The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

25 minutes ago, Litio said:

More like OD/Total, but I'm not sure, that's why I think is just likely. I mean, sales in fandango are pretty heavy for tuesday shows:

4804	2019-07-01	MON	Spider-Man Far From Home
31702	2019-07-02	TUE	Spider-Man Far From Home
7055	2019-07-03	WED	Spider-Man Far From Home

Because there aren't any previews except midnight (most people don't go for that and has small show count), so a lot of that demand gets put into OD.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

@Litio Prredictions for Annabelle's previews?

[Menor the Destroyer]

FFH added about 3k yesterday for MN+OD with overall sales 5k, 8k today (in overall sales) and 10k overall tomorrow will keep it on course for 120k final which should be 50 million OD (including midnights)

[Litio]

6 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

@Litio Prredictions for Annabelle's previews?

~$3m yet.

[TalismanRing]

27 minutes ago, Menor said:

FFH added about 3k yesterday for MN+OD with overall sales 5k, 8k today (in overall sales) and 10k overall tomorrow will keep it on course for 120k final which should be 50 million OD (including midnights)

Would be about 39% higher than ASM Midnights + OD. With same 6 day ratio = $190m 6 day

[cdsacken]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Would be about 39% higher than ASM Midnights + OD. With same 6 day ratio = $190m 6 day

Lets's say 190m. What are we thinking for legs? ASM had just decent reviews and reception and had legs of 1.91 but movies are more front loaded nowadays.

 

Same legs with 190m would be like 362. I'm hoping for a bit more like 375-400. Seems like 200+ is needed for 400 but I could be proven wrong. ASM did 48m in china, FFH should almost quadruple that.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Lets's say 190m. What are we thinking for legs? ASM had just decent reviews and reception and had legs of 1.91 but movies are more front loaded nowadays.

 

Same legs with 190m would be like 362. I'm hoping for a bit more like 375-400. Seems like 200+ is needed for 400 but I could be proven wrong. ASM did 48m in china, FFH should almost quadruple that.

ASM had TDKR hit it in it's 3rd w/e for a - 68.6 % loss.  Even with TLK I think SMFFH might do better.

 

 

[PKMLover]

Tickets sold for this FFS on Pulse

1. TS4 3040

2. Yesterday 2635

3. EG 2350

4. Anabelle 1543

5. 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

29 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Would be about 39% higher than ASM Midnights + OD. With same 6 day ratio = $190m 6 day

TASM had much higher midnights as a percentage of OD, and was the day before the 4th rather than 2 days. I think FFH will have a much better ratio.

[john2000]

1 hour ago, Menor said:

FFH added about 3k yesterday for MN+OD with overall sales 5k, 8k today (in overall sales) and 10k overall tomorrow will keep it on course for 120k final which should be 50 million OD (including midnights)

so what the six day could be with that od ? will depend on wom ?

Edited June 26, 2019 by john2000

[Menor the Destroyer]

6 minutes ago, john2000 said:

so what the six day could be with that od ? will depend on wom ?

I'm not very skilled with predicting the 6-day. I'd suggest if it gets that OD that 200 million is pretty much locked though, hard to say how much higher than that.

[cdsacken]

Heck if we get 200+ we are set anyways. That's the goal

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Heck if we get 200+ we are set anyways. That's the goal

I am hoping for 250, but would be very happy with 200+. I think for 250 it may need OD more like 55 (so it will need to overperform Pulse comps), which is possible since it's final PS week is facing crazy competition from TS4, much higher than AMATW faced). But I won't get my hopes up too much, 200+ is very good.

[keysersoze123]

I think Spidey will be more frontloaded than one in 2012. Movies are getting more frontloaded plus PS clearly shows its gonna be frontloaded.

[FlashMaster659]

22 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

The Lion King – AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 104/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 128/203

9:00 PM - 134/203

12:00 AM - 24/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 25/78

6:30 PM - 5/63

7:00 PM - 6/78

8:45 PM - 12/60

9:15 PM - 2/78

9:45 PM - 6/63

10:15 PM - 2/78

12:00 AM - 5/60

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 0/55

6:45 PM - 0/44

7:30 PM - 0/167

8:00 PM - 0/114

8:30 PM - 0/114

9:00 PM - 0/79

9:30 PM - 0/55

10:00 PM - 0/44

10:30 PM - 2/167

11:15 PM - 0/114

11:45 PM - 0/114

12:15 AM - 0/79

12:45 AM - 0/55

1:15 AM - 0/44*

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 29/63

8:00 PM - 26/61

8:30 PM - 19/63

10:45 PM - 2/63

11:15 PM - 0/61

11:45 PM - 0/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 16/44

6:15 PM - 9/55

6:30 PM - 30/217

6:45 PM - 0/48

7:00 PM - 10/79

7:15 PM - 5/44

7:45 PM - 5/44

8:00 PM - 9/45

8:15 PM - 6/167

8:30 PM - 0/45

8:45 PM - 0/44

9:00 PM - 0/49

9:15 PM - 0/44

9:30 PM - 0/55

9:45 PM - 3/217

10:00 PM - 0/48

10:15 PM - 0/79

10:30 PM - 0/44

11:00 PM - 0/44

11:15 PM - 0/45

11:30 PM - 3/167

11:45 PM - 0/45

12:00 AM - 0/44

12:15 AM - 0/49

12:30 AM - 0/44

12:45 AM - 0/55

1:00 AM - 0/217

1:15 AM - 0/48*

1:30 AM - 0/79*

 

Total

 

627(+70)/5158 (12.2%)

 

1.8550x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 after 1 day of pre-sales

 

*These shows are glitched sell-outs. However because of the pattern the showtimes form, it's safe to assume how many seats are in the theater and the zero have been sold so far based on how other shows around that time are doing.

