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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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v Finale Sales Comps
Movie Sold % Est
Southern Maine Cinemagic
Addams Family 16 -- --
Pets 2 9 177.77% 4.08M
Toy Story 4 558 2.86% 0.344M
Dora 35 45.71% 0.571M
Pika Pika 158 10.12% 0.577M
Gemini Man 10 -- --
Hobbs & Shaw 146 6.84% 0.397M
MIB3 109 9.17% 0.284M
John Wick 3 186 5.37% 0.317M

 

My Local looking at the New Releases this week:

 

EquatorialPoisedAnkole-size_restricted.g

 

Taking out that Pets Outliner (NYC is NO WHERE strong enough to support that), it arrives out to 0.497M for Addams Family.  Will Smith's fairing even worst with a 0.332M average for Gemini Man.

 

 

v Finale Sales Comps
Lincoln Square 13
Jexi 49 -- --
Racing In Rain 38 128.94% 0.580M
Rocketman 460 10.65% 0.186M
Addams Family 69 -- --
Pets 2 152 45.39% 1.04M
Pika Pika 613 11.26% 0.641M
Toy Story 4 1273 5.42% 0.650M
Gemini Man 319 -- --
Hobbs & Shaw 525 60.76% 3.52M
MIB3 653 48.85% 1.51M
John Wick 3 675 47.25% 2.78M

 

Jexi: 0.383M

Addams Family: 0.777M

Gemini Man: 2.60M

 

What's wild about Gemini Man is that at LS13 it ONLY showed on the IMAX screen.  No Dolby, No Standard showings.  Just two IMAX showings that didn't fully sell.  Addams Family behind Pets at LC13 I find HMM.  I would not be shocked in it went under 1M.  I don't have enough Jexi comps to know if the 100K or 500K feels better, so I split the difference.  

 

I have AMC Empire 25 numbers but no comps, so just raw data on those.

 

AMC 25
Jexi 45 268 16.79%
Gemini Man 601 1893 31.74%
Addams Family 190 947 20.06%
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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Gemini Man (Mid day update)

 

Basicallly its PS driven by Imax/PLF. Otherwise the numbers are dismal like cinemark data below and what other posters have been saying. Dont see this beating Addams family this weekend.

 

AMC - 24553/184770 (991 shows)

Cinemark - 4301/115262  (1102 shows)

 

Addams Family

AMC - 29644/370746

Cinemark - 17551/108282

 

Cinemark did great with walk ins but AMC numbers growth was not great. Still much better finish than what I expected yesterday. I would say somewhere in 1 to 1.5m range for previews.

Edited by keysersoze123
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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Gemini Man (Mid day update)

 

Basicallly its PS driven by Imax/PLF. Otherwise the numbers are dismal like cinemark data below and what other posters have been saying. Dont see this beating Addams family this weekend.

 

AMC - 24553/184770 (991 shows)

Cinemark - 4301/115262  (1102 shows)

 

Gemini Man

AMC - 35459/183187 (991 shows)

Cinemark - 11479/108170 (1102 shows)

 

It definitely did ramp up in final hours and will do better than Adams family with late hour shows as well. I dont have data to compare but with pricier Imax/PLF doing well in big cities I think this will hit 2.5m or tad more than that. bit without comparative data its an educated guess as AMC is worth about 500K and should be 20% of overall BO.

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Joker Salt Lake City Sugarhouse counts for Thursday night.

 

5:00 PM 26/62

6:00 PM 32/62

7:00 PM 48/50

8:00 PM 65/66

9:00 PM 64/66

 

Total 235/306 76.8%

 

Previous Night 277/363 76.3%

 

Drop from Wednesday 15.2%

 

Strong hold in SLC on Thursday night. The main hit came from the 7:00 PM show as Cinemark switched Joker from its 107-seater to one half its size so that the 15 people who bought tix to Gemini Man could stretch out more comfortably. 😑

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22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mal2 (T-8)

AMC(747 shows) - 10093/152118 (+381)

Cinemark(1056 shows) - 4203/142620(+217)

 

I guess it will be under 12k before start of next week and then hopefully it accelerates. I think previews are looking sub 5m at this point.

Mal2 (T-7)
AMC(747 shows) - 10614/155305 (+521)

Cinemark(1056 shows) - 4596/141969 (+393)

 

WOW. it actually had a good boost at both AMC and Cinemark. At least I have Addams family to compare with next week 🙂

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Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 32 153 8,464 1.81%

 

Total Showings Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.145x of It: Chapter Two 7 days before release (1.53M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.039x of Lion King 7 days before release (895K)

0.482x of Hobbs & Shaw 7 days before release (2.79M)

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Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 75 8,792 0.85%

 

Comp

0.127x of It: Chapter Two 21 days before release (1.34M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.761x of Hobbs & Shaw 21 days before release (4.41M)

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I'm running late tonight, but my comps suggest something like 0.6M for Gemini Man tonight. I know that number isn't gonna happen, so it's obviously just underperforming in my market. We'll see how Friday goes. 

