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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Eric Atreides Global Phenomenon

Eric Atreides

Posted
Posted

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday

Love, Simon 863 1,256 2,907  

Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  

SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  

Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  

MI6   *3,328 13,575 27,261

The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777

House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074

Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448  

Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569

Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615

Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063  

Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257

Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810
Kid Who Would Be King 107 318 980 1,892

Five Feet Apart 613 1,053 2,225 4,118
Wonder Park 607 988 1,749 3,640

Us 10,742 13,597 27,634 39,514

After 681 1,098 1,904 3,436

Missing Link 167 299 634 1,483

John Wick 3 7,867 10,932 18,211  
A Dog's Journey 340 565 1,044  
The Sun is Also a Star 124 221 462  
*4pm-12am        

 

Wick

Wednesday

66% of Us (46.9M)

64% of Solo (53.9M)

44% of Deadpool 2 (55.4M)

87% of Venom (70M)

134% of M:I Fallout (82.1M)

121% of Aquaman (82M)

281% of Glass (113.4M)

78% of Jurassic World 2 (115.9M)

 

Last 7 Days (8-2)

72% of Us (51.5M)

286% of Alita (81.7M using 3-Day, 106.6M using first 4 days)

255% of Glass (102.8M)

 

Days 18-2 (minus 14-12)

75% of Us (53.4M)

 

Days 39-2 (minus 21-19, 14-12)

80% of Us (57M)

 

So everything is doing humongous...except Us (that Wednesday jump). Admittedly, I do think it's the best comp still, and it does point to a debut in the 50s, which would still be phenomenal for a movie like this.

 

Doggo

106% of Kid Be King (7.6M)

29% of House w/ Clock (7.7M)

69% of A Dog's Way Home (7.7M)

59% of Goosebumps 2 (9.3M)

60% of Wonder Park (9.5M)

165% of Missing Link (9.8M)

43% of Smallfoot (9.8M)

 

Weird to see this movie being so muted in its jumps. Guess people already got their fix for dog movies with A Dog's Way Home.

 

Sun is Star

24% of After (1.4M)

16% of Love Simon (1.9M)

21% of Five Feet Apart (2.7M)

80% of The Darkest Minds (4.7M)

 

LOL...again.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted

King of the Monsters Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

87

11056

11616

4.82%


Total Showings Added Today:             5

Total Seats Added Today:                390

Total Seats Sold Today:                     39

 

IMO, the best comp of movies I have tracked will be Fallen Kingdom.  I also have comps with the Aladdin (still in pre-sales) and Detective Pikachu as something as a compare/contrast with current May movies.  They may not be as good comps, being in different genres.

 

Unadjusted Comps

1.8361x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu after 6 days of pre-sales. 

0.9773x as many tickets sold as Aladdin after 6 days of pre-sales.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  [Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales and Aladdin had 24 while King of the Monsters had 20 days]

 

Day 6 of Pre-sales:

Pika        22  tickets sold  [0 sellouts/72 showings   |  7704/8009 seats left   |  3.81% sold]

Aladdin   32 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/68 showings   |  9201/9783 seats left   |  5.816 sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

.4648x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom after six day of pre-sales.       

PRE-SALES NOTE: JW2 had 22 days of pre-sales while KotM had 20.  Also some theaters had KotM tickets on sale for a few days before they were officially announced to the public for sale. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

Day 6 of Pre-sales:

JW2               96 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings   |   8962/10113 seats left   |  11.38% sold]

KotM (JW)      37 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings   | 10023/10558 seats left   |    5.07% sold]

KotM (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

NOTE:::  Starting tomorrow all comps will be "X days from release" based instead of "after x days of pre-sales" based.

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dakus Indie Sensation

dakus

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Mulder said:

Also honestly going to say it now. Aladdin's going to have a 50-60 three day and a 70-80 four day. I just do not see these fandango sales translating to my theater and while my theater's just one.... I am not getting a good vibe from anything beyond Wang's presales and CoolEric's fandango counts.

Anecdotally, Aladdin is doing mediocre at some regional theatres I've checked out too. I don't have exact counts, but its basically on par with Pikachu at this point. Maybe the slightest bit ahead, which fits a lot of what has been seen in this thread.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
44 minutes ago, Porthos said:

giphy.gif

 

38 minutes ago, Porthos said:

EDIT:::   The faint, BTW, is because I am in fact shocked that it's managing to keep pace with fewer showings.  I was expecting something around 380-410 or so.  Not over 450.

 

I know this is critically acclaimed, but this is still an R-rated hard action flick whose last film did 30m OW.  This thing is gonna blow the doors off of folks expectations who haven't been paying attention.

Okay, this WAS a an over-reaction.  Sorry. :lol: 

 

But, like, I look at the numbers and I think there is an outside chance of maybe coming close to high 5s in previews. 

 

Maybe. 

 

Okay, probably not.  But mid 5s is certainly in play now, I think.  A pure like for like gives 5.24m and while this doesn't have 3D it does have PLF and no matinees. 

