The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cdsacken]

2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Long standing brand name that plays for children but also appeals to adults.  Not bad.  Though DP will probably have a stronger teen and young male audience b/c of Reynolds.

Offset by losing the younger children crowd. Seems like a great comp that it might over perform against. I very much disliked Dumbo, 4 year old daughter loved it.

Edited April 19, 2019 by cdsacken

[Nero]

1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Time	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday
Avengers: Endgame	26,081	27,623	33,668	26,817
	11 days	10 days	9 days	8 days
Detective Pikachu	350	258	240	234
	25 days	24 days	23 days	22 days
John Wick 3	1,361	734	601	291
	32 days	31 days	30 days	29 days
Secret Life of Pets 2	11	11	12	13
	53 days	52 days	51 days	50 days

 

Endgame

Last 7 Days (14-8)

181% of Black Panther (365M)

152% of Infinity War (393.1M)

349% of Captain Marvel (535.3M)

 

Day 17-8

186% of Black Panther (374.9M)

165% of Infinity War (426.4M)

411% of Captain Marvel (630.4M)

 

Day 22-8

198% of Infinity War (509.6M)

532% of Captain Marvel (815.7M)

 

Cumulative (minus first two days)

121% of Infinity War (312.8M)

329% of Captain Marvel (505.1M)

From the above data can we say 300M is happening... 

[Lordmandeep]

My theatre for Saturday 

 

10:00AM: 179/350

1030am: 196/370

11am: 234/370

1pm: 129/350 *3d

2pm: 263/370

2:30pm: 257/370

3pm: 265/370

5pm: 203/250 *3d

6pm: 234/350

6:30pm: 247/370

7pm: 250/370

9pm:  129/350 *3d

10pm: 214/370

1030 : 218/370

11pm: 241/370

 

 

Sat record seems like it will go down

 

[TalismanRing]

26 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Offset by losing the younger children crowd. Seems like a great comp that it might over perform against. I very much disliked Dumbo, 4 year old daughter loved it.

Your daughter would feel at home with the French Press

 

http://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=230141.html

 

[Horner]

sorry wrong thread

Edited April 19, 2019 by Horner

[Perfundle]

cdsacken's daughter:

 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Perfundle said:

 

 

It really is amazing that the "Christ, what an asshole" truism when it comes to New Yorker cartoons still works all these years later.

Edited April 19, 2019 by Porthos

[Nova]

FYI: Scott posted an article saying Detective Pikachu is tracking for $50M. I couldn't find anything from Variety or Deadline yet. So its tracking similar to Dumbo and Shazam so those are the two movies I'll be using as comps after End Game opens. Maybe How To Train Your Dragon 3 as well but we shall see 

Edited April 19, 2019 by Nova

[rerga]

1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:

My theatre for Saturday 

 

10:00AM: 179/350

1030am: 196/370

11am: 234/370

1pm: 129/350 *3d

2pm: 263/370

2:30pm: 257/370

3pm: 265/370

5pm: 203/250 *3d

6pm: 234/350

6:30pm: 247/370

7pm: 250/370

9pm:  129/350 *3d

10pm: 214/370

1030 : 218/370

11pm: 241/370

 

 

Sat record seems like it will go down

 

You're from Toronto, right?

 

I saw you say "UltraAvx" earlier in this thread

[Porthos]

6 hours ago, Taruseth said:

That are a lot of small screens that are showing a superhero movie.

Was just surprised as in the closest city for me (in Germany) only the three cinemas owned by chains are showing it, okay, they all have normal seats (or maybe about 5-10% better seats).

the one I normally go to has 11 screens with 166, 166, 280, 578, 305, 175, 175, 322, 425, 425, 322 seats.

One of the two others has 10 screens with 228, 260, 280, 138, 92, 454, 288, 348, 505, 288 seats (those have between 10 and 20 better seats)

And the third one has 11 screens with 426, 606, 425, 143, 143, 143, 147, 234, 234, 143, 143 seats.

