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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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4 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

Sorry for the delayed answer, but here in Philly, neither one's presales are amazing, at least for previews, but that's understandable since neither are designed to be presales monsters. However, Knives Out is only slightly less than double what Neighborhood has sold at this point (35 Neighbor, 66 Knives), and Knives is coming out a few days later.

I ran Beautiful day at AMC and it sold a WHOOOOPING 1200 tickets. That is why PS for these movies are irrelevant. I doubt it will even hit 1m previews.

 

I will look at Knives out sometime in next few days. it could get some boost due to Atom tickets offer via TMobile expiring tomorrow but overall numbers wont be that great either.

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16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I ran Beautiful day at AMC and it sold a WHOOOOPING 1200 tickets. That is why PS for these movies are irrelevant. I doubt it will even hit 1m previews.

 

I will look at Knives out sometime in next few days. it could get some boost due to Atom tickets offer via TMobile expiring tomorrow but overall numbers wont be that great either.

Thank you both for letting me know.

 

Both aren’t the type that are PS monsters but I’ve seen some full capacity for Friday and Saturday previews for KO and assuming strong WOM, it should help its BO.

 

Beautiful Day is one of those films that will do better in walk ups but I can’t see more than $20m ow (unless it gets a Midway-type surge) and there’s a chance FvF will be #2 that weekend.

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3 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji showtimes are starting to pop up here. Looks like 4PM previews

And here I was hoping they would hold off until after Frozen 2 bowed. 

 

Ah well, triple dipping for three days it is! :(

 

...

 

Thank the Maker I have that way of quickly getting seat numbers via searching the source code when I decide I need it! :lol: 

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On 11/16/2019 at 3:06 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1587 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1620 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
7888 53 22870 34.49% 9 182

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1592 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1624 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
7923 35 22870 34.64% 9 182
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On 11/16/2019 at 3:37 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 315 1404

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 340 1695

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
1544 146 11878 13.00% 9 69

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 488

 

Lion King comp: 11.59M

Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 333 1404

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 377 1695

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
1706 162 11878 14.36% 9 69

 

Lion King comp: 11.78M

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The Rise of Skywalker - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-32 days and counting

 

  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 2 0 0
Seats Added 0 0 211 0 0
Seats Sold 61 76 71 69 64
           
11/17/2019 Showings Seats Left Total Seats Seats Sold Pct. Sold
Total 236 29,627 41,779 12,152 29.09%

 

 

Finally a dip after surging for the past week.

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Frozen 2 - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 0 0 0
Seats Added 2 3 0 0 0
Seats Sold 216 110 88 102 52
           
11/17/2019 Showings Seats Left Total Seats Seats Sold Pct. Sold
Total 78 15,997 17,542 1,545 8.81%

 

 

Frozen 2 is officially kicking into high gear.

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Yeah, really feeling comfortable with the idea of 10-12m previews and then a 140+ weekend.... gonna be nice to see large numbers again, just hope WOM is strong  enough 

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@keysersoze123 are you going to be tracking Thanksgiving/2nd Weekend sales for F2. If not I can do it.

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3 minutes ago, Menor said:

@keysersoze123 are you going to be tracking Thanksgiving/2nd Weekend sales for F2. If not I can do it.

you can do it for now. But I will track it next weekend as F2 OW tracking will stop.

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On 11/16/2019 at 3:02 PM, keysersoze123 said:

F2 Day 2 Update

AMC D2 - overall 4269 shows 110710/851258 post 6PM 1876 shows 23880/385081 +10898
CIN D2 - overall 4721 shows 104784/782416 post 6PM 1745 shows 14169/293362 +9136

 

Best day so far. This could mean final week would see crazy increase. Could we see 600K+ PS by day 2 opening. It will be PS heavy day but with shows ramp up it will be huge. I am bumping OW to 150m+.

F2 Day 2 Update(T-5 and few hours)

AMC D2 overall 4541 shows 133216/895023 post 6PM 1960 shows 29652/398355 +22506
CIN D2 - overall 4716 shows 120151/781216 post 6PM 1742 shows 17160/292678 +15367

 

Another Ginormous day. AMC is separating itself from CIN and show count is also well up for Day 2. Interesting fact is how much the early shows are dominating the BO for saturday. post 6PM is just around 20% at AMC and under 15% at CIN. I am expecting these numbers to double by saturday morning.

 

I will probably do just Previews and D2 as rest I updated this morning at CIN. Focus will be on those as I expect major ramp up to happen.

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Just did a quick check for Saturday for Frozen 2 at one theater and holy moly. Every regular showing is at least 95% full until 7:45PM which tapers down to 70% full. 
 

Talk about a perfect example of how a family movie plays out. 

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Considering that all other massive family film openings have been in summer, this is also a really good example of how different the summer / school year previews to weekend trend plays. The film will no doubt dice everything else but TI2 and Lion King for overall OW and the previews will be a big change in that (besides demographics shifting). 

