The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[dxmatrixdt]

2 minutes ago, Xftg123 said:

@belligerent talking robot

 

What are the numbers for?

 

Also, wow Abominable lost a lot of theaters.

not sure what you mean

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Xftg123 said:

@belligerent talking robot

 

What are the numbers for?

 

Also, wow Abominable lost a lot of theaters.

Abominable dom will barely match it's China total. Not common for animations.

Edited October 17, 2019 by a2k

[Xftg123]

35 minutes ago, belligerent talking robot said:

not sure what you mean

These:

Quote

Doctor Sleep - 20/60

Zombieland: Double Tap - 20/55

Maleficent - 45/135

Terminator - 45/115

Midway - 40/110

Charlie's Angels - 40/110

Frozen 2 - 110/375

Knives Out - 30/45/100

Jumanji - 80/250

I realize now that they're prediction numbers, I thought it was something else.

 

And I meant by Abominable losing a lot of theaters because of this:

 

Quote

Theater counts:

It: Chapter Two (-303)

Hustlers (-357)

Downtown Abbey (-319)

Abominable (-496)

[lor15]

28 minutes ago, a2k said:

Abominable dom will barely match it's China total. Not common for animations.

But Abominable made $15M in China 🙄

[Xftg123]

23 minutes ago, lor15 said:

But Abominable made $15M in China 🙄

True. Unfortunately with Abominable, there's also an issue/controversy revolving around the film (globally), so there's that too.

[a2k]

29 minutes ago, lor15 said:

But Abominable made $15M in China 🙄

whoops...some reason i thought it made $60. brain-freeze.

Edited October 17, 2019 by a2k

[keysersoze123]

On 10/16/2019 at 11:11 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Mal 2 (T-1)

AMC - 18376/204900 (1080 shows)  +2438

Cin -  8320/170539 (1287 shows) + 815

 

Good increase at AMC. Good increase in show counts as well. Still needs 40-45K sales to hit 3m.

 

Mal2 (Mid day thursday update

AMC - 28008/205082 (1080 shows)

Cin - 14455/164560 (1287 shows)

 

 

Don’t see this hit 3m with this number. Probably closer to 2m previews.

[a2k]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Mal2 (Mid day thursday update

AMC - 28008/205082 (1080 shows)

Cin - 14455/164560 (1287 shows)

 

 

Don’t see this hit 3m with this number. Probably closer to 2m previews.

if it does just a bit over 2m previews and not much, gonna bet on J beating it this weekend.

[keysersoze123]

On 10/16/2019 at 11:28 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Zombieland(T-1)

AMC - 15295/132170 (842 shows) +3166

Cinemark - 6677/103175 (970 shows) + 1203

 

Big increase in showcount and tickets sold. Momentum is stronger than Maleficent though numbers are quite a bit lower. Dont see more than Gemini Man previews at this point.

Zombieland (Mid day Thursday Update)

AMC - 26901/132598(842 shows)
Cin - 14380/95472 (970 shows)

 

Almost caught up to Maleficent and will probably finish better. Probably 2.5m previews at this point.

[keysersoze123]

6 minutes ago, a2k said:

if it does just a bit over 2m previews and not much, gonna bet on J beating it this weekend.

Yes. Looking more like 30m OW. That means Joker will repeat for sure. I want to check again tonight to confirm how things finish. I have not tracked that many previews to be absolutely sure but based on the numbers seen Preview sales are around 1-1.2m. I just dont see it coming close to 3m as its already past 5PM eastern.

[Xftg123]

From what I've seen in China's box office thread, Gemini Man is looking to bet the big hit over there compared to Maleficent.

Edited October 17, 2019 by Xftg123

[xiazhi]

5 hours ago, Xftg123 said:

I know there's discussion about Zombieland 2 and Maleficent 2, but what about Abominable? Unfortunately, due to the South China Sea Map in the film, it got banned in Vietnam, and countries like the Philippines and Malaysia demand the film to be cut.

These countries are so petty. China didn't ban slop2 because Taiwan didn't appear on China's map.

[keysersoze123]

On 10/16/2019 at 2:15 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Mal 2 OD (wednesday afternoon update)
AMC - 26208/651856 (3561 shows) +5202
Cinemark -  16218/432642 (3110 shows) +3493

 

Huge update to show count and PS also bumped up big. So PS is heavily skewed towards OD than Previews. Definitely good news for its preview to OW multi.

 

 

Mal 2 OD PS (thursday afternoon update)
AMC - 36202/653607 (3561 shows)
Cin - 23206/425392 (3110 shows)

 

Very good boost across both the chains. Could hit double digits OD even with low 2m previews.

Edited October 17, 2019 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Zombieland OD

AMC - 15876/422396 ( 2665 shows)

Cin - 8656/289259 ( 2525 shows)

 

 

Definitely showing strong signs of OW bing frontloaded since Friday PS at AMC just on part with Previews while for Maleficent its way higher. Not sure what to predict for its OW as its looking grim.

 

Edit: FYI I quoted last update for Thursday Previews as comparison as I am tracking Zombieland OD PS for the 1st time.

 

 

Zom OD (Thursday Mid day update
AMC - 22528/422540 (2665 shows)

Cin -    12344/285376(2525 shows)

 

Very good increase from yesterday especially in AMC. Still this wont be as backloaded as Maleficent and so I am not sensing more than 25m this weekend.

