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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-15 14:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	26.532%	15819	Dragon Ball Super Broly
2	11.135%	6639	The Upside
3	08.463%	5046	Glass (2019)
4	07.608%	4536	Aquaman
5	04.780%	2850	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
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2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Reviews didn't help as with A Quiet Place (original film) but The Nun had worse reviews.  Marketing is part of it but the "franchise" also isn't as strong or maybe as stable as The Conjuring to slough off those bad reviews for o/w.

 

The Nun was part of an established brand though, while Glass is mostly relying on Split (Unbreakable came out what is basically a lifetime ago in Hollywood years). Guess we’re about to see how much demand for this crossover there really was.

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Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-15 19:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	33.828%	20666	Dragon Ball Super Broly
2	09.702%	5927	Glass (2019)
3	09.186%	5612	The Upside
4	05.968%	3646	Aquaman
5	04.246%	2594	Fandango Early Access How to Train Your Dragon The Hidden World

 

How high can it go?

 

hqdefault.jpg

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Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-50 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8327

10608

21.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              74

 

.3705x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after nine days of pre-sales.

1.1602x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after nine days of pre-sales.

1.3324x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after nine-plus days of pre-sales.

.6797x as many tickets sold as Solo after nine days of pre-sales. 

1.6200x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after nine days of pre-sales.
1.8651x as many tickers sold as FB2 after nine-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day NIne Comps:

 

BP:       n/a tickets sold [1 sellout/62 showings   |    4137/6103 seats left   | 32.21% sold] 

IW:        53 tickets sold [1 sellout/113 showings |   4855/11011 seats left  | 55.91% sold] 

DP2:      98 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings | 10045/11757 seats left  | 14.56% sold] 

Solo:     51 tickets sold [1 sellouts/87 showings  |   5992/9348 seats left    | 35.90% sold]

JW:FK:   59 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8705/10113 seats left  | 13.92% sold]

FB2:      19 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12154/13377 seats left  |   9.14% sold]

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10 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-50 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8327

10608

21.50%

 

1.1602x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after nine days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day NIne Comps:

 

BP:       n/a tickets sold [1 sellout/62 showings   |    4137/6103 seats left   | 32.21% sold] 

 

Just decided to do a little experiment. 

 

I've said on multiple occasions that the local BP comp is a little off due to a new theater complex opening in town, as well more local theaters adding reserved seating in the last year.

 

So I decided to check out what Captain Marvel would look like if that new theater wasn't around and I didn't have that new reserved seating info.

 

Mooted Captain Marvel Adjusted Seat Chart [NOT AT ALL ACCURATE - STRICTLY FOR LIKE-FOR-LIKE COMP ONLY!!!!]

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

75

6339

8253

23.19%

 

.97355x as many tickets sold as Black Panther  after nine days of sales at equivalent theaters (1914 for CM vs 1966 for BP). 

 

====

 

That it is even close to BP in a like-for-like battle just shows how much things have changed in the last year when it come pre-sales for Marvel, as well as showing what an utter monster BP was in its run up to its release. 

 

Black Panther exploded like wildfire over its last two weeks and really set the ball rolling for Marvel's domination of 2018.

 

------------

 

Now, yes, I can't simply just nuke an entire theater complex worth of sales and act like it doesn't exist, since many of those folks would have gone elsewhere in town.  But it is still throwing off the comp a little, so I wanted to see what might have been without Regal Delta Shores existing.  

 

Perhaps the more interesting thing is the percentage of seats sold for CM going up slightly.  Shows that the percent sold is being weighted down a bit by the theaters that just switched over to reserved seating (if I include Delta Shores, the percent sold is a nearly identical 23.02%).

 

Of course the really noteworthy thing is the 32% seats sold for BP.  Outside of Infinity War, the only other film close to that was Solo.  And while Solo had very weak pre-sales for a Star Wars film (which presaged its own bombage), even weak SW pre-sales are a whole 'nother category from most films.

