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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Rambo: Last Blood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 31 144 5,239 2.75%

 

Comp

0.221x of Once Upon 3 days before release (1.28M)

2.182x of Crawl 3 days before release (2.18M)

1.210x of Angel Has Fallen 3 days before release (1.81M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.276x of Hobbs & Shaw 3 days before release (1.6M)

 

This is pretty good stuff so far. If it follows AHF's comp and IM, that would be at about 25.8M. Even the Once Upon comp is at 18.2M, and I just kinda threw that one in just to add more variety. Again, solid position to be in.

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Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 21 65 5,753 1.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Adjusted Comp

3.4x of Hobbs & Shaw 31 days before release (19.72M)

 

Appreciate the idea @Porthos but...I don't think Hobbs & Shaw is a strong comp at this point. The It 2 comp is honestly better, but that's not saying much (1.73M as of now).

 

But hey, at least that just gives me less work to do until Lion King data comes around in a couple weeks

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Charlie's Angels Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-59 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 20 6 6,584 0.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Expected, but it's still funny seeing that zero every time. Still weird that Sony put out tickets this early.

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22 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Really curious as to just how frontloaded Downton Abbey will end up being. I doubt there's anyone outside the fan base on the fence on whether they want to see it or not.

I'm in the "crazy frontloaded" camp at the moment too, but I don't think it's that hard to believe it can do 2.4x or something from its OW. Like I know this is 11 years ago, and it was during the summer, but Sex and the City still did 2.68x its OW, and that was also something for the fans only.

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11 minutes ago, DAJK said:

This could be a pretty great weekend if we get 3 films opening over 20M

It would be incredible to set a new record for 5th place weekend gross, but I think that’s out of reach.   

 

Maybe we can set a new record for 3rd highest opener of a weekend? No clue what that would even be at present. 

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20 minutes ago, Eric! said:

I'm in the "crazy frontloaded" camp at the moment too, but I don't think it's that hard to believe it can do 2.4x or something from its OW. Like I know this is 11 years ago, and it was during the summer, but Sex and the City still did 2.68x its OW, and that was also something for the fans only.

I feel like Sex and the City was a lot more accessible considering the show's audience had greatly expanded during the four year interim between the show ending and the movie opening via those always on "cleaned up" reruns on TBS. This reminds me more of Entourage where the appeal really was limited to the fans only. We'll see I guess.

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42 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

It would be incredible to set a new record for 5th place weekend gross, but I think that’s out of reach.   

 

Maybe we can set a new record for 3rd highest opener of a weekend? No clue what that would even be at present. 

 

I thought for a while it might be a Xmas release given all of the films released then, but no.  It's a totally random one:

 

Quote

May 24-26, 2013
click here to view the
4-DAY WEEKEND

 

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 N Fast & Furious 6 Uni. $97,375,245 - 3,658 - $26,620 $97,375,245 $160 1
2 N The Hangover Part III WB $41,671,198 - 3,555 - $11,722 $53,460,661 $103 1
3 1 Star Trek Into Darkness Par. $37,291,016 -46.9% 3,907 +39 $9,545 $146,117,582 $190 2
4 N Epic Fox $33,531,068 - 3,882 - $8,638 $33,531,068 $100 1

 

I might have missed a three day/five day/showcase release (as opposed to limited) patten, but I think this is the answer.

 

Source:  List of films with the largest OW NOT to open at #1 (BOM)

 

I went down the list and looked at the placement in the info box.  If it said "2", I went to the next in the list.  If it said "3", "4", or "5", I checked to see if there were holdovers.  Epic is the highest one (#62 currently).

 

EDIT:::

 

Adjusting for 2019 dollars, perhaps surprisingly, doesn't change the answer.  Still Epic.

 

...

 

And now I see that link over at BOM actually had the placement in the chart which would have sped up my search a little bit.  Ah well, didn't spend that long on it. :lol: 

 

Edited by Porthos
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8 hours ago, Eric! said:

I'm in the "crazy frontloaded" camp at the moment too, but I don't think it's that hard to believe it can do 2.4x or something from its OW. Like I know this is 11 years ago, and it was during the summer, but Sex and the City still did 2.68x its OW, and that was also something for the fans only.