Edited October 17, 2019 by keysersoze123

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Preview Start
Shazam!					129/2229	(Afternoon)	187/2229	(3:30pm)	$5.9m	4:00 PM
Avengers: Endgame	3948/4,736	(12am)			4,853/5493	(9pm)			$60m	6:00 PM
Aladdin			98/1242	(12pm)					$7m	6:00 PM
Godzilla 2					135/1915	(7:45pm)	204/2150	(3:30pm)	$6.3m	4:00 PM
X-Men: DP			103/942	(4pm)	209/942	(3:15pm)	272/942	(3:45pm)	$5m	6:00 PM
SLOP 2			38/771	(4pm)	43/771	(3:15pm)			$2.3m	6:00 PM
Toy Story 4			165/2049	(4pm)	233/2049	(7:40pm)			$12m	6:00 PM
SM:FFH	142/922								$2.8m	Midnights Only
The Lion King	236/3228	(6:30pm)	294/3228	(6:20pm)	444/3228	(4:30pm)	557/3228	(4:30pm)	$23m	6:00 PM
OUATIH			117/1179	(2:15pm)	159/1179	(4pm)	335/1179	(4:20pm)	$5.8m	4:00 PM
Hobbs & Shaw	60/1543	(5:20pm)			181/1543	(4pm)			$5.8m	7:00 PM
IT Part 2	147/2764	(9am)			239/2764	(7:10pm)			$10.5m	5:00 PM
Hustlers			45/512	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	$2.5m	6:00 PM
Downton Abbey (eps)			37/301	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	$2.2m	7:00 PM
Ad Astra			26/602	(4:30pm)	26/602	(4:30pm)	41/602	(4:30pm)	$1.5m	6:00 PM
Downton Abbey			31/512	(4:30pm)	39/512	(4:30pm)	52/1015	(4:30pm)	$2.1m	7:00 PM
Rambo			29/302	(4:30pm)	53/1242	(4:30pm)	58/1242	(4:30pm)	$1.3m	6:00 PM
Abominable			30/255	(4:30pm)		(4:30pm)	73/1969	(4:30pm)	$.65m	6:00 PM
Joker (-1 week)	104/2766	(9am)	172/2766	(4:30pm)			217/3536	(4pm)		4:00 PM
Joker	328/3536	(4:20pm)	399/3536	(4pm)	542/3536	(4pm)	760/3741	(3:45pm)	$13.3m	4:00 PM
Gemini Man			38/1004	(4pm)	38/1004	(4pm)	78/1004	[6:30pm]	$1.55m	7:00 PM
Adams Family		(4pm)	53/1373	(4pm)	49/1373	(4pm)				4:00 PM
Maleficent 2	39/1154	(4pm)	42/1154	(4pm)	33/834	(4pm)	96/1425	[6pm]		7:00 PM
Zombieland 2	51/1114	(4pm)	53/1114	(4pm)	67/1177	(4pm)	95/1478	[6pm]		7:00 PM

 

Both now bumped to 5 showings

[Rorschach]

Zombieland: Double Tap - Thursday Night Previews @ Davenport 53rd + IMAX (2 Hours til first showing)

 

7:00 - 53/78

7:20 - 29/67

8:20 - 3/94

9:40 - 22/78

 

107/317 (33.75% of all tickets sold)

 

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - Thursday Night Previews @ Davenport 53rd + IMAX (2 Hours til first showing)

 

3D

7:30 - 7/85

10:30 - 0/85

 

IMAX 2D

7:00 - 18/387

10:00 - 0/387

 

2D

8:00 - 23/135

11:00 - 1/135

 

49/1,214 (4.04% of all tickets sold)

Edited October 17, 2019 by Rorschach

[FlashMaster659]

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [1:50pm - 2:10pm]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	1809	20221	18412	8.95%

 

Mid-Day Comps:

	%	Time		Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Hustlers	123.40	1:00-1:30		1466		0/58	8929/10395	14.10%		3.09m
Abominable	461.48	12:00-12:25		392		0/79	13508/13900	2.82%		3.00m

 

===

 

Thought I'd take a break from tracking and just do Maleficent on the day of previews. Anyways, this picked up a bit more than what I thought it would.

Edited October 18, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Xftg123]

Theater Count Highlights (Maleficent 2 and Zombieland 2 are new, therefore they won't appear on here):

 

Expanding:

• “The Addams Family (2019)” --> +95 theaters (+2.4%)
• “Lucy in the Sky” --> +33 theaters (+16.7%)
• “Parasite” --> +30 theaters (+1,000.0%)

 

No change:

• “Gemini Man”
• “Jexi”

 

Declining:

• “Joker” --> -284 theaters (-6.5%)
• “Abominable” --> -853 theaters (-24.4%)
• “It: Chapter Two” --> -775 theaters (-33.7%)
• Downton Abbey --> -764 theaters (-25.3%)
• Hustlers --> -782 theaters (-33.2%)

Edited October 17, 2019 by Xftg123

[Neucentro]

1 hour ago, xiazhi said:

These countries are so petty. China didn't ban slop2 because Taiwan didn't appear on China's map.

China is probably number 1 of all countries when it comes to pettiness.  It tried to obliterate a country's name from the actual world, not just in an animated setting.

 

https://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-taiwan-china-multinational-companies-20190118-story.html

 

[WrathOfHan]

How movies are looking at my theater:

 

Zombieland:

 

7:00: 61/104

7:15: 4/77

7:45: 19/54

9:00: 19/67

9:30: 23/104

9:50: 2/77

10:00 Dolby: 47/236

10:15: 4/54

Total: 179/773

 

This isn't a horrible result, but it's likely going to be O/U 20M this weekend. An oversaturation of showtimes is happening, so this total looks worse than it actually is.

 

Maleficent:

 

7:00 Dolby: 49/236

7:00: 29/107

7:00 3D: 8/107

7:00 IMAX: 5/372

9:15: 2/50

10:00 IMAX: 1/372

10:05 3D: 5/107

10:15: 0/107

Total: 99/1,458

 

.....On the other hand, this is VERY bad. I'm honestly thinking it could go under 30M