The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[el sid]

Counted today at ca. 11am EST:
Maleficent 2:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 204 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 289 (total tickets sold for Friday, 11 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 64 / 87 (13 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 57 / 72 (9 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 188 / 166 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 12 / 18 (11 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 28 / 20 (8 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 19 / 29 (11 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 234 / 356 (12 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 124 / 175 (18 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 260 / 232 (17 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Thursday: 1.190 and for Friday: 1.444.

The comps: TLK had on Wednesday 9.101 and 9.705 sold tickets, It 2 had on Wednesday 3.730 and 4.316.
OUATIH had on Wednesday 2.610 and 1.974 sold tickets.
That was a small jump. But I also thought that walk ups could help. The curiousity factor won't be as strong as in 2014 but people obviously quite liked the first movie and the reviews are now on par. I remember that my derby prediction was (way) too low in 2014 and that prediction was partly based on movietickets/presales.

Zombieland 2:
Counted today at ca. 8am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 111 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 151 (total tickets sold for Friday, 7 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 66 / 70 (5 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 48 + possibly one Sell Out / 77 (10 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 74 / 89 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 45 / 84 (9 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 36 / 28 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 55 / 24 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 235 / 254 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 17 / 13 (12 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 187 / 97 (16 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Wednesday for Thursday: 874 and for Friday: 887.

That's pretty good! Especially between the coasts. Way better than e.g. the number of Angel has Fallen (but that film must have had nice walk ups) which had on Wednesday - and that was a few hours later - 472/388 sold tickets. Good Boys had also a bit later in the day 766/669.

Edited October 16, 2019 by el sid

[keysersoze123]

19 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mid day update

Mal 2 ( T-2)

AMC - 15938/159115 +1066

Cinemark - 7505/146820 + 632

 

Not much of an acceleration from yesterday. It needs to explode tomorrow to even hit 3m at this point.

 

Edit: sorry folks for the confusion.

Mal 2 (T-1)

AMC - 18376/204900 (1080 shows)  +2438

Cin -  8320/170539 (1287 shows) + 815

 

Good increase at AMC. Good increase in show counts as well. Still needs 40-45K sales to hit 3m.

 

[keysersoze123]

19 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Zombieland(T-2)

AMC - 12129/91851(535 shows) + 1437

Cinemark - 5474/70919(678 shows) +728

 

At least AMC is showing better increase compared to what I saw for Maleficent. But overall not sensing a big number. Needs huge acceleration to hit Gemini Man numbers at AMC.

Zombieland(T-1)

AMC - 15295/132170 (842 shows) +3166

Cinemark - 6677/103175 (970 shows) + 1203

 

Big increase in showcount and tickets sold. Momentum is stronger than Maleficent though numbers are quite a bit lower. Dont see more than Gemini Man previews at this point.

[DAJK]

53 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Zombieland(T-1)

AMC - 15295/132170 (842 shows) +3166

Cinemark - 6677/103175 (970 shows) + 1203

 

Big increase in showcount and tickets sold. Momentum is stronger than Maleficent though numbers are quite a bit lower. Dont see more than Gemini Man previews at this point.

1.6M would be pretty poor for a film that is going to be primarily fan-driven, is it not? I can't really see it having more than a 10x preview-to-weekend ratio. 

[filmlover]

I get the feeling Zombieland's gonna be much more of a walk up friendly movie.

