The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

Sorry for the delayed answer, but here in Philly, neither one's presales are amazing, at least for previews, but that's understandable since neither are designed to be presales monsters. However, Knives Out is only slightly less than double what Neighborhood has sold at this point (35 Neighbor, 66 Knives), and Knives is coming out a few days later.

I ran Beautiful day at AMC and it sold a WHOOOOPING 1200 tickets. That is why PS for these movies are irrelevant. I doubt it will even hit 1m previews.

 

I will look at Knives out sometime in next few days. it could get some boost due to Atom tickets offer via TMobile expiring tomorrow but overall numbers wont be that great either.

[LegendaryBen]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I ran Beautiful day at AMC and it sold a WHOOOOPING 1200 tickets. That is why PS for these movies are irrelevant. I doubt it will even hit 1m previews.

 

I will look at Knives out sometime in next few days. it could get some boost due to Atom tickets offer via TMobile expiring tomorrow but overall numbers wont be that great either.

Thank you both for letting me know.

 

Both aren’t the type that are PS monsters but I’ve seen some full capacity for Friday and Saturday previews for KO and assuming strong WOM, it should help its BO.

 

Beautiful Day is one of those films that will do better in walk ups but I can’t see more than $20m ow (unless it gets a Midway-type surge) and there’s a chance FvF will be #2 that weekend.

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji showtimes are starting to pop up here. Looks like 4PM previews

And here I was hoping they would hold off until after Frozen 2 bowed. 

 

Ah well, triple dipping for three days it is!

 

...

 

Thank the Maker I have that way of quickly getting seat numbers via searching the source code when I decide I need it!  

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2019 at 3:06 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1587

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1620

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
7888	53	22870	34.49%	9	182

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1592

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1624

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
7923	35	22870	34.64%	9	182

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2019 at 3:37 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

315

1404

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

340

1695

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1544	146	11878	13.00%	9	69

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 488

 

Lion King comp: 11.59M

Frozen 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

333

1404

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

377

1695

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1706	162	11878	14.36%	9	69

 

Lion King comp: 11.78M

[ZackM]

The Rise of Skywalker - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-32 days and counting

 

	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	0	2	0	0
Seats Added	0	0	211	0	0
Seats Sold	61	76	71	69	64
11/17/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	236	29,627	41,779	12,152	29.09%

 

 

Finally a dip after surging for the past week.

[ZackM]

Frozen 2 - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	0	0	0	0
Seats Added	2	3	0	0	0
Seats Sold	216	110	88	102	52
11/17/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	78	15,997	17,542	1,545	8.81%

 

 

Frozen 2 is officially kicking into high gear.

[narniadis]

Yeah, really feeling comfortable with the idea of 10-12m previews and then a 140+ weekend.... gonna be nice to see large numbers again, just hope WOM is strong  enough 

[Menor the Destroyer]

@keysersoze123 are you going to be tracking Thanksgiving/2nd Weekend sales for F2. If not I can do it.

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, Menor said:

@keysersoze123 are you going to be tracking Thanksgiving/2nd Weekend sales for F2. If not I can do it.

you can do it for now. But I will track it next weekend as F2 OW tracking will stop.

[keysersoze123]

On 11/16/2019 at 3:02 PM, keysersoze123 said:

F2 Day 2 Update

AMC D2 - overall 4269 shows 110710/851258 post 6PM 1876 shows 23880/385081 +10898
CIN D2 - overall 4721 shows 104784/782416 post 6PM 1745 shows 14169/293362 +9136

 

Best day so far. This could mean final week would see crazy increase. Could we see 600K+ PS by day 2 opening. It will be PS heavy day but with shows ramp up it will be huge. I am bumping OW to 150m+.

F2 Day 2 Update(T-5 and few hours)

AMC D2 overall 4541 shows 133216/895023 post 6PM 1960 shows 29652/398355 +22506
CIN D2 - overall 4716 shows 120151/781216 post 6PM 1742 shows 17160/292678 +15367

 

Another Ginormous day. AMC is separating itself from CIN and show count is also well up for Day 2. Interesting fact is how much the early shows are dominating the BO for saturday. post 6PM is just around 20% at AMC and under 15% at CIN. I am expecting these numbers to double by saturday morning.

 

I will probably do just Previews and D2 as rest I updated this morning at CIN. Focus will be on those as I expect major ramp up to happen.

[Nova]

Just did a quick check for Saturday for Frozen 2 at one theater and holy moly. Every regular showing is at least 95% full until 7:45PM which tapers down to 70% full. 
 

Talk about a perfect example of how a family movie plays out. 

[narniadis]

Considering that all other massive family film openings have been in summer, this is also a really good example of how different the summer / school year previews to weekend trend plays. The film will no doubt dice everything else but TI2 and Lion King for overall OW and the previews will be a big change in that (besides demographics shifting). 

