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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Back to tracking, I looked at several cities for Once Upon and PS look great. Evening shows have tremendous PS. At Arc light it has presold like 6K tickets. 70mm shows(968 seater) is sold out or near sold out(4 shows) except 3AM(which has like 20 tickets sold !!!). Watch it blow up expectations. I expect Deadline to put a initial OW of 40-50m and then it crushes expectations with rock solid late run and finish 60m+.

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OUATIH - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Friday)

 

2D Dine-In

 

10:15 AM - 36/78

11:00 AM - 25/63

2:15 PM - 35/78

3:15 PM - 29/63

6:15 PM - 48/78

7:15 PM - 41/63

9:30 PM - 37/63

10:15 PM - 52/78

 

2D

 

9:15 AM - 15/167

1:00 PM - 28/167

5:00 PM - 50/167

8:45 PM - 81/167

9:00 PM - 25/45

11:00 PM - 15/114

 

Total

 

517/1391 (37.2%)

 

0.1686x as many seats sold as The Lion King at the start of shows

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On 7/16/2019 at 6:24 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby: 

7 PM – 40/217(+4)

10:15 PM – 2/217

2D: 

7 PM – 0/158

7:30 PM – 2/56(+2)

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158(+1)

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D: 

7 PM – 21/159(+10)

7:30 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 2/159

Total from 9 theaters(26 showings): 163(+19)/4243 (3.8%)

Yeah, I’m just gonna wait until next week to really start tracking this. One showing just got lucky with a large group.

 

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby:

7 PM – 92/217(+52)

10:15 PM – 13/217(+11)

2D:

7 PM – 11/158(+11)

7:30 PM – 9/56(+7)

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D:

7 PM – 55/159(+34)

7:30 PM – 1/52(+1)

10:15 PM – 3/159(+1)

 

Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 345(+182)/4923(+680) (7%)

These jumps are from the course of 10 days, so don’t get too excited.

TLK comp: 3.52M

OUATIH comp: 6.08M

It’s barely above OUATIH in tickets sold right now, so that’ll be interesting to see. Unfortunately, I don’t have comps for Saturday or Sunday.

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Looking way ahead into the far off future of August 8th and 9th, I see that:

 

-Dora and the Lost City of Gold opens at 4pm

-The Art of Racing in the Rain opens at 6pm

-Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark opens at 7pm

-Brian Banks opens at 7pm

-The Kitchen DOES NOT have Thursday previews. Everyone has to wait until Friday to see that one.

 

 

Based on an ultra small sample size of one city only, 3 of those movies are playing at all three of the main theaters here in town, but Brian Banks and The Art of Racing in the Rain are only playing at 2 of the 3 theaters. (At least so far, there's still time to change I guess.) So they may end up with smaller theater counts than the other openers that weekend.

 

 

Meanwhile, even further in the future, I see that Angry Birds 2 has full 4pm showings starting on Tuesday August 13.

 

47 Meters Down, Good Boys, and Where'd You Go Bernadette all seem to have 7pm starts on Thursday August 15.

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Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 Days and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 30 261 5,506 4.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 36

 

Comps

0.09x of The Lion King 6 days before release (1.98M)

 

T-6:

The Lion King: 305 tickets sold that day (3030 total tickets sold)

 

Again, I don't have any quality comps to work with. If anything, I'm just waiting until Monday when I can actually use Once Upon as a comp here. But it did hit a high when it comes to tickets sold, and hopefully it can maintain that momentum in the coming days.

 

btw it's nice only having to worry about one movie for once.

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2 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

It’s barely above OUATIH in tickets sold right now, so that’ll be interesting to see. Unfortunately, I don’t have comps for Saturday or Sunday.

 

Obviously the Fast&Furious should change the behavior, but from what I remember of Dwayne Johnson fandango sales back in the days we could look at them and were more absolute numbers than relative, he had quite the high box office / pre-sales ratio really casual/walk up friendly.

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Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

58

6101

6597

496

7.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                 43

 

Apparently I don't have ANY good comps for this film given its sale pattern.  Might throw in some others at the last moment, or I might change them entirely after thinking about it some more. But here are four recent comps.  DON'T TAKE MUCH (if anything) FROM THESE:

 

Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

0.4844x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 6 days before release.       [2.76m]

0.3933x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 6 days before release.                      [2.75m]

0.4567x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 6 days before release.  [2.88m]

0.1133x as many tickets sold as The Lion King 6 days before release.             [2.61m]

 

T-6:

Pika        82 seats sold [0 sellouts/62 shows  |   6440/7464 seats   | 1024 seats sold |  13.72% sold]

Aladdin  86 seats sold [0 sellouts/74 shows  |   9457/10718 seats  | 1261 seats sold |  11.77% sold]

KotM      78 seats sold [0 sellouts/98 shows  | 12654/13740 seats  | 1086 seats sold |   7.90% sold]

TLK      382 seats sold [0 sellouts/222 shows | 18918/23294 seats | 4376 seats sold | 18.79% sold]

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20 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Back to tracking, I looked at several cities for Once Upon and PS look great. Evening shows have tremendous PS. At Arc light it has presold like 6K tickets. 70mm shows(968 seater) is sold out or near sold out(4 shows) except 3AM(which has like 20 tickets sold !!!). Watch it blow up expectations. I expect Deadline to put a initial OW of 40-50m and then it crushes expectations with rock solid late run and finish 60m+.

Unfortunately based on the Friday number it looks like something close to 40M is going to be the ceiling. I'm betting that it is selling well in a handful of big cities and not doing well alot of other places. It's preview to OD multiplier is not strong. it feels like it may end up being pretty frontloaded.

 

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby: 

7 PM – 92/217(+52)

10:15 PM – 13/217(+11)

2D: 

7 PM – 11/158(+11)

7:30 PM – 9/56(+7)

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D: 

7 PM – 55/159(+34)

7:30 PM – 1/52(+1)

10:15 PM – 3/159(+1)

 

Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 345(+182)/4923(+680) (7%)

These jumps are from the course of 10 days, so don’t get too excited.

TLK comp: 3.52M

OUATIH comp: 6.08M

It’s barely above OUATIH in tickets sold right now, so that’ll be interesting to see. Unfortunately, I don’t have comps for Saturday or Sunday.

 

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby:

7 PM – 100/217(+8)

10:15 PM – 13/217

2D:

7 PM – 11/158

7:30 PM – 9/56

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D:

7 PM – 61/159(+6)

7:30 PM – 1/52

10:15 PM – 3/159

Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 395(+50)/4923 (8%)

TLK comp: 2.96M

Just to note, TLK comp went down because I had added two more theaters for it. Otherwise, it would have gone up.

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Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 Days and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 30 293 5,506 5.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 32

 

Comps

0.09x of The Lion King 5 days before release (2.06M)

 

I had a long day and I'm way too tired to talk about box office, so...enjoy this data without my mind-bending commentary.

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