The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I’m pretty confident Rth would know, but I figure they’re probably slumbering til the Queen arrives 😛 

Aren’t we all?

[Legion Again]

11 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

Aren’t we all?

Well some of us have to pay close attention to movies such as Luce and Bennett’s War

[Cap]

10 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Well some of us have to pay close attention to movies such as Luce and Bennett’s War

eff those movies. 

[charlie Jatinder]

[Old Spice]

Pennywise interim report for Salt Lake, three days before previews. Sugarhouse Cinemark Luxury, six screenings, all 2D.

 

201 tickets sold, close to 50% of capacity, although more showtimes will undoubtedly be added.

 

All comps are against the NEAR FINAL sales for preview night.

250% of Dark Phoenix = $82 mil OW

200% of Godzilla = $95.4

181% of John Wick = $102.8

49% of TLK = $95

272% of Hobbs and Shaw = $163 😂

 

Salt Lakers love their horror films it would seem. Even if IT didn't sell another ticket between now and Thursday, it would still be projecting an OW of $90-95 once you take H&S out of the equation.

 

Will check back in on Thursday, but the clown is definitely smiling out here.

Edited September 3, 2019 by A Star is Orm
typo

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, A Star is Orm said:

250% of Dark Phoenix = 12.5

200% of Godzilla = 12.6

181% of John Wick = 10.68

49% of TLK = 11.27

272% of Hobbs and Shaw = 15.78

Comps applied to previews. Very positive considering almost 3 days of growth to go 

 

Also I think there was an arithmetic mistake with Phoenix, or a typo? 150% of Phoenix is under 50M  

Edit: fixed according to below

Edited September 3, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Old Spice]

25 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Comps applied to previews. Very positive considering almost 3 days of growth to go 

 

Also I think there was an arithmetic mistake with Phoenix, or a typo? 150% of Phoenix is under 50M

Good catch, should have been 250%.

[Eric Atreides]

It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	1,549	22,359	6.93%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 71

Total Seats Sold Today: 232

 

Comp

2.379x of Once Upon 3 days before release (13.8M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.274x of The Lion King 3 days before release (6.31M)

2.402x of Hobbs & Shaw 3 days before release (13.93M)

 

Adjusted Seats Sold: 196

 

This seems like a very strong Monday. IIRC, the first IT didn't really explode until the week of, so I guess it makes sense. And even though I only have one new comp at the moment, it's nice to see two comps are looking at around 14M in previews. Whether it will stay that high, let alone hit it on Thursday, is questionable, but it's good to know that another movie, especially another R-rated film with a fanbase and started previews relatively early is pointing to some promising signs. And FWIW, that 14M is close to what Inception and Orm have with some of their data, so take that for what you will. Excited to see what the next three days have in store.

[Cap]

It: Chapter 2

Thursday Previews

 

Southern Maine Cinemagic
Movie	Today		9/1	9/2	Total	%		SOs	Shows
It: Chapter 2	12		119	131	2039	6.42%		0	12

 

Lincoln Square 13
Movie	Today		9/1	9/2	Total	%		SOs	Shows
It: Chapter 2	54		811	865	3430	25.21%		0	10

 

Monday Before Final Day Comps
Movie	Sold	%	Est
Cinemagic Chain
It: Chapter 2	131	--	--
The Lion King	202	64.85%	14.91M
Godzilla	73	179.45%	11.3M
Toy Story 4	66	198.48%	23.81M
Dark Phoenix	35	374.28%	18.71M
Lincoln Square 13
It: Chapter 2	865	--	--
The Lion King	1763	49.06%	11.28M
Dark Phoenix	1088	79.50%	3.97M
Godzilla	857	100.93%	6.35M
Toy Story 4	793	109.07%	13.08M

 

 

So the comps are all over the place.  I used the movies that had the IMAX release, but I'm wondering about throwing in John Wick cause it's R.  I might even toss in Endgame on the final day.  IDK.

 

The Cinemagic Comps really only show that it's selling really well compared to basically everything else.  As for Lincoln Square, I think all this proves is Godzilla and Dark Phoenix over-performed AF at LS13 and the underperformed elsewhere AF.  

 

[Porthos]

It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	177	17771	20105	2334	11.61%

 

Total Showings Added Today	10*
Total Seats Added Today	142
Total Seats Sold Today	324

* Includes 8 showings added today from the local drive-in, which is naturally non-reserved.

 

Not really sure what to use as a comp for this film, since as I understand it horror isn't that pre-sale heavy.  Maybe.  For now, gonna throw in a few recent ones along with JW2 and DP2 and hope for the best.

 

T-3 Adjusted Comps #1 (probably lol - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Pika	157.17		238	1485		0/71	6647/8132	18.26%		8.96m
Aladdin	143.37		173	1628		0/93	10983/12611	12.91%		10.04m
KotM	163.22		131	1430		0/101	12310/13740	10.41%		10.28m
TS4	71.97		460	3243		0/119	11061/14304	22.33%		8.64m
TLK	39.25		821	5946		1/240	18277/24223	24.55%		9.03m
It 2 (adj)	n/a		324	2334		0/177	16192/18526	12.60%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  It 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for all of the movies in that stat block. See this post for explanation.

 

T-3 Adjusted Comps #2 (probably lol - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
JW2	74.28		443	2873		0/118	9224/12097	23.75%		11.36m
DP2	48.84		374	4369		0/127	9812/14181	30.81%		9.09m
It 2 (JW adj)	n/a		288	2134		0/177	13190/15324	13.93%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  It 2 (JW adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom and Deadpool 2.

[FlashMaster659]

It: Chapter 2 Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	% Sold
TOTALS	0	164	3920	37725	33805	10.39%

 

Shows Added Today: 1

Seats Added Today: 287

Seats Sold Today: 465

 

===

 

Pretty strong Monday jump for It 2 today.

[cax16]

 

[keysersoze123]

16 minutes ago, cax16 said:

 

Now its locked to open under 1st movie. All these fandango reports are generally a jinx.

[lorddemaxus]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Now its locked to open under 1st movie. All these fandango reports are generally a jinx.

The only time it was a "jinx" of any sort was for Solo but even then, it was Fandango comparing a Star Wars movie to a MCU movie.

Edited September 3, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

59 minutes ago, cax16 said:

 

 

But according to people here, there was no buzz and it was locked to open under $80m and miss $200m.  

[FlashMaster659]

@Porthos What's your criteria for what a sellout is when you do your reports?

[Cap]

4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

@Porthos What's your criteria for what a sellout is when you do your reports?

A Sell Out is 100% (or just the WheelChair Only Seats Left).  

 

And then there's what's referred to as a Tele Sell Out or Partial Sell Outs, which means it's basically only the first two rows left.  Or just the "bad" seats.  The theory is that unless people are desperate, they will wait for another showing.  

[CJohn]

14 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

A Sell Out is 100% (or just the WheelChair Only Seats Left).  

 

And then there's what's referred to as a Tele Sell Out or Partial Sell Outs, which means it's basically only the first two rows left.  Or just the "bad" seats.  The theory is that unless people are desperate, they will wait for another showing.  

TELE SELL OUT LMAO

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

 

But according to people here, there was no buzz and it was locked to open under $80m and miss $200m.  

Nobody said that, but keep on strawmanning I guess.    

 

Also this “news” has no informational value because it was guaranteed to happen. It 1 was the previous record holder and this is coming 2 years later.

Edited September 3, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Eric Atreides]

With these types of "advanced presales" promos, the only time they matter is when movies coming out on the same year are in those comparisons. It 2 selling more than Us is a good sign, as it would practically ensure 70M+.