[ZackM]

.

Edited November 18, 2019 by ZackM
I'm dumb.

[Old Spice]

49 minutes ago, Nova said:

Just did a quick check for Saturday for Frozen 2 at one theater and holy moly. Every regular showing is at least 95% full until 7:45PM which tapers down to 70% full. 
 

Talk about a perfect example of how a family movie plays out. 

Not quite that level in Salt Lake City, but pretty similar. Thursday night is really solid, Friday day is weak until late afternoon when it ramps up again, and Saturday is an absolute sea of red. 

[keysersoze123]

F2 Update(Previous day increase in braces)

 

AMC Prev -  overall 1717 shows 54119/340079 +6922(3179)
Cin Prev - overall 2436 shows 55325/387777 +5026(3302)

AMC OD - overall 4023 shows 92733/825047 post 6PM 1906 shows 55787/393501 +14254(9057)

CIN OD - overall 4688 shows 99727/782539 post 6PM 1740 shows 51191/293478 +10503 (9434)

AMC D3 - overall 4119 shows 74372/838479  post 6PM 1787 shows 12088/369934  +15244(4592)
CIN D3 - overall 4691 shows 68617/782461 post 6PM 1707 shows 4575/287131 +8519(6166)

 

Looking at rest of the weekend, mimics what we saw for Day 2. SIgnificant acceleration seen for weekend shows. That Sunday increase at AMC is crazy. Definitely shaping upto a very backloaded weekend.

 

 

[Eric Duncan]

Frozen II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	1,490	16,774	8.88%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 662

Total Seats Sold Today: 192

 

Comp

7.641x of Maleficent 4 days before release (17.57M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.332x of Lion King (7.64M)

 

Ayyy, a great increase and a good way to kick off the last couple days. Let's hope something good is in store.

[Menor the Destroyer]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

F2 Update(Previous day increase in braces)

 

AMC Prev -  overall 1717 shows 54119/340079 +6922(3179)
Cin Prev - overall 2436 shows 55325/387777 +5026(3302)

AMC OD - overall 4023 shows 92733/825047 post 6PM 1906 shows 55787/393501 +14254(9057)

CIN OD - overall 4688 shows 99727/782539 post 6PM 1740 shows 51191/293478 +10503 (9434)

AMC D3 - overall 4119 shows 74372/838479  post 6PM 1787 shows 12088/369934  +15244(4592)
CIN D3 - overall 4691 shows 68617/782461 post 6PM 1707 shows 4575/287131 +8519(6166)

 

Looking at rest of the weekend, mimics what we saw for Day 2. SIgnificant acceleration seen for weekend shows. That Sunday increase at AMC is crazy. Definitely shaping upto a very backloaded weekend.

 

 

Adding to this, Thursday at Cinemark is 64% of TLK at the same point, while Friday is 105% and presumably D2 and D3 ratios are even better.

[Eric Duncan]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-32 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	165	8,575	30,741	27.89%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 43

 

Comp

4.508x of Once Upon’s final count (26.15M)

2.475x of It: Chapter Two (25.99M)

1.746x of Joker (23.23M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.723x of Lion King (16.64M)

3.434x of Hobbs & Shaw (19.91M)

 

Before you ask, yes the total seats increased, but it was an accidental typo that should have been fixed on Day 1. We're gonna have moments like that when you look through so many showtimes.

 

As for today, I guess it is a tad (key word there) disappointing that it didn't continue any momentum, but it's still a fine number, and it seems like it's doing well financially-speaking. So whatever.

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-32 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	205	11978	24152	12174	50.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

85

 

T-32 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-32	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	406.78		76	2860		2/81	7756/10616	26.94%		84.20m
TROS (adj)	n/a		77	11634		2/205	11256/22890	50.82%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

T-32 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-32	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	167.85		40	6196		0/114	4815/11011	56.27%		65.46m
TROS (adj)	n/a		68	10400		2/205	8471/18771	55.40%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	68.61		15159		10400		26.76m
DP2	127.87		8133		10400		23.78m
Solo	179.65		5789		10400		25.33m
JW:FK	166.99		6228		10400		25.55m
AM&tW	225.84		4605		10400		25.97m
Venom	240.84		4493		10821		24.08m
CM	110.24		10553		11634		22.82m
EG	43.65		26655		11634		26.19m
TLK	105.99		10977		11634		24.38m
It 2	215.13		5659		12174		22.59m
AVG							24.75m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

===

 

I have to think now that the one-two punch of Mando and Fallen Order is helping sales.  Maybe some random variation here from market to market, but the overall tread seems pretty clear.

 

Also one note about the Captain Marvel comp for today.  T-34 was Super Bowl Sunday for CM, which boosted its sales something fierce on this comparative day, as well as the next couple of days.  Just something to keep in mind.