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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Jesus just a side note before I get to Glass, one of the local Cineplex I track still has Bohemian Rhapsody as their #1 seller... 2.5 months after it opened :lol: 

Anyways..

 

Glass:

Regular - 78/85

61% Bohemian Rhapsody ($31.1M)

289% Bad Times at the El Royale ($20.6M)

144% First Man ($23M)

87% Fantastic Beasts ($54.1M)

 

IMAX - 99/431

177% First Man IMAX ($28.33M)

137% Bohemian Rhapsody IMAX ($69.9M)

39% Fantastic Beasts IMAX ($24.2M)

 

Okay so my comps are all over the place with this one (clearly I need to get more comps lol) but I'd say based on this things are looking like 30 or so 3-day (I'll go with 35-38 cause of the Sunday bump plus my comps are wack) but I think matching Split should be the goal at this point. 

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Glass sales:

 

7:00 Dolby: 134/236

7:00: 36/107

7:00 IMAX: 17/372

7:30: 36/104

8:00: 44/107

9:30: 27/67

10:00: 10/107

10:15 Dolby: 68/236

10:30 IMAX: 4/372

10:45: 12/104

Total: 388/1,812

 

70% of Aquaman (47.5M)

100% of Creed II (35.6/56M)

135% of Spider-Verse (48.2M)

150% of Bohemian Rhapsody (77.8M; Dolby broke down this night however)

490% of Overlord (50M)

 

Eh, I doubt this is going below 40 for the 3 day. 50M may be a bit of a reach but isn't impossible. 

 

Dragon Ball:

 

7:00: 70/77

7:00: 49/54

9:00: 53/104

10:15: 27/67

10:30: 66/77

Total: 265/379

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Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-01-17 01:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	27.456%	17394	Glass (2019)
2	25.958%	16445	Dragon Ball Super Broly
3	08.361%	5297	The Upside
4	04.423%	2802	Aquaman
5	03.345%	2119	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse

MT

2019-01-18 06:00:29.618047 UTC
1	24.2%	Glass
2	18.9%	Dragon Ball Super: Broly
3	9%	The Upside
4	5.4%	Aquaman
5	4.1%	A Dog's Way Home
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Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-49 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8277

10608

21.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              50

 

.3762x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after ten days of pre-sales.

1.1338x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after ten days of pre-sales.

1.2993x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

.6848x as many tickets sold as Solo after ten days of pre-sales. 

1.5697x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after ten days of pre-sales.
1.8325x as many tickers sold as FB2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Ten Comps:

 

BP:        90 tickets sold [1 sellout/62 showings   |    4047/6103 seats left   | 33.69% sold] 

IW:        40 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4855/11011 seats left  | 56.27% sold] 

DP2:      82 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings |   9963/11757 seats left  | 15.26% sold] 

Solo:     48 tickets sold [1 sellouts/87 showings  |   5944/9348 seats left    | 36.41% sold]

JW:FK:   77 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8628/10113 seats left  | 14.68% sold]

FB2:      49 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12105/13377 seats left  |   9.51% sold]

 

==========

 

As noted, tonight will be the last night I do any comps for any other movies except for Infinity War.  The other movies are just getting too close to their World Premieres and/or too close to their opening nights for the comps to be of much use.  Since IW had 41 days of pre-sales, however, I'll keep a track with it.

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6 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

giphy.gif

A 15-year-old kid who got banned from r/boxoffice for being a manipulative and trolling piece of crap. He also is supposedly a closeted homosexual irl but I wouldn't be surprised if he said that just so that r/boxoffice would feel bad for him and delay his inevitable ban.

 

What is surprising though is that he is a huge MCU fanboy.

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4 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

A 15-year-old kid who got banned from r/boxoffice for being a manipulative and trolling piece of crap. He also is supposedly a closeted homosexual irl but I wouldn't be surprised if he said that just so that r/boxoffice would feel bad for him and delay his inevitable ban.

 

What is surprising though is that he is a huge MCU fanboy.

When I saw the username of the post, I just instantly put him on ignore 😂

 

I think 3 posts is the fewest anybody I’ve ignored has had

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2 hours ago, Porthos said:

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-49 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8277

10608

21.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              50

 

.3762x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after ten days of pre-sales.

1.1338x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after ten days of pre-sales.

1.2993x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

.6848x as many tickets sold as Solo after ten days of pre-sales. 

1.5697x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after ten days of pre-sales.
1.8325x as many tickers sold as FB2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Ten Comps:

 

BP:        90 tickets sold [1 sellout/62 showings   |    4047/6103 seats left   | 33.69% sold] 

IW:        40 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4855/11011 seats left  | 56.27% sold] 

DP2:      82 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings |   9963/11757 seats left  | 15.26% sold] 

Solo:     48 tickets sold [1 sellouts/87 showings  |   5944/9348 seats left    | 36.41% sold]

JW:FK:   77 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8628/10113 seats left  | 14.68% sold]

FB2:      49 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12105/13377 seats left  |   9.51% sold]

 

==========

 

As noted, tonight will be the last night I do any comps for any other movies except for Infinity War.  The other movies are just getting too close to their World Premieres and/or too close to their opening nights for the comps to be of much use.  Since IW had 41 days of pre-sales, however, I'll keep a track with it.

