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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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21 minutes ago, Menor said:

I wasn't going to run Cinemark until tomorrow but I think it's worth it to start Thursday and Friday now. But I'm not optimistic that I'll get through a full run without running into issues.  

I am running for Cinemark previews. I have found only 2246 shows in my initial search for shows. Unlike AMC, I was not able to search for shows prior to PS starting.

 

Ok cinemark was lot cleaner. I got data for 2210 of 2246 shows.

 

81715/228012(2210 shows).

 

Not bad at all. I hope the show count goes up soon.

Edited by keysersoze123
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19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am running for Cinemark previews. I have found only 2246 shows in my initial search for shows. Unlike AMC, I was not able to search for shows prior to PS starting.

 

Ok cinemark was lot cleaner. I got data for 2210 of 2246 shows.

 

81715/228012(2210 shows).

 

Not bad at all. I hope the show count goes up soon.

Using normal ratios, that would be 8 million presales for previews so far. Probably less since chains will have more presales. Say 6 million. Total PS seems heavily skewed toward Thursday from the eye test so let's say 9 million overall nationwide. 

 

Edit: Also AMC appears to be about 2-2.5x Cinemark in early presales from some of your earlier updates. So perhaps 2 million from AMC just for previews, say 4 million overall at AMC so far. Wonder how much it can push it to by EOD.  

Edited by Menor
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This is not specific to any chain. I browsed Alamo Drafthouse and that has umpteen sellouts. All shows until late night are sold out in Austin and rest of the weekend also have strong sales.I think its big almost everywhere. I checked regal in Portsmouth NH(i used to go this looong back) and that has multiple near sellouts. This is huge everywhere.

 

 

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The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

 

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1241 3153

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1497 4170

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 5 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
5552 5552 20329 27.31% 9 166

 

To spare us from a super long post, I'll only be putting the totals of the two theaters I show. 

 

I don't know how good this really is, but FWIW, it is ahead of TLK on the day before previews. Which was at 5111 tickets sold.

Edited by Inceptionzq
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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

isn't that obvious? I mean Infinity War was par Rogue One only iirc.

YOU'RE NOT THE BOSS OF MY IRRATIONAL FEARS!!!!!!  :ohmyzod:

 

Spoiler

also, R1 went on sale 17 days before release, more or less (not gonna look up the exact number of days), so a bit of apples and oranges when compared to 58 days out.

 

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55 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Cinemark OD(3646 shows)

38835/504627

 

Not bad considering it has been only few hours and there are gazillion preview shows. AMC is just not working. I got lucky even getting data for few preview shows.

Cinemark Saturday(3660 shows)

24248/518865

 

Not bad at all. So Cinemark must be 150K+ already and based on usual formula AMC should be 300K+. I cant wait for a trade update on OD PS. I know Atom talked about 1st hour but I like data for day 1.

Edited by keysersoze123
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2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am running for Cinemark previews. I have found only 2246 shows in my initial search for shows. Unlike AMC, I was not able to search for shows prior to PS starting.

 

Ok cinemark was lot cleaner. I got data for 2210 of 2246 shows.

 

81715/228012(2210 shows).

 

Not bad at all. I hope the show count goes up soon.

Ran it again and its up to 88432 tickets sold. Not bad in 2 hours. Obviously it will slow down but there is still long way to go.

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I know I said I wasn't going to do a full update after "only" 5+ hours of sales, but....

 

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-59 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

1

156

11532

19733

8201

41.56%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today

1

Total Seats Sold in Five+ Hours

8201

 

"Day One" Adjusted Comps #1 

 

   %

 

Sold "Day One"

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

: Sold

 

Comp

CM

527.84

 

1498

1498

 

0/63

7206/8704

17.21%

 

109.26m

EG

52.80

 

14975

14975

 

7/201

6727/21702

69.00%

 

31.68m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

7907

7907

 

1/156

10564/18471

42.81%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame

"DAY ONE" NOTE: The numbers cited here are after 1 day and 6 hours or so for Captain Marvel, around 15 to 16 hours for Endgame, and 5+ hours for TROS.

