The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Neucentro]

12 hours ago, Pinacolada said:

I feel like Annapurna shafted Vice's theater count this week. Theater count went like 33% down. Weird after having small drops over the week and weekend

All the while Warner Bros was able to add theaters to The Mule in Week 5.  It tells you major distributors have a lot more leverage over movie theaters than smaller ones (Annapurna) do.

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Neucentro said:

All the while Warner Bros was able to add theaters to The Mule in Week 5.  It tells you major distributors have a lot more leverage over movie theaters than smaller ones (Annapurna) do.

 

The Mules had a significantly better PTA last weekend despite the higher TC and not really worst drops, it must true that studio support must help a movie keeping theater while those small are really left  to how well they are doing and what else theater can play more pure market, but that is not the clearest more telling example of that considering how much better the Mule is doing in sales.

[Neucentro]

5 minutes ago, Barnack said:

 

The Mules had a significantly better PTA last weekend despite the higher TC and not really worst drops, it must true that studio support must help a movie keeping theater while those small are really left  to how well they are doing and what else theater can play more pure market, but that is not the clearest more telling example of that considering how much better the Mule is doing in sales.

Vice received a Golden Globes bump and has been even with The Mule in PTA since Monday.   It's safe to say the cost of keeping a film in theaters for longer is higher for smaller distributors.

[Barnack]

32 minutes ago, Neucentro said:

Vice received a Golden Globes bump and has been even with The Mule in PTA since Monday.   It's safe to say the cost of keeping a film in theaters for longer is higher for smaller distributors.

What do you mean by cost ? They have to recommit to more support marketing to keep them ?

[Neucentro]

17 minutes ago, Barnack said:

What do you mean by cost ? They have to recommit to more support marketing to keep them ?

More the contractual agreement between a distributor and a movie theater. Probably the terms are more favorable to the major distributors. For example, there is no obligatory two-week window for small distributors.

[Wonder89]

13 hours ago, Porthos said:

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-55 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	8691	10608

Total Seats Sold Today:               64

 

 

Day Four Comps:

 

IW:      195 tickets sold 

Solo:   116 tickets sold 

JW:FK:   87 tickets sold 

FB2:      88 tickets sold 

😰😰

Do you think this slowdown is normal?

Edited January 12, 2019 by Wonder89

[Porthos]

17 minutes ago, Wonder89 said:

😰😰

Do you think this slowdown is normal?

Completely and utterly.  Especially when there is such a long wait ahead between the start of tickets selling and the movie opening.

 

Every last movie I have tracked, including the massive Infinity War, has sales slow to a trickle for after the initial rush of sales.

 

I almost made a point about this last night, but decided against it as I figured I could point it out if anyone asked.

 

Edited January 12, 2019 by Porthos

[Deep Wang]

6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Completely and utterly.  Especially when there is such a long wait ahead between the start of tickets selling and the movie opening.

 

Every last movie I have tracked, including the massive Infinity War, has sales slow to a trickle for after the initial rush of sales.

 

I almost made a point about this last night, but decided against it as I figured I could point it out if anyone asked.

 

Yup, I know I have mentioned it as well.  Especially if the sales start really early.  

 

@grim22 probably remembers, but I think BATB was able to get close to 1m in the first 24 hours.  Does anyone remember what day that was?

 

3/2/17 it was at 2.6m

3/7/17 it was at 3.2m

3/16/17 it was at 10m

 

Big launch followed by slow and steady, then it ramps up each week as it gets close.

 

 

[MrGlass2]

On 1/12/2019 at 6:45 AM, MrGlass2 said:

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	19.811%	14384	The Upside
2	10.644%	7728	Aquaman
3	06.362%	4619	A Dogs Way Home
4	06.285%	4563	On the Basis of Sex
5	06.020%	4371	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-12 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	17.839%	12974	The Upside
2	11.977%	8711	Aquaman
3	07.892%	5740	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
4	06.634%	4825	A Dogs Way Home
5	06.083%	4424	Mary Poppins Returns (2018)
6	05.870%	4269	Escape Room (2019)
7	05.604%	4076	On the Basis of Sex
8	04.429%	3221	Bumblebee
9	03.640%	2647	Dragon Ball Super Broly
10	03.315%	2411	The Mule (2018)

[Porthos]

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-54 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	8593	10608	19.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               98

 

.3498x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after five days of pre-sales.