 

The Lion King – AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 119/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 138/203

9:00 PM - 140/203

12:00 AM - 26/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 25/78

6:30 PM - 6/63

7:00 PM - 10/78

8:45 PM - 12/60

9:15 PM - 2/78

9:45 PM - 6/63

10:15 PM - 2/78

12:00 AM - 5/60

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 4/55

6:45 PM - 0/44

7:30 PM - 0/167

8:00 PM - 0/114

8:30 PM - 0/114

9:00 PM - 0/79

9:30 PM - 0/55

10:00 PM - 0/44

10:30 PM - 3/167

11:15 PM - 0/114

11:45 PM - 0/114

12:15 AM - 0/79

12:45 AM - 0/55

1:15 AM - 0/44*

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 35/63

8:00 PM - 31/61

8:30 PM - 31/63

10:45 PM - 5/63

11:15 PM - 0/61

11:45 PM - 0/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 18/44

6:15 PM - 9/55

6:30 PM - 34/217

6:45 PM - 4/48

7:00 PM - 10/79

7:15 PM - 5/44

7:45 PM - 5/44

8:00 PM - 9/45

8:15 PM - 6/167

8:30 PM - 0/45

8:45 PM - 0/44

9:00 PM - 0/49

9:15 PM - 0/44

9:30 PM - 0/55

9:45 PM - 3/217

10:00 PM - 0/48

10:15 PM - 0/79

10:30 PM - 0/44

11:00 PM - 0/44

11:15 PM - 0/45

11:30 PM - 3/167

11:45 PM - 0/45

12:00 AM - 0/44

12:15 AM - 0/49

12:30 AM - 0/44

12:45 AM - 0/55

1:00 AM - 0/217

1:15 AM - 0/48*

1:30 AM - 0/79*

 

Total

 

680(+53)/5158 (13.2%)

 

1.4079x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 after 2 days of pre-sales

0.2221x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame after 2 days of pre-sales

 

*These shows are glitched sell-outs. However because of the pattern the showtimes form, it's safe to assume how many seats are in the theater and the zero have been sold so far based on how other shows around that time are doing.

[RamblinRed]

Deadline article on TLK pre-sales on Fandango and Atom

 

https://deadline.com/2019/06/the-lion-king-fandango-atom-ticket-sales-records-1202637689/

 

The Lion King is the ticket seller’s best first-day presales for a Disney release outside of the Star Wars or Marvel Cinematic Universe, outstripping 2017’s Beauty and the Beast,

 

for Atom, The Lion King sold four times as many tickets as Disney’s Aladdin in the same time period.

The Lion King’s first 24 hours of pre-sales for Atom also outpaced that of Marvel’s Black Panther, Captain Marvel and Ant-Man & the Wasp in the same time period. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think Spidey will be more frontloaded than one in 2012. Movies are getting more frontloaded plus PS clearly shows its gonna be frontloaded.

Eh, not really to your point about the PS. We can't really project anything from the PS since it's very OD loaded, but for example Fri and Sat are higher than Thursday. Depending on the drop from OD to Day 2 I think it will have a pretty solid trend. Looking at TASM's drops I think FFH will drop much better from Day 1 to Day 2 as it's going from non holiday to July 3 whereas TASM is going from July 3 to July 4 (movies tend to drop on the 4th). Then TASM dropped a further 32% on Thurs, FFH can probably match that since its going from July 3 to July 4. Judging from PS it will have strong increases on Fri and Sat and then an average Sun drop. Biggest unknown is the drop from OD to Day 2, that will determine the trajectory of the weekend.

Edited June 26, 2019 by Menor

[Tinalera]

July 2 london ontario canada

Spiderman Far from home

Silvercity
IMAX 
120 84/323 (+7)
345 89/323 (+14)
710. 209/323 (+0)3d
1045 107/323 (+2) 3d

AVX
1200 4/135
320 5/135
710 12/135
1000 5/135

Recliner
1245 2/93 
355 0/93
700 4/93
100 0/93

499/2109

Westmount

VIP
345 0/58
415 21/53
710 2/58
745 12/53 
1030 0/58
1115 11/53

AVX
105 38/135
410 49/135
715 122
1351020 229/135
284/873 (32.5)

BSo cineplex decided to add a whack of new shows and new screens. As a result i had to rewrite the seating counts because different seat theatres. So while percentages have gone down its because theres a ton more seats probably due to demand. Yes this is still very good for this area.

[Tinalera]

Thursday june 27 london ontario canada

Annabelle comes home

Silvercity london

IMAX 
945 6/323

Recliner
145 7/98 (+5)
430 12/98 (+10)
730 53/98 (+42)
1045 12/98(+12)

84/392

No Westmount showing

Annabelle showing pickup at 7pm showing. Other than that minimal increases.

[FlashMaster659]

Spider-Man: Far From Home - AMC Ontario Mills (Monday Midnight)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

12:01 AM - 159/203

3:15 AM - 34/203

 

RealD 3D

 

12:30 AM - 9/167

 

2D

 

1:00 AM - 13/217

2:00 AM - 4/167

 

Total

 

219/957 (22.9%)