The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Atreides]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinke In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826	206,000
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1469	3607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Small Foot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867	31,569
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641	21,501
First Man	654	909	3,610	7,586
Goosebumps 2	300	631	1,733	3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale	264	481	1,257	3,350
Halloween	9,563	12,890	21,600	36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion)	1,026	1,542	1,559	2,055
Hunter Killer	91	368	1,062	2,726
Indivisible	33	89	204	440
Bohemian Rhapsody	7,255	9,026	12,546	26,476
Nutcracker	1,659	1,949	2,567	5,518
Nobody's Fool	436	900	1,719	4,437
The Grinch	3,580	4,860	10,092	17,046
Spider's Web	286	718	1735	3554
Overlord	299	604	1599	4522
Fantastic Beasts	8,956	14,238
Widows	310	868
Instant Family	230	565
*4pm-12am

 

 

Movie/Day	Monday	Tuesday
Ralph 2	795	992
Creed II	540	772
Robin Hood	62	83

 

 

Remember Fantastic Beasts had those Fantastic Fandom screenings. I'll probably look into how much they impacted sales yesterday, but I'm too tired and lazy to look at it right now.

[WrathOfHan]

Could Widows and Instant Family fall below the low end of the 10-18M tracking? These presales are fucking horrible.

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Could Widows and Instant Family fall below the low end of the 10-18M tracking? These presales are fucking horrible.

They're very much the definition of "walk-up movies." I wouldn't read much into their presales.

[MrGlass2]

4 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Remember Fantastic Beasts had those Fantastic Fandom screenings. I'll probably look into how much they impacted sales yesterday, but I'm too tired and lazy to look at it right now. 

1662 Tuesday tickets were for Tuesday screenings.

[Eric Atreides]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Could Widows and Instant Family fall below the low end of the 10-18M tracking? These presales are fucking horrible.

To be fair, both of those movies aren't really presales-driven

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

They're very much the definition of "walk-up movies." I wouldn't read much into their presales.

Actually wait - Widows is barely behind First Man, and that was a pre-sale driven movie because of IMAX

 

Still pretty weak for Instant Family compared to other comedies tho

[Brinatico]

12 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

1662 Tuesday tickets were for Tuesday screenings.

Woah. The idea FB2 has that good Tuesday presales because of fan screen fall from a rift 

[Valonqar]

y

31 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Actually wait - Widows is barely behind First Man, and that was a pre-sale driven movie because of IMAX

 

Still pretty weak for Instant Family compared to other comedies tho

I think that Widows will open better than IF. That one at least has arthouse/awards-caring crowd. What does IF have? It targets family movies and market is crowded with family stuff. 

[MrGlass2]

It looks like FB2 is following Halloween in presales, which would make for a good OW considering the mixed/decent reviews. It is also close to ASiB and JW:FK so I can quite confidently predict an opening between $42M and $148M.

 

More seriously, akvalley started his tracking so that others could use all these numbers to build a "predictive data model", I wonder if anything has come of that yet.

[filmlover]

12 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

y

I think that Widows will open better than IF. That one at least has arthouse/awards-caring crowd. What does IF have? It targets family movies and market is crowded with family stuff. 

Instant Family is actually getting decent reviews so far. We can probably thank Rose Byrne and Octavia Spencer.

[Valonqar]

Just now, filmlover said:

Instant Family is actually getting decent reviews so far. We can probably thank Rose Byrne and Octavia Spencer.

Oh Octavia is in it? Than it'll have audience. She's a draw or at least an added value.

[filmlover]

Just now, Valonqar said:

Oh Octavia is in it? Than it'll have audience. She's a draw or at least an added value.

Yeah, but in a supporting role.

[Valonqar]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, but in a supporting role.

doesn't matter. People love her. she was in a supporting role in quite a few movies that did better than expected. 

[stripe]

21 hours ago, Welfin said:

70m is a pipe dream.

 

60m might be a longshot at this point. 

 

 

 

What? Not even 60M? What are the data to sustain that?

 

For me, all signs point to around 70M opening. Presales are solid. Trailer views are solid. Marketing last push is strong.

 

HP movies are so consistent. Awareness between Potter fans is solid. Stronger links to the original HP saga.

 

Also, the market this year is healthy.

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Actually wait - Widows is barely behind First Man, and that was a pre-sale driven movie because of IMAX

 

Still pretty weak for Instant Family compared to other comedies tho

Based on Widows' UK opening, the movie is on par to open to first man's opening, which will be somewhat disappointing, given great review, and heist film has been absent for quite some while 

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

heist film has been absent for quite some while

We had Ocean 8/Den of Thieve and I imagine Hurricane Heist (not seen but with that title) this year, Logan Lucky/Baby Driver last year.

[Valonqar]

And Solo. 

[DAJK]

Widows never seemed to me like a widely-appealing movie. Honestly thought it was going limited for the longest time. 

[Curtis1986]

Widows already in the top 5 on MC is a very good sign

[filmlover]

16 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Widows never seemed to me like a widely-appealing movie. Honestly thought it was going limited for the longest time. 

I thought a few months ago it was gonna perform similarly to The Town but that movie had a much better hook and marketing campaign than this ended up having. Should still be good for a $15M/$50-60M type of run, which is solid for a midrange adult-targeted title.

Edited November 14, 2018 by filmlover