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Preview Start
Shazam!					129/2229	(Afternoon)	187/2229	(3:30pm)	$5.9m	4:00 PM
Avengers: Endgame	3948/4,736	(12am)			4,853/5493	(9pm)			$60m	6:00 PM
Aladdin			98/1242	(12pm)					$7m	6:00 PM
Godzilla 2					135/1915	(7:45pm)	204/2150	(3:30pm)	$6.3m	4:00 PM
X-Men: DP			103/942	(4pm)	209/942	(3:15pm)	272/942	(3:45pm)	$5m	6:00 PM
SLOP 2			38/771	(4pm)	43/771	(3:15pm)			$2.3m	6:00 PM
Toy Story 4			165/2049	(4pm)	233/2049	(7:40pm)			$12m	6:00 PM
SM:FFH	142/922								$2.8m	Midnights Only
The Lion King	236/3228	(6:30pm)	294/3228	(6:20pm)	444/3228	(4:30pm)	557/3228	(4:30pm)	$23m	6:00 PM
OUATIH			117/1179	(2:15pm)	159/1179	(4pm)	335/1179	(4:20pm)	$5.8m	4:00 PM
Hobbs & Shaw	60/1543	(5:20pm)			181/1543	(4pm)			$5.8m	7:00 PM
IT Part 2	147/2764	(9am)			239/2764	(7:10pm)			$10.5m	5:00 PM
Hustlers			45/512	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	$2.5m	6:00 PM
Downton Abbey (eps)			37/301	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	$2.2m	7:00 PM
Ad Astra			26/602	(4:30pm)	26/602	(4:30pm)	41/602	(4:30pm)	$1.5m	6:00 PM
Downton Abbey			31/512	(4:30pm)	39/512	(4:30pm)	52/1015	(4:30pm)	$2.1m	7:00 PM
Rambo			29/302	(4:30pm)	53/1242	(4:30pm)	58/1242	(4:30pm)	$1.3m	6:00 PM
Abominable			30/255	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	73/1969	(4:30pm)	$.65m	6:00 PM
Joker (-1 week)	104/2766	(9am)	172/2766	(4:30pm)			217/3536	(4pm)		4:00 PM
Joker	328/3536	(4:20pm)	399/3536	(4pm)	542/3536	(4pm)	760/3741	(3:45pm)	$13.3m	4:00 PM
Gemini Man			38/1004	(4pm)	38/1004	(4pm)	78/1004	[6:30pm]	$1.55m	7:00 PM
Adams Family		(4pm)	53/1373	(4pm)	49/1373	(4pm)				4:00 PM
Maleficent 2	39/1154	(4pm)	42/1154	(4pm)	33/834	(4pm)				7:00 PM
Zombieland 2	51/1114	(4pm)	53/1114	(4pm)	67/1177	(4pm)				7:00 PM

 

Mal2 lost an RPX showing to Zombie2 (and about 15+ tickets with it) .  Now at just 3 showings. Zombie2 still has 4 (RPX replace reg 2D)

 

EDIT: A count for Friday showings - Mal2 current pre-sales are far less Thur preview heavy than Zombie2   4.58 v 1.76 (Fri v Thur)

 

Mal2: 174 tickets sold over 13 showings (with the 7:30 2D show having 44 - more than Thur previews combined)

Zombie2: 118 tickets sold over 12 showings

Edited October 16, 2019 by TalismanRing

[Xftg123]

Looking at it ticket wise, it seems like Zombieland 2 might have a bit more stronger walk ups. Possibly. I predict that Zombieland 2 will do well domestically, Maleficent will do great overseas, and Joker...well, who knows how that'll do, but I think it might make 35M or so domestically.

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mal 2(OD)

AMC - 21006/544470 (2796 shows)

Cinemark - 12725/405457 (2841 shows)

 

Since couple of folks were asking about preview to OW multi for Malficent I wanted to look at OD PS to see how it will go. It needs somewhere between 4-5x preview sales for 40-50m OW. It has another half a day of PS plus show count is way higher compared too Previews.

 

I would say with 3m previews, OD is looking like 12m(minus previews) that should ensure low 40's OW.

Mal 2 OD (wednesday afternoon update)
AMC - 26208/651856 (3561 shows) +5202
Cinemark -  16218/432642 (3110 shows) +3493

 

Huge update to show count and PS also bumped up big. So PS is heavily skewed towards OD than Previews. Definitely good news for its preview to OW multi.

 

 

[Xftg123]

How's it looking for Zombieland?

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

1.6M would be pretty poor for a film that is going to be primarily fan-driven, is it not? I can't really see it having more than a 10x preview-to-weekend ratio. 

I dont have enough prior data to differentiate a fan driven movie. but I would expect fan driven movies to have strong PS. This has sold fewer seats than even Gemini Man but that was all Imax/PLF in big cities. if it has huge walk ups final numbers will be big. So ignore my prediction.

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/15/2019 at 3:48 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
3D:
7:30 PM	24	48
10:20 PM	4	48
Dolby:
7:00 PM	23	217
9:50 PM	3	217
2D:
7:00 PM	26	158
10:05 PM	3	158
Total	83	846

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
199	40	4065	4.90%	7	29

 

Half adjusted Lion King comp: 1.27M

Addams Family comp: 3.07M

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
3D:
7:30 PM	25	48
10:20 PM	4	48
Dolby:
7:00 PM	28	217
9:50 PM	3	217
2D:
7:00 PM	26	158
9:00 PM	0	48
10:05 PM	3	158
Total	89	894
AMC Highlands 24
Dolby:
7:00 PM	8	210
IMAX:
7:30 PM	7	384
3D:
7:45 PM	0	52
2D:
7:00 PM	0	159
8:30 PM	0	45
Total	15	850

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
272	73	5482	4.96%	9	38

 

Showings added: 9

Seats added: 1417

 

Lion King comp: 1.22M

Addams Family comp: 2.96M

Abominable comp: 2.81M

Edited October 16, 2019 by Inceptionzq

[keysersoze123]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Zombieland(T-1)

AMC - 15295/132170 (842 shows) +3166

Cinemark - 6677/103175 (970 shows) + 1203

 

Big increase in showcount and tickets sold. Momentum is stronger than Maleficent though numbers are quite a bit lower. Dont see more than Gemini Man previews at this point.

