The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[fabiopazzo2]

Maybe 62/65M on thursday night?! 

[Ryan Reynolds]

11 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Maybe 62/65M on thursday night?! 

That be surprising,  closer to 50m

[keysersoze123]

Data for Fan event shows at AMC.

 

12987/16576 (101 shows).

 

5 are sellouts and many almost sellouts. This was not part of rest of the preview BO numbers i posted earlier.

 

These are uber expensive shows. Lincoln Square tickets are 35 bucks a pop while its 30 bucks at Empire 25. Even smaller centers are at $25.

 

Edited October 22, 2019 by keysersoze123

[FlashMaster659]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Data for Fan event shows at AMC.

 

12987/16576 (101 shows).

 

5 are sellouts and many almost sellouts. This was not part of rest of the preview BO numbers i posted earlier.

 

So 200k for previews then

[ThomasNicole]

20 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Maybe 62/65M on thursday night?! 

It seems more close to TLJ than TFA

 

Maybe $ 45-50M

[Porthos]

FWIW, I'm also tracking the local SW Marathon.  At a $100 a ticket I think it qualifies for "PLF" pricing in my sheets.

 

(actually cheaper than than the AMC cost of $125, FWIW)

 

Fair amount of sales, actually.  Last time I checked at around 12:30pm it had sold just under 60 tickets out of a total of 161.  I doubt it will sell out but I also reckon they'll be adding it to TROS's gross on some level so those tickets will add up.

 

===

 

As I mentioned above, did a quick check around lunch time and TROS had already sold over 900 tickets locally since last night.  Even on an adjusted basis, which is a little over 730 tickets, it's beating IW's second day locally which was 541 tickets.  

 

Unless the bottom falls out it'll beat Endgame's second day of sales as well.  Though, bit of a caution flag as EG started 12 hours earlier AND was already dealing with capacity issues. 

 

Still, looking strong today.  Gonna slow down dramatically though as we enter the marathon stage of the tracking.  But very very encouraging start, IMO.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

It seems more close to TLJ than TFA

 

Maybe $ 45-50M

Yeah, I may be the board's resident Star Wars shill, but let's take it slow for now.  I'll file the start under Encouraging and even Great.  But let's hold off on Record Breaking for quite a while.  If ever, actually.

[keysersoze123]

44 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

So 200k for previews then

I multiplied by ticket price for each theater and came up with $314428 for the fan events. This was simple change to the script. I will start putting $ value to other list as well as each web page scraped for the show has the ticket price but I will assume all are adult tickets. For fan events all ticket prices are the same but for regular show there is some discount.

[FlashMaster659]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I multiplied by ticket price for each theater and came up with $314428 for the fan events. This was simple change to the script. I will start putting $ value to other list as well as each web page scraped for the show has the ticket price but I will assume all are adult tickets. For fan events all ticket prices are the same but for regular show there is some discount.

Oh I meant in terms of seats sold for fan events + previews

Edited October 22, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I multiplied by ticket price for each theater and came up with $314428 for the fan events. This was simple change to the script. I will start putting $ value to other list as well as each web page scraped for the show has the ticket price but I will assume all are adult tickets. For fan events all ticket prices are the same but for regular show there is some discount.

Yeah that's what I do. Unfortunately there is no way to tell the kids ticket proportion so I just adjust the nationwide estimate based on the kid friendliness

[keysersoze123]

6 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Oh I meant in terms of seats sold for fan events + previews

Sorry. Sales for regular previews crossed 200k.

[cdsacken]

What's up guys? You know what would be nice? JJ shocks everyone with a legendary film that wins awards and 1B domestic train all aboard.

[Old Spice]

15 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

What's up guys? You know what would be nice? JJ shocks everyone with a legendary film that wins awards and 1B domestic train all aboard.

And it's name will be... Superman: Rebirth, coming to a cinema near you in 2023! 😎

[XXR vs XXR]

Star Wars: TROS -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 58 Days to Previews -- 1st 24 Hour Sales 

 

Dolby Cinema
07:00pm: 205/205 SOLD OUT 

10:40pm: 98/205

02:15am: 10/205 

 

IMAX / IMAX 3D

06:00pm: 86/151 

09:40pm: 77/151 

01:20am: 0/151 - Glitched 

 

Real 3D

06:00pm: 11/125 

06:20pm: 0/76

06:25pm: 0/76

06:30pm: 0/76 

06:45pm: 8/60

07:00pm: 4/60

07:15pm: 2/60

09:45pm: 0/125

10:05pm: 0/76

10:10pm: 0/76

10:30pm: 2/76

10:40pm: 0/60

10:50pm: 0/60

11:10pm: 0/60

01:45am: 0/76

 

Digital 

06:00pm: 64/147

06:15pm: 31/60

07:30pm: 33/60

07:45pm: 10/44 

08:00pm: 10/44

08:15pm: 4/44

08:45pm: 26/125

09:50pm: 0/147

09:55pm: 0/76

10:00pm: 0/76

11:25pm: 0/44

11:40pm: 0/44

11:55pm: 0/44

12:25am: 0/125

1:30am: 0/147

1:40am: 0/76

 

