The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

John Wick 3 has taken the lead.

 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-14 20:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	24.902%	17113	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2	24.436%	16793	Avengers Endgame (2019)
3	18.373%	12626	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
4	03.577%	2458	The Hustle (2019)
5	03.059%	2102	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
6	02.886%	1983	Aladdin (2019)
7	02.856%	1963	Long Shot
8	02.318%	1593	Avengers Endgame  (2019)
9	02.184%	1501	The Intruder (2019)
10	01.420%	976	Poms
11	01.361%	935	A Dogs Journey
12	00.998%	686	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)

Apologies in advance for being picky, but EG still has a 1273 set lead when both are added in.

 

The rate of the gain though means it'll pass officially within a couple of hours. 👍

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

John Wick 3 has taken the lead.

 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-14 20:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	24.902%	17113	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2	24.436%	16793	Avengers Endgame (2019)
3	18.373%	12626	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
4	03.577%	2458	The Hustle (2019)
5	03.059%	2102	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
6	02.886%	1983	Aladdin (2019)
7	02.856%	1963	Long Shot
8	02.318%	1593	Avengers Endgame  (2019)
9	02.184%	1501	The Intruder (2019)
10	01.420%	976	Poms
11	01.361%	935	A Dogs Journey
12	00.998%	686	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)

Still roughly 1200 sets behind Endgame, which has 2 rows.

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, kitik said:

 

Rocketman is going to be another big music-based hit.

Yeah, it is. Not touching Bohemian Rhapsody but I think a $35M/$120M run is definitely looking likely.

[Porthos]

NOW OFFICIAL. 

 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-14 22:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	26.702%	18327	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2	24.081%	16528	Avengers Endgame (2019)
3	17.396%	11940	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
4	03.355%	2303	The Hustle (2019)
5	03.140%	2155	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
6	02.956%	2029	Aladdin (2019)
7	02.743%	1883	Long Shot
8	02.330%	1599	Avengers Endgame  (2019)
9	01.965%	1349	The Intruder (2019)
10	01.473%	1011	A Dogs Journey

 

THE KING IS DEAD, LONG LIVE THE KING.

 

(#1 on Fandango for, what a month?  Very very great run for EG.)

 

EDIT:::  

 

Looks to be one month exactly, as EG re-entered the top spot over at MT.com on April 15th and it probably did the same on Fandango.

 

What an utter historic run of dominance.  Bravo, EG, bravo. 

Edited May 16, 2019 by Porthos

[Mulder]

10 hours ago, Mulder said:

First count of today, only Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-97 (+2), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 2 Regular)

Aladdin-92, 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

John Wick-178 (+15), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 5 Regular) Final Day

Dark Phoenix-52 (+5), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

 

Good early signs for Wick and Phoenix's growth is honestly surprising me, it's not really slowing down at all at my theater...

Final count of today, only Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-100 (+5), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 2 Regular)

Aladdin-92, 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

John Wick-223 (+60), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 5 Regular) Final Day

Dark Phoenix-57 (+10), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

 

HOLY FUCK THIS JOHN WICK INCREASE AND KING OF THE MONSTERS HIT 100 TICKETS IN ONLY 5 DAYS!!!!!  Absolutely insane day today. Also Dark Phoenix is selling consistently well so...hmmmmmmmmm. Might do better then we think unless my theater is overperforming. Also Aladdin had another day of no ticket sales when it's only 8 days away...that's not what you want to see especially with KoTM hitting 100 tickets before Aladdin, in only 5 days. In total today Godzilla sold 5 tickets, John Wick sold an insane 60 tickets, and Dark Phoenix sold 10 tickets.

[Mulder]

23 hours ago, Mulder said:

FFH midnight showings-

FFH-58, 3 screenings (1 IMAX, 1 3D, 1 Regular)

 

Going to give it one more day, if it's quiet like this again I'll wait until it's about a week or two out to count it again.

FFH midnight showings-

FFH-62 (+4), 3 screenings (1 IMAX, 1 3D, 1 Regular)

 

Oh gosh damn it, it increased by a decent amount today which is great for FFH and my fangirl love for Spider-Man...not great for the tracker Fae (aka me). 

[Tentatek]

How did John Wick (an R-Rated series) get skins on fortnite like what LOL...

 

The promo is very clever and is one of the first movie tie in fortnite skins (before Marvel).

 

That definitely helped raise awareness of the series. 

