Jump to content

grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

Recommended Posts





NYC Local  It's been 6 weeks since an update. No showings have been added since.

 

SW: ROS Mon (10/21) (9:45pm)   Tues (10/22) (8pm)   FRI (11/5) (8am)  
(2D) 5:PM (Fan Event) 38/257   83/257   170/257  
             
(RPX) 6PM 142/320   198/320   239/320  
(RPX) 9:30PM 90/320   154/320   238/320  
(RPX) 1AM 13/320   23/320   37/320  
             
(3D) 7PM 42/218   100/218   100/218  
(3D) 9PM     7/205   29/205  
(3D) 10:30PM 16/218   20/218   27/218  
(3D) 12:30PM     8/205   37/205  
             
             
(2D) 6:30PM 46/301   89/301   144/301  
(2D) 7:30PM 157/301   179/301   179/301  
(2D) 8PM     25/255   144/255  
(2D) 8:30PM 42/257   90/257   158/257  
(2D) 10PM 16/301   37/301   69/301  
(2D) 11PM 8/301   12/301   26/301  
(2D) 11:30PM     10/255   12/255  
(2D) 12:05AM 8/257   11/257   14/257  
  609/3371 =18%   1046/4291 = 24.37%   1554/4291 = 36.215%  

 

 

The only Comps I have that matter.  I don't have the exact same days out but

 

 TSOR is at 52.04%  of AEG tickets sold 17 days out 

 TSOR is at 47.46%  of AEG tickets sold 12 days out 

 

[Edited: Fixed days out from Thur Previews]

 

AEG- NYC Local Thursday  
(4.2.19 sales start)    
(4.3.19) (1:30pm) 2,470/3,737 = 66.09%  
(4.5.19) 2,800/3,994 = 70.1%  
(4.6.19) 2,928/3,994 = 73.31%  
(4.8.19) 2,986/4,481 = 66.63%  
(4.13.19) 3,274/4,481 = 73.06%  
(4.16.19) 3,665/4,736= 77.38%  
(4.20.19) 3,819/4,736= 80.64%  
(4.22.19) 3,948/4,736= 83.36%  
(4.24.19) (9pm)(Wed) 4,853/5,493 = 88.35%  
     
Edited by TalismanRing
  • Like 4
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, cdsacken said:

So horrific tracking for Next Level in China. Maybe this will just fail? I'm saying sub 500 ww possibly and sub 160 domestic

That's just nuts. I figured Jumanji: WttJ captured lightning in a bottle but I also figured the sequel would still be a smash. 

 

For TRoS sake, I hope it does to Jumanji what its predecessor did to TLJ.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



5 hours ago, cdsacken said:

So horrific tracking for Next Level in China. Maybe this will just fail? I'm saying sub 500 ww possibly and sub 160 domestic

Still not ready to bury The Next Level and I probably won't until Xmas is in the rear view mirror (barring something really hideous).

 

But, gots to tell everyone, I've had an uneasy feeling about this film ever since the middle of last year.  Not gonna say THAT famous phrase regarding IW, but a distinct lack of buzz that I can sense.

 

My go to comp for the last few months has been SLOP2, and it's looking not to bad right now.

 

Of course, If The Next Level  gets SLOP2'd (50% to 60% drop DOM) we're still talking around 175m DOM to 200m DOM, so that's not that bad. Just not what many were hoping for.

 

And I say it's not that bad coz this is still a 90m-100m budgeted movie, near as I can tell.

 

===

 

Do think getting Alice'd (75% drop) is not happening.  This is still the holiday season, after all.  And like I said, I ain't ready to bury it yet.  Not even close.  Just saying what I think might be a worst case scenario.

Edited by Porthos
  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites



6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Still not ready to bury The Next Level and I probably won't until Xmas is in the rear view mirror (barring something really hideous).

 

But, gots to tell everyone, I've had an uneasy feeling about this film ever since the middle of last year.  Not gonna say THAT famous phrase regarding IW, but a distinct lack of buzz that I can sense.

 

My go to comp for the last few months has been SLOP2, and it's looking not to bad right now.

 

Of course, If The Next Level  gets SLOP2'd (50% to 60% drop DOM) we're still talking around 175m DOM to 200m DOM, so that's not that bad. Just not what many were hoping for.

 

And I say it's not that bad coz this is still a 90m-100m budgeted movie, near as I can tell.

 

===

 

Do think getting Alice'd (75% drop) is not happening.  This is still the holiday season, after all.  And like I said, I ain't ready to bury it yet.  Not even close.  Just saying what I think might be a worst case scenario.

I know, I know, @Eric Plus

 

I could have just said "Outside of Joker, MIckey's Law remains undefeated this year and The Next Level ain't in that league" and saved myself the trouble.  But I wanted to get some of my thoughts why on record as it were. :lol: 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

I know, I know, @Eric Plus

 

I could have just said "Outside of Joker, MIckey's Law remains undefeated this year and The Next Level ain't in that league" and saved myself the trouble.  But I wanted to get some of my thoughts why on record as it were. :lol: 

Oh that's cute. You must realize that Mickey's Law plays mind tricks on people, and while they can give other studios success, they still don't give them all the success. Joker couldn't hit 100M in its OW? Mickey's Law at work. Wonder Woman did 400M DOM but not 1B WW? Mickey's Law. SLOP and Sing did more than Zootopia and Moana DOM but less WW? Mickey's Law. Do not be fooled by the Law's trickery.