Fan Event

05:00pm: 99/125

 

 

TOTAL

778 tickets sold out of 3638 seats available (21.39%)

 

 

 

Comps to Final Tracked Numbers

Captain Marvel = 1440 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday

Avengers: Endgame = 3623 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday 

Toy Story 4 = 822 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

The Lion King = 1570 sold @ 4:00pm - Thursday

Joker = 659 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

[TalismanRing]

THUR Previews - 24 hours after tickets went on sale (4 shows were added early this morning)

 

SW: ROS - NYC Local	Mon (10/21) (9:45pm)		Tues (10/22) (8pm)
(2D) 5:PM (Fan Event)	38/257		83/257
(RPX) 6PM	142/320		198/320
(RPX) 9:30PM	90/320		154/320
(RPX) 1AM	13/320		23/320
(3D) 7PM	42/218		100/218
(3D) 9PM			7/205
(3D) 10:30PM	16/218		20/218
(3D) 12:30PM			8/205
(2D) 6:30PM	46/301		89/301
(2D) 7:30PM	157/301		179/301
(2D) 8PM			25/255
(2D) 8:30PM	42/257		90/257
(2D) 10PM	16/301		37/301
(2D) 11PM	8/301		12/301
(2D) 11:30PM			10/255
(2D) 12:05AM	8/257		11/257
	609/3371 =18%		1046/4291 = 24.37%

 

COMPS

 

First Day

AEG  -  2,470/3,737 = 66.09% /   42.9% x $60m = $25.74m

 

 

Thur (Last Day)

The Lion King: 557/3228    /  187.8% x $23m =  $43.19m
The Joker - 760/3741    / 137.6% x $13.3m =  $18.305m

[Yandereprime101189]

So I take it Rise of Skywalker is going to be a gargantuan hit.

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

So I take it Rise of Skywalker is going to be a gargantuan hit.

Star Wars fans are only rivaled by Old School Harry Potter fans (and now Avengers fans who beat them both handily) when it comes to being the king of the pre-sale rush, so it's still a bit of an open question.

 

Doesn't look like it's gonna bomb right out of the gate though.  I'll have a better sense of the landing zone in a couple weeks.  Right now, I'd say the floor for Thr previews is probably 40m.

 

Probably.  I emphasize probably coz there's a loooooong way to go.

 

Doesn't mean I won't raise the floor in the coming weeks.  But I am a really cautious person by nature (if also optimistic - I contain multitudes as I said in another thread) so I want to see at least a week's worth of data before I raise my floor.

Edited October 23, 2019 by Porthos

[Menor the Destroyer]

So my computer is having all kinds of issues. But before everything went haywire Thursday preview sales looked to be in the 130k range at Cinemark, which translates to about 13 million nationwide and about 68% of Endgame's first day. 

[Tinalera]

Toronto Ontario Canada

Star wars the return of skywalker thurs dec 20 (taken tuesday oct 22)

 

Yonge Dundas

VIP
630 66/76
700 67/76
1015 65/76
1045 58/76

 

IMAX

700 264/356
1045 148/356

4DX
700 74/76 (non wheelchair sellout)
1000 33/76

 

Scotia place
Avx
700 285/448
1040 113/448

IMAX
730 377/416
1030. 296/416

Reg
600 195/288
630 28/185
910 79/192
940 0/185
1010 33/388

Yonge eglington
VIP
600 83/88
700 91/95
945 75/88
1045 55/95

AVX

640 200/349
1015 47/349

Reg
730 79/328
1100 0/328

Eglington town
Avx
700 92/383
1045 33/383

IMAX
700 15/335
1000 83/335

Reg
630 0/260
645 13/108
730 36/211
1010 2/260
1025 0/108
1100 0/211

Don Mills
VIP
600 20/115
700 48/115
945 27/115
1045 5/115

 

Yorkdale
Avx
700 96/395
800 139/349
1040 32/349
1140 5/395

Queensway
Vip
600 111/124
700 118/136
945 108/124
1045 78/135

Avx
630 92/279
700 251/377
730 134/426
1015 83/376
1045 83/377
1115 0/426

Reg
600 5/211
630 92/279
945 4/211
1015 23/279

 

5010/14311

 

As you can see not much to see here...only over 30 percent sold....bust territory....dont know why i bothered.....(end sarcasm)

 

Okay snark aside....wow. Already one non wheelchair sellout and what can be said. Im wondering how long before the envitable adding more showtimes starts happening. What a great start up here. And 2 months to go....wow. All i can say
 

[ThomasNicole]

1 hour ago, Menor said:

So my computer is having all kinds of issues. But before everything went haywire Thursday preview sales looked to be in the 130k range at Cinemark, which translates to about 13 million nationwide and about 68% of Endgame's first day. 

Thanks

 

68% please me considering how mindblowing EG was

 

Anything between $ 40-50M for TROS previews Will be great And bodes well for another $ 200M OW