 

Zombieland OD

AMC - 15876/422396 ( 2665 shows)

Cin - 8656/289259 ( 2525 shows)

 

 

Definitely showing strong signs of OW bing frontloaded since Friday PS at AMC just on part with Previews while for Maleficent its way higher. Not sure what to predict for its OW as its looking grim.

 

Edit: FYI I quoted last update for Thursday Previews as comparison as I am tracking Zombieland OD PS for the 1st time.

 

 

Edited October 16, 2019 by keysersoze123

[Tinalera]

Terminator dark fate oct 31
Toronto ontario canada 
Taken oct 16 2019

 

Yonge Dundas

VIP

730 3 /76
1030 2/76

4DX
700 3/78
1000 2/78

 

Scotia place
IMAX
730 28/416
1030 2 /416

 

Yonge eglington
VIP
700 3/91
1000 0/134

AVX

730/0/349
1030 0/391

 

Eglington town
IMAX
700 1/335
1000 0335

 

Don Mills
VIP
700 0/114
1000 0/114

Yorkdale

AVX
700 0/349
1000 2/349

Queensway
IMAX
700 6/377 
1015 0/377

46/4455

 

6 days later 28 more sales. Thats it. Far too early out still but people just not feeling it so far up here. The numbers are what they are. Would have thought that thered be a little more interest esp.cameron coming back with arnie and linda. We shall see if it picks up but quiet thus far.
 

[Alex SciChannel]

I know its a little early, but Doctor Sleep presales just went on yesterday afternoon and was just curious if anyone had any info or comps on that one? 

 

I know BOP isnt projecting it 40M+ but it starts tracking for the trades tomorrow, so I was wondering if presales would turn up any signs on what that number may be?

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Zombieland: Double Tap Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
Prime:
7:00 PM	59	187
10:10 PM	8	187
2D:
7:00 PM	39	94
9:40 PM	16	94
Total	122	562

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
287	73	3397	8.45%	7	20

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 180

 

Gemini Man comp: 3.4M

Rambo comp: 4.44M

Hustlers comp: 3.11M

Half adjusted Hobbs comp: 3.12M

Zombieland: Double Tap Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24
Prime:
7:00 PM	79	187
10:10 PM	18	187
2D:
7:00 PM	48	94
7:45 PM	1	36
8:30 PM	0	56
9:40 PM	19	94
Total	165	654
AMC Highlands 24
2D:
7:00 PM	11	85
8:00 PM	9	85
Total	20	170

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
457	170	3907	11.70%	9	26

 

Showings added: 6

Seats added: 510

 

Gemini Man comp: 3.97M

Rambo comp: 5.45M

Hustlers comp: 3.44M

Hobbs comp: 2.94M

 

It seems to be following a slightly better version of Hustlers' trajectory at this point.

[Inceptionzq]

11 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

I know its a little early, but Doctor Sleep presales just went on yesterday afternoon and was just curious if anyone had any info or comps on that one? 

 

I know BOP isnt projecting it 40M+ but it starts tracking for the trades tomorrow, so I was wondering if presales would turn up any signs on what that number may be?

I don't think they're on sale yet. It's just showtimes that are being posted

[Alex SciChannel]

2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

I don't think they're on sale yet. It's just showtimes that are being posted

Dammit. Oh well, the trade's tracking will probably be something like $30M. Keep an eye out for that Deadline article.

[XXR vs XXR]

Maleficent 2 — 1 Day to Previews — AMC Willowbrook 24 — 6pm CST

 

IMAX: 2 showings, 13 tickets sold out of 301 available (04.32%)

Digital/3D: 4 showings, 49 tickets sold out of 470 available (10.43%)

 

Total: 6 showings, 62 tickets sold out of 771 available (08.04%)

[keysersoze123]

Folks,

   No more tracking for me until I resolve an issue with my laptop where I was running my scripts. Not sure when I will be able to start providing numbers again until I fix the issue.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mal 2 (T-1)

AMC - 18376/204900 (1080 shows)  +2438

Cin -  8320/170539 (1287 shows) + 815

So basically around $300k till Wednesday in around 30-35% market.