1.0249x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after nine days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for BP]

1.1770x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after nine-plus days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for DP2] 

.6527x as many tickets sold as Solo after five days of pre-sales. 

1.9100x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after five days of pre-sales.
1.9431x as many tickers sold as FB2 after five-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Five Comps:

 

IW:        99 tickets sold [1 sellout/107 showings |   4899/10660 seats left  | 54.04% sold] 

Solo:     58 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings  |   6261/9348 seats left    | 33.02% sold]

JW:FK:   97 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   9058/10113 seats left  | 10.43% sold]

FB2:      60 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12340/13377 seats left  |   7.75% sold]

Edited January 16, 2019 by Porthos

[MrGlass2]

23 hours ago, MrGlass2 said:

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	17.839%	12974	The Upside
2	11.977%	8711	Aquaman
3	07.892%	5740	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
4	06.634%	4825	A Dogs Way Home
5	06.083%	4424	Mary Poppins Returns (2018)

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-13 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	18.132%	11972	The Upside
2	12.036%	7947	Aquaman
3	07.909%	5222	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
4	06.420%	4239	Dragon Ball Super Broly
5	05.898%	3894	A Dogs Way Home
6	05.699%	3763	Escape Room (2019)
7	05.242%	3461	Mary Poppins Returns (2018)
8	04.703%	3105	Bumblebee
9	04.424%	2921	On the Basis of Sex
10	03.281%	2166	The Mule (2018)

[Porthos]

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-53 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	8522	10608	19.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               71

 

.3558x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after six days of pre-sales.

1.0610x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after nine days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for BP]

1.2185x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after nine-plus days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for DP2] 

.6601x as many tickets sold as Solo after six days of pre-sales. 

1.8123x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after six days of pre-sales.
1.9173x as many tickers sold as FB2 after six-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Six Comps:

 

IW:      102 tickets sold [1 sellout/107 showings |   4797/10660 seats left  | 55.00% sold] 

Solo:     73 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings  |   6188/9348 seats left    | 33.80% sold]

JW:FK:   96 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8962/10113 seats left  | 11.38% sold]

FB2:      51 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12289/13377 seats left  |   8.13% sold]

Edited January 16, 2019 by Porthos

[Neucentro]

How is Glass looking?  It should enter Pulse soon right?

[MrGlass2]

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-14 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	15.667%	8891	Dragon Ball Super Broly
2	13.383%	7595	The Upside
3	11.672%	6624	Fandango Early Access How to Train Your Dragon The Hidden World
4	08.166%	4634	Aquaman
5	04.900%	2781	Glass (2019)
6	04.722%	2680	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
7	03.877%	2200	On the Basis of Sex
8	03.348%	1900	Mary Poppins Returns (2018)
9	03.320%	1884	Escape Room (2019)
10	03.309%	1878	A Dogs Way Home

 

Almost 9000...

[Porthos]

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-52 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	8460	10608	20.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               62

 

.3593x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after seven days of pre-sales.

1.0926x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after nine days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for BP]

1.2547x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after nine-plus days of pre-sales [I do not have info for the first eight days of pre-sales for DP2] 

.6673x as many tickets sold as Solo after seven days of pre-sales. 

1.7088x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after seven days of pre-sales.
1.8581x as many tickers sold as FB2 after seven-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Seven Comps:

 

IW:      116 tickets sold [1 sellout/113 showings |   5032/11011 seats left  | 54.30% sold] 

Solo:     59 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings  |   6129/9348 seats left    | 34.44% sold]

JW:FK: 106 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8856/10113 seats left  | 12.43% sold]

FB2:      68 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12221/13377 seats left  |   8.64% sold]

Edited January 17, 2019 by Porthos

[MrGlass2]

Quote

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-14 09:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	15.878%	9955	Dragon Ball Super Broly

How high can it go?

Also what can explain these numbers, seriously: only available through Fandango or only presales?