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.

Edited by ZackM
I'm dumb.

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49 minutes ago, Nova said:

Just did a quick check for Saturday for Frozen 2 at one theater and holy moly. Every regular showing is at least 95% full until 7:45PM which tapers down to 70% full. 
 

Talk about a perfect example of how a family movie plays out. 

Not quite that level in Salt Lake City, but pretty similar. Thursday night is really solid, Friday day is weak until late afternoon when it ramps up again, and Saturday is an absolute sea of red. 

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F2 Update(Previous day increase in braces)

 

AMC Prev -  overall 1717 shows 54119/340079 +6922(3179)
Cin Prev - overall 2436 shows 55325/387777 +5026(3302)

AMC OD - overall 4023 shows 92733/825047 post 6PM 1906 shows 55787/393501 +14254(9057)

CIN OD - overall 4688 shows 99727/782539 post 6PM 1740 shows 51191/293478 +10503 (9434)

AMC D3 - overall 4119 shows 74372/838479  post 6PM 1787 shows 12088/369934  +15244(4592)
CIN D3 - overall 4691 shows 68617/782461 post 6PM 1707 shows 4575/287131 +8519(6166)

 

Looking at rest of the weekend, mimics what we saw for Day 2. SIgnificant acceleration seen for weekend shows. That Sunday increase at AMC is crazy. Definitely shaping upto a very backloaded weekend.

 

 

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Frozen II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 73 1,490 16,774 8.88%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 662

Total Seats Sold Today: 192

 

Comp

7.641x of Maleficent 4 days before release (17.57M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.332x of Lion King (7.64M)

 

Ayyy, a great increase and a good way to kick off the last couple days. Let's hope something good is in store.

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21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

F2 Update(Previous day increase in braces)

 

AMC Prev -  overall 1717 shows 54119/340079 +6922(3179)
Cin Prev - overall 2436 shows 55325/387777 +5026(3302)

AMC OD - overall 4023 shows 92733/825047 post 6PM 1906 shows 55787/393501 +14254(9057)

CIN OD - overall 4688 shows 99727/782539 post 6PM 1740 shows 51191/293478 +10503 (9434)

AMC D3 - overall 4119 shows 74372/838479  post 6PM 1787 shows 12088/369934  +15244(4592)
CIN D3 - overall 4691 shows 68617/782461 post 6PM 1707 shows 4575/287131 +8519(6166)

 

Looking at rest of the weekend, mimics what we saw for Day 2. SIgnificant acceleration seen for weekend shows. That Sunday increase at AMC is crazy. Definitely shaping upto a very backloaded weekend.

 

 

Adding to this, Thursday at Cinemark is 64% of TLK at the same point, while Friday is 105% and presumably D2 and D3 ratios are even better.

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Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-32 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 165 8,575 30,741 27.89%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 43

 

Comp

4.508x of Once Upon’s final count (26.15M)

2.475x of It: Chapter Two (25.99M)

1.746x of Joker (23.23M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.723x of Lion King (16.64M)

3.434x of Hobbs & Shaw (19.91M)

 

Before you ask, yes the total seats increased, but it was an accidental typo that should have been fixed on Day 1. We're gonna have moments like that when you look through so many showtimes.

 

As for today, I guess it is a tad (key word there) disappointing that it didn't continue any momentum, but it's still a fine number, and it seems like it's doing well financially-speaking. So whatever.

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The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-32 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

205

11978

24152

12174

50.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

85

 

T-32 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-32

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

CM

406.78

 

76

2860

 

2/81

7756/10616

26.94%

 

84.20m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

77

11634

 

2/205

11256/22890

50.82%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

T-32 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-32

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

IW

167.85

 

40

6196

 

0/114

4815/11011

56.27%

 

65.46m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

68

10400

 

2/205

8471/18771

55.40%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

 

   %

 

Final Sold

 

TROS Sold

 

Comp

IW

68.61

 

15159

 

10400

 

26.76m

DP2

127.87

 

8133

 

10400

 

23.78m

Solo

179.65

 

5789

 

10400

 

25.33m

JW:FK

166.99

 

6228

 

10400

 

25.55m

AM&tW

225.84

 

4605

 

10400

 

25.97m

Venom

240.84

 

4493

 

10821

 

24.08m

CM

110.24

 

10553

 

11634

 

22.82m

EG

43.65

 

26655

 

11634

 

26.19m

TLK

105.99

 

10977

 

11634

 

24.38m

It 2

215.13

 

5659

 

12174

 

22.59m

AVG

 

 

 

 

 

 

24.75m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

===

 

I have to think now that the one-two punch of Mando and Fallen Order is helping sales.  Maybe some random variation here from market to market, but the overall tread seems pretty clear.

 

Also one note about the Captain Marvel comp for today.  T-34 was Super Bowl Sunday for CM, which boosted its sales something fierce on this comparative day, as well as the next couple of days.  Just something to keep in mind.

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