The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[heynow]

Thanks for the info !!!

How do you find the same data for the previously released movies so that you can compare?

[el sid]

6 minutes ago, heynow said:

Thanks for the info !!!

How do you find the same data for the previously released movies so that you can compare?

Normally CoolEric or sometimes TalismanRing are posting them daily. E.g. for yesterday they're on page 1.397 of this thread.

[Eric Atreides]

15 minutes ago, heynow said:

Thanks for the info !!!

How do you find the same data for the previously released movies so that you can compare?

I've developed a database right here for everyone to look at. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q-1UceCRkSh3BraIvvm0XDJyoUJsyrq8oOufQvjP7Qk/edit?usp=sharing

 

There's also stuff from a guy called AK Valley who manged to get into the code of Pulse and helped us find exact data. 

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zNm6jmYaVu4doQWQR6psnxz6f2AMSuKVlfEe6TOnZ5k/edit#gid=1758182291

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NBK-Sj8qK3GXl-iOdHYeD94YRNxWJ9HqZ9OKdGoSx2o/edit#gid=1246392742

[jedijake]

2 hours ago, DisposedData said:

Is 150m dead?

How is $150 million dead?

[Cap]

4 minutes ago, jedijake said:

How is $150 million dead?

Cause this is BOT.  If it's not one extreme, it's the other.

[el sid]

Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST:

Toy Story 4: 472/15 – yesterday 230/15, up 105%; Lego2 had on Thursday at that time 110/15, HtTYD3 227/15, Dumbo 167/15, Aladdin 384/15  and Pets2 151/15.

Child's Play: 35/15 – yesterday 12/15; The Prodigy had on Thursday at that time 3/15, Brightburn 29/15, Pet Semetary 105/15 and Escape Room 36/15.
Anna: 9/15 – yesterday 3/15; Miss Bala had at that time on Thursday 11/15, Greta 14/15, Hunter Killer 11/15, Cold Pursuit 30/15.

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST:

Toy Story 4: 896/15 – yesterday 570/15, up 57%. Lego2 had on Thursday at that time 160/15, HtTYD3 325/15, Dumbo 223/15, Aladdin 600/15 and Pets2 239/15. Compared to the worst comp, Aladdin, would mean 137M OW but if it acts more like HtTYD3 it would be 152M. Best case scenario would be 185M (Dumbo) or 191M (The Lego Movie 2).

Child's Play: 94/15 – yesterday 36/15; The Prodigy had on Thursday at that time 25/15, Brightburn 45/15, Pet Semetary 152/15, Escape Room 80/15 (but counted half an hour later than usually). Looks good now and maybe it can reach 20M OW.
Anna: 30/15 – yesterday 14/15; Miss Bala had at that time on Thursday 25/15, Hunter Killer 27/15, Cold Pursuit 47/15, Greta 16/15. After the first counting I tended again to total flop but at the moment it sells twice as many tickets as Greta (4.5M OW). Not that bad.
 

Of course the theater reports for TS4 give me pause but I hope it's just like it was with Aladdin where most reports were bad and Pulse showed solid numbers.

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

What was I2's Thursday number on Pulse?

Ended with 64591, added 25770 on that day so it had 38821 at the beginning of the day. Toy Story at the very beginning of today had 22206, has added 4783 since then. Imo it'll end up with about 15-16k for the day and be at 38k, doesn't seem to be much movement from the ~60% of I2 that we have been seeing. Even the pure animation comps like Pets 2 and HT3 only suggest 13 million for previews. Gonna guess around 12 for now, in between I2 (suggests 11) and those 2.

[superduperm]

Watch this "only" have $10M in previews and then dominate with a $175M OW lol

[keysersoze123]

This will have better “walk ins” than I2. Question is how much. I am going to put my fanboy hat on and predict 15m previews bcos of insane reviews and BO being dead.

[Menor the Destroyer]

6 minutes ago, superduperm said:

Watch this "only" have $10M in previews and then dominate with a $175M OW lol

Won't happen. The presale distribution is only slightly less frontloaded than I2. The internal multiplier won't be above 12 imo.

