The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, Damianport1 said:

But these are number from London theater so you are talking about international box office right now

London ontario canada😊 i will make sure to clarify canada in future.

 

I get same effect when i see "Ontario, CAlifornia" 

Edited June 18, 2019 by Tinalera

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local (Thur Previews)

 

TOY STORY 4 (TUES 4PM)

(5pm) 38/205 (Fan Event)
(7pm) 47/ 301  (2D)
(9:40pm) 10/ 301  (2D)
(6pm) 18/ 320  (RPX)
(8:30pm) 24/ 320  (RPX)
(11pm) 12/ 320  (RPX)
(7:45pm) 9/ 301  (3D)
(10:15pm) 7/ 301  (3D)

165/2049 (8.05%)

 

ALADDIN  (TUES 12PM)

33/ 301
13 / 301
32/320
20/ 320

= 98/1242 (7.89%)

 

X-Men 6 (TUES 4PM)
(7:15pm) 24/301 (2D)
(8pm) 53/320 (RPX)
(10:50pm) 16/320  (RPX)
(10:15pm)  10/301 (3D)

=103/942 (10.93%)

 

PETS2 (TUES 4pm)
(6pm) 15/257 (2D)
(8:30pm) 17/257 (2D)
(11pm) 6/257 (2D)
= 38/ 771 (4.92%)

 

 

[ThomasNicole]

We hear the movie directed by Josh Cooley (who helmed such Pixar shorts such as the Inside Out one Riley’s First Date) could do around $160M in U.S./Canada, and, yes, enormously more (some believing $200M). 

 

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-story-4-will-cure-summer-sequelitis-with-260m-global-infinity-and-beyond-1202634412/

 

[keysersoze123]

I wish deadline did not continue to sprout this 200m bullshit. I dont see how that is possible looking at the PS.

[Legion Again]

Some who, Deadline? I feel like they jumped the gun after the first day of presales and are just digging their heels in since with the ability to go “hey, we used weasel words” when it’s mid 100s.

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I wish deadline did not continue to sprout this 200m bullshit. I dont see how that is possible looking at the PS.

Agreed

 

At least the official tracking is still $ 160M, that’s a really good sign. 

[Sunny Max]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I wish deadline did not continue to sprout this 200m bullshit. I dont see how that is possible looking at the PS.

Agreed ...    

[Menor the Destroyer]

So Fandango continues to be wildly different from @Deep Wang update. Very odd discrepancy, at least off the top of my head this kind of difference didn't occur with Endgame or CM, and it isn't occuring with FFH either. Anyway, posting just to show the perspective from this data source, but keep in mind it may be significantly underindexing TS4.

 

TS4 - Thurs: 12247 (57% of I2 at the same point), Fri: 14244 (57% of I2 at the same point), Sat: 15730 (64% of I2 at the same point), Sun: 5387 (59% of I2 at the same point). Total: 41794 (59% of I2 at the same point).

 

I2 - Thurs: 21630, Fri: 25011, Sat:15730, Sun: 9058

 

Not really sure what to make of this tbh. Given yesterday's Wang update I'm still thinking 150-160. Without that, I would've said 120s. This is gonna be an interesting weekend

Edited June 18, 2019 by Menor

[Rorschach]

Toy Story 4 Opening Night @ Rave Cinemas Davenport 53rd + IMAX

 

Opening Night Fan Event:

5:00 - 83/141

 

IMAX

6:00 - 17/387

8:30 - 5/387

11:00 - 0/387

 

3D

6:30 - 0/78

9:00 - 2/78

 

2D

7:00 - 50/135

7:30 - 3/94

8:00 - 34/238

9:30 - 11/135

10:00 - 0/94

10:30 - 2/238

 

207/2,392 (8.65% of all seats sold)

Edited June 18, 2019 by Rorschach

[DAJK]

This is gonna open to 125 and we're all gonna cry out FLOP

[Sunny Max]

11 minutes ago, Menor said:

So Fandango continues to be wildly different from @Deep Wang update. Very odd discrepancy, at least off the top of my head this kind of difference didn't occur with Endgame or CM, and it isn't occuring with FFH either. Anyway, posting just to show the perspective from this data source, but keep in mind it may be significantly underindexing TS4.

 

TS4 - Thurs: 12247 (57% of I2 at the same point), Fri: 14244 (57% of I2 at the same point), Sat: 15730 (64% of I2 at the same point), Sun: 5387 (59% of I2 at the same point). Total: 41794 (59% of I2 at the same point).

