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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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1 minute ago, Menor said:

Imagine if Endgame

-had a 2 hr runtime

-4 pm previews

-released on a hypothetical Christmas Day Thursday

Lololol, 100M+ “previews.”     

 

Releasing on a holiday Thursday and rolling the grosses over into Friday is just abusive — I like how you think.

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3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Lololol, 100M+ “previews.”     

 

Releasing on a holiday Thursday and rolling the grosses over into Friday is just abusive — I like how you think.

I wish Avengers 5 would try this just to see what kind of mind boggling number could be put up.

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Ready or Not Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 21 120 4,014 2.99%

 

Comp

0.774x of Crawl 1 day before release (774K)

0.427x of Scary Stories 1 day before release (995K)

1.5x of 47 Meters 1 day before release (774K)

 

That...doesn't seem too bad actually. I have no idea what that translates for a 5-Day, if being a Tuesday will impact its results, and if the low theater count limits its potential, but this seems like an okay start.

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Angel Has Fallen Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 119 4,614 2.58%

 

Comp

0.183x of Once Upon 3 days before release (1.06M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.177 of Hobbs & Shaw 3 days before release (1.03M)

 

In 2016, London Has Fallen did about 850K. So a 1M preview gross sounds just about right here.

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Overcomer Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 21 16 3,216 0.50%

 

Comp

5.333x of Brian Banks 3 days before release (533K)

0.941x of Racing in Rain 3 days before release (423K)

0.889x of Bernadette 3 days before release (178K)

 

Eh, I guess it's alright.

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It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 97 656 19,845 3.31%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 10

Total Seats Added Today: 1,028

Total Seats Sold Today: 18

 

Adjusted Comp

0.417x of The Lion King 17 days before release (9.6M)

5x of Hobbs & Shaw 17 days before release (29M)

 

So in a way, Lion King...kind of helped? At the very least, we're at more believable numbers, though I'm unsure if things will sustain or go higher for Lion King comp. Even on its weaker days, it was still selling double It 2's tickets have been selling on their best days. It really makes me yearn for the days of Pulse, when I can just go through data and extrapolate something. But hey, it's still a fun challenge.

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Posted (edited)

It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

98

12608

13395

787

5.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

43

 

Not really sure what to use as a comp for this film, since as I understand it horror isn't that pre-sale heavy.  Maybe.  For now, gonna throw in a few recent ones along with JW2 and DP2 and hope for the best.

 

T-17 Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

 

   %

 

Sold T-17

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

Pika

174.50

 

44

451

 

0/78

8719/9170

4.92%

 

9.95m

Aladdin

123.74

 

31

636

 

0/68

9147/9783

6.50%

 

8.66m

KotM

167.45

 

98

470

 

0/80

10687/11157

4.21%

 

10.55m

TS4

57.91

 

61

1359

 

1/90

10948/12307

11.04%

 

6.95m

TLK

37.91

 

100

2076

 

0/179

17664/19740

10.52%

 

8.72m

PRE-SALES NOTE: Detective Pikachu had 30 days of pre-sales, Aladdin and The Lion King both had 25 days of pre-sales and KotM had 21 days of pre-sales.  In comparison It 2 had 36 days of pre-sales. 

 

T-17 Adjusted Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

 

   %

 

Sold T-17

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

JW2

62.75

 

96

1151

 

0/97

8962/10113

11.38%

 

9.60m

DP2

35.12

 

83

2067

 

0/92

9690/11757

17.58%

 

6.53m

It 2 (adj)

n/a

 

43

726

 

0/98

10379/11105

6.54%

 

n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 23 days of pre-sales and Deadpool 2 had 30 days of pre-sales, while It 2 had 36. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  It 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom and Deadpool 2.