 

That's worth a near faint or two, I think. :)

Edited by Porthos
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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted (edited)

John Wick 3 - Aladdin - Rocketman - Godzilla - Dark Phoenix 

Thursday Previews

 

John Wick 3

 

JOHN WICK 3
Theater 5.13 5.14 5.15 Total % + Sold + Seats
Cinemagic 60 75 95 758 12.53% 20 0
Lincoln Square 486 515 577 1586 36.38% 62 310

 

 

Upcoming Features:

 

Lincoln Square 13
Date 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.10 5.13 5.15 Total % + Sold + Seats
Aladdin 277 325 363 388 412 481 543 1554 34.94% 61 0
Rocketman -- -- -- 122 133 150 160 594 26.94% 12 0
Godzilla -- -- -- -- 434 567 618 2122 29.12% 51 682
Dark Phoenix -- -- -- -- -- 479 612 1554 39.38% 133 594

 

  • Dark Phoenix has 430 seats of the 6PM IMAX Fan Event Sold; that said, it also just passed Aladdin in tickets sold.  Take that as you will.
  • Rocketman Sold 12 tickets, but lost 2 seats for the 10PM Dolby, hence the discrepancy.

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic (Three Theater Chain)
  5.1 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.10 5.13 5.15 Total % + Sold + Seats
Aladdin 0 4 10 6 6 11 16 1336   5 0
Rocketman — — — 4 4 4 4 1160   0 0
Godzilla — — — — — 15 22 1316   7 0
Dark Phoenix — — — — — 0 2 962   2 0

 

 

Note:

I don't know who asked about SLOP 2, but I will add that and MIB to my list once John Wick opens.

Edited by captainwondyful
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Deep Wang Global Phenomenon

Deep Wang

Posted
Posted

 

8 hours ago, Tentatek said:

Pay day makes sense since it’s M rated.

Kids play Fornite. 

 

Either way, props to the marketing team.

 

If you think kids are the only ones that play Fortnite, you are wrong.

 

Even so, would you consider a 17 year-old a kid?  Because they can see John Wick.

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

Aladdin has been an interesting view as far as social media. First trailer was mocked with Will as blue genie, second trailer a complete 180 " a whole new world is amazing," "now that looks like aladdin" ect, now clip of prince ali "dull, looks flat" "genie just walking, slow pace ect. 

 

Its up and down and i wonder if we get another "wow" clip between now and opening

 

Really interested to see how it opens and how close or far it is from social media response

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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Aladdin - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Full Weekend)

 

Thursday Total

 

12/3374 (0.4%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Friday Total

 

21/4680 (0.4%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Saturday Total

 

18/4680 (0.4%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Sunday Total

 

2/4680 (0.04%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Weekend Total

 

53/17414 (0.3%)

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Pulse today 8:35-8:49 EST:

John Wick 3: 252/15 – yesterday 161/15, up 57%; Hellboy (12.0M OW) had 27/15, Cold Pursuit (11.0M OW) 30/15, Hunter Killer (6.7M OW) 11/15, Us (71.1M OW) 404/15, all same day and time of the day.
A Dog's Journey: 17/15 – yesterday 10/15; Wonder Park (15.9M OW) had 44/15, Missing Link (5.9M OW) 8/15, The Kid Who Would be King (7.2M OW) 16/15, all same day and time of the day.
The Sun Is Also a Star: 8/15 – yesterday 5/15; After (6.0M OW) had 19/15 at that time, Five Feet Apart (13.2M OW) 23/15.

Aladdin: 14/15 – yesterday 21/15
GKotM: 9/15 – yesterday 7/15

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST:

 

JW3: 477/15 – yesterday it were 245/15, up 95%; Hellboy had 62/15, Cold Pursuit 47/15, Hunter Killer 24/15, Us 717/15, all same day and time of the day. So JW 3 made up ground on Us compared to yesterday despite counting it 15 minutes earlier today. These 66.5% of Us would mean 47.3M OW and Us was really presales heavy. All other comps would mean a weekend close to or over 100M but of course these movies were no sequels ;). This club JW3's OW over Pika's OW has a real chance and who would have thought that one month ago (I mean Pika was doing ok but that JW3 has so much potential left after the jump of the second movie is surprising).

A Dog's Journey: 35/15 – yesterday 14/15; Wonder Park had 59/15, Missing Link 13/15, both same day and time of the day.
The Sun Is Also a Star: 7/15 – yesterday 5/15; After had at that time 49/15, Five Feet Apart 48/15.

Aladdin: 32/15 – yesterday 36/15
GKotM: 16/15 – yesterday 15/15

Edited by el sid
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MaxAggressor Box Office Gold

MaxAggressor

Posted
Posted

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/x-men-movie-dark-phoenix-tracking-50m-box-office-bow-1211249?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

 

Dark Phoenix is finally making her way to the multiplex.

 

The long delayed X-Men project is tracking for an opening weekend in the $50 million range, according to those with access to early box office surveys.

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted (edited)

So, not saying Dog's Journey is coming for an UglyDolls number...but Dog's Journey is coming for an UglyDolls number:)...

 

Just checked presales for tonight at my locals...

Cinemark - 0/220 (2 shows)

Regal - 5/150 (2 shows)

 

These numbers are awful...although at least Regal has managed a ticket sale.  This movie should have just opened tomorrow and dropped Thursday previews, b/c without walkups, these previews will be under 6 figures...

 

EDIT: Those numbers are so bad that The Sun Is Also a Star has actually outsold them, and it's only opening at 1 of the 2 theaters...now don't get your hopes up, b/c its numbers are also awful...

 

Regal - 8/150 (3 shows)

Edited by TwoMisfits
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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
Just now, FlashMaster659 said:

Godzilla: King of the Monsters - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Full Weekend)

 

Thursday Total

 

134/2829 (4.7%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Friday Total

 

58/4148 (1.4%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Saturday Total

 

30/4148 (0.7%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Sunday Total

 

4/4148 (0.1%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Weekend Total

 

226/15273 (1.5%)

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