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On 10/9/2019 at 1:31 AM, Porthos said:

Just did another twirl.  At T-9 Maleficent 2 has sold 377 tickets region wide (+146 in nine days of sales)

 

51.29% of Pika PIka (2.92m) [-0.32m from last check]

36.85% of Aladdin   (2.57m) [-0.10m from last check]

28.91% of It 2         (3.04m)  [-0.22m from last check]

 

And continuing the lolcheck:

 

107.10% of H&S     (6.21m) [-0.42m from last check]

 

Kiiiinda thinking 3m may be in the cards? I really don't track low openers though, so your guess as good as mine, if not better.  FWIW, TS4 comps to 2.42m and TLK to 2.57m.  So, range of 2.5m to 3m at the moment?  That seems to be what Sacramento is pointing to.  But, again, I don't track low openers, so the pattern could be wildly off.

 

At T-7, Maleficent 2 is now at 413 tickets sold (+36 the last two days).

 

43.84% of Pika Pika (2.50m) [-0.42m from last check]

35.14% of Aladdin   (2.46m) [-0.11m from last check]

26.68% of It 2         (2.80m) [-0.24m from last check]

 

And the lolcheck is:

 

91.17% of H&S       (5.29m) [-0.92m from last check]

 

Presuming Sacramento isn't over-performing (which might not be a good presumption with Philly's and Denver's numbers), looks to be converging on 2.5m.  Maybe 2m if they keep dropping.  FWIW, TS4 comp is down a tick to 2.34m and TLK is at a similar number of 2.38m,

 

So not crashing (yet), but not headed in the right direction, either.

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59 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Any tracking of parasite? Apparently it's doing awesome in New York

This weekend, Parasite is only playing at three cinemas across the US: One in New York (The IFC Center) and Two in Los Angeles (The Arclight and Landmark). Let's look at each one individually:

 

IFC CENTER (NYC):

I'm gonna let these figures speak for themselves:

 

Spoiler

EGm8qwjW4AAYHvs.jpg:large

 

All in all, the film has 55 showing for the weekend at the theater, across 4 of the 5 screenings. Given what I found about the seating at IFC, I am looking at an average of 125 seats per show and an average cost of about $15 per ticket. This would grant Parasite about $102,300 for the weekend.

 

LANDMARK (LA):

There are 14 shows daily (except for Sunday, which has 15 shows) - The auditoriums showing the film seat 44, 299, and 297 respectively. Given how the evening shows are looking, let's suppose an 80% average capacity for the whole weekend. So that would be roughly 6,000 seats for the weekend. Again, ticket prices average around $12-15, so like the IFC in New York, we're very close to a $100k PTA this weekend.

 

On Saturday, there is a Q&A with director Bong Joon-Ho and some of the cast, as well as 3 Q&As on Sunday.

 

ARCLIGHT (LA):

Parasite has 18 shows on Friday, 19 on Saturday, and 23 on Sunday. The auditoriums this film is on seat 430, 246, 203, and 203 respectively. Let's again suppose that there is a 70% average capacity for the weekend, but know that ticket prices here average around $15-18. That's around ~3,000 seats sold each say (adding an extra 800 for Saturday's dome Q&A and 500 for extra shows on Sunday) for 10,300 tickets for the weekend. That would push the PTA over $150k!

 

On Saturday, there are two Q&As with director Bong Joon-Ho and some of the cast. One is in the 800 seat dome.

 

--

 

Overall, I think this is on track for a PTA over $100k.

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24  
3D:    
7:30 PM 21 48
10:20 PM 4 48
2D:    
7:00 PM 20 158
10:05 PM 1 158
     
Total 46 412

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
94 4 3150 2.98% 7 24

 

Lion King comp: 1.05M

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24  
3D:    
7:30 PM 21 48
10:20 PM 4 48
2D:    
7:00 PM 21 158
7:00 PM 0 217
9:50 PM 0 217
10:05 PM 1 158
     
Total 47 846

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
99 5 3584 2.76% 7 26

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 434

 

Half adjusted Lion King comp: 969K

Addams Family comp: 2.88M

 

The Lion King comp is gonna be slightly under what it should be at for the next few days because I can't adjust for one theater.

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Zombieland: Double Tap Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24  
Prime:    
7:00 PM 0 187
10:10 PM 0 187
2D:    
7:00 PM 35 94
9:40 PM 15 94
     
Total 50 562

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
123 0 2951 4.17% 7 16

 

Gemini Man comp: 2.7M

Rambo comp: 4.44M

Hustlers comp: 4.16M

 

Not really sure what comps to use, so I'll just throw these three in for now.

 

I'm surprised it didn't sell anything today. It has been doing really well over the past few days. But I'm quite confident it won't reach the heights of these comps. I'd guess there's some frontloading from those that really liked Zombieland

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