So out of 32 screens just one is below 135 seats.

 

The thing is, a lot of multiplexes out here (and not just in Sacramento) are built on smallish footprints, so they try to cram in as many screens as possible in smaller locations.

 

Places that "should" be something like an eight screen multiplex are instead a twelve or fourteen.  I've even seen the occasional "this is really a supersized Home Theater room, isn't it" tucked in the back of a multiplex. 

 

I wouldn't want to see a film in such an small auditorium like I described in that last paragraph. But then again, for something like Endgame, theaters are going to try to stuff as much as they can, where they can.  Sure, they'll dump all the holdovers into the smallest screens they're allowed to, but once 10pm/11pm comes along those oversized home theater rooms probably start to look enticing as a "why not" to some theater managers.

Edited April 19, 2019 by Porthos

[FlashMaster659]

1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:

My theatre for Saturday 

 

10:00AM: 179/350

1030am: 196/370

11am: 234/370

1pm: 129/350 *3d

2pm: 263/370

2:30pm: 257/370

3pm: 265/370

5pm: 203/250 *3d

6pm: 234/350

6:30pm: 247/370

7pm: 250/370

9pm:  129/350 *3d

10pm: 214/370

1030 : 218/370

11pm: 241/370

 

 

Sat record seems like it will go down

 

Wasn't IW's Sat. the highest attended day of all time at your theater?

[Lordmandeep]

4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Wasn't IW's Sat. the highest attended day of all time at your theater?

Yes it was and endgame could beat that.

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Yes it was and endgame could beat that.

 

That would be a great comparison to see what kind of Saturday we’re on track for.

[rerga]

8 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Yes it was and endgame could beat that.

Which theater?

 

Is it Sc0t!@b@nk?

[HouseOfTheSun]

35 minutes ago, Nova said:

FYI: Scott posted an article saying Detective Pikachu is tracking for $50M. I couldn't find anything from Variety or Deadline yet. So its tracking similar to Dumbo and Shazam so those are the two movies I'll be using as comps after End Game opens. Maybe How To Train Your Dragon 3 as well but we shall see 

Alright well now THAT sounds too low 

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, Perfundle said:

cdsacken's daughter:

 

She's American with a British accent. It's quite funny. It's a mix but whenever she scolds me it's pure British. 

[Porthos]

Damn, they really gonna do it:

 

Quote

News Briefs

 

Cinema West Movie Theater Opening April 25, 2019 
Check website for tickets for The Avengers. On sale soon.
http://www.cinemawest.com

God help 'em all. 

Edited April 19, 2019 by Porthos

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Alright well now THAT sounds too low 

I mean if you’re saying it well then....,

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, Porthos said:

Damn, they really gonna do it:

 

 

 

One has to hope that they bring in experienced staff for the opening at least, or perhaps they won’t have a ton of customers show up 😕 

[TalismanRing]

Scott Mendelson

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2019/04/19/pokemon-detective-pikachu-box-office-ryan-reynolds-dwayne-johnson-tomb-raider-godzilla/#6fba6328739c

 

Quote

The first bits of tracking are in for summer’s second preordained mega-movie. Warner Bros. and Legendary’s Pokemon: Detective Pikachu is tracking for a Fri-Sun debut weekend of at least $50 million when it opens in North America (and much of the world) on May 10. Yes, that’s a lot lower than the $90 million predicted over at BoxOffice.com, but A) that site tends to guestimate quite early while emphasizing social media buzz, B )  they are both sometimes very wrong (Mary Poppins Returns) and sometimes very right (Captain Marvel) and C) I’m personally expecting buzz to grow exponentially (presuming the movie is at least halfway decent) once the Endgame madness dies down.

 

Except BOPro was not "very wrong" about MPR opening but it's legs which are not part of tracking and their prediction fell in line with official tracking so...