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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-39 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

204

12235

24000

11765

49.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

41

 

T-39 Adjusted Comp (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-39

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

CM

427.05

 

17

2632

 

0/81

7982/10614

24.80%

 

88.40m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

32

11240

 

2/204

11498/22738

49.43%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

 

   %

 

Final Sold

 

TROS Sold

 

Comp

IW

66.30

 

15159

 

10051

 

25.86m

DP2

123.58

 

8133

 

10051

 

22.99m

Solo

173.62

 

5789

 

10051

 

24.48m

JW:FK

161.38

 

6228

 

10051

 

24.69m

AM&tW

218.26

 

4605

 

10051

 

25.10m

Venom

232.34

 

4493

 

10439

 

23.23m

CM

106.51

 

10553

 

11240

 

22.05m

EG

42.17

 

26655

 

11240

 

25.30m

TLK

102.40

 

10977

 

11240

 

23.55m

It 2

207.90

 

5659

 

11765

 

21.83m

AVG

 

 

 

 

 

 

23.91m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

Edited by Porthos
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Frozen 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

118

14847

16562

1715

10.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

85

 

T-11 Adjusted Comp (LOL at this stage due to one-week difference in sale length)

 

   %

 

Sold T-11

Total Sold

 

Sellouts / Shows

Seats Left / Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

Aladdin

184.13

 

38

901

 

0/70

9096/9997

9.01%

 

12.89m

TS4

96.79

 

87

1714

 

0/90

10595/12311

13.92%

 

11.61m

TLK

57.66

 

185

2877

 

0/191

17794/20671

13.92%

 

13.26m

Frozen 2 (adj)

n/a

 

83

1659

 

0/118

12757/14234

11.66%

 

n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Aladdin and The Lion King both had 25 days of pre-sales and Toy Story 4 had 24 days of pre-sales.  In comparison Frozen 2 had 18 days of pre-sales. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Frozen 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for all of the movies in that stat block.

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20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

BTW I am surprised by absolutely no updates from @captainwondyful and @TalismanRing for Frozen 2. But thanks to @Porthos, @FlashMaster659Eric(for Phily. Not sure what is his current id), @Inceptionzq and so many others for providing updates.

Not gonna speak for TalismanRing, but I know for a fact that cap is nose deep in prep for her musical list...

 

(SPOILER ALERT, y'alls have NO idea the amount of goodies that are coming your way in regards to that ;))

 

... as well as doing a TON of work for this board's Survivor. 

 

So she's making updates when she can.  They'll increase in frequency closer to the day of release, I'm sure. :)

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25 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

BTW I am surprised by absolutely no updates from @captainwondyful and @TalismanRing for Frozen 2. But thanks to @Porthos, @FlashMaster659Eric(for Phily. Not sure what is his current id), @Inceptionzq and so many others for providing updates.

I only do updates MWF for non-week release week films. 

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36 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Frozen 2 update

 

Cin Prev - 33979/380967 2375 shows +2035 (since yesterday night)
Cin OD - 54646/733937 $583472  4330 shows +7510 (+48 hours)
CIN D2 - 67404/732956 $646557 4350 shows +10922 (+48 hours)
CiN D3 - 35877/729705 $331224 4305 shows 1015PM 11/10 +6253 (+48 hours)

180k tickets for weekend. @Menor or you mentioned that it's doing great in weekdays too. But speaking of Weekend alone, should be $2mn Approx I guess, that will point towards $12.5mn with previews just being $2.2mn, but told that Cinemark is overperforming AMC, so it shall be less. Still previews are incredibly low. Shall have a huge internal multiplier.

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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

180k tickets for weekend. @Menor or you mentioned that it's doing great in weekdays too. But speaking of Weekend alone, should be $2mn Approx I guess, that will point towards $12.5mn with previews just being $2.2mn, but told that Cinemark is overperforming AMC, so it shall be less. Still previews are incredibly low. Shall have a huge internal multiplier.

in your opinion what are we looking at ? ow and 5-day ?

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5 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

He means 37 mil for Thursday+Friday presales atm 

I thought he was saying $37 million for overall Thursday previews. Hence the listing of each day, equaling $190 million ish.

 

I think it's at around $25 million atm for Thursday previews. Maybe it's $37 million in total presales atm with $25 million of those for Thursday (the other $12 million is for other days).

Edited by jedijake
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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Frozen 2 update

 

Cin Prev - 33979/380967 2375 shows +2035 (since yesterday night)
Cin OD - 54646/733937 $583472  4330 shows +7510 (+48 hours)
CIN D2 - 67404/732956 $646557 4350 shows +10922 (+48 hours)
CiN D3 - 35877/729705 $331224 4305 shows 1015PM 11/10 +6253 (+48 hours)

 

Its averaging around 14K per day over past 2 days. Outstanding numbers at CIN. AMC is just not working for this movie. I will provide update for NYC theaters tomorrow. But anectdotal check shows things are moving slowly. I find it hard to understand this disparity. Not just AMC even Regal seems week in NYC. 7PM RPX showing at Regal Essex is at 7/144(7PM). It has no shows at Regal E-Walk which is surprising.

 

Anyway at CIN we are looking at hitting 200K tickets for OW by tomorrow. That is great.

 

 

Strangely weak Sunday (basically no increase from Saturday sales) but very strong overall. Can finally comp with TLK making approximate adjustments.