Edited by Porthos
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I have a feeling that Rambo will do better than predicted. I know that these „fanboy-films“ tend to have a lot of buzz and that this doesn't guarantee that something breaks out and that with negative or low buzz (e.g. Hellboy 2019) it's already game over. But here it really doesn't look bad:
The click number of the first R 5 trailer (second trailer today) is high (I always take the trailer with the most clicks for comparisons, here it's 18M+, which is e.g. on par with Terminator 6 or Creed II and doubles the clicks of the most viewed one of Angel has Fallen), the like:dislike ratio is nice, it's now 4 months steadily among the top 100 of imdb or only very close behind (the best rank I've seen so far was #14). And that at the beginning without any release date WW or even a teaser. Interest is there.
It was also facebook king for one week in front of movies as It 2 etc. (Social Pulse reports of boxofficepro), entered the top 5 two or three further times and will for sure be mentioned this or next week again (because of the second trailer).
The only problem is that I don't know how much of the buzz comes from OS..., there's no „most anticipated“ list on German movie websites where it wouldn't appear (Ad Astra and Joker too). And anecdotal but funny, the parts I-III get a theatrical re-release one week before R 5 comes out.
 

Ad Astra could also exceed these pretty conservative predictions if a third trailer is again a bit more GA friendly.

Can't say anything about the chances of Downtown Abbey except that I saw it on these Social Pulse lists too (e.g. most of the August releases did not appear more than once if at all).
How I miss Pulse on these occacions which could give first hints, in this case for DA 😣.
PS: The tickets for Hustlers are on sale since a week so those for Ad Astra could start very soon.

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Toronto ontario canada
IT Chapter 2 
Thursday sept 5


Scotiabank Theatre

No dates (!)

 

Queensway 

VIP

530 8/111
615 10/135
800 27/56
930 18/110
1015 6/135

AVX
630 26/377
1030 16/377

"X" 
530 6/224
930 0/224

 

Yonge and dundas

VIP

630 25/61
1030 4/61

AVX
615 33/386
945 4/386

IMAX

500 22/356
845 32/356

4DX
530 5/82
900 9/82

 

Slow sales. Seeming like might be more walkups. Nothing wrong with that. Again a movie more suited for fall just not getting presales.

It will do well at box office i think. Just no reason for people to "omg need to buy tix!" right now

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Ready or Not Tuesday

Theaters: 211

Showings: 1113

Tickets Sold: 1155 (64% of Crawl at the same point)

Tickets Available: 43623 (75% of Crawl at the same point)

Estimated ATP: 11.45

Estimated Sales: 13228 (65% of Crawl at the same point)

Estimated Nationwide Sales: 100k

Projected Gross: 700k

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Ready or Not Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 21 415 4,014 10.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 295


Comp

0.967x of Crawl 0 days before release (967K)

0.637x of Scary Stories 0 days before release (1.48M)

2.139x of 47 Meters 0 days before release (1.1M)

0.591x of Good Boys 0 days before release (1.24M)

 

I honestly did not see this coming. For whatever reason, today went absolutely crazy in my area. One theater in particular was selling so well, the 6PM show sold out. Now of course, as always, I'm not completely confident in these previews just yet. For all we know, my area might just be overperforming. But things do seem more positive than I thought. I'm very curious to see what @Menor has with his scraper tomorrow and see how accurate things are.

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Angel Has Fallen Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 32 156 5,794 2.69%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 8

Total Seats Added Today: 1,180

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

0.17x of Once Upon 2 days before release (986K)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.175x of Hobbs & Shaw 2 days before release (1.02M)

 

Still about the same as yesterday, which...eh, it could be worse.

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Overcomer Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 22 27 3,216 0.84%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

6.75x of Brian Banks 2 days before release (675K)

1.00x of Racing in Rain 2 days before release (450K)

1.173x of Bernadette 2 days before release (235K)

 

It's still selling fine all things considered. Not much else to say

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It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 98 680 20,251 3.36%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 406

Total Seats Sold Today: 24

 

Adjusted Comp

0.399x of The Lion King 16 days before release (9.17M)

4.153x of Hobbs & Shaw 16 days before release (24.09M)

 

Day 16 was a big day for Hobbs & Shaw, hence the big comedown. But that's kind of a good thing. Again, we have a pretty wide range, but it is shrinking down, and hopefully the picture becomes clearer before release.

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It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

98

12567

13395

828

6.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

41

 

Not really sure what to use as a comp for this film, since as I understand it horror isn't that pre-sale heavy.  Maybe.  For now, gonna throw in a few recent ones along with JW2 and DP2 and hope for the best.