 

I2 - Thurs: 21630, Fri: 25011, Sat:15730, Sun: 9058

 

Not really sure what to make of this tbh. Given yesterday's Wang update I'm still thinking 150-160. Without that, I would've said 120s. This is gonna be an interesting weekend

same average 60% to 62% of I2 (looks like TS4 wont picking-up) .... i m now stick with $150 M max ...

Edited June 18, 2019 by Sunny Max

[John Marston]

Less than 150m is a disappointment. Amazing reviews and empty market gives it no excuse 

[Sunny Max]

Just now, John Marston said:

Less than 150m is a disappointment. Amazing reviews and empty market gives it no excuse 

indeed ... it will be disappointment if movie opens less than $150 M... 

[john2000]

some people here are WAY too early to judge

[jj99]

3 hours ago, Menor said:

How is that a "mythical" bump though? Historically, every MCU sequel with an Avengers movie in between has seen a sizable bump. This one has an even more direct connection to said Avengers movie.

Let's Asses This.

 

Post The Avengers:

 

Iron Man 3 - Almost 100M increase

I would say being the 1st Marvel movie since Avengers after a year long wait probably contributed to that. Plus first one with 3D helped.

 

Thor: The Dark World - Barely increased around 26M, but that was also not a very good Movie in my opinion.

 

Winter Soldier - Increased by 83M, Felt like the true sequel, so will give you this one. Had great legs. (Still my fav Marvel Movie)

 

 

Post Ultron

 

Captain America: Civil War - Glorified Avengers move so doesn't count.

 

The rest came out years after Ultron, that I won't even bother. Marvel Brand became consistent, quality wise and grew in popularity.

 

Post Infinity War

Again, as mention above, Ant-Man barely increased.

 

I guess FFH might be the tie breaker. Homecoming came out near Peak Marvel, so I don't expect the growth to be too much. Ive seen people predicting close to 500M for this, which I feel is unrealistic and will only lead to disappointment. Im not hating on FFH and I hope people don't treat it like a palate cleanser, like they did Ant Man  & The Wasp, Which also came out not too long after an Avengers movie.

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, jj99 said:

Let's Asses This.

 

Post The Avengers:

 

Iron Man 3 - Almost 100M increase

I would say being the 1st Marvel movie since Avengers after a year long wait probably contributed to that. Plus first one with 3D helped.

 

Thor: The Dark World - Barely increased around 26M, but that was also not a very good Movie in my opinion.

 

Winter Soldier - Increased by 83M, Felt like the true sequel, so will give you this one. Had great legs. (Still my fav Marvel Movie)

 

 

Post Ultron

 

Captain America: Civil War - Glorified Avengers move so doesn't count.

 

The rest came out years after Ultron, that I won't even bother. Marvel Brand became consistent, quality wise and grew in popularity.

 

Post Infinity War

Again, as mention above, Ant-Man barely increased.

 

I guess FFH might be the tie breaker. Homecoming came out near Peak Marvel, so I don't expect the growth to be too much. Ive seen people predicting close to 500M for this, which I feel is unrealistic and will only lead to disappointment. Im not hating on FFH and I hope people don't treat it like a palate cleanser, like they did Ant Man  & The Wasp, Which also came out not too long after an Avengers movie.

depending on the 6 six day, 500 mill is not unrealistic at all

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Less than 150m is a disappointment. Amazing reviews and empty market gives it no excuse 

It begins !!!

 

To me anything above TS3 is good considering all the "unnecessary sequel" chatter

[TalismanRing]

AM2 increased 20% domestic from AM.  If SM:FFH had the same % increase it would make $401m.

 

The difference of  Ant-Man in CW vs Spider-Man in AIW & AEG - significant in terms of potential new (or in SMs case maybe also returning) audience

[john2000]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It begins !!!

 

To me anything above TS3 is good considering all the "unnecessary sequel" chatter

especially when we dont know , how its legs will be, what the final total will be, heck for all we know the movie could open to 150 and make 650 dom ( you understand my point), lets see the previews first before will judge,

 

 

 

PS you people know that toy story 4 without all of its territorys, and some of them are major, its looking to open to 260+ ww opening right ?

Edited June 18, 2019 by john2000

[John Marston]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It begins !!!

 

To me anything above TS3 is good considering all the "unnecessary sequel" chatter

all that stuff was only on a few site. The trailers had millions of likes, it follows a beloved trilogy, amazing reviews, open market. No excuse