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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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The range among these comps is tightening even with the low and high end included.  But toss those out and it's just a bit over $1m ($8.85-10.04m)

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On 8/28/2019 at 5:50 AM, Menor said:

Anything other than IT 2 worth tracking this week? I'm not that invested in tracking IT since I won't have internet access during the release week (aka the important week) for that.

Menor can you check Saaho Cinemark.

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58 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

The range among these comps is tightening even with the low and high end included.  But toss those out and it's just a bit over $1m ($8.85-10.04m)

I was personally thinking around 9 to 11 as a range, but that sounds pretty good as well.  Only reason I was thinking 11 as an upper bound is I think there might be a bit more growth left for It 2 over the next couple of days, as a lot of 7/8pm showtimes were added that weren’t there before.

 

For whatever reason, the 5pm showings just aren’t doing anything at all.  In fact, for a while the 9pm showings were doing better than the 5pm ones at some theaters! Not by a lot, but still noticable.

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I'll start tracking IT: Chapter 2 now since it's a week out. Hasn't done much since tickets went on sale so nothing of note yet. 

 

CINEPLEX SCOTIBANK MONTREAL

 

IT: CHAPTER 2 - THURSDAY SEPT 5 2019

 

Ultra AvX

6:00pm - 23/376

10:00pm - 4/376

IMAX

5:00pm - 12/343

9:00pm - 35/343

---------------------------------------------------------

CINEPLEX FORUM MONTREAL

 

IT: CHAPTER 2 - THURSDAY SEPT 5 2019

 

IMAX

6:30pm - 8/306

10:05pm - 0/306

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https://deadline.com/2019/08/rambo-last-blood-ad-astra-downton-abbey-box-office-projections-1202707434/

 

  •  Rambo: Last Blood set to open between $21M-$24M on Sept. 20
  • Ad Astra which is depending on older males and females. That $87M-plus estimated production is expected to only gas up between $17.5M-19M
  •  Downton Abbey which is on fire in pre-sales ahead of Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! is only estimated to open between $15M-$16M
  • stripper caper Hustlers is still looking great on tracking reports with an anticipated 3-day of $26M when it opens on Sept. 12
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14 minutes ago, MattW said:

https://deadline.com/2019/08/rambo-last-blood-ad-astra-downton-abbey-box-office-projections-1202707434/

 

  •  Rambo: Last Blood set to open between $21M-$24M on Sept. 20
  • Ad Astra which is depending on older males and females. That $87M-plus estimated production is expected to only gas up between $17.5M-19M
  •  Downton Abbey which is on fire in pre-sales ahead of Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! is only estimated to open between $15M-$16M
  • stripper caper Hustlers is still looking great on tracking reports with an anticipated 3-day of $26M when it opens on Sept. 12

Wayyyyy better than I expected for Rambo

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On 8/27/2019 at 11:46 AM, FlashMaster659 said:

It 2 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

7:00 PM - 165/203

10:45 PM - 127/203

 

2D Dine-In

 

5:00 PM - 24/63

5:30 PM - 18/63

6:00 PM - 30/60

7:00 PM - 40/78

7:30 PM - 41/78

8:00 PM - 28/63

8:30 PM - 25/61

9:00 PM - 26/63

9:30 PM - 16/63

10:00 PM - 15/60

11:00 PM - ?/?*

 

2D

 

6:30 PM - 19/167

7:15 PM - 15/114

8:00 PM - 19/217

8:30 PM - 14/167

10:15 PM - 4/167

11:00 PM - 12/114

11:45 PM - 3/217

12:15 AM - 9/167

 

Total

 

650/2388 (27.2%)

 

Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark sold 309 tickets morning of previews

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood sold 587 tickets mid-day of previews

Hobbs and Shaw sold 684 tickets mid-day of previews

The Lion King sold 2157 tickets mid-day of previews

 

 

It 2 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

7:00 PM - 167/203

10:45 PM - 130/203

 

2D Dine-In

 

5:00 PM - 31/63

5:30 PM - 23/63

6:00 PM - 33/60

7:00 PM - 42/78

7:30 PM - 40/78

8:00 PM - 33/63

8:30 PM - 28/61

9:00 PM - 27/63

9:30 PM - 21/63

10:00 PM - 19/60

11:00 PM - ?/?*

 

2D

 

6:30 PM - 31/167

7:15 PM - 15/114

8:00 PM - 23/217

8:30 PM - 18/167

10:15 PM - 0/167

11:00 PM - 12/114

11:45 PM - 5/217

12:15 AM - 9/167

 

Total

 

707(+57)/2388 (29.6%)

 

Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark sold 309 tickets morning of previews

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood sold 587 tickets mid-day of previews

Hobbs and Shaw sold 684 tickets mid-day of previews

The Lion King sold 2157 tickets mid-day of previews

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On 8/27/2019 at 12:00 PM, FlashMaster659 said:

It 2 - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX 2D

 

5:00 PM - 17/532

8:50 PM - 37/532

 

RPX 2D

 

6:00 PM - 6/744

9:50 PM - 1/744

 

2D

 

5:30 PM - 6/404

9:20 PM - 7/404

 