CM is holding much better than i expected

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So Glass almost doubled it's number of ticket sales at akvalley compared to when I looked there ca. 12 hours ago. I also don't see a weekend under 40M. And hopefully it's true that Glass will have lots of walk ups. So far it's at 78% at RT and 4/5 with 300-400 more votes than yesterday evening but of course could be mostly fan votes.

MT after the first update:
#1 Glass 27.8% – Halloween had at that time a little bit over 50%, that's still only a bit over the half for Glass, but it's nice how fast it climed after only 12% yesterday at that time; Fantastic Beasts 2 had 41.5% at the same time but than decreased
#2 Dragon Ball 15.4%
#3 The Upside 9.1%
#4 Aquaman 5.1%
#5 Spider-Man 4.5%

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5 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

A 15-year-old kid who got banned from r/boxoffice for being a manipulative and trolling piece of crap. He also is supposedly a closeted homosexual irl but I wouldn't be surprised if he said that just so that r/boxoffice would feel bad for him and delay his inevitable ban.

 

What is surprising though is that he is a huge MCU fanboy.

....

tenor.gif?itemid=3747920

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10 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

CM is holding much better than i expected

Yes, it is, but it's also got a little bit of random variation helping it.  For the last three days or so, the overall sales were more in line with what I was expecting as I was compiling them, only to shoot up a bit after one or two of the theaters in town sold more tickets for an individual showing than others were in the region.

 

I suspect, and this is only a suspicion, that the upper-medium tier of theaters in town are getting some of their very best seats sold at the prime time showings, and once those seats get nabbed, the seats sold will really drop off a cliff, baring random variation on any given day.

 

I've been expecting this large drop off (and by that I mean seats sold in the entire region to hit the low 20s to low 40s [or lower!]) to occur any day now, and I've refrained from commenting on it too much, simply so I don't become the Poster Who Cried Crash.

 

...

 

That being said, it is coming. ;)  Just a matter of which day it is.  Perhaps today.  Perhaps tomorrow.  I can't say when it will happen, only that it will.  Probably. :lol:

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12 hours ago, Porthos said:

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-49 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8277

10608

21.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              50

 

.3762x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after ten days of pre-sales.

1.1338x as many tickets sold as Black Panther after ten days of pre-sales.

1.2993x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

.6848x as many tickets sold as Solo after ten days of pre-sales. 

1.5697x as many tickets sold as JW:FK after ten days of pre-sales.
1.8325x as many tickers sold as FB2 after ten-plus days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Day Ten Comps:

 

BP:        90 tickets sold [1 sellout/62 showings   |    4047/6103 seats left   | 33.69% sold] 

IW:        40 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4855/11011 seats left  | 56.27% sold] 

DP2:      82 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings |   9963/11757 seats left  | 15.26% sold] 

Solo:     48 tickets sold [1 sellouts/87 showings  |   5944/9348 seats left    | 36.41% sold]

JW:FK:   77 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings  |   8628/10113 seats left  | 14.68% sold]

FB2:      49 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings  | 12105/13377 seats left  |   9.51% sold]

 

==========

 

As noted, tonight will be the last night I do any comps for any other movies except for Infinity War.  The other movies are just getting too close to their World Premieres and/or too close to their opening nights for the comps to be of much use.  Since IW had 41 days of pre-sales, however, I'll keep a track with it.

Above IW below solo. 260m OW, 0.8x multiplier conformed. 

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1 hour ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Above IW below solo. 260m OW, 0.8x multiplier conformed. 

Below 1x multi is quite a feat.      

 

Mojo might report something like that for a foreign market if it was very frontloaded and ER changed rapidly.

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WONDER PARK now has some company on the weekend of March 15-17. Per BOM, FIVE FEET APART moves there from March 22, and CAPTIVE STATE moves there from March 29.

 

Revised March wide release schedule:

 

MARCH 1

Chaos Walking | Lionsgate *we know this is moving*

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral | Lionsgate

 

MARCH 8

Captain Marvel | Disney

 

MARCH 15

Captive State | Focus Features

Five Feet Apart | Lionsgate

Wonder Park | Paramount

 

MARCH 22

Greyhound | Sony/Columbia *this is also moving*

Hotel Mumbai | Bleecker Street

The Informer | Aviron

Us | Universal

 

MARCH 29

Dumbo (2019) | Disney

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2 minutes ago, JB33 said:

WONDER PARK now has some company on the weekend of March 15-17. Per BOM, FIVE FEET APART moves there from March 22, and CAPTIVE STATE moves there from March 29.

 

Revised March wide release schedule:

 

MARCH 1

Chaos Walking | Lionsgate *we know this is moving*

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral | Lionsgate

 

MARCH 8

Captain Marvel | Disney

 

MARCH 15

Captive State | Focus Features

Five Feet Apart | Lionsgate

Wonder Park | Paramount

 

MARCH 22

Greyhound | Sony/Columbia *this is also moving*

Hotel Mumbai | Bleecker Street

The Informer | Aviron

Us | Universal

 

MARCH 29

Dumbo (2019) | Disney

It seems Lionsgate and Paramount are aware about the dangerous POWAH of baby elephants.

 

tenor.gif?itemid=5288335

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Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-48 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

8240

10608

22.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              37

 

.3792x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after eleven days of pre-sales.

 

Day 11 Comp:

 

IW:        49 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4766/11011 seats left  | 56.72% sold] 

 

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