 

T-16 Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

 

   %

 

Sold T-16

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

Pika

171.07

 

33

484

 

0/75

8164/8648

5.60%

 

9.75m

Aladdin

121.23

 

47

683

 

0/68

9100/9783

6.98%

 

8.48m

KotM

158.93

 

51

521

 

0/82

10705/11226

4.64%

 

10.01m

TS4

58.02

 

68

1427

 

1/90

10880/12307

11.60%

 

6.96m

TLK

37.21

 

149

2225

 

0/181

17756/19981

10.52%

 

8.56m

PRE-SALES NOTE: Detective Pikachu had 30 days of pre-sales, Aladdin and The Lion King both had 25 days of pre-sales and KotM had 21 days of pre-sales.  In comparison It 2 had 36 days of pre-sales. 

 

T-16 Adjusted Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

 

   %

 

Sold T-16

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

JW2

61.02

 

106

1257

 

0/97

8856/10113

12.43%

 

9.34m

DP2

34.97

 

126

2193

 

0/95

10072/12265

17.88%

 

6.51m

It 2 (adj)

n/a

 

41

767

 

0/98

10338/11105

6.91%

 

n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 23 days of pre-sales and Deadpool 2 had 30 days of pre-sales, while It 2 had 36. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  It 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom and Deadpool 2.

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Both movies counted today at 12 pm EST:

Angel has Fallen:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 64 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 63 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 58 / 48 (5 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 10 / 14 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 55 / 54 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 16 / 12 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 12 / 8 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 11 / 17 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 115 / 108 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 50 / 33 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 81 / 31 (8 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Thursday: 472 and for Friday: 388.

Mmh, that's clearly better than what Stuber had on Wednesday: 312 / 285, but it's also way under H&S which had 2.254 / 2.701 at that time.
One the one hand the film is part of a series but OTOH I remember that Hunter Killer had very weak sales on Pulse (and at least a 7M OW) so I think AhF should have decent walk ups. Still I hope that sales will jump bigly till tomorrow.

Ready Or Not :

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 27 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 11 (5 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 5 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 20 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 2 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 53 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 26 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 56 (7 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Friday: 202.

Crawl had on Wednesday for Friday 209 tickets sold (in 10 theaters), 47 Meters Down in 9 theaters 73 (but had good walk ups), Midsommar 42 (in 6 theaters).

Not bad, not bad.

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On 8/17/2019 at 3:36 PM, VenomXXR said:

 

It: Chapter 2 — AMC Willowbrook 24 — 19 Days to Previews — 3:30pm CST 

 

Dolby / IMAX: 4 show times, 127 tickets sold out of 712 seats available (17.84%)

Digital: 22 show times, 20 tickets sold out of 1796 seats available (01.11%)

 

Total: 26 show times, 147 tickets sold out of 2508 seats available (05.86%)

It: Chapter 2 — AMC Willowbrook 24 — 15 Days to Previews — 6pm CST

 

Dolby / IMAX: 4 shown times, 129 tickets sold out of 712 seats available (18.12%)

Digital: 22 show times, 26 tickets sold out of 1796 seats available (01.45%)

 

Total: 26 show times, 155 tickets sold out of 2508 seats available (06.18%)

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Angel Has Fallen Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 34 201 6,096

3.30%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 302

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.146x of Once Upon 1 day before release (852K)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.182x of Hobbs & Shaw 1 day before release (1.06M)

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Overcomer Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 22 35 3,216 1.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

3.182x of Brian Banks 1 day before release (318K)

0.854x of Racing in Rain 1 day before release (384K)

1.207x of Bernadette 1 day before release (241K)

 

Yikes. Selling less than T-2 on T-1 is never a good thing. Looks like between this and Angel, we're in for a long weekend.

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It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 98 714 20,251 3.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 34

 

Adjusted Comp

0.315x of The Lion King 15 days before release (7.25M)

4.042x of Hobbs & Shaw 15 days before release (23.44M)

 

These may seem like surprising comps, since today was so good, but remember this is adjusted. And wouldn't you know it, the two theaters I don't count for these comps accounted for 18 (53%) of all tickets sold today. But hey, I still think it's doing pretty okay so far.

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