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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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MrPink Global Phenomenon

MrPink

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Thanks.  Much appreciated. :)

 

I DID have a gif prepared in case it was in the low 6s (or even high 5s! :o).  

 

Just have to wait 'till I get another FB2 sized miss before y'all get to see it though. ;)

 

 

Ep IX? :sparta:

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Mulder Global Phenomenon

Mulder

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Mulder said:

Final count of today, just Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-164 (+5), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 3 Regular) Final week

Dark Phoenix-73 (+1), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

 

Weak day overall tbh. Would be lying if I said I didn't want more from KOTM today but ah well. I guess those 19 tickets last night were a big boost and it had to taper off today. Hoping it can pick up tomorrow. Would be nice of WB to release that embargo In total today Godzilla sold 5 tickets and Phoenix sold 1.

First count of today, just Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-169 (+5), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 3 Regular) Final week

Dark Phoenix-73, 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 5/24/2019 at 10:27 AM, MrPink said:

 

 

Ep IX? :sparta:

 

On 5/21/2019 at 9:54 AM, Porthos said:

I decided not to dignify such obvious trolling with a reaction. j1aUlyv.gif

 

So beneath my notice that titanic2187 @MrPink isn't even getting an apoc or not cool reaction out of me for that post. j1aUlyv.gif

 

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
39 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Nice call - as always - @Porthos!

 

This could just top $80M for the 3-day and kill my club. It gets to $80.16M using the Pirates 5 three day multi.

Funny you mention your club, as I just made a post in there before I saw your post.

 

Luckily for you, Disney doesn't seem to be in the fudge game more meaningless numbers like a 80m 3day.  If this was Paramount or WB, you might be in more trouble. ;)

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

Its interesting. Aladdin may or may not make 100 over 4 day according to tracking but lion king 3 day could have 200 million.

 

I have to wonder many people for opening weekend made their decision on Smiths first impression as blue genie ( never get 2nd chance to make a first impression)

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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted
 
 
 
18 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I was trying to post:

 

"that deserves a @Nova Gif but the internet's being so slow at the library, it wouldn't load."

 

:hahaha:

 

Also -- BFF isn't going to be around this weekend.  No parking lot report from the Drive-In.  "We're just gonna have to spill the tea about Aladdin next weekend," she texted.

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

Ill put sat numbers for aladdin up in a bit but rest of today and tomorrow very little change presale wise. Friday final numbers will give a better clue, but right nowwalk ups are the hope for london it seems

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

I have to wonder many people for opening weekend made their decision on Smiths first impression as blue genie ( never get 2nd chance to make a first impression)

There's just been a lot of bad to mixed buzz surrounding Aladdin, even outside of the first impression of Will Smith as the Genie.  I point back to the reaction from CinemaCon last year as the point where the film's fortune started to turn.  The first reactions to Will Smith just solidified the doubts. 

 

On the other hand, TLK has been getting stellar buzz from almost the exact same point in time. And when its first teaser trailer came out, it exploded*. So one film went in one direction, the other film the other direction.

 

* Though the reaction to the second trailer wasn't nearly as good, which is causing me to slightly pump the brakes on some of the super sky high expectations out there (personally thinking 525-550 DOM right now, but I will be more than willing to raise that when the data starts to roll in).

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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Menor said:

That "+"...flashbacks to the Endgame 270-300+ range. Looks about right to me, though.

Endgame finished with 357, so 257 confirmed for TLK :ohmygod:

 

Imagine that... The most anticipated movie of 2018, and by far the biggest, is going to be matched in NA by a pack of lions

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Justin4125 Indie Sensation

Justin4125

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Endgame finished with 357, so 257 confirmed for TLK :ohmygod:

 

Imagine that... The most anticipated movie of 2018, and by far the biggest, is going to be matched in NA by a pack of lions

 

Not that hard to imagine given the previous box office success (and the even more absurd home market run) of that pack of lions.

That pack of lions formed the crown jewel of the Disney renaissance era. Nostalgia is arguably the most potent force at the box office 

nowadays. The more evenly spread four quadrant appeal + nostalgia even give this pack of lions some advantages over the (previous) MCU juggernaut 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

There's just been a lot of bad to mixed buzz surrounding Aladdin, even outside of the first impression of Will Smith as the Genie.  I point back to the reaction from CinemaCon last year as the point where the film's fortune started to turn.  The first reactions to Will Smith just solidified the doubts. 

 

On the other hand, TLK has been getting stellar buzz from almost the exact same point in time. And when its first teaser trailer came out, it exploded*. So one film went in one direction, the other film the other direction.

 

* Though the reaction to the second trailer wasn't nearly as good, which is causing me to slightly pump the brakes on some of the super sky high expectations out there (personally thinking 525-550 DOM right now, but I will be more than willing to raise that when the data starts to roll in).

Yes its definitely been a tale of 2 stories....just intriguing how 2 disney properties can have two opposite reactions two well recieved og films. 

Perhaps people are more intrigued by "realistic" looking animals. It certainly got peoples attention as you said in trailers. I can see it doing 1b ww total and agree 500 to 600 maybe domestic. 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

Aladdin silvercity london sat may 25

 

IMAX
130 11/323
435 39/323
50/626

 

Recliner
1230 3/131
1255 6/98
325 2/129
400 14/98
630 (3d) 38/142
710 70/98
925 (3d) 13/142
1000 22/98

 

Regular 
740 110/323
1000 4/323

 

Westmount 
9 showing vip 4 showings-1screen, avx 4 shows-1 screen, regular 1 show 1 screen

 

Vip
1200 2/60
315 8/60
630 38/60
1000 4/60

 

Avx 
100 69/173 
410 90/173
710. 73/173
1000 7/173

 

Recliner 
1110 23/49
 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

Aladdin silvercity london may 25
13 showings 3 in 1 imax, 8 in 2 recliner, 2 in 1 regular

 

IMAX
1030 8/323
135. 51/323
435. 45/323

 

Recliner
1220 33/131
1255 54/98
325 50/98
400. 40/98
630 (3d) 25/142
710 71/98
925 (3d) 18/142
1000 11/98

 

Regular 
740 59/323
1000 0/323

Westmount 
9 showing vip 4 showings-1screen, avx 4 shows-1 screen, regular 1 show 1 screen

Vip
1200 2/60
315 8/60
630 38/60
1000 4/60

 

Avx 
100 69/173 
410 90/173
710. 73/173
1000 7/173

 

Recliner 
1110 23/49
 

 

Please disregard previous update my phone hates me

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cdsacken Summer Tentpole

cdsacken

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Tinalera said:

Its interesting. Aladdin may or may not make 100 over 4 day according to tracking but lion king 3 day could have 200 million.

 

I have to wonder many people for opening weekend made their decision on Smiths first impression as blue genie ( never get 2nd chance to make a first impression)

Better trailer less horrible director and much bigger to begin with. Not a shock.

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