Total

 

74/3360 (2.2%)

 

Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark sold 14 tickets morning of previews

Hobbs and Shaw sold 32 tickets mid-day of previews

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood sold 93 tickets mid-day of previews

Godzilla: King of the Monsters sold 489 tickets mid-day of previews

The Lion King sold 464 tickets mid-day of previews

 

It 2 - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX 2D

 

5:00 PM - 17/532

8:50 PM - 43/532

 

RPX 2D

 

6:00 PM - 6/744

9:50 PM - 10/744

 

2D

 

5:30 PM - 6/404

9:20 PM - 7/404

 

Total

 

89(+15)/3360 (2.6%)

 

Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark sold 14 tickets morning of previews

Hobbs and Shaw sold 32 tickets mid-day of previews

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood sold 93 tickets mid-day of previews

Godzilla: King of the Monsters sold 489 tickets mid-day of previews

The Lion King sold 464 tickets mid-day of previews

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> NEW RELEASES
17 - Bennett's War Forrest Films 970 - - - - - - 1
18 - Don't Let Go OTL 922 - - - - - - 1
23 - Tod@s Caen Pantelion 371 - - - - - - 1
24 - Killerman Blue Fox Entertainment 320 - - - - - - 1
> EXPANDING
1 2 Good Boys Universal 3,453 +100 +3.0% - - - - 3
2 5 Angel has Fallen Lionsgate 3,336 +50 +1.5% - - - - 2
5 15 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony / Columbia 3,162 +2,154 +213.7% - - - - 9
6 7 Ready or Not Fox Searchlight 2,998 +143 +5.0% - - - - 2
9 17 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 2,715 +1,895 +231.1% - - - - 11
13 14 Overcomer Sony / AFFIRM Films 1,827 +104 +6.0% - - - - 2
16 16 The Peanut Butter Falcon Roadside Attractions 1,248 +262 +26.6% - - - - 4
20 18 The Farewell  A24 891 +75 +9.2% - - - - 8
21 39 Midsommar A24 676 +632 +1,436.4% - - - - 9
25 25 Luce Neon 235 +75 +46.9% - - - - 5
26 23 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 230 +45 +24.3% - - - - 15
27 24 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal 226 +41 +22.2% - - - - 13
30 28 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Lionsgate/Summit 139 +10 +7.8% - - - - 16
36 44 Honeyland Neon 42 +6 +16.7% - - - - 6
37 46 The Fighting Preacher Purdie Distribution 32 +5 +18.5% - - - - 6
38 61 Fiddler: A Miracle of Miracles Roadside Attractions 28 +21 +300.0% - - - - 2
40 52 The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire of Faith ArtAffects 17 +1 +6.3% - - - - 10
> NO CHANGE
41 - Christ Stopped at Eboli (re-release) Rialto 1 - - - - - - 21
42 85 Last Year at Marienbad (2019 re-release) Janus Films 1 - - - - - - 16
> DECLINING
3 1 The Angry Birds Movie 2 Sony / Columbia 3,311 -558 -14.4% - - - - 3
4 4 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 3,190 -110 -3.3% - - - - 7
7 3 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 2,972 -340 -10.3% - - - - 5
8 9 Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Lionsgate 2,747 -80 -2.8% - - - - 4
10 8 Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount 2,477 -366 -12.9% - - - - 4
11 6 47 Meters Down: Uncaged Entertainment Studios 2,234 -649 -22.5% - - - - 3
12 12 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony / Columbia 1,993 -216 -9.8% - - - - 6
14 10 Blinded By the Light Warner Bros. 1,673 -634 -27.5% - - - - 3
15 13 The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox 1,475 -565 -27.7% - - - - 4
19 11 Where'd You Go, Bernadette United Artists Releasing 907 -1,399 -60.7% - - - - 3
22 20 Yesterday Universal 397 -41 -9.4% - - - - 10
28 19 The Kitchen (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 189 -431 -69.5% - - - - 4
29 21 Mission Mangal FIP 151 -112 -42.6% - - - - 3
31 27 Crawl  Paramount 116 -27 -18.9% - - - - 8
32 31 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 110 -5 -4.3% - - - - 19
33 29 Rocketman  Paramount 102 -16 -13.6% - - - - 14
34 30 Annabelle Comes Home Warner Bros. (New Line) 101 -15 -12.9% - - - - 10
35 22 Brian Banks Bleecker Street 84 -136 -61.8% - - - - 4
39 41 Marianne & Leonard: Words of Love Roadside Attractions 25 -18 -41.9% - - - - 9
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2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

 

 

 

 

Under, by a good margin. I’ve been thinking this could go under $100m and I’m starting to get more confident in that judgement.

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huge expansions for Spidey and Toy Story. Spidey is going for a big push for 400m with additional scene. How is disney going to market Toy Story 4. That has no benchmark left to gross at this point.

