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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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UserHN Box Office Gold

UserHN

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Date

Monday

Spider-Man FFH 3,982
  8 days
   
The Lion King 11,161
  25 days

 

Far From Home

Day 15-8

33% of Captain Marvel (51.3M)

Day 22-8

36% of Captain Marvel (55.8M)

 

I don't have time to do more comps (gotta big one to worry about), but... this might not break out? I dunno.

 

Lion King

First day of presales

567% of Incredibles 2 (1B)

96% of Fallen Kingdom (142.4M)

186% of Captain Marvel (286.2M)

372% of Toy Story 4 (450.4M)

567% of Incredibles 2 (1B)

1299% of Aladdin (1.2B 3-Day, 1.5B 4-Day) (Endgame deflation occurred at this time)

 

Day 25

154% of Infinity War (396.3M)

1752% of Incredibles 2 (3.2B)

515% of Captain Marvel (789.9M)

1299% of Aladdin (1.2B 3-Day, 1.5B 4-Day) (Endgame deflation occurred at this time)

 

So like with every other movie, the first day always points to crazy results. We need to wait about a week or so before we have anything definitive, but this is a very strong day. I would have loved for this to beat Fallen Kingdom or Far From Home, but beggars can't be choosers. Of course, the question is whether this can keep up the momentum. We'll have to wait and see for a couple of weeks to see if that's the case.

I loled at those TLK figures. $1B-$3B OW incoming! 😆

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted

 

Toy Story 4 — First 24 Hour Pulse = 4155

The Lion King — First 24 Hour Pulse = 12128

 

This is a great start for TLK, but I believe it could have been more. Opening sales the day after the $120m+ opening weekend of another franchise, family film probably took a decent clip of sales from families/people who haven’t yet seen TS4 but will in the next week or two. Had TS4 opened on 6/14, I think TLK 1st day sales would have been at least 20% higher, if not more. We will see how this all bears out but starting around July 8th, I expect TLK to begin its true ramp up.

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UserHN Box Office Gold

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Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I saw an ad for Hobbs & Shaw on ESPN last night. Marketing campaign is gonna really take off now since it's Universal's next big release.

Are there other big Uni releases this year aside from H&S?

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Sunny Max Box Office Gold

Sunny Max

Posted
Posted 
BUY TIME	      TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2019-06-25 07:00:00	751	Toy Story 4
2019-06-25 07:00:00	115	The Lion King (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	108	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2019-06-25 07:00:00	108	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	94	Aladdin (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	85	Annabelle Comes Home
2019-06-25 07:00:00	57	Toy Story 4 3D
2019-06-25 07:00:00	50	Men in Black International
2019-06-25 07:00:00	40	Yesterday (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	35	Rocketman
2019-06-25 07:00:00	35	Childs Play (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	32	Shaft (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	27	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	26	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	23	Toy Story 4 The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-06-25 07:00:00	19	Late Night (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	16	Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	16	Dark Phoenix
2019-06-25 07:00:00	14	Annabelle Comes Home The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-06-25 07:00:00	14	Spider-Man Far From Home 3D (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	12	The Lion King The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-06-25 07:00:00	12	Anna (2019)
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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted

AMC Willowbrook 24 — Spider-Man: Far From Home Midnight/OD vs Captain Marvel Previews Comp

 

Far From Home = 710 tickets sold, 159 hours before first show

Captain Marvel = 1140 tickets sold, 25 hours before first show

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Sunny Max Box Office Gold

Sunny Max

Posted
Posted

TS4 running miles ahead ... Spidey accelerating so much from past 2 hours .... surprisingly AEG is on 4th position ..

  

BUY TIME	      TICKETS	 MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2019-06-25 08:00:00	1026	Toy Story 4
2019-06-25 08:00:00	186	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2019-06-25 08:00:00	151	Aladdin (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	140	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	122	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	104	The Lion King (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	94	Annabelle Comes Home
2019-06-25 08:00:00	78	Men in Black International
2019-06-25 08:00:00	67	Childs Play (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	54	Rocketman
2019-06-25 08:00:00	50	Toy Story 4 3D
2019-06-25 08:00:00	45	Yesterday (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	35	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2019-06-25 08:00:00	32	Toy Story 4 The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-06-25 08:00:00	31	Shaft (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	30	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	29	Anna (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	28	Dark Phoenix
2019-06-25 08:00:00	22	The Lion King 3D (2019)
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john2000 Blockbuster

john2000

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

TS4 running miles ahead ... Spidey accelerating so much from past 2 hours .... surprisingly AEG is on 4th position ..

  


BUY TIME	      TICKETS	 MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2019-06-25 08:00:00	1026	Toy Story 4
2019-06-25 08:00:00	186	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2019-06-25 08:00:00	151	Aladdin (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	140	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	122	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	104	The Lion King (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	94	Annabelle Comes Home
2019-06-25 08:00:00	78	Men in Black International
2019-06-25 08:00:00	67	Childs Play (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	54	Rocketman
2019-06-25 08:00:00	50	Toy Story 4 3D
2019-06-25 08:00:00	45	Yesterday (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	35	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2019-06-25 08:00:00	32	Toy Story 4 The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-06-25 08:00:00	31	Shaft (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	30	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	29	Anna (2019)
2019-06-25 08:00:00	28	Dark Phoenix
2019-06-25 08:00:00	22	The Lion King 3D (2019)

wow good for spidey and endgame, is that good for lion king ?

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, john2000 said:

i see, how spidey is doing ?

CM comp suggests 28 million MN+OD, AMATW comp suggests 110 million MN+OD (AMATW had a very short presale run). The pace yesterday was 40% of CM, 215% of AMATW, which suggests a final of 110k and 185k for MN+OD on Pulse respectively (then how you interpret those numbers is based on whether you think CM or AMATW is a better comp). I think it will be closer to 120-130k as AMATW had a very strong last couple of days.

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john2000 Blockbuster

john2000

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Menor said:

CM comp suggests 28 million MN+OD, AMATW comp suggests 110 million MN+OD (AMATW had a very short presale run). The pace yesterday was 40% of CM, 215% of AMATW, which suggests a final of 110k and 185k for MN+OD on Pulse respectively (then how you interpret those numbers is based on whether you think CM or AMATW is a better comp). I think it will be closer to 120-130k as AMATW had a very strong last couple of days.

is antman comp a better comparison , since it released in july too ?

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