[Eric Atreides]

DO NOT QUOTE

 

Spoiler

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinkle In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826	206,000
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1,282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade (1K expansion)	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching (1K expansion)	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1,469	3,607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Smallfoot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867	31,569
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641	21,501
First Man	654	909	3,610	7,586
Goosebumps 2	300	631	1,733	3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale	264	481	1,257	3,350
Halloween	9,563	12,890	21,600	36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion)	1,026	1,542	1,559	2,055
Hunter Killer	91	368	1,062	2,726
Indivisible	33	89	204	440
Bohemian Rhapsody	7,255	9,026	12,546	26,476
Nutcracker	1,659	1,949	2,567	5,518
Nobody's Fool	436	900	1,719	4,437
The Grinch	3,580	4,860	10,092	17,046
Spider's Web	286	718	1,735	3,554
Overlord	299	604	1,599	4,522
Fantastic Beasts	8,956	14,238	21,861	31,880
Widows	310	868	2,219	4,179
Instant Family	230	565	1,325	2,584
Ralph 2 (Wed)	7,005	12,131	19,183	15,559
Creed II (Wed)	6,712	12,083	15,354	15,870
Robin Hood (Wed)	1,602	1,846	2,621	2,632
Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion)	387	922	1,701	2,268
Possession of Hannah Grace	105	285	893	3,053
Mortal Engines	465	785	1,504	3,475
The Mule	791	1,779	3,882	6,235
Spider-Verse	3,715	5,208	9,858	19,972
Once Upon A Deadpool (Wed)	1,732	3,402	3,621	2,310
Mary Poppins (Wed)	7,713	9,137	16,304
Aquaman	8,502	9,671	15,063
Bumblebee	1,553	1,817	3,157
Second Act	353	611	1,204
Marwen	299	403	658
Escape Room	111	368	1,543	7,297
Dogs Way Home	259	623	1,516	3,257
On the Basis (2K expansion)	537	1,043	2,200	3,511
Replicas	21	133	336	1,002
Upside	394	1,431	3,669	8,602
Glass	3,106
*4pm-12am

 

Glass

3,106

 

Glass' Monday is:

143% of Quiet Place's: 71.6M

471% of Hereditary's: 64M

219% of Equalizer 2's: 76.6M

202% of The Meg's: 91.6M

149% of The Nun's: 80.3M

240% of The Predator's: 59.1M

23% of Venom's: 18.3M

32% of Halloween's: 24.7M

200% of Bumblebee's: 43.3M (Xmas movie)

 

The Halloween comp gives me pause, but this is still looking mad impressive.

 

Dragon 3 Early

6,957

 

Captain Marvel

1,118

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

DO NOT QUOTE

143% of Quiet Place's: 71.6M

471% of Hereditary's: 64M

219% of Equalizer 2's: 76.6M

202% of The Meg's: 91.6M

149% of The Nun's: 80.3M

240% of The Predator's: 59.1M

23% of Venom's: 18.3M

32% of Halloween's: 24.7M

200% of Bumblebee's: 43.3M (Xmas movie)

 

The Halloween comp gives me pause, but this is still looking mad impressive.

 

Dragon 3 Early

6,957

 

Captain Marvel

1,118

Of these options, I think Glass is gonna fall more Predator than any of the top choices (aka hard core fan base with a movie with subpar rotten tomato score), so I hope it picks up even more this week:)....

Edited January 15, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[DAJK]

Looks like reviews at least won’t hurt Glass’s upfront demand at least. 50-60 3-day still in the cards

[Stewart]

2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

Glass

3,106

 

Glass' Monday is:

143% of Quiet Place's: 71.6M

471% of Hereditary's: 64M

219% of Equalizer 2's: 76.6M

202% of The Meg's: 91.6M

149% of The Nun's: 80.3M

240% of The Predator's: 59.1M

23% of Venom's: 18.3M

32% of Halloween's: 24.7M

200% of Bumblebee's: 43.3M (Xmas movie)

 

The Halloween comp gives me pause, but this is still looking mad impressive.

 

Dragon 3 Early

6,957

 

Captain Marvel

1,118

Is it just me or is that absolutely huge for Dragons? (Given the number of early screenings available)