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On 8/28/2019 at 4:43 PM, Inceptionzq said:

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 34/411(+6)

10:45 PM – 2/411

Prime: 

7 PM – 52/187

10:45 PM – 9/187

Dolby: 

7 PM – 117/217(+7)

10:45 PM – 11/217

2D: 

5 PM – 8/56(+2)

5:15 PM – 0/38

5:30 PM – 1/38

5:45 PM – 0/48

6 PM – 14/48

6:15 PM – 3/44

6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 2/158

7 PM – 4/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 3/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 2/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 0/44

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 11/384

10:45 PM – 5/384

Dolby:

7 PM – 105/210(+4)

10:45 PM – 27/210(+4)

2D: 

5 PM – 10/85

5:30 PM – 2/52

6 PM – 0/52

6:30 PM – 6/52

7 PM – 40/159(+2)

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 2/52

9:45 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 3/52

Total from 9 theaters(105 showings): 1086(+73)/16462 (6.6%)

TLK comp(adjusted for 7 theaters): 12.14M

I realized that I messed up yesterday, and the comp should’ve been 12.3M, not 11M.

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 41/411(+7)

10:45 PM – 2/411

Prime:

7 PM – 52/187

10:45 PM – 9/187

Dolby:

7 PM – 117/217

10:45 PM – 14/217(+3)

2D:

5 PM – 10/56(+2)

5:15 PM – 0/38

5:30 PM – 1/38

5:45 PM – 0/48

6 PM – 14/48

6:15 PM – 3/44

6:30 PM – 0/44

7 PM – 2/158

7 PM – 4/92

7:15 PM – 2/92

7:30 PM – 3/94

7:45 PM – 0/94

8 PM – 2/48

8:15 PM – 0/48

8:30 PM – 5/44(+5)

8:45 PM – 0/56

9 PM – 0/38

9:15 PM – 0/38

9:30 PM – 0/48

9:45 PM – 0/48

10 PM – 0/44

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:30 PM – 0/44

10:45 PM – 0/158

10:45 PM – 0/92

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 14/384(+3)

10:45 PM – 6/384(+1)

Dolby:

7 PM – 108/210(+3)

10:45 PM – 27/210

2D:

5 PM – 10/85

5:30 PM – 2/52

6 PM – 0/52

6:30 PM – 9/52(+3)

7 PM – 42/159(+2)

7:30 PM – 0/85

7:45 PM – 0/85

8:45 PM – 0/85

9:15 PM – 2/52

9:45 PM – 0/52

10:15 PM – 3/52

Total from 9 theaters(105 showings): 1168(+82)/16462 (7.1%)

TLK comp(adjusted for 7 theaters): 12.07M

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Posted (edited)

Wow, that is a huge expansion for FFH. It’s in the pretty awkward position where exactly the sort of fans who would repeat view a CBM movie over 4 minutes of new footage are not feeling very positively about Spider-man right now. Think the PTA might go real low.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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I quickly glanced at showtimes in NYC and while theater count is huge, show count not so much. Most plexes have spidey on 2 shows(evening) and while morning shows going to Toy Story 4. It has 3 shows Lincoln Square Imax except prime time 7PM show which has gone to Once Upon a time in hollywood.

 

Definitely its going to have a mediocre PTA(as will Toy Story 4) but fan base could still check out the 4 minutes boosting the gross this weekend. Could Spidey gross like 5m over 4 days?

 

Toy Story could do like 2-3m over 4 days but as I said earlier it has no milestones to aim for. So I wonder why Disney expanded it so much.

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42 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I quickly glanced at showtimes in NYC and while theater count is huge, show count not so much. Most plexes have spidey on 2 shows(evening) and while morning shows going to Toy Story 4. It has 3 shows Lincoln Square Imax except prime time 7PM show which has gone to Once Upon a time in hollywood.

 

Definitely its going to have a mediocre PTA(as will Toy Story 4) but fan base could still check out the 4 minutes boosting the gross this weekend. Could Spidey gross like 5m over 4 days?

 

Toy Story could do like 2-3m over 4 days but as I said earlier it has no milestones to aim for. So I wonder why Disney expanded it so much.

It's just something Disney does. No matter if there's a milestone or not, Disney always expands their Pixar movie. Just an odd tradition they have

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Disney has long re-expanded one or two of their summer releases over Labor Day weekend for most part of the last 20 years. Dinosaur/Gone in 60 Seconds in 2000, Atlantis/Pearl Harbor in 2001, The Avengers/Brave in 2012, etc. It's just a thing a do. Can't blame them when there's almost always literally nothing opening over this holiday weekend as everyone says bye bye to summer and hello to the fall/holiday season.

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3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

huge expansions for Spidey and Toy Story. Spidey is going for a big push for 400m with additional scene. How is disney going to market Toy Story 4. That has no benchmark left to gross at this point.

Release the #snydercut of Toy Story 4 :Venom:

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A shame if IT2 comes in under the first by a substantial margin since it looks much better than the first. 

 

I guess the hook/novelty of the kids in the first one was a big selling point. 

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It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 107 1,052 21,882 4.81%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 112

Total Seats Sold Today: 65

 

Adjusted Comp

0.259x of The Lion King 7 days before release (5.97M)

3.214x of Hobbs & Shaw 7 days before release (18.64M)

 

Adjusted Seats Sold: 51

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