 

Thurs (adj): 74% of TLK at equivalent point

Friday (adj): 125% of TLK at equivalent point

Saturday (adj): 192% of TLK at equivalent point

Sunday (adj): 188% of TLK at equivalent point.

 

Adjusting for Cinemark overperformance

by taking the "real" Thurs number to be 50% of TLK gives more realistic numbers. Still it seems that the internal multiplier will be ridiculous with perhaps lower than expected previews.

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On 11/7/2019 at 8:07 AM, Nova said:

Okay so this is my first time officially doing this. I'm currently tracking 4 theaters. I may add a 5th later down the line but its screens are so big that I got a headache attempting to count them so for now I'm excluding it (sorry). I have data from 2 AMC, a United Artists and a Cinemark in the area. 

 

Frozen 2 Thursday Night in South Jersey 2 weeks out from Thursday night: 

AMC a: 

Regular: 134/142 

3D: 23/142

 

AMC b: 

Regular: 93/142 ; 32/142 

3D: 40/142 ; 4/142

 

UA:

Regular: 84/182 ; 43/102 ; 9/182 ; 4/102 

3D: 0/84 ; 0/84 

 

Cinemark: 

Regular: 57/108 ; 26/95 ; 37/108 ; 4/108 ; 0/95 ; 0/108 

3D: 26/100 ; 0/100 

XD: 17/132 ; 8/132 ; 5/132 

 

Totals: 706/2,806 or 25.2% 

Regular: 523/1616 or 32.4% 

3D: 93/794 or 11.7% (lol I don't even know why this is still a thing) 

XD: 30/396 or 7.6% 

 

So the trends in my area are that the early showtimes are doing really well. The later showtimes, as expected, are lagging behind. No one cares about 3D or apparently XD either. But overall its at 25% of seats sold for Thursday night which imo is really really good for this. I obviously don't have any comps at the moment but I think its doing well around here. 

Frozen 2 Monday Update 10 days out 

 

AMCa:

Regular: 142/142 sold out 

3D: 30/142

 

AMCb: 

Regular: 106/142 ; 31/142 

3D: 47/142 ; 4/142 

 

UA: 

Regular: 102/182 ; 60/102 ; 14/182 ; 12/102 

3D: 4/84 ; 0/84 

 

Cinemark: 

Regular: 63/108 ; 48/95 ; 65/108 ; 9/108 ; 0/108 

3D: 29/100 ; 0/100 

XD: 36/132 ; 10/132 ; 8/132 

 

No new seats or showtimes added since last check in. 114 additional seats sold since last check in.

 

Breakdown as follows: 

 

Totals: 820/2,806 or 29.2% 

Regular: 652/1616 or 40.3% 

3D: 114/794 or 14.3%

XD: 54/396 or 13.6% 

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9 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

If this bad situation continues, I think Disney will apply the last resort for Frozen 2, release all the soundtracks this Friday. Hope it will boost the presale. 

Am I living in a parallel Universe? We are talking about a family movie with a popular movie going holiday after the weekend and we are talking about a bad situation here, because it's not selling like a Marvel-Movie for Previews? 

 

Calm down. This is doing huge numbers.

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If Frozen hit, say only $12-14mn previews, going by trend of pre-sales, it will still go for $60mn Friday and if Saturday pre-sales is anything to go by, shall remain 62-65 range followed by 40mn plus Sunday for 160-165mn Approx and then starts the festivities & ridiculous 2nd weekend.

 

So I won't shed tears for Previews just yet.

 

I guess

60 62 40: 162

13 19 23 16: 233

33 32 21 : 319

 

That shall take it to 575-600.

 

Edited by Jedi Jat
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Some of the newbs asking questions remind me of what took place when the original thread got nuked a few years back..... 

 

Also the continued low AMC data is just so odd I have decided to hope its an error in the official online reporting stuff from their end (its not I know, just so odd I dont have anything else to think about regarding it.) 

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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

If Frozen hit, say only $12-14mn previews, going by trend of pre-sales, it will still go for $60mn Friday and if Saturday pre-sales is anything to go by, shall remain 62-65 range followed by 40mn plus Sunday for 160-165mn Approx and then starts the festivities & ridiculous 2nd weekend.

 

So I won't shed tears for Previews just yet.

 

I guess

60 62 40: 162

13 19 23 16: 233

33 32 21 : 319

 

That shall take it to 575-600.

 

I think lower Friday, higher Saturday and Sunday

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4 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Some of the newbs asking questions remind me of what took place when the original thread got nuked a few years back..... 

 

Also the continued low AMC data is just so odd I have decided to hope its an error in the official online reporting stuff from their end (its not I know, just so odd I dont have anything else to think about regarding it.) 

The AMC data in Michigan shows a pretty clear trend for TROS.  Evening 2D shows are packed.  3D and late night shows are very much not packed, especially near Detroit.

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6 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Some of the newbs asking questions remind me of what took place when the original thread got nuked a few years back..... 

 

Also the continued low AMC data is just so odd I have decided to hope its an error in the official online reporting stuff from their end (its not I know, just so odd I dont have anything else to think about regarding it.) 

Lol, I am sure it does get a little irritating. As one of those noobs though just trying to figure out some of the codes and phrases that people are talking in. For instance when we say that a movie has sold 37m so far is there any official data out there currently that says it has sold that much or is it just people predicting that it has sold around that much?

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