I think it had a front loaded weekend here here in the UK, initial projections were $7-9m and it finished just under that.

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20 hours ago, A Star is Orm said:

Any sense of the French critical reaction yet? There had to have been a contingent of French journalists at Venice. 

Most of the reviews haven't been published yet. So far, Le Figaro really liked it, praising Phoenix and Phillips. Le Monde said it's ambitious but full of cliche which undermines the stakes. 

In less prestigious newspapers, Premiere raves that it's "pure cinema delight" and Ecran Large gave it 4/5. 

WB is really, really confident with it. It holds nationwide previews a week early.

Edited by Parasite
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30 minutes ago, Parasite said:

Most of the reviews haven't been published yet. So far, Le Figaro really liked it, praising Phoenix and Phillips. Le Monde said it's ambitious but full of cliche which undermines the stakes. 

In less prestigious newspapers, Premiere raves that it's "pure cinema delight" and Ecran Large gave it 4/5. 

WB is really, really confident with it. It holds nationwide previews a week early.

Awesome, thanks.

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NYC Local: Regal


Ad Astra (TUES 4:30pm)

18/301
8/301

= 26/602

 

Downton Abbey (TUES 4:30pm) (had Thur sneaks here last w/e)

19/256
12/256

= 31/512

 

Rambo (TUES 4:30pm)

16/301
13/301

=29/602

 

COMPS (for what they're worth)

 

Hustlers (Tues: 4:25pm)

45/512

 

Downton Abbey  (Tues: 4:25pm - Last week Early Previews)
37/301

 

OUATIH (Tues 2:15pm)

117/1179

 

Hobbs & Shaw (MON: 5:20pm)

60/1543

 

 

 

 

 

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On 9/16/2019 at 4:11 PM, Inceptionzq said:

61/1842 across 7 theaters in Denver. Hustlers comp points to 1M for previews. I’ll do a Hobbs and OUATiH comp once I’m able to properly adjust for theaters

Rambo Last Blood Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

7 PM – 29/158(+8)

9:30 PM – 1/158

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

NEW 7:20 PM – 5/85(+5)

Total from 8 theaters(17 showings): 89(+28)/3018(+1176)(2.9%)

Hustlers comp: 939K

Adjusted Hobbs comp: 923K

OUATiH comp: 726K

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On 9/16/2019 at 4:32 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Downton Abbey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

2D:

7 PM – 55/92(+2)

10 PM – 3/92

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

Dolby:

7 PM – 85/210(+14)

2D:

NEW 7 PM – 0/159

Total from 8 theaters(15 showings): 291(-7)/2083(+226)(12%) 

Adjusted Hustlers comp: 3.39M

OUATiH comp: 3.03M

One of the theaters decided to move a showing to a larger showroom. It had 38/47 sold. Though, it was understandable that they’d want to move it to a larger one. But still slightly annoying. So, the amount of tickets sold today was 31. Also, the day to day sales have now fallen behind Hustlers like I thought it would.

Downton Abbey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

2D:

7 PM – 56/92(+1)

10 PM – 3/92

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

Dolby:

7 PM – 88/210(+3)

2D:

7:30 PM – 3/159(+3)

NEW 8 PM – 0/52

Total from 8 theaters(18 showings): 344(+53)/2271(+188)(13.3%)

Hustlers comp: 3.63M

OUATiH comp: 2.81M

Somewhere along the way, I screwed up and somehow didn’t count some showings. I think what I did was not count a showing for the 19th because I thought it was for the 12th. Good thing I started recording individual theater counts a few days ago, so I have the correct numbers. So, that means yesterday was 291 tickets sold. I’ll update it in the quote with the correct comps

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Ad Astra Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 31/411(+11)

10 PM – 3/411(+1)

2D:

7 PM – 16/94

10:30 PM – 3/94(+2) 

Total from 7 theaters(23 showings): 117(+49)/3583(+326)(3.3%)

For some reason, Highlands Ranch already got rid of their preview showing, which they had posted yesterday. So, I can’t adjust for theaters. I’ll have comps tomorrow and Thursday. But FWIW, it’s ahead of Rambo. Probably low to mid 1M rn

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