 

"Day One" Adjusted Comps #2 

 

   %

 

Sold "Day One"

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

IW

153.54

 

4662

4662

 

1/103

5511/10173

45.83%

 

59.88m

Solo

272.17

 

2630

2630

 

0/87

6718/9348

28.13%

 

38.38m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

7158

7158

 

1/156

8676/15834

45.21%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War and Solo.

"DAY ONE" NOTE: The numbers cited here are after 25 hours or so or Solo, around 14 to 15 hours for Infinity War, and 5+ hours for TROS.

 

Yeah.  There's a reason I decided to post the 5+ hour total. 👍

 

Edited by Porthos
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Now for a ton of different reasons, the comps are all out of whack.  EG had 24 days of pre-sales and TROS... has a few more.  Even so, not too shabby.

 

A direct comp-for-comp look against Captain Marvel, even spotting it a day, is asanine.  At the same time, it's the only one I have with the same amount of days of pre-sales.

 

Infinity War is interesting, not so much for the comp, though at 42 days of pre-sales, it's within spitting distance at least.  No, it's more for the 5+ hour comparison with the 14+ hour comparison.  IW sold 541 more tickets on its second day of sales (ie everything tomorrow), so TROS still handily beats it.  And while I don't know what to expect locally tomorrow, it's still gonna grow some.

 

Then there's poor Solo.  I'm throwing that in for one reason and one reason only.  SW comped to SW, even if one of them had 21 days of pre-sales and the other had 59+.

 

More to the point...

 

Final Number of tickets sold for Solo locally at stop of tracking:    5789.

Total Number of tickets sold for TROS (adj) after five+ hours:        7158.

 

If we do something of a comp, that would be 17.43m in Thursday sales ALREADY.

 

Now, that's something of a blunt instrument.  But I think it shows a decent idea of how it's already done.  We'll see what the trades say after 24 hours of sales.

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I'm still not sure if I'm going to roll over these five+ hours of sales into tomorrow's figures and call that my "Day One".  By rights I should, following the precedent set by a few other movies I've tracked with late in the day starts.

 

But man, I dunno. We'll see what it looks like tomorrow. :)

 

Also, and ironically enough the very last theater I had to check, there was an instant sellout that I think is a glitch. It's for a theater that doesn't get all that much traffic, but it's theoretically possible that someone bought out a 10:30pm showing.

 

At the moment I am not counting it, if only because I couldn't pull up the seat map.  If it does continue to show as sold out, I'll probably follow the Endgame precedent and count it as a sellout but without trying to figure out the seats.  Though I think I might be able to in this case. As always play it by ear.

 

(Yes the sellout I have shown is legit.  It was the local TrueIMAX showing)

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Black and Blue Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 21 67 3,530 1.90%

 

Comp

0.246x of Hustlers 3 days before release (616K)

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Countdown Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 20 54 3,079 1.75%

 

Comp

0.818x of Crawl 3 days before release (818K)

0.439x of Scary Stories 3 days before release (1.02M)

1.200x of 47 Meters 3 days before release (619K)

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13 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

After almost 4 hours, I finally did it.

 

tenor.gif?itemid=5098650

Spoiler


11 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Black and Blue Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 21 67 3,530 1.90%

 

Comp

0.246x of Hustlers 3 days before release (616K)

 

6 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Countdown Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 20 54 3,079 1.75%

 

Comp

0.818x of Crawl 3 days before release (818K)

0.439x of Scary Stories 3 days before release (1.02M)

1.200x of 47 Meters 3 days before release (619K)


 

:thinking:  

 

Spoiler

I kid, I kid. Thanks for the work. That goes for all of you.

 

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Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 140 8,792 1.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.161x of It: Chapter Two 10 days before release (1.69M)

0.234x of Joker 10 days before release (3.12M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.459x of Hobbs & Shaw 10 days before release (2.66M)

 

I'm too tired to go into more detail, but this day seems good. Especially since TROS arguably stole some thunder here (yes it's coming. keep ya shirt on)

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1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

I don't know how good this really is, but FWIW, it is ahead of TLK on the day before previews. Which was at 5111 tickets sold.

FWIW, TROS (CM/EG adj) is 131 tickets behind the T-1 mark for TLK locally, so that seems broadly in line with your results there.

 

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