[Mulder]

On 5/9/2019 at 12:29 AM, Mulder said:

Final count of today, only Thursdays-

Aladdin-69, 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

Detective Pikachu-227 (+39), 6 screenings (3 3D, 3 Regular) Final Day

John Wick-100 (+6), 4 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 Regular)

Holy fuck Pikachu today.  Tracking this movie has been such a pleasure seeing it go up and up has been incredible. In total today Detective Pikachu sold a whopping 39 tickets which is exactly what it needed for tomorrow, John Wick sold 6 tickets and hit 100, and Aladdin had another day selling 0 tickets which is...worrisome.

 

8 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Final count of today, only Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-100 (+5), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 2 Regular)

Aladdin-92, 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

John Wick-223 (+60), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 5 Regular) Final Day

Dark Phoenix-57 (+10), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

 

HOLY FUCK THIS JOHN WICK INCREASE AND KING OF THE MONSTERS HIT 100 TICKETS IN ONLY 5 DAYS!!!!!  Absolutely insane day today. Also Dark Phoenix is selling consistently well so...hmmmmmmmmm. Might do better then we think unless my theater is overperforming. Also Aladdin had another day of no ticket sales when it's only 8 days away...that's not what you want to see especially with KoTM hitting 100 tickets before Aladdin, in only 5 days. In total today Godzilla sold 5 tickets, John Wick sold an insane 60 tickets, and Dark Phoenix sold 10 tickets.

To compare. John Wick is almost 100% exact to Pikachu today, and Wick is definitely going to have more walk-ups then Pikachu ended up having imo, but even considering that it's only off by four tickets despite starting three hours later and being an R-Rated action movie. No way is this under Pikachu. 

[AnDr3s]

3 minutes ago, Tentatek said:

How did John Wick (an R-Rated series) get skins on fortnite like what LOL...

 

The promo is very clever and is one of the first movie tie in fortnite skins (before Marvel).

 

That definitely helped raise awareness of the series. 

he also was in payday 2

[Mulder]

Also honestly going to say it now. Aladdin's going to have a 50-60 three day and a 70-80 four day. I just do not see these fandango sales translating to my theater and while my theater's just one.... I am not getting a good vibe from anything beyond Wang's presales and CoolEric's fandango counts.

[Tentatek]

55 minutes ago, AnDr3s said:

he also was in payday 2

Pay day makes sense since it’s M rated.

Kids play Fornite. 

 

Either way, props to the marketing team.

Edited May 16, 2019 by Tentatek

[Tom Swelling]

Long time lurker. I wanted to contribute and I’m obsessed with Aladdin right now so here we go!  I’m rooting for it. Aladdin is one of my favourite animated films of all time. Here is opening weekend at the following theatre:

 

Aladdin: Yonge-Eglinton theatre, Toronto - 12 screens

 

Thursday - Two Showings:

 

7:10 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 28/320 = 8.75 %

 

10:00 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 3/345 = 0.87%

 

Friday - Four Showings:

 

7:40 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 71/279 = 25.4%

 

10:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 13/339 = 3.83%

 

1:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 0/348 = 0%

 

4:35 PM - D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 4/344 = 1.16%

 

Saturday - Four Showings

 

7:40 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 3/345 = 0.87%

 

10:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 4/344 = 0.87%

 

1:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 4/344 = 0.87%

 

4:35 PM - D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 5/343 = 1.46%

 

Sunday - Four Showings

 

7:40 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 4/344 = 0.87%

 

10:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 3D: 0/348 = 0%

 

1:30 PM – D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 0/348 = 0%

 

4:35 PM - D-BOX / Ultra AVX 2D: 0/348 = 0%

 

Total:  139/4739 = 2.93%

 

This was fascinating to compile. Obviously this doesn’t look good at my local theatre but this is mid-town Toronto so not many children. Mostly adults and younger couples. Still 8 days to go. I’m sure several more hundred tickets will be sold in the next week. Interesting to see the Disney fans come out for the evenings of Thursday and Friday, they took most of the good seats for those two showings.

Edited May 16, 2019 by Tom Swelling

[Tom Swelling]

Richmond Hill Silvercity, Ontario – 12 Screens

 

Thursday – Two Showings

 

7:30 PM – Ultra AVX 2D: 55/335 = 16.4%

10:30 PM – Ultra AVX 2D: 5/385 = 1.30%

 

Friday - Four Showings:

 

7:40 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 13/377 = 3.45%

10:30 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 5/385 = 1.30%

1:30 PM – Ultra AVX 2D: 2/388 = 0.52%

4:35 PM - Ultra AVX 2D: 2/388 = 0.52%

 

Saturday - Four Showings

 

7:40 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 22/368 = 5.98%

10:30 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 0/390 = 0%

1:30 PM – Ultra AVX 2D: 13/377 = 3.45%

4:35 PM - Ultra AVX 2D: 15/375 = 4%

 

Sunday - Four Showings

 

7:40 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 0/390 = 0%

10:30 PM – Ultra AVX 3D: 0/390 = 0%

1:30 PM – Ultra AVX 2D: 0/390 = 0%

4:35 PM - Ultra AVX 2D: 4/386 = 1.04%

 

Total:  136/5324 = 2.55%

 

More of a residential area but similar sales. This theatre has more seats though so there may be some walk-ups. 8 days to go! 