 

giphy.gif

  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 6
  • Astonished 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1758 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1798 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
9239 117 22870 40.40% 9 182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 22.42M

Final Maleficent count comp: 26.20M

Final IT 2 count comp: 24.98M

Final Hobbs count comp: 26.11M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 26.70M

Final Lion King count comp: 28.01M

 

Average: 25.74M

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1765 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1807 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
9332 93 22870 40.80% 9 182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 22.65M

Final Maleficent count comp: 26.47M

Final IT 2 count comp: 25.23M

Final Hobbs count comp: 26.38M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 26.99M

Final Lion King count comp: 28.29M

 

Average: 26M

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 57 1686

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 51 1610

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
198 18 11405 1.74% 9 58

 

Frozen 2 comp: 1.20M

Terminator comp: 3.94M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.30M

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.18M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.47M

Adjusted Lion King comp: 1.05M 1.84M

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 66 1686

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 56 1610

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
227 29 11405 1.99% 9 58

 

Terminator comp: 4.20M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.63M

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.62M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.48M

Hobbs comp: 3.82M

Lion King comp: 1.86M

 

I was adjusting for the wrong theaters for TLK yesterday, so the comp should've been 1.84M. So it wasn't actually a huge jump.

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



48 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 66 1686

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 56 1610

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
227 29 11405 1.99% 9 58

 

Terminator comp: 4.20M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.63M

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.62M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.48M

Hobbs comp: 3.82M

Lion King comp: 1.86M

 

I was adjusting for the wrong theaters for TLK yesterday, so the comp should've been 1.84M. So it wasn't actually a huge jump.

these numbers aren't bad at all.

MALEF2 did 16x it's previews while Dark Fate did 13x.

I think JUM3 can do as good as MALEF2 if not higher.

Needs close to 2.5m to hit 40 ow which it seems to be getting except for TLK comp.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



On 12/5/2019 at 2:20 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Jumanji 2 Previews (T-7)

MTC1  - overall 1559 shows 8530/332474 148126.13 +1245
MTC2 - overall 2653 shows 4684/433040 59083.00 +509

 

Very low numbers. Just getting these numbers out for records as real action wont happen until next week mid.

Jumanji 2 Previews (T-6)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1559 shows 9932/332415 171958.24 +1402 
MTC2 Prev - overall 2579 shows 5174/422226 65320.00 +490

 

Still the momentum is not there. But I am not expecting much until next week anyway.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Jumanji 2 Previews (T-6)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1559 shows 9932/332415 171958.24 +1402 
MTC2 Prev - overall 2579 shows 5174/422226 65320.00 +490

 

Still the momentum is not there. But I am not expecting much until next week anyway.

Going by the pace, and possible acceleration,I think it can hit $700k in MTC1 that will be $2.5mn preview.

Edited by Jedi Jat
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Jumanji: The Next Level
Various theater chains (Michigan)
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 19 0 79
Seats Added 0 0 5,717 -300 15,505
Seats Sold 17 42 181 18 178
           
12/6/2019 Showings Seats Left Total Seats Seats Sold Pct. Sold
Total 98 20,486 20,922 436 2.08%
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

SW9 (T-14)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5146 shows 322197/858529 4806288.65 +3903
MTC2 Prev -overall 3065 shows 212620/448751 2699156.00 +2968
MTC1 OD - overall 5365 shows 233032/1094013 3638033.12 +18269
MTC2 OD - overall 4443 shows 175584/727391 1976274.00 +15063
MTC1 D2 - overall 5302 shows 192088/1083810 2840215.98 +20407
MTC2 D2 - overall 4452 shows 141592/731850 1532929.00 +16749
MTC1 D3 - overall 5133 shows 105135/1049541 1550468.32+13835
MTC2 D3 - overall 4399 shows 72425/726198 760279.00 +11107

 

I normally post fulll weekend  updates on saturday but did it today as @Jedi Jat is tracking T-14 numbers. Previews are updated daily, OD was updated last on sunday and rest were last updated on saturday.

 

This data is missing lots of sellouts. Empire 25 has 15 sellouts including 12 2D which seem to be bulk booked as its saying not reserved screen when I try to scrap the page. So dont know how many seats that screen has. Unfortunately unlike Fandango, AMC does not mention the Auditorium id. Empire 25 has shows all the way till 530AM !!!!  You can check sellouts at AMC NYC theaters at https://www.amctheatres.com/movie-theatres/new-york-city/amc-empire-25/showtimes/star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalker-53726/2019-12-19/amc-empire-25/all.

SW9 Previews (T-13)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5152 shows 325368/859475 4852766.48 +3171
MTC2 Prev - overall 3081 shows 215160/450029 2728602.00 +2540

 

Slightly lower increase than yesterday.

 

 

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites





10 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

SW T-13 is selling more than double Jumanji T-6. That's horrible for Jumanji.

if you compare both it will be worse. Jumanji is like number for 30 hours while SW9 is for 22.5hrs. But one is PS friendly while core audience for Jumanji is not. But they will walk in next weekend. its not bombing for sure. H&S had awful PS but opened to 58m. This is also releasing closing to holidays and so its backloaded as well.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.