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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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1 minute ago, Menor said:

Yes that utter flop Fallen Kingdom, which made over 400 million domestic.

its funny to see people talking about its ow, when we dont even know what the nymber of the previews will be .lol

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I don’t understand all this Toy Story talk

 

even the “bad” numbers look good. What’s the problem?

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2 minutes ago, AJG said:

I don’t understand all this Toy Story talk

 

even the “bad” numbers look good. What’s the problem?

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

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Expectations are half the game. 

 

People get ahead of themselves too hastily and it winds up unfairly coloring perception.

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3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

the range seems to be 140-160 for now based  from wangs numbers

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7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

Yeah I'm also thinking 150 million. Wang should be more reliable than Pulse as he has actual sales.

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13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

As someone who would be quite disappointed with $120M, the $200M predictions were dumb from the start.

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18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

200 was never once the expectation. From the onset that was absolute best case scenario.

 

150 would be incredible and 60% above Aladdin 3 day.

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23 minutes ago, AJG said:

I don’t understand all this Toy Story talk

 

even the “bad” numbers look good. What’s the problem?

All together now:

 

NOT A RECORD!!!

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Hard to compete with i2 . All the positives of TS4 while also grabbing superhero demographics. Appeal in US was absolutely unreal. 

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4 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

Toy Story 4 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 153/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 169/203

8:45 PM - 171/203

11:30 PM - 86/203

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:30 PM - 50/78

8:30 PM - 11/60

9:30 PM - 29/78

 

RealD 3D

 

7:45 PM - 39/167

8:15 PM - 2/79

10:00 PM NEW - 1/114

10:45 PM - 0/167

11:15 PM - 2/55

 

2D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:00 PM - 41/63

7:30 PM - 39/63

9:00 PM - 28/63

10:30 PM - 21/63

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 164/217

7:15 PM NEW - 20/114

8:00 PM - 48/167

9:45 PM - 115/217

10:45 PM NEW - 8/167

11:00 PM - 5/167

 

Total

 

1202(+136)/2541(+228) (47.3%)

Good jump ...  

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4 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Hard to compete with i2 . All the positives of TS4 while also grabbing superhero demographics. Appeal in US was absolutely unreal. 

Yeah it is very hard to compete with I2 ...  in presales movie didnt pick much pace against I2 yesterday ... today will be another big test .. 

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Posted (edited)
57 minutes ago, John Marston said:

So Toy Story looks to open less than Jurassic World 2 last year. Just wow 

The concern trolling in this thread over what would be a great number is so annoying.

 

Also looking like a very good jump from yesterday's pulse numbers are in store. TS4 has jumped 66% over yesterday's 11:00 number and the pace been rising steadily over the past few hours. I know it kind of needed a big bump to maintain expectations after yesterday's weak increase, but it appears to be doing so now. Could be a 25k day.

Edited by Jayhawk
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32 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

when you start seeing 200m predictions, 120m look terrible. the goal post moves big time. But Wang's numbers are great. I am hopeful for 150m.

i m also thinking $140 To $150 M... 

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1 hour ago, Menor said:

The rate its going it would have exceeded CM without any reactions. With reactions, I am hoping for much higher. This Endgame "re-release" may also drive sales a bit, idk how that will affect things.

When is social embargo lifted for Spidey? It would be good to track the impact.

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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

When is social embargo lifted for Spidey? It would be good to track the impact.

5 ET/2 PT

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7 hours ago, Menor said:

Shrek 2 > Finding Dory

Shrek 2 > Frozen 2

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140-160 is a fantastic range from the data. That means I2 numbers are still a slight possibility if a real breakout happens buoyed by fantastic early WOM. 

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It is all Deadline's fault, before they wrote that stupid article claiming it would open at $200m, everyone would be more than pleased with an OW over TS3, now $150m would be a 'disappointment'. Urgh. They acted like @CJohn and we all fell.

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Posted (edited)

I was never going to be that pleased with 115. Everyone would be pretty happy with 150 now. Did expectations get skewed, yes. But only by like 20M or so.

Edited by Thanos Legion

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