 28 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.4522x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 22 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) [I do not have info for the first ten days of pre-sales for BP]

.5193x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 21 days before release (DP2 had 29 days* of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

[I do not have info for the first seven days of pre-sales for DP2]

.3052x as many tickets sold as Solo after three days of pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

1.0207x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after three days of pre-sales (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

* Like FB2, some theaters also had seats on sale early for DP2 for a couple of days.

 

[Sometime in the next eight days or so, "X days before the release" will be the comp for all movies]

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-28 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

6

1025

1399

26.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      35

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-28 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

88

11463

11978

4.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                     48

 

==========

(Fri Report)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

94

12400

13377

7.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:       88 

 

.1726x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after four days of pre-sales.

.1498x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 27 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.4969x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 22 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) [I do not have info for the first ten days of pre-sales for BP]

.5707x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 21 days before release (DP2 had 29 days* of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

[I do not have info for the first seven days of pre-sales for DP2]

.3225x as many tickets sold as Solo after four days of pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

1.0198x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after four days of pre-sales (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

* Like FB2, some theaters also had seats on sale early for DP2 for a couple of days.

 

[Sometime in the next eight days or so, "X days before the release" will be the comp for all movies]

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-27 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

6

996

1399

28.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      29

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-27 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

88

11404

11978

4.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    59

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Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-26 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

94

12340

13377

7.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:       60 

 

.1800x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after five days of pre-sales.

.1572x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 26 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.5275x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 22 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) [I do not have info for the first ten days of pre-sales for BP]

.6057x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 21 days before release (DP2 had 29 days* of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

[I do not have info for the first seven days of pre-sales for DP2]

.3359x as many tickets sold as Solo after five days of pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.9829x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after five days of pre-sales (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

* Like FB2, some theaters also had seats on sale early for DP2 for a couple of days.

 

[Sometime in the next few days or so, "X days before the release" will be the comp for all movies]

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-26 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

6

978

1399

30.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      18

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-26 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

88

11362

11978

5.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      42

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4 hours ago, Napoleon said:

How is Fantastic Beasts doing in presales?

It's a little early too say, as it has a few more days of presales than some of the movies I've been tracking.

 

Not gangbusters, but not terrible either. I am a little concerned about how quickly the ticket-per-day pace is falling off, as it reminds me a bit too much of a Movie Which Shall Not Be Named.  But it's still very early days, and FB2 also started a bit sooner than some of the other movies I've been tracking (it started 30 days out and I only have tracking info for IW that far out [BP and DP2 had info 29 days out, but I wasn't tacking either of those films until later in their presale runs]).

 

More to the point, I only track the preview night(s), so I wouldn't have any sort of useful info for the actual F/St/Su numbers.  If I had to guess, I'd say barely over 10m for preview/sneaks, but that's not even an educated guess right now. So don't hold me to it. :)

 

So, ask again in a week or two, as then I'll have many more comparison points for "x days before release".

Edited by Porthos
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Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-25 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

94

12289

13377

8.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:       51 

 

.1856x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after six days of pre-sales.

.1634x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 25 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.5534x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 22 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) [I do not have info for the first ten days of pre-sales for BP]

.6355x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 21 days before release (DP2 had 29 days* of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

[I do not have info for the first seven days of pre-sales for DP2]

.3443x as many tickets sold as Solo after six days of pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.9453x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after six days of pre-sales (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

* Like FB2, some theaters also had seats on sale early for DP2 for a couple of days.

 

[Sometime in the next few days or so, "X days before the release" will be the comp for all movies]

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-25 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

6

961

1399

31.31%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      17

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-25 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

88

11328

11978

5.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      34

Edited by Porthos
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https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/fandango-becomes-latin-america-top-online-movie-ticketing-service-1154159?utm_source=twitter

 

Online movie ticketing network Fandango has expanded its global reach under a multi-year deal with leading theater chains in Latin America, adding more than 5,000 screens in 15 countries.

 

In an announcement made out of the ShowEast Expo, Fandango said it has inked deals with Cinemark, Cinepolis and Cinemex, allowing its subsidiary Fandango Latin America to significantly up its presence in Mexico, Colombia, Chile, Bolivia and Peru. With Fandango's Brazil subsidiary Ingresso.com, Fandango's total coverage in Latin America comprises more than half of all screens across the region.

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Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-24 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

94

12221

13377

8.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:       68 

 

.1933x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after seven days of pre-sales.

.1719x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 24 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.5880x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 22 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) [I do not have info for the first ten days of pre-sales for BP]

.6752x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 21 days before release (DP2 had 29 days* of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

[I do not have info for the first seven days of pre-sales for DP2]

.3591x as many tickets sold as Solo after seven days of pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.9196x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after seven days of pre-sales (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

* Like FB2, some theaters also had seats on sale early for DP2 for a couple of days.

 

[Sometime in the next few days or so, "X days before the release" will be the comp for all movies]

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-24 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

6

957

1399

31.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                        4

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-24 Days and counting:

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

88

11264

11978

5.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      64

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Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
         
A Wrinke In Time   4,864   15,601
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665  
Blockers 504 1,106 2,931  
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109  
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881  
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423  
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000
Overboard 84 409 1,044  
Breaking In 727 1204 2,899  
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010  
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
Show Dogs 6 128 369  
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Action Point 17 48 197  
Upgrade 9 119 522  
Adrift 63 308 1,268  
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181  
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Tag 314 660 1,448  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403  
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201  
Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108  
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308    
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875
Unfriended   71 240 975
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777
Eighth Grade 494 508 720 936
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737
BlackkKlansman 432 682 1,934 5,017
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911
Kin 21 141 263 741
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915
Searching 303 588 1,194 2,862
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881
Peppermint 286 863 2,508 4,441
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659
House With Clocks 897 1469 3607 8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715
Life Itself 79 162 394 953
Assassination Nation   36 94 382
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566  
Small Foot 734 1,261 2,448  
Hellfest 195 304 661  
Little Women   65 134  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350
Halloween 9,563 12,890 21,600 36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055
Hunter Killer 91      
Indivisible 33      
*4pm-12am        

 

Movie/Day Monday
   
Bohemian 1,035
Nutcracker 191
Nobodys Fool 39
   
The Grinch 153
Overlord 18
   
Fantastic Beasts 1,018
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