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

Supposed to go on sale next Wed according to a leak that's been accurate so far.

 

So, soon, yes.  Just not this weekend.

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Supposed to go on sale next Wed according to a leak that's been accurate so far.

 

So, soon, yes.  Just not this weekend.

 

I’m ready, dear Porthos.

 

I’m putting the O/U @ $20m for previews.

[Sunny Max]

3 hours ago, DisposedData said:

Is 150m dead?

No

[Sunny Max]

51 minutes ago, superduperm said:

Watch this "only" have $10M in previews and then dominate with a $175M OW lol

wont Happen i think ... 

[Sunny Max]

44 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

This will have better “walk ins” than I2. Question is how much. I am going to put my fanboy hat on and predict 15m previews bcos of insane reviews and BO being dead.

possible ... but $13 To $14 M would be realistic ... 

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

possible ... but $13 To $14 M would be realistic ... 

its a prediction. Not a projection. I also said I am wearing my fanboy hat and so I am sticking with my prediction. I did say BO is waste land this month and TS4 has crazy reviews even better than I2.

 

Next week I will wear my Cold hard logical hat while predicting Spidey previews.

[Sunny Max]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

its a prediction. Not a projection. I also said I am wearing my fanboy hat and so I am sticking with my prediction. I did say BO is waste land this month and TS4 has crazy reviews even better than I2.

 

Next week I will wear my Cold hard logical hat while predicting Spidey previews.

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

its a prediction. Not a projection. I also said I am wearing my fanboy hat and so I am sticking with my prediction. I did say BO is waste land this month and TS4 has crazy reviews even better than I2.

 

Next week I will wear my Cold hard logical hat while predicting Spidey previews.

So we will be switching hats then

[FlashMaster659]

On 6/19/2019 at 7:00 AM, FlashMaster659 said:

 

Toy Story 4 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 153/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 169/203

8:45 PM - 171/203

11:30 PM - 86/203

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:30 PM - 50/78

8:30 PM - 11/60

9:30 PM - 29/78

 

RealD 3D

 

7:45 PM - 39/167

8:15 PM - 2/79

10:00 PM NEW - 1/114

10:45 PM - 0/167

11:15 PM - 2/55

 

2D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:00 PM - 41/63

7:30 PM - 39/63

9:00 PM - 28/63

10:30 PM - 21/63

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 164/217

7:15 PM NEW - 20/114

8:00 PM - 48/167

9:45 PM - 115/217

10:45 PM NEW - 8/167

11:00 PM - 5/167

 

Total

 

1202(+136)/2541(+228) (47.3%)

 

Toy Story 4 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 155/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 178/203

8:45 PM - 175/203

11:30 PM - 94/203

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:30 PM - 51/78

8:30 PM - 30/60

9:30 PM - 31/78

 

RealD 3D

 

7:45 PM - 49/167

8:15 PM - 3/79

10:00 PM - 3/114

11:15 PM - 6/55

 

2D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:00 PM - 42/63

7:30 PM - 39/63

9:00 PM - 41/63

10:30 PM - 37/63

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 165/217

7:15 PM - 79/114

8:00 PM - 122/167

9:45 PM - 135/217

10:45 PM - 18/167

11:00 PM - 9/167

 

Total

 

1462(+260)/2541 (57.5%)

 

0.3450x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame mid-day of previews

 

Safe to say my theater is overperforming what the national result will presumably be

[FlashMaster659]

Toy Story 4 - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX 2D

 

6:00 PM - 60/532

8:35 PM - 37/532

11:10 PM - 4/532

 

RPX 2D

 

7:00 PM - 23/744

9:50 PM - 8/744

 

RealD 3D

 

9:10 PM - 0/411

 

2D

 

6:30 PM - 147/411

7:30 PM - 118/338

10:10 PM - 17/338

 

Total

 

414/4582 (9.0%)

 

2.8356x as many seats sold as Aladdin mid-day of previews