Edited May 16, 2019 by Tom Swelling

[Eric Atreides]

.

Edited May 16, 2019 by CoolEric258

[Porthos]

[Brainbug]

@Porthos

 

"There is another"

[Porthos]

Numbers are late because I did not believe this.  So I went back and did a near full recheck:

 

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Expansion continued today.  Wick 3 continues to keep a very good pace with Pika Pika:

 

Wick 3:   1618 tickets sold two days away (+271)

Pika:       1785 tickets sold two days away (+300)

 

==

 

Really starting to think 5m+ in previews is now in play if the local situation is anything close to nationwide.  Especially since Wick 3 will have at least partial PLF dollars and no matinees.

No more new theaters.  But John Wick scoffs at theater expansion:

 

Wick 3:   2075 tickets sold one day away (+457)

Pika:       2257 tickets sold one day away (+472)

 

Even though it's in far less theaters (Wick 3: 69 reserved seating theaters | Pika: 86 reserved seating theaters) it STILL came within 25 tickets sold of Pika Pika on a nightly basis.

 

On a per showing basis, it's kicking Pika's ass.  I seriously think it's gonna outsell Pika Pika locally when all is said and done.  If not, come damn close.

 

Rest of the charts will be up in about 20 to 25 minutes

 

===

 

EDIT:::   The faint, BTW, is because I am in fact shocked that it's managing to keep pace with fewer showings.  I was expecting something around 380-410 or so.  Not over 450.

 

I know this is critically acclaimed, but this is still an R-rated hard action flick whose last film did 30m OW.  This thing is gonna blow the doors off of folks expectations who haven't been paying attention.

Edited May 16, 2019 by Porthos

[Biggestgeekever]

It reminds me a lot of how when Sony moved Baby Driver to a week after Transformers 5 and a week before Homecoming, we though it was Sony dumping Edgar Wright's latest film to the dogs. Instead, in the middle of the summer, that brand of action and the marketing stuck out against other CGI blockbusters and made bank. Wick 3 is the same, has the benefit of being part of a franchise, and is coming off a kickass cliffhanger, and we saw how that helped Endgame.

[Mulder]

2 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

It reminds me a lot of how when Sony moved Baby Driver to a week after Transformers 5 and a week before Homecoming, we though it was Sony dumping Edgar Wright's latest film to the dogs. Instead, in the middle of the summer, that brand of action and the marketing stuck out against other CGI blockbusters and made bank. Wick 3 is the same, has the benefit of being part of a franchise, and is coming off a kickass cliffhanger, and we saw how that helped Endgame.

Also helps with how massive the John Wick franchise has become. While memes aren't always a good indication, in this case in hindsight they definitely were.

[Porthos]

Aladdin Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	74	9641	10718	10.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      54

 

The best comp I have so far is Detective Pikachu.  I also have less ideal comps with JW2 and FB2.  Use the later comps with caution.

 

Unadjusted Comps

1.2422x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 9 days before release. 

PRE-SALES NOTE:  [Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales while Aladdin had 24]

 

T-8:

Pika:   132  tickets sold  [0 sellouts/64 showings   |  6485/7352 seats left   | 11.79% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

.5308x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 8 days before release.

.4811x as many tickets sold as Crimes of Grindelwald 8 days before release.

PRE-SALES NOTE: JW2 had 22 days of pre-sales and FB2 had 30 days of pre-sales while Aladdin had 24.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

T-8 days:

JW2                 94 tickets sold [0 sellouts/111 showings |   9394/11263 seats left | 16.59% sold]

Aladdin (JW)    52 tickets sold [0 sellouts/74 showings   |   8382/9374 seats left   | 10.58% sold]

FB2               100 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings   | 11288/13377 seats left |  15.62% sold] 

Aladdin (FB)    52 tickets sold [0 sellouts/74 showings   |   8807/9812 seats left   |  10.24% sold]  

*  Aladdin (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom

**Aladdin (FB) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Crimes of Grindelwald