The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, Mulder said:

Oh don't get me wrong, I think Toy Story 4 looks good personally. I'm just not buying into the "This is the finale" marketing again.

I agree 100%...and I'm not sure how this could be a "finale", unless the "lead" toys are getting tossed/melted/broken at the end of the movie.  I mean, this literally feels like a "kickoff" trailer, not a conclusion one...

[keysersoze123]

Just now, TwoMisfits said:

I agree 100%...and I'm not sure how this could be a "finale", unless the "lead" toys are getting tossed/melted/broken at the end of the movie.  I mean, this literally feels like a "kickoff" trailer, not a conclusion one...

you could be right but Hanks and others might sign off after this. Its already like 25 years of journey for them.

 

But Disney could resurrect some characters for say Disney+ show. I have a feeling we will see Mater back in Disney+ as well/

[Porthos]

KotM is now creeping up on EG on Fandango's rolling tracker, about 600+ sets of tickets behind.  Should pass it within a few hours.  Haven't been charting the rate of growth to get a gauge on how quickly it should.

Edited May 28, 2019 by Porthos

[YM!]

Godzilla: King Of The Monsters (2 before previews, 3 before release)

North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

5/30/19

 

4:00 - 14/301 - UltraScreen 

7:15 - 64/301 - UltraScreen 

10:30 - 4/301 - UltraScreen 

 

Running:

12% ahead of Mission Impossible: Fallout ($68.5M OW)

75% ahead of Ready Player One ($73.1M OW)

33% behind Venom ($53.03M OW)

 

If I had to guess, it’d be somewhere between $55M-$60M OW which is pretty good as it looks like my theater hasn’t fully updated yet probably due to Memorial Day effected the Schedule.

Edited May 28, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Mulder]

Feeling really good about my 60-70 million OW prediction.

[FlashMaster659]

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-27 18:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	35.831%	24649	Aladdin (2019)
2	13.974%	9613	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	07.563%	5203	Avengers Endgame (2019)
4	05.701%	3922	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
5	05.143%	3538	Aladdin
6	04.921%	3385	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
7	04.623%	3180	Booksmart
8	04.512%	3104	Brightburn
9	03.287%	2261	Rocketman
10	02.462%	1694	Toy Story 4
11	01.740%	1197	Godzilla King of the Monsters -
12	01.515%	1042	A Dogs Journey
13	01.368%	941	The Hustle (2019)
14	01.045%	719	Ma (2019)
15	00.869%	598	The Intruder (2019)
16	00.789%	543	Dark Phoenix
17	00.736%	506	Long Shot
18	00.452%	311	The Secret Life of Pets 2
19	00.439%	302	The Sun Is Also a Star
20	00.413%	284	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
21	00.278%	191	UglyDolls
22	00.182%	125	Poms
23	00.150%	103	The Biggest Little Farm
24	00.142%	98	The Curse of La Llorona
25	00.122%	84	Muklawa
26	00.103%	71	Breakthrough (2019)
27	00.093%	64	Pavarotti Premiere Screening Event
28	00.089%	61	Toy Story 4 Opening Night Fan Event

1755 now for TS4

[YM!]

IF I wasn’t in club hiatus right now, would anyone object to the idea of Aladdin OW ($91.5M) O/U Pets 2 + Dark Phoenix OW?

[XXR vs XXR]

14 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

IF I wasn’t in club hiatus right now, would anyone object to the idea of Aladdin OW ($91.5M) O/U Pets 2 + Dark Phoenix OW?

 

I wouldn't. I imagine it'll be fairly close, though I'd take the over for the 2 films. 

[keysersoze123]

 

21 minutes ago, Porthos said:

KotM is now creeping up on EG on Fandango's rolling tracker, about 600+ sets of tickets behind.  Should pass it within a few hours.  Haven't been charting the rate of growth to get a gauge on how quickly it should.

Zilla will overtake Endgame on rolling 24 hour chart late tonight some time. based on hourly data, late hours it tends to dominate open movies minus big one like Aladdin. Every open movie will slow down at night big time. Tomorrow movies will drop like 40%(Just Fandango PS ticket sales) while Zilla should look at 10K tomorrow? That may not be enough to overtake Aladdin. That will happen only on thursday when Zilla should at least sell 15K if not 20K.

[keysersoze123]

I think people here are underestimating Pets 2. There is no fan base but families will be walk in next week. Its not opening like 50m.

18 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

IF I wasn’t in club hiatus right now, would anyone object to the idea of Aladdin OW ($91.5M) O/U Pets 2 + Dark Phoenix OW?

Go ahead and create it. That would be good reverse curse for Pets 2 and Dark Phoenix.

Edited May 28, 2019 by keysersoze123

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think people here are underestimating Pets 2. There is no fan base but families will be walk in next week. Its not opening like 50m.

Go ahead and create it. That would be good reverse curse for Pets 2 and Dark Phoenix.

It had a pretty soft opening in the UK last weekend though

[YM!]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think people here are underestimating Pets 2. There is no fan base but families will be walk in next week. Its not opening like 50m.

Go ahead and create it. That would be good reverse curse for Pets 2 and Dark Phoenix.

Mock me all you want but I was spot on for my Aladdin OW prediction back in February. Hell I was one of the few who was saying for months it'd cross $250M DOM.

 

Pets 2 low presales aren't what concerns me, it's the fact that it's low compared to other animated and family films at my theater that gives me pause.

[XXR vs XXR]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think people here are underestimating Pets 2. There is no fan base but families will be walk in next week. Its not opening like 50m.

Go ahead and create it. That would be good reverse curse for Pets 2 and Dark Phoenix.

 

6 minutes ago, Menor said:

It had a pretty soft opening in the UK last weekend though

 

SLOP = $13m OW in UK
SLOP2 = $4.1m OW 

I definitely believe it could only do $50 million domestically. 

[filmlover]

$60-65M seems good to go for Godzilla at this point. Still think it and the other two openers could've gone even higher if they weren't all up against each other in a crunch for theater space (on top of Aladdin still doing well) but a win is a win.

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

 

SLOP = $13m OW in UK
SLOP2 = $4.1m OW 

I definitely believe it could only do $50 million domestically. 

Do you know the opening in pounds. Pets 1 had previews and it opened to 5.9 m pounds minus previews. Brexit screwed up XR.

[stealthyfrog]

1 hour ago, Minnale101 said:

Illumination I don’t they care about about TSLOP 2 breaking out crazy.

 

they made so much profit with first one and if budget is small it will make decent profit for 2nd one 

They have Minions 2 next year and Mario... eventually. Illumination doesn't need a slam dunk every year.

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, stealthyfrog said:

They have Minions 2 next year and Mario... eventually. Illumination doesn't need a slam dunk every year.

Minions 2 will have the same decrease Pets 2 will if not worse.

[FlashMaster659]

TS4 is knocking on the door of I2's first day on Pulse

[XXR vs XXR]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Do you know the opening in pounds. Pets 1 had previews and it opened to 5.9 m pounds minus previews. Brexit screwed up XR.

 

5.9 vs 3.1 in pounds

[FlashMaster659]

Did we get a Deep Wang update on I2's first day of pre-sales?