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DO NOT QUOTE

Spoiler
Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
         
A Wrinkle In Time   4,864   15,601
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665  
Blockers 504 1,106 2,931  
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109  
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881  
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423  
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000
Overboard 84 409 1,044  
Breaking In 727 1204 2,899  
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010  
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
Show Dogs 6 128 369  
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Action Point 17 48 197  
Upgrade 9 119 522  
Adrift 63 308 1,268  
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181  
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Tag 314 660 1,448  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Sicario 2 788 1,282 3,403  
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201  
Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108  
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308    
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875
Unfriended   71 240 975
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777
Eighth Grade (1K expansion) 494 508 720 936
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737
BlackkKlansman 432 682 1,934 5,017
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911
Kin 21 141 263 741
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915
Searching (1K expansion) 303 588 1,194 2,862
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881
Peppermint 286 863 2,508 4,441
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659
House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715
Life Itself 79 162 394 953
Assassination Nation   36 94 382
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566  
Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448  
Hellfest 195 304 661  
Little Women   65 134  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350
Halloween 9,563 12,890 21,600 36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055
Hunter Killer 91 368 1,062 2,726
Indivisible 33 89 204 440
Bohemian Rhapsody 7,255 9,026 12,546 26,476
Nutcracker 1,659 1,949 2,567 5,518
Nobody's Fool 436 900 1,719 4,437
The Grinch 3,580 4,860 10,092 17,046
Spider's Web 286 718 1,735 3,554
Overlord 299 604 1,599 4,522
Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880
Widows 310 868 2,219 4,179
Instant Family 230 565 1,325 2,584
Ralph 2 (Wed) 7,005 12,131 19,183 15,559
Creed II (Wed) 6,712 12,083 15,354 15,870
Robin Hood (Wed) 1,602 1,846 2,621 2,632
Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion) 387 922 1,701 2,268
Possession of Hannah Grace 105 285 893 3,053
Mortal Engines 465 785 1,504 3,475
The Mule 791 1,779 3,882 6,235
Spider-Verse 3,715 5,208 9,858 19,972
Once Upon A Deadpool (Wed) 1,732 3,402 3,621 2,310
Mary Poppins (Wed) 7,713 9,137 16,304  
Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063  
Bumblebee 1,553 1,817 3,157  
Second Act 353 611 1,204  
Marwen 299 403 658  
Escape Room 111 368 1,543 7,297
Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257
On the Basis (2K expansion) 537 1,043 2,200 3,511
Replicas 21 133 336 1,002
Upside 394 1,431 3,669 8,602
Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478  
*4pm-12am        

 

Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478

 

61% of A Quiet Place's Wednesday: 30.5M

204% of Hereditary: 27.6M

28% of Jurassic World 2: 41.2M

58% of Ant-Man 2: 44.2M

107% of Equalizer 2: 38.4M

48% of Fallout: 29.2M

96% of The Meg: 43.7M

47% of The Nun: 25.2M

142% of The Predator: 35.1M

31% of Venom: 24.9M

30% of Halloween: 22.8M

43% of Aquaman: 29.2M (Xmas release)

205% of Bumblebee: 44.4M (Xmas release)

 

Yikes. Bumblebee's the biggest one here, and that feels like a stretch, since that had more family appeal. Maybe there's more walk-ups than we think, but there's probably gonna be a lot of meltdowns in the weekend thread.

Dragon 3 Early 6,957 4,396 2,329

Captain Marvel 1,118 886 772

 

Edited by CoolEric258
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On 1/8/2019 at 10:54 PM, WrathOfHan said:

 

A Dog's Way Home: 5 (Below Average)

On the Basis of Sex: 5 (Biggest and Smallest x0.2)

Replicas: 5 (Average)

The Upside: 5 (Average and Smallest x0.2)

Ben Is Back: 4 (Smallest)

A Star Is Born: 4 (Return; Dolby)

 

Aquaman: 8 (Down 3; IMAX and Biggest)

Bumblebee: 5 (Down 4; Average x0.2 and Below Average)

Escape Room: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Mary Poppins Returns: 5 (Down 6; Average and Smallest x0.2)

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 5 (Up 1; Smallest)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

The Favourite: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

If Beale Street Could Talk: 4 (Down 1; Above Average)

Mary Queen of Scots: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

The Mule: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

Vice: 4 (Down 1; Above Average)

Bohemian Rhapsody: 2 (Flat; 1 2D/1 Sing A Long; Average x0.4)

Holmes and Watson: 2 (Down 4; Smallest x0.4)

Second Act: 2 (Down 3; Average x0.4)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: 1 (Down 3; Smallest x0.2)

 

During the weekend, A Dog's Way Home pushes Spider-Verse out of one of the biggest auditoriums, and Escape Room gets extra shows from Mary Queen of Scots.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

Ben Is Back, Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, Holmes and Watson, and Mary Queen of Scots are gone.

 

Glass: 13 (IMAX, Dolby, Biggest, and Smallest x0.2)

Canal Street: 5 (Average)

Dragon Ball Super: Broly: 4 (Below Average)

Green Book: 2 (Return; Smallest x0.4)

Creed II: 1 (Return; Below Average x0.25)

 

A Dog's Way Home: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse: 5 (Flat; Above Average)

The Upside: 5 (Flat; Biggest and Below Average x0.25)

Aquaman: 4 (Down 4; Biggest)

Bumblebee: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Escape Room: 4 (Down 1; Above Average)

The Favourite: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

If Beale Street Could Talk: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

The Mule: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

On the Basis of Sex: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Vice: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

Bohemian Rhapsody: 2 (Flat; Below Average x0.5)

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 2 (Down 3; Smallest x0.4)

A Star Is Born: 2 (Down 2; Smallest x0.4)

Replicas: 1 (Down 4; Smallest x0.2)

Second Act: 1 (Down 1; Smallest x0.2)

 

During the weekend, Glass steals shows from a lot of movies.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler


IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

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How tonight looks at my theater:

 

Glass:

 

7:00 Dolby: 95/236

7:00: 18/107

7:00 IMAX: 13/372

7:30: 20/104

8:00: 8/107

9:00: 0/104

9:30: 3/67

10:00: 2/107

10:15 Dolby: 36/236

10:30 IMAX: 5/372

10:45: 2/104

Total: 202/1,916

 

Dragon Ball:

 

7:00: 59/77

7:00: 46/54 (only wheelchairs remain)

10:00: 48/77

Total: 153/208

 

YIKES @ Glass. They gave it too many showtimes, but even then, Dolby is accounting for almost two-thirds of sales tonight.

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1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

DO NOT QUOTE

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

61% of A Quiet Place's Wednesday: 30.5M

204% of Hereditary: 27.6M

28% of Jurassic World 2: 41.2M

58% of Ant-Man 2: 44.2M

107% of Equalizer 2: 38.4M

48% of Fallout: 29.2M

96% of The Meg: 43.7M

47% of The Nun: 25.2M

142% of The Predator: 35.1M

31% of Venom: 24.9M

30% of Halloween: 22.8M

43% of Aquaman: 29.2M (Xmas release)

205% of Bumblebee: 44.4M (Xmas release)

 

Yikes. Bumblebee's the biggest one here, and that feels like a stretch, since that had more family appeal. Maybe there's more walk-ups than we think, but there's probably gonna be a lot of meltdowns in the weekend thread.

Dragon 3 Early 6,957 4,396 2,329
Captain Marvel 1,118 886 772

 

 

Yeah, the pre-sales completely fell off the pace of AQP & The Nun which I think are the two best comps.

 

But it should get a Sunday boost with President's Day Monday

Edited by TalismanRing
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In Glass' defense, the other movies didn't have to deal with a Winter Storm that will impact the NorEast this weekend. I'd assume Glass would have had a lot of business in Philadelphia that will likely be shut out on Saturday and Sunday.

 

Still inexcusable and will likely still underperform, considering Han's pre-sales in FL, but it's still an important thing to recognize.

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20 minutes ago, filmlover said:

You cursed it @WrathOfHan

 

In all seriousness though, Glass seems destined to underperform at this point. Either the reviews sucked all the buzz out of the movie, its appeal was overestimated, or both.

It's got a 20 million budget, it's going to be profitable within a week. 70 M seemed way too much from